Weekend Thread....Please read the staff announcement pg 104 (Solo 29.2...DP 23.3...Adrift 11.5)

[sfran43]

 

[DAR]

25 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

It's probably going to do around 15/45 IMO. The House had the disadvantage of opening against Baby Driver.

And being a shitty flick

[Mekanos]

 

Hawkguy thinking about his family.

[Ethan Hunt]

1 hour ago, oMeriMombatti said:

Long Range forecast

 

https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-mission-impossible-fallout/

 

MI:F - 65M

TTG - 16M

Does everyone remember how low tracking was on Rogue Nation? This might be real good for Fallout.

[Sheikh]

2nd Update, Friday Midday: The post-Memorial Day weekend at the box office doesn’t have to be a downer. However, none of the majors wanted to take advantage of that opportunity and slot an event title here. Wonder Woman opened in this space a year ago and soared to a $103.2M opening and became the biggest grossing title of last summer stateside with $412.5M. We’re left with holiday leftovers in Disney’s disappointment Solo: A Star Wars Story which according to estimates is grounded with a $7.5M second Friday, -78% which translates into a $26M second weekend, -69% for a running total of $145.5M. Ouch. Hopefully we don’t see a summer downturn on par with last year.

 

 

Fox originally had Deadpool 2 set to open on this weekend, but wisely moved it prior to Solo, and the pic is still eating into the Lucasfilm title’s business with a weekend three of $20M-$21M, -53% which isn’t too bad when you consider it’s coming off a holiday weekend where Sunday was bulked up. DP2 is looking at $6M today and a running domestic total north of $252M. Some will argue that DP2‘s audience is so different from Solo‘s, but event films are event films, and a more general audience is clearly not going out of their way for the latest Star Wars movie.

 

 

Among the new stuff, STXfilms/Lakeshore’s Adrift is poised to take 3rd place with $4.3M today (including last night’s $725K) and an opening of $11M-$11.3M.

 

 

Paramount’s amusement park comedy Action Point looks condemned to less than $3M weekend, while BH Tilt’s Upgrade could actually beat it (which isn’t anything to crow about) with $3.4M-$3.6M.

 

https://deadline.com/2018/06/shailene-woodley-adrift-solo-star-wars-story-action-point-weekend-box-office-1202401740/

[a2k]

A 620 dom film gets beaten twice, handily so, in 6 months. All 3 from the same studio. To think 10 years back TDK became the first film to cross 500 after Titanic.

[Rebeccas]

I only care about IW this weekend. Need to lock up $2b 

[a2k]

7.5 would be a 67% Fri bump for Solo. POTC5 jumped 85% last year. I think Deadline is low-balling Solo by 0.5+ and DP2 by 0.5.

Not that POTC5 is the touchstone for Solo but +67% is abnormally low.

Edited June 1, 2018 by A2k Rex

[Alli]

3 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said:

Does everyone remember how low tracking was on Rogue Nation? This might be real good for Fallout.

They overestimated Rogue Nation    http://www2.boxoffice.com/featured_stories/2015-06-long-range-forecast-mission-impossible-rogue-nation

 

Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation

Jul 31, 2015

Paramount

$71,000,000

[EmpireCity]

The numbers for Action Point at the moment signal one of the biggest bombs I have seen in a loooonnggg time.  

[That One Girl]

Just now, EmpireCity said:

The numbers for Action Point at the moment signal one of the biggest bombs I have seen in a loooonnggg time.  

 

Thank god Paramount just had A Quiet Place lmfao

[Nova]

If Deadpool 2 can get to $21M, I think that would be good for it but considering the past two weekends it's decreased every single Friday from Deadline's estimates I won't hold my breath. 

 

Also if that Solo number holds, it'll be a disaster of epic proportions. 

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, Rebeccas said:

I only care about IW this weekend. Need to lock up $2b 

It's sprouted late leg in China and now looks to do $370m+  It's should be over $1.96B after this w/e.  $2B is happening.

[Nova]

1 minute ago, EmpireCity said:

The numbers for Action Point at the moment signal one of the biggest bombs I have seen in a loooonnggg time.  

Is that why there are no numbers to report?  Because there are literally nooooo numbers to report 

[a2k]

If Deadline numbers hold Solo will beat POTC3's Mem Day record 145+ vs 139.8 

[That One Girl]

Sub-2M weekend for Action Point??????

Edited June 1, 2018 by That One Guy

[Ethan Hunt]

3 minutes ago, Alli said:

They overestimated Rogue Nation    http://www2.boxoffice.com/featured_stories/2015-06-long-range-forecast-mission-impossible-rogue-nation

 

Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation

Jul 31, 2015

Paramount

$71,000,000

ahhhhhh. couldn't remember where boxoffice.com stood on it. I just remember a lot of tracking underpredicting it 

[The Panda]

48 minutes ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

I’m the opposite on this one. Gotten a lot of noise in the college sector at the very least 

Really?  I’ve heard nothing from it

[Nova]

1 minute ago, That One Guy said:

Sub-2M weekend for Action Point??????

He said one of the biggest bombs in a long time. And considering Solo just bombed, I'm guessing we are talking about under $1M for the weekend 

[Ethan Hunt]

52 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Tag’s gonna flop IMO, it’s the next The House if you ask me. Trailers aren’t funny and there doesn’t seem to be any buzz

I know a lot of people are excited for Tag. I think it's a hit. *shrug*

 

Personally i think it looks stupid