Weekend Thread | Wknd #'s A:IW 61.8, LOTP 18.5, BI 16.5, OB 10.1, AQP 6.4, IFP 3.7, R 3.4, T 2.2

[TalismanRing]

8 minutes ago, StevenG said:

Those are pretty decent holds for I Feel Pretty and Overboard.

Is that because of Mother's Day? Do female-skewing movies tend to hold better in this holiday?

Very much so

[Webslinger]

Avengers had another really good weekend, unsurprisingly. It's now officially running behind Black Panther's corresponding weekend grosses, though that was inevitable with how huge it opened and what an anomaly Black Panther was in its staying power. I can't imagine this film topping $60 million against the opening of Deadpool 2, so Disney's decision to bump the release date up continues to pay dividends. Next weekend's hold will be rough, but it still appears set to finish in the upper-600s domestically.

 

Life of the Party did okay. Neither of McCarthy's previous collaborations with her husband were huge hits and straight comedies have had less luck in general for the last year-and-a-half or thereabouts, so only getting to the high-teens is expected and acceptable.

 

Breaking In also did okay, though I felt like the pieces were in place for a mini-breakout. Nevertheless, with such a small budget, it's already a winner for Universal.

 

Overboard scored a huge boost from Mother's Day today. It should be able to finish close to $50 million or thereabouts.

 

It's kinda crazy that Black Panther has been in the top ten for its entire three-month window between theatrical and Blu-Ray release. Even with a big drop in store next weekend, some studio-driven assistance from Solo over Memorial Day weekend will help nudge it over $700 million.

[WrathOfHan]

7 minutes ago, Webslinger said:

 

It's kinda crazy that Black Panther has been in the top ten for its entire three-month window between theatrical and Blu-Ray release. Even with a big drop in store next weekend, some studio-driven assistance from Solo over Memorial Day weekend will help nudge it over $700 million.

They're not going to waste Solo double features on BP; it'll get to 700M without any assistance.

[Captain Craig]

AIW likely to go up with actuals?

[Jim Shorts]

33 minutes ago, StevenG said:

Those are pretty decent holds for I Feel Pretty and Overboard.

Is that because of Mother's Day? Do female-skewing movies tend to hold better in this holiday?

Mother’s Day and female skewing movies...

 

i dont see the connection either.

[NGGKroze]

 

Just lol. Next year they will have either top 7(A4) or top 8(Captain Marvel Breakout)

 

Edit: Totally forgot about Spider-Man HC 2. Could be 3x1B+ MCU movies next year

Edited May 13, 2018 by NGGKroze

[Chewy]

1	Avengers: Infinity War	BV	$1,606.8	$547.8	34.1%	$1,059.0	65.9%	2018
2	Marvel's The Avengers	BV	$1,518.8	$623.4	41%	$895.5	59%	2012
3	Avengers: Age of Ultron	BV	$1,405.4	$459.0	32.7%	$946.4	67.3%	2015
4	Black Panther	BV	$1,341.4	$696.2	51.9%	$645.2	48.1%	2018
5	Iron Man 3	BV	$1,214.8	$409.0	33.7%	$805.8	66.3%	2013
6	Captain America: Civil War	BV	$1,153.3	$408.1	35.4%	$745.2	64.6%	2016

 

 

1.6 -> 1.5 -> 1.4 -> 1.3 -> 1.2 -> 1.1

 

Know it's temporary but pretty funny

[StevenG]

15 minutes ago, Jim Shorts said:

Mother’s Day and female skewing movies...

 

i dont see the connection either.

Idiot.

[Caladbolg]

28 minutes ago, Captain Craig said:

AIW likely to go up with actuals?

If it does go up with actuals, I think it probably won't be enough to put anything back on the menu. Looking at other MD holds for MCU, there is a chance it could decrease with actuals.

 

MCU drops on MD:

 

Iron Man- 30.1%

Iron Man 2- 37%

Thor-  27.6%

Avengers-  27.9

Iron Man 3- 35.2%

Ultron- 33%

Civil War- 34%

GotG2- 25%

Edited May 13, 2018 by Caladbolg

[Johnny Tran]

1 hour ago, Ithil said:

People thought it would flop because it looked like crap and there was zero hype for it, and it was following up BvS which sucked. The Synder/Whedon switch had nothing to do with it.

BvS was successful at the BO and during it's BluRay/DVD run.  The reaction was mixed.  The difference is there are people who love BvS and people who hate it.   JL doesn't have that...  it was a nice middling piece of garbage which is often what Whedon produces so no surprises there. 

[JB33]

7 minutes ago, Caladbolg said:

If it does go up with actuals, I think it probably won't be enough to put anything back on the menu. Looking at other MD holds for MCU, there is a chance it could decrease with actuals.

 

MCU drops on MD:

 

Iron Man- 30.1%

Iron Man 2- 37%

Thor-  27.6%

Avengers-  27.9

Iron Man 3- 35.2%

Ultron- 33%

Civil War- 34%

GotG2- 25%

The average of all of those is 31.2%. Based on a $27M Saturday that gives us a Sunday gross of $18,495,000.

 

$61.5M weekend. Lower than the estimate. I think we need to be prepared for that possibility.

Edited May 13, 2018 by JB33

[MCKillswitch123]

6 minutes ago, NGGKroze said:

 

Just lol. Next year they will have either top 7(A4) or top 8(Captain Marvel Breakout)

More to the point: if Black Panther survives unscathed at the #9 position in the top 10 WW of all time until Avengers 4 hits (it's about to beat Deathly Hallows Part 2), Marvel is gonna have half of the top 10 WW hits all to themselves. Would that be unprecedented? I think only the Harry Potter movies could have pulled that off before, and even then I doubt they did.

 

Again, though: this is IF Panther survives as #9 for a consecutive ~350 days. Chances of that happening aren't the smallest by any means, but don't count out the possibility that it doesn't happen. Jurassic World 2 is definitely the one to look out for as the biggest threat to that feat.

[Sam]

11 minutes ago, Chewy said:

1	Avengers: Infinity War	BV	$1,606.8	$547.8	34.1%	$1,059.0	65.9%	2018
2	Marvel's The Avengers	BV	$1,518.8	$623.4	41%	$895.5	59%	2012
3	Avengers: Age of Ultron	BV	$1,405.4	$459.0	32.7%	$946.4	67.3%	2015
4	Black Panther	BV	$1,341.4	$696.2	51.9%	$645.2	48.1%	2018
5	Iron Man 3	BV	$1,214.8	$409.0	33.7%	$805.8	66.3%	2013
6	Captain America: Civil War	BV	$1,153.3	$408.1	35.4%	$745.2	64.6%	2016

 

 

1.6 -> 1.5 -> 1.4 -> 1.3 -> 1.2 -> 1.1

 

Know it's temporary but pretty funny

Wow, look at that declining trajectory 

[Jessie]

3 hours ago, Ranger Tree said:

What?

 

Deadpool grossed 420M not including China. That's more than Guardians of the Galaxy, Guardians of the Galaxy 2, Thor Ragnarok, Winter Soldier, Doctor Strange, Justice League, Wonder Woman, and all X-Men films... Deadpool was BIG. Just because its not as big as Avengers, doesn't mean it is not competition.

2D also

[Thrylos 7]

24 minutes ago, Johnny Tran said:

BvS was successful at the BO and during it's BluRay/DVD run.  The reaction was mixed.  The difference is there are people who love BvS and people who hate it.   JL doesn't have that...  it was a nice middling piece of garbage which is often what Whedon produces so no surprises there. 

Disagree. For what it was BvS wasn’t successful at the bo at all, it’s all a matter of perspective. Not even reaching 900 million for a movie called Batman versus Superman was kind of pathetic and the legs it developed after its ow speak volumes about how people reacted to it. Not only that but it poisoned the well for the entire dccu.

Edited May 13, 2018 by Thrylos 7

[Moviefanatic]

17 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

More to the point: if Black Panther survives unscathed at the #9 position in the top 10 WW of all time until Avengers 4 hits (it's about to beat Deathly Hallows Part 2), Marvel is gonna have half of the top 10 WW hits all to themselves. Would that be unprecedented? I think only the Harry Potter movies could have pulled that off before, and even then I doubt they did.

 

Again, though: this is IF Panther survives as #9 for a consecutive ~350 days. Chances of that happening aren't the smallest by any means, but don't count out the possibility that it doesn't happen. Jurassic World 2 is definitely the one to look out for as the biggest threat to that feat.

Yea i could see JW2 doing over 1 billion again OS. Domestically I have no idea what it will do. 

[Jessie]

Mother's day hasn't effected Marvel Movies in the past. I see IW going up with actuals with a better Sunday. 

Edited May 13, 2018 by Jessie

[meriodejaneiro]

53 minutes ago, Chewy said:

1	Avengers: Infinity War	BV	$1,606.8	$547.8	34.1%	$1,059.0	65.9%	2018
2	Marvel's The Avengers	BV	$1,518.8	$623.4	41%	$895.5	59%	2012
3	Avengers: Age of Ultron	BV	$1,405.4	$459.0	32.7%	$946.4	67.3%	2015
4	Black Panther	BV	$1,341.4	$696.2	51.9%	$645.2	48.1%	2018
5	Iron Man 3	BV	$1,214.8	$409.0	33.7%	$805.8	66.3%	2013
6	Captain America: Civil War	BV	$1,153.3	$408.1	35.4%	$745.2	64.6%	2016

 

 

1.6 -> 1.5 -> 1.4 -> 1.3 -> 1.2 -> 1.1

 

Know it's temporary but pretty funny

1.0 for Captain Marvel? 

[Cap]

4 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

Again,

 

#FemaleAppeal

Don’t forget:

 

 

 

4 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

#OhNo

AWIT is circa 4M off 100. IW this weekend is circa 4M off in estimates. 🤔 

[MCKillswitch123]

15 minutes ago, Jessie said:

Mother's day hasn't effected Marvel Movies in the past. I see IW going up with actuals with a better Sunday. 

Really? So 33%+ drops for Civil War, Age Of Ultron and Iron Man 3 means it had no effect? Alright.

 

That being said, IW has better wom than all of those and it's playing a lot closer to Guardians 2 (25% drop), so I personally think there's a decent chance that an increase happens.