Ocean's 8 Weekend Thread | O8: 41.5...Solo 15.1...DP2: 13.6...Hereditary: 13.0

[WrathOfHan]

Theater update:

 

Spoiler

 

Ocean's 8:

 

10:00: 22/67

11:15: 20/113

12:25: 4/78

1:50: 21/113

3:05: 4/78

4:25: 8/113

5:45: 0/78

7:00: 23/113

8:25: 4/78

9:35: 0/113

 

Book Club:

 

10:35: 4/124

1:10: 8/124

3:50: 0/124

6:25: 9/124

9:45: 0/78

 

Solo:

 

10:15: 5/78

11:15: 3/78

1:00: 4/69

2:30: 0/78

3:50: 0/78

6:45: 5/69

9:35: 0/78

 

Hereditary:

 

11:00: 1/78

1:05: 4/78

4:20: 2/78

6:20: 0/78

7:15: 2/60

9:00: 2/124

10:10: 0/78

 

Adrift:

 

10:00: 2/78

1:30: 0/63

4:00: 0/67

5:40: 0/78

8:05: 8/78

10:30: 0/78

 

Hotel Artemis:

 

10:45: 4/78

2:00: 2/78

4:00: 0/78

7:20: 2/78

9:15: 0/78

 

Deadpool 2:

 

10:40: 6/78

1:35: 0/78

4:30: 0/78

7:20: 0/78

10:10: 0/60

 

Upgrade:

 

10:30: 5/69

1:20: 0/78

4:05: 0/69

7:05: 0/78

9:50: 0/69

 

Avengers: Infinity War:

 

10:00: 0/63

12:40: 0/67

3:55: 0/63

6:25: 2/67

9:30: 0/63

 

 

Ocean's 8: 104/944 (Up 25)

Book Club: 21/574 (Up 7)

Solo: 17/528 (Up 2)

Hereditary: 11/574 (Up 5)

Adrift: 10/442

Hotel Artemis: 8/390 (Up 1)

Deadpool 2: 6/378 (Up 1)

Upgrade: 5/363 (Up 2)

Avengers: Infinity War: 2/323 (Up 2)

Action Point and Life of the Party have sold nothing.

 

Man, the theater is looking dead today outside of Ocean's. Adrift is looking at a huuuuuuuge drop from last week when the first show in less than 20 minutes has only sold 2 seats.

 

Ocean's 8 comps:

 

90% of Wonder (24.8M)

100% of The Post (19.4M)

105% of Girls Trip (32.8M)

105% of Orient Express (29.2M)

140% of A Bad Moms Christmas (23.5M)

150% of Red Sparrow (25.4M)

185% of Pitch Perfect 3 (36.8M)

215% of American Made (36.1M)

240% of Proud Mary (24M)

 

If this opens barely above 30M, I'll feel vindicated for everything I've said about people overestimating this, but at the same time, what about those presales? 🤔 

 

Hereditary:

 

20% of A Quiet Place (10M)

20% of Happy Death Day (5.2M)

25% of Jigsaw (4.1M)

25% of Insidious 4 (7.4M)

30% of Truth or Dare (5.6M)

65% of Annihlation (7.2M)

140% of Strangers 2 (14.6M)

 

My area is so basic  

 

Hotel Artemis:

 

15% of American Made (2.5M)

20% of The Commuter (2.7M)

25% of The Foreigner (3.3M)

33% of Den of Thieves (5M)

67% of Only the Brave (4M)

[a2k]

i2 in the 2nd weekend and jw2 in the 3rd weekend - big competition for o8. 

it could have been better served opening last weekned against solo's 2nd weekend. but easy to say in hindsight.

[sfran43]

 

[Nova]

1 minute ago, sfran43 said:

 

What about the shows on Wednesday? Serious question. 

[Cap]

2 hours ago, Slambros said:

I can't wait to see the grosses of all three of the new releases, and I also can't wait to see what the two marquee limited releases of the week, the documentary Won't You Be My Neighbor? and the coming-of-age drama Hearts Beat Loud, are able to gross as well. This is an exciting week.

Won’t You Be My Neighbor is only in 29 theaters this weekend. Its bigger expansions come on the June 22nd and 29th. I am interested in its PTA. RBG did 17k from 34 theaters its OW, so that should be a good baseline. 

 

And - 

We aren’t getting it until June 29. I can’t wait. 

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

 

[a2k]

4m is a solid number though wish wed and thu break-down was provided. 

 

accounting for some super-early previews front-loading, 9.5-12.5x gives 38-50 ow.

ghostbusters was 13.5x

bad moms 1 was 11.3x

 

am going a bit conservative with:

4.0 + 12.0 + 14.4 (+20%) + 11.1 (-23%) = 41.5

Edited June 8, 2018 by A2k Rex

[WrathOfHan]

So how the hell are comparisons going to work with 4 PM previews?  

[Jonwo]

Solid for Oceans 8, a $40m OW would make it the highest OW of the franchise 

 

 

[Sheikh]

Quote

Also opening this weekend: A24’s Hereditary which we’re hearing from industry sources overindexed in its previews with an estimated $1M

https://deadline.com/2018/06/oceans-8-sandra-bullock-box-office-hereditary-hotel-artemis-1202406200/

[WrathOfHan]

If Hereditary follows The Witch:

 

5.2M (5.2x previews)

5.3M (+2%)

3.5M (-34%)

14M Weekend

[Sheikh]

9 minutes ago, Nova said:

What about the shows on Wednesday? Serious question. 

Thursday night’s figure for Ocean’s 8 include an estimated $100K generated from AMC Theatres’ Wednesday “Girls Night Out” and 70 Dolby locations.

 

https://deadline.com/2018/06/oceans-8-sandra-bullock-box-office-hereditary-hotel-artemis-1202406200/

[Brainbug]

4 pm is honestly ridicluous. Just count it as a Thursday number srsly.

[filmlover]

12 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

Fantastic start. Think $45M+ is happening.

 

Also a good start for Hereditary.

[sfran43]

 

[Nova]

1 minute ago, sfran43 said:

 

@WrathOfHan

[sfran43]

I doubt RPO and Rampage started their Thursday showing at 4pm.

[SLAM!]

2 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

Well, geez... that's very good!

[pepsa]

Good number, but previews don't tell us that much. Lets wait for the friday number. 

[WrathOfHan]

Fuck me, 1.3M is even better     Using The Witch again:

 

6.8M (5.2x previes)

6.9M (+2%)

4.6M (-34%)

17.3M Weekend

 

Gah, I should have stuck with my 18M prediction instead of downgrading it to 14M