Weekend Thread | Wknd #'s A:IW 61.8, LOTP 18.5, BI 16.5, OB 10.1, AQP 6.4, IFP 3.7, R 3.4, T 2.2

[Jonwo]

12 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Yeh Life of the Party opened in line with Game Night, Blockers and I Feel Pretty.

 

These Melissa + Husband movies usually open over $20m though, so even with Mothers Day this is a bit of a let down for it. Although I think tracking was $17-21m so it’s still ok. 

 

Breaking In did less than comparable No Good Dead etc, but similar to Acrimony. 

Melissa will be fine but you have to wonder if maybe she should start doing more projects without Ben Falcone because it's an emerging pattern that her weakest films are the ones he's directed. Her next couple of films looks very promising, 

[That One Girl]

1 minute ago, KJsooner said:

Has TOG mentioned about mother’s day

 

Haven't seen Mother's Day, heard it's not very good tho

[Avatree]

2B would appear to be very very likely but it's not locked. Think some of you are forgetting Deadpool releases this week which is proper competition. Drops will be much worse from here out. In fact Dp2 opens on Tuesday in many markets.

[narniadis]

4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Predictions for next weekend:

 

Deadpool 2: 130M

Avengers: Infinity War: 32.8M

Book Club: 8M

Life of the Party: 6.9M

Breaking In: 5.1M

A Quiet Place: 5M

Show Dogs: 4.5M

RBG: 2M

I Feel Pretty: 1.7M

Rampage: 1.5M

 

Reaaaaaaaaally want AQP to beat Breaking In and stay in the top 5. If it doesn't happen next weekend, it'll be back in the top 5 over Memorial Day.

A bit optimistic on AIW and to low on Book Club....

[MikeQ]

Identical third weekend drop for Infinity War compared to The Avengers. Terrific third weekend of $61.8M, second only to Black Panther, as far as comic book films go. Infinity War is already the third highest grossing comic book movie of all time domestically.

 

Black Panther sits at $696.2M after this weekend. It is so close to being the first comic book movie to hit the $700M mark domestically.

 

Basically, Marvel is killing it. 

 

Best 3rd Weekends for Live Action Comic Book Movies

 

Title (Year) — Third Weekend Gross (Drop from Second Weekend)

1. Black Panther (2018) — 66.3 million (-40.6%)
2. Avengers: Infinity War (2018) — 61.8 million (-46.1%)
3. Marvel’s The Avengers (2012) — 55.6 million (-46.0%)
4. Spider-Man (2002) — 45.0 million (-36.9%)
5. The Dark Knight (2008) — 42.7 million (-43.2%)
6. Wonder Woman (2017) — 41.3 million (-29.5%)
7. Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) — 38.9 million (-50.0%)
8. Iron Man 3 (2013) — 35.8 million (-50.7%)
9. The Dark Knight Rises (2012) — 35.7 million (-42.5%)
10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2017) — 34.7 million (-46.9%)
11. Captain America: Civil War (2016) — 32.9 million (-54.7%)
12. Iron Man (2008) — 31.8 million (-37.8%)
13. Deadpool (2016) — 31.1 million (-44.9%)
14. Spider-Man 3 (2007) — 29.0 million (-50.1%)
15. Iron Man 2 (2010) — 26.4 million (-49.3%)

 

Highest Grossing Comic Book Films

1. Black Panther (2018) — 696.2 million^
2. Marvel’s The Avengers (2012) — 623.4 million
3. Avengers: Infinity War (2018) — 547.8 million^
4. The Dark Knight (2008) — 534.9 million
5. Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) — 459.0 million
6. The Dark Knight Rises (2012) — 448.1 million
7. Wonder Woman (2017) — 412.6 million
8. Iron Man 3 (2013) — 409.0 million
9. Captain America: Civil War (2016) — 408.1 million
10. Spider-Man (2002) — 403.7 million
11. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2017) — 389.8 million
12. Spider-Man 2 (2004) — 373.6 million
13. Deadpool (2016)— 363.1 million
14. Spider-Man 3 (2007) — 336.5 million
15. Spider-Man: Homecoming (2017) — 334.2 million
16. Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 333.2 million
17. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016) — 330.4 million
18. Suicide Squad (2016) — 325.1 million
19. Iron Man (2008) — 318.4 million 
20. Thor: Ragnarok (2017) — 315.1 million

 

^ Box office run not yet complete

 

Peace,

Mike

 

Edited May 13, 2018 by MikeQ

[WrathOfHan]

Black Panther is behaving like Jumanji post-digital release. Jumanji's first weekend after the digital release was 38%, then it went up to 41% the following week and 48% after the Blu-Ray came out. BP's Blu is out on Tuesday, and given Deadpool is out next weekend, it's probably going to have the first 50% drop in its entire run. Absolutely insane.

[filmlover]

I have Deadpool 2 at $148M next weekend (plus $10M for Book Club and $5M for Show Dogs).

[expensiveho]

BP needs 2x this weekend to reach 700m. Seems like a lock even with DP2.

[That One Girl]

tfw Black Panther is about to be released on Blu-Ray 14M away from 710M

 

[WrathOfHan]

3 minutes ago, Mr Impossible said:

I don’t see Breaking In and Life of the Party dropping harsher than Infinity Wars next weekend. They are counter programming to Deadpool 2 while Infinity Wars is pretty much direct competition... 

Snatched dropped 60% in its second weekend; this is what happens to new releases inflated by Mothers Day. Breaking In will particularly get hurt because similar movies tend to drop 40-45% on Sunday.

[nguyenkhoi282]

13 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

$2 billion is locked for Avengers. Not much more than that, but the milestone is locked. 

This weekend drop in OS-China was steeper than expected. This could miss 2B with sth like 650M/1B/325M.

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, That One Guy said:

tfw Black Panther is about to be released on Blu-Ray 14M away from 710M

 

It was never gonna happen  

[That One Girl]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

It was never gonna happen  

 

IT'S NOT OVER UNTIL IT'S OVER

[NoLegMan]

3 minutes ago, Ranger Tree said:

2B would appear to be very very likely but it's not locked. Think some of you are forgetting Deadpool releases this week which is proper competition. Drops will be much worse from here out. In fact Dp2 opens on Tuesday in many markets.

DP2 Will not impact IW internationally much

[Valonqar]

AWIT PTA is abysmal. Disney should have done better if they pushed BP DVD back to speed up 700M (which is happening without fudge anyway). I understand they want 100M for AWIT cause of TV rights, as others explained, but that turd can't do it even with Puerto Rico. 

Edited May 13, 2018 by Valonqar

[a2k]

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$89,744,663	22.6%
+ Foreign:	$307,400,000	77.4%
= Worldwide:	$397,144,663

 

Rampage did 6.4 OS so should add 11 more there. And around 6.5 more Dom gives 397.1 + 11 + 6.5 = 414.6 with Japan remaining (May 18 release).

So 425 is very likely (3.54x it's 120 prod budget)

[Avatree]

2 minutes ago, NoLegMan said:

DP2 Will not impact IW internationally much

Err. Why not? One of the reasons IW has held this well is because there's been no competition. Literally no competition at all. It will have regular (steep) superhero film drops from here on out.

[a2k]

RPO on 573+ ww and will go past 575 ww. Was looking at 145+ dom before AIW hit it. Must have been hit harder OS. 600 ww looked very real at one point.

[Valonqar]

5 minutes ago, A2k Raptor said:

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$89,744,663	22.6%
+ Foreign:	$307,400,000	77.4%
= Worldwide:	$397,144,663

 

Rampage did 6.4 OS so should add 11 more there. And around 6.5 more Dom gives 397.1 + 11 + 6.5 = 414.6 with Japan remaining (May 18 release).

So 425 is very likely (3.54x it's 120 prod budget)

Dat Rock power overseas. 

[Jonwo]

3 minutes ago, A2k Raptor said:

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$89,744,663	22.6%
+ Foreign:	$307,400,000	77.4%
= Worldwide:	$397,144,663

 

Rampage did 6.4 OS so should add 11 more there. And around 6.5 more Dom gives 397.1 + 11 + 6.5 = 414.6 with Japan remaining (May 18 release).

So 425 is very likely (3.54x it's 120 prod budget)

Rampage has done solid business for WB, nearly $400m WW and the OS will match or close to San Andreas' OS total