Weekend thread | Deadline Friday Est. (p.11) ~ PR:U 10.1M, BP 4.4M, ICOI 3.7M, TR 2.8M, SG 2.7M, AWIT 2.1M, L,S 2.3M, P,AOC 1.5M, MS 1.45M, GN 1.2M, U 1.3M

[La Binoche]

Red Sparrow already out of the top 10? 

[Alli]

9 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

weekend estimate? @WrathOfHan

[That One Girl]

3 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

Why does the movie that got critical and audience trashing deserve success? It is a bad movie. Critics didn't like it, fans of the book didn't like it and previews were too unappealing to the uninitiated to check it out. It failed for a reason and it would have failed even if there wasn't the boxoffice phenomenon that catered to the similar audience and thus siphoned the viewers away.

 

Because it's a huge step forward (first film with a black female director to have a 100M budget, majority black/female cast) and, conceptually and stylistically, it's one of Disney's more interesting films.  It's not a rehash of one of their older animated films, it's them legitimately trying to do justice to a beloved source material.  Its heart was clearly in the right place.  And I didn't even like the film!

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, Alli said:

weekend estimate? @WrathOfHan

Eh sure why not lol

 

635k (+39%)

1.1M (+65%)

660k (-40%)

2.4M Weekend, 47% drop

[The Futurist]

Pacific Rim Uprising is up there in the pantheon.

Your move Godzilla 2, show us what you got.

 

The last act of Pacific Rim Uprising was a dream come true, I think I shed a little tear of joy.

It hit all the marks whereas Roland failed me two years ago with IDR.

You want to see this set piece in a theater with very loud sound.

This  was so beautiful in every way.

Edited March 24, 2018 by The Futurist

[WrathOfHan]

Isle of Dogs is going to break out big time when it goes wide on April 13. It'll have a better PTA than The Disaster Artist in 8 more theaters, and Fox is probably pushing for 2,000+ theaters given the level of promotion it has and the lack of releases from them this summer. The movie is only staying in top markets until the 13th, which makes a 10M+ weekend even likelier when it goes wide.

[The Futurist]

Hollywood should invest 230m in a franchise/brand VFX movie and cast :

 

Liam Hemsworth

Scott Eastwood

Charlie Hunnam

Taylor Kitsch,

with a cameo from Dastan aka JG. 

 

24m OW confirmed.

[Eric the Minion]

4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Isle of Dogs is going to break out big time when it goes wide on April 13. It'll have a better PTA than The Disaster Artist in 8 more theaters, and Fox is probably pushing for 2,000+ theaters given the level of promotion it has and the lack of releases from them this summer. The movie is only staying in top markets until the 13th, which makes a 10M+ weekend even likelier when it goes wide.

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[Ezen Baklattan]

10 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Isle of Dogs is going to break out big time when it goes wide on April 13. It'll have a better PTA than The Disaster Artist in 8 more theaters, and Fox is probably pushing for 2,000+ theaters given the level of promotion it has and the lack of releases from them this summer. The movie is only staying in top markets until the 13th, which makes a 10M+ weekend even likelier when it goes wide.

The Grand Budapest Hotel achieved a slightly smaller PTA in nearly twice as many theatres, and I think this’ll have less mainstream appeal.

 

It’s a good number, but let’s not get ahead of ourselves here.

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

 

[WrathOfHan]

1	PACIFIC RIM UPRISING Universal 3,708	$10,362,000 -- / $2,794 $10,362,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
2	BLACK PANTHER Buena Vista 3,370	$4,386,000 +103.5% / $1,301 $618,644,236 / 36	N/A	N/A	N/A
3	I CAN ONLY IMAGINE Roadside Attractions 2,253	$3,790,785 +120.6% / $1,683 $28,270,276 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
4	TOMB RAIDER Warner Bros. 3,854	$2,850,000 +90.9% / $739 $34,168,108 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
5	SHERLOCK GNOMES Paramount 3,662	$2,800,000 -- / $765 $2,800,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
6	LOVE, SIMON Fox 2,434	$2,355,000 +140.8% / $968 $18,250,601 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
7	A WRINKLE IN TIME Buena Vista 3,423	$2,142,000 +81% / $626 $67,984,607 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
8	PAUL, APOSTLE OF CHRIST Sony / Columbia 1,473	$1,660,000 -- / $1,127 $1,660,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
9	MIDNIGHT SUN Open Road Films 2,173	$1,480,000 -- / $681 $1,480,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
10	UNSANE Bleecker Street 2,023	$1,355,628 -- / $670 $1,355,628 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
11	GAME NIGHT Warner Bros. (New Line) 1,866	$1,200,000 +110.4% / $643 $57,853,535 / 29	N/A	N/A	N/A
12	RED SPARROW Fox 1,482	$635,000 +38.7% / $428 $42,431,000 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	STRANGERS: PREY AT NIGHT Aviron 1,481	$605,000 +78.7% / $409 $20,743,919 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	ISLE OF DOGS Fox Searchlight 27	$555,585 -- / $20,577 $555,585 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	ANNIHILATION Paramount 478	$246,000 +27.3% / $515 $30,764,405 / 29	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	THE GREATEST SHOWMAN Fox 478	$200,000 +65.5% / $418 $170,448,688 / 94	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	THE SHAPE OF WATER Fox Searchlight 236	$67,000 -13.3% / $284 $63,095,065 / 113	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	GETTING GRACE Hannover House 60	$45,802 (actual) -- / $763 $45,802 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI Buena Vista 150	$31,000 +53.6% / $207 $619,896,809 / 99	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	COCO Buena Vista 144	$29,000 +47.1% / $201 $209,271,528 / 122	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI Fox Searchlight 125	$27,100 -9.3% / $217 $54,047,338 / 134	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	THE HURRICANE HEIST Entertainment Studios 128	$25,000 -74.7% / $195 $5,926,957 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	WINCHESTER Lionsgate 90	$15,000 +225.7% / $167 $25,019,646 / 50	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	EARLY MAN Lionsgate 126	$11,000 +43.8% / $87 $8,206,955 / 36	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	HOSTILES Entertainment Studios 50	$8,000 -2.5% / $160 $29,742,047 / 92

[John Marston]

better number than I thought for Pacific Rim but it's still a flop on a 150m budget

[1Robert1]

So BP wouldn't win with Avatar?

[meriodejaneiro]

11 minutes ago, 1Robert1 said:

So BP wouldn't win with Avatar?

Why would it have to?

[IronJimbo]

13 minutes ago, 1Robert1 said:

So BP wouldn't win with Avatar?

what do you mean? Avatar made $35m on this weekend if that helps.

[WrathOfHan]

Forecasting the new releases:

 

Pacific Rim:

Mar 23: 25.9M (7.3M weekdays, 33.2M Total)

Mar 30: 7.7M (4.2M weekdays, 45.1M Total)

Apr 6: 4.7M (1.6M weekdays, 51.4M Total)

Apr 13: 2M (600k weekdays, 54M Total)

Apr 20: 1M (300k weekdays, 55.3M Total)

Final Total: 57M (2.2x)

 

This is gonna collapse HARD next week.

 

Sherlock Gnomes:

Mar 23: 9.9M (3M weekdays, 12.9M Total)

Mar 30: 4.3M (2.5M weekdays, 19.7M Total)

Apr 6: 2.1M (600k weekdays, 22.4M Total)

Apr 13: 900k (300k weekdays, 23.6M Total)

Final Total: 25M (2.53x)

 

 

 

Paul, Apostle of Christ:

Mar 23: 5.5M (2.6M weekdays, 8.1M Total)

Mar 30: 4M (2.4M weekdays, 14.5M Total)

Apr 6: 2.8M (900k weekdays, 18.2M Total)

Apr 13: 1.2M (400k weekdays, 19.8M Total)

Final Total: 22M (4x)

 

Pretty good given it's facing ICOI. GND3 otoh....

 

Midnight Sun:

Mar 23: 4.3M (1.3M weekdays, 5.6M Total)

Mar 30: 1.6M (1.1M weekdays, 8.3M Total)

Apr 6: 900k (400k weekdays, 9.6M Total)

Final Total: 11M (2.56x)

 

Who cares?

 

Unsane:

Mar 23: 3.7M (1.2M weekdays, 5.2M Total)

Mar 30: 1.5M (900k weekdays, 7.6M Total)

Apr 6: 900k (300k weekdays, 8.8M Total)

Final Total: 10M (2.7x)

 

 

Edited March 24, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[Zakiyyah6]

39 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

Because it's a huge step forward (first film with a black female director to have a 100M budget, majority black/female cast) and, conceptually and stylistically, it's one of Disney's more interesting films.  It's not a rehash of one of their older animated films, it's them legitimately trying to do justice to a beloved source material.  Its heart was clearly in the right place.  And I didn't even like the film!

I think the film looks like ass but because I'm an SJW and a black chick who loves film I wanted it to succeed at the box office. I expected it would probably flop because Tomorrowland was the same sort of film and flopped hard. As long as Ava gets as many chances as white dudes this failure means little. 

[meriodejaneiro]

6 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

what do you mean? Avatar made $35m on this weekend if that helps.

It's amazing how you appear instantly when certain words come up in any thread ... and with certain words i mean Avatar. Do you have a radar or you live making search constantly in the forums?