HAN SOLO MEMORIAL (day weekend) THREAD | Solo Flops Domestically with 83M/101M weekend. Spectacularly Bombs Overseas with 65M weekend.

[grey ghost]

Will Solo get shut out the top 10 DOM for 2018? 

[REC]

2 minutes ago, DAJK said:

The franchise used to be the giant that towered over all giants. Now its seen as a giant among giants, and a blip in their overall box office reputation is naturally seen as something to discuss.

Looking a bit like a giant space-dwarf right about now.

[Brainbug]

1 minute ago, Jandrew said:

Okay okay, I get. I haven't been keeping track of box office or tracking, didn't know the budget was that high. I just know the forum likes to turn discussions into "lol haha lol venom head emoji haha JJ head emoji lol", so I was curious on why exactly it was seen as so bad. I see now, though I still don't see why it really matters in the grand scheme.

 

Not like this is some original movie that we were hoping could bud into a new franchise, it's still yet another Star Wars. I'm not hurting for Disney and they're still gonna pump out a billion SW movies. If anything it's fresh air. SW and Marvel dominance is diluting the fun of the chart.

 

http://www.indiewire.com/2018/05/solo-a-star-wars-story-potential-sequels-1201964486/

 

There was at least some thinking that a successfull Solo film could lead to more sequels.

 

Which is

 

probably

 

not gonna happen....

 

 

 

[Nova]

2 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

And people were having meltdowns about Deadpool 2's OW, Solo might fall below that for 4 fucking days on MDW/e

Yea but Deadpool 2's second weekend isn't looking too hot 

[grey ghost]

Venom O/U Solo 

 

[grim22]

Taking the high end of 37M from Disney, we can make the optimistic projection

 

14

23

29.5 (+30%)

28M (-6%)

25M (-10%)

 

96.5M/111.5M

[Joyous Legion]

From

Quote

2-day could be above 100M

  

 

To 

Quote

3-day could be below 100M

 

To 

Quote

4-day could be below 100M 

 

To   

 

Quote

7-day (opening week) could be below 100M

 

 

What a world.

[Biggestgeekever]

Just now, grey ghost said:

Venom O/U Solo 

 

Venom 10 day > Solo total with the way things are going.

[Hunch]

4 minutes ago, Pandamia! said:

If it’s already in production, nah they won’t.

 

But will they actually go forward with a Jabba the Hutt or Boba Fett movie in reality?  Not positive about that unless they adjust their budgets accordingly

Oscar Isaac would have been great casting as Boba Fett. They really underused him as Poe.

[MCKillswitch123]

9 minutes ago, Nova said:

Yea but Deadpool 2's second weekend isn't looking too hot 

Dude, who cares. It's natural that it drops considering Solo took premium screens away, and it has the 4-day weekend to cushion its hold either way. And it's still a Wonder Woman-sized hit compared to that movie

 

EDIT: Actually, nevermind, a 65-70% drop on Memorial Day is fucking terrible. Still, it's gonna make 300M (it'll be north of 200M on its 2nd weekend with a 40+ 3-day, I doubt it can't muster another 100M after that), and Solo is not, on a 110M budget vs. 250+, so which is the real disaster here?

Edited May 25, 2018 by MCKillswitch123

[DAJK]

I saw a few mentions in the International thread that ppl are thinking Nutcracker might not get an official release given the Freeman stuff. Is that really a possibility? I mean yea, Disney doesn't want to tarnish their brand, but it really doesn't look like Freeman has a huge role or anything. If they really want to they could easily re-cast and re-shoot. 

 

Plus it looks like they already put a lot of money into the movie. And could earn a lot of money back as well. Wouldn't be surprised with a 175DOM, 275OS run

[Mekanos]

Get Mangold instead to do a 130M budget Kenobi western on Tatooine. 

[Daxtreme]

good comp right now (memorial day opening)

 

X-Men: Days of Future Past

Opening Day: $35,511,974

Opening Weekend:

$90,823,660

4-day opening: $110,576,604

And that's kinda optimistic

 

[a2k]

2 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Taking the high end of 37M from Disney, we can make the optimistic projection

 

14

23

29.5 (+30%)

28M (-6%)

25M (-10%)

 

96.5M/111.5M

that ends up at 119.5 4-day though i think 17-18% mon drop is a given, so 117.5 keeping the rest as optimistic.

[Brainbug]

On 3.1.2018 at 7:42 PM, Brainbug said:

01. There will be a Panda Bear movie sometime released in China and it will make 100M+ there.
02. Solo: A SW Story will make less than what Rogue One did in its first 10 Days (286M)

03. JW: Fallen Kingdom will make more than Infinity War both DOM and OS
04. Aquaman will make 100M more DOM than JL (327M)
05. Deadpool 2 will gross more than 400M
06. Venom will outgross TASM2 DOM (202M+)
07. Wreck-It Ralph 2 will make 300M+ DOM
08. The Grinch will make LESS than 200M DOM
09. The Predator will gross more than 200M DOM
10. The Meg will make 200M+ in China.

 

Now you all can call me a lunatic.

 

While there are some failures in this (these were bold predictions for 2018 movies), i nailed one i think

[MrGlass2]

19 minutes ago, Pandamia! said:

 

In a way we’re seeing this with Solo too.  It’s detached and the least Star Warsy of the movies.  I could see this flopping but people being willing to go see Episode 9 in two years.  They better come up with an invigorating marketing campaign though for that one.

Well 18 months with no SW will help at least. Longest hiatus since ROTS!

[dudalb]

1 minute ago, DAJK said:

I saw a few mentions in the International thread that ppl are thinking Nutcracker might not get an official release given the Freeman stuff. Is that really a possibility? I mean yea, Disney doesn't want to tarnish their brand, but it really doesn't look like Freeman has a huge role or anything. If they really want to they could easily re-cast and re-shoot. 

 

Plus it looks like they already put a lot of money into the movie. And could earn a lot of money back as well. Wouldn't be surprised with a 175DOM, 275OS run

From the lukewarm reception that footage from Nutcracker got at cannes even before the Freeman scandle broke, I got a feeling Disney is not going to put another dime into this film,

And I think that of all the remaining films on the Disney release roster for 2018, this is easily the most likely to bomb. Just does not look very good even without the Freeman situation.

Freeman's role is not big but is central to the story...as anybody familiar with "THe Nutcraker" ballet can tell you.

[The Panda]

2 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

Well 18 months with no SW will help at least. Longest hiatus since ROTS!

I’m hoping they stick to the D&D and Johnson trilogy after that to kind of move past the nostalgia based movies and start expanding the universe.

 

I think there’s only so far you can take these nostalgia trip films (even the well-done ones) 

[Joyous Legion]

Solo below Rogue One opening week?

[a2k]

AIW had one of the best Thu holds; 605.2 dom ... will be past TLJ and TA by Mem Day. and will be <35 away from Titanic.

 

Spoiler

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	(1)	Deadpool 2	20th Century Fox	$6,760,092	-16%	4,349	$1,554	$164,707,352	7
2	(3)	Avengers: Infinity War	Walt Disney	$1,911,460	+1%	4,002	$478	$605,194,638	28
3	(2)	Book Club	Paramount Pictures	$1,872,792	-9%	2,781	$673	$22,208,010	7
4	(4)	Life of the Party	Warner Bros.	$620,000	-8%	3,656	$170	$33,987,348	14
5	(5)	Breaking In	Universal	$475,985	-11%	2,537	$188	$31,588,655	14
6	(6)	A Quiet Place	Paramount Pictures	$316,476	-17%	2,327	$136	$177,698,379	49
7	(7)	Overboard	Lionsgate	$315,474	-13%	1,820	$173	$38,494,413	21
8	(8)	Show Dogs	Global Road	$308,050	+2%	3,212	$96	$7,594,725	7
9	(10)	Rampage	Warner Bros.	$110,000	-18%	1,466	$75	$93,096,689	42
10	(9)	I Feel Pretty	STX Entertainment	$95,024	-30%	1,505	$63	$47,167,133	35

 

Edited May 25, 2018 by A2k Raptor