Weekend Thread: Weekend Actuals - JW: $60.91M - I2: 46.42M - Sicario: $19.00M - Uncle Drew: $15.24M

[Barnack]

3 hours ago, Cmasterclay said:

I hate to bring politics in here but thinking about it some more Sicario 2 would be by far Donald Trump's favorite movie of the year. Took the complex politics of the first and turned it into "all the browns are coming across the border to kill you, personally!" Unbelievable the same writer did both of them. Also not a very well done movie at all. I hate it more the more I think about it.

Well Sicarios are really political movie so it is more than ok to read/access/talk and critic how politic is handled in them or the political message they can push and read.

 

They did went eat there cake and the money a little bit with it 

Spoiler

The all the bomber except one were from America and didn't cross the mexican bomber anyway, but yeah the beginning is quite strong

 

I have rewatched the first one the day just after and the contrast, yes police are corrupt but they personalise one. 

[John Marston]

FK domestic gross could have been better but it’s hard to feel too much emotion when the film is still likely going to make over 1.2 billion. The first JW had a bigger hook and years of pent up nostalgia. And the main thing, it was a self contained story. It didn’t leave any plot points for FK unlike something like TFA which ended with a cliffhanger 

[MrGlass2]

1 minute ago, Mulder said:

The worldwide Top 5 and the Domestic Top 5 are the exact same rn so the tastes seem to be aligned.

Because the US is (still) the #1 market so it greatly influences worldwide numbers. Consider Overseas instead. If you ignore the three Chinese movies in the top 10 (and maybe you shouldn't), you have movies like Ready Player One, Rampage and 50 Shades Freed pretty high.

[Mulder]

Just now, MrGlass2 said:

Because the US is (still) the #1 market so it greatly influences worldwide numbers. Consider Overseas instead. If you ignore the three Chinese movies in the top 10 (and maybe you shouldn't), you have movies like Ready Player One, Rampage and 50 Shades Freed pretty high.

The top 5 divides aren't incredibly high though with the exception of Incredibles 2 which is still because it hasn't been released in 50% of the worldwide territories yet and Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom ((which is the main topic point here)), hell one of the two biggest divide is Infinity War with it making more internationally then domestically. Ready Player One's also in the domestic top 10, with 50 Shades Freed and Rampage not too far behind.

[MovieMan89]

20 minutes ago, Nova said:

Jurassic World has one more film left in its franchise with Pratt as the lead (I don’t see them make a fourth) so I don’t see why folks are freaking out over the decrease in Fallen Kingdom. Its decrease is nothing to worry about when you look at it from that point of view. Fallen Kingdom is going to make $1.2B. Even if it’s sequel decreases by another $400M, it’s still going to make $800M. $800M on a budget under $200M is essentially what the MCU (apart from the team up and BP) movies are doing now a days so even if Jurassic World franchise sees another drop off in the third film, it’s still going to be a success no matter what. And a trilogy that ends up with $3.6B (if we use $800M for the third film which it’ll prob do more) off of budgets that cost less than $600M. Im sure any studio would take that pay off any day of the week so yea not sure why folks keep insisting that there’s something to worry about when it comes to this franchise. 

This is true. The third film should be in fine shape, barring a truly awful movie that audiences hate. But I'd advise against a film soon afterwards. I think that would go the Transformers 5 route. Best to do what they did after the first trilogy and let it die for a long time before rebooting. 

[Joyous Legion]

FK is on the low end of medium domestically and WW in my opinion. It would have needed to be below 350 to be really dissapointing, and it won't. WW it would have needed to be below 1.1 or so to be really dissapointing, and it won't. Still, of direct sequels to 1.4B+ grossers (AoU, IW, TLJ, F8, FK) it will probably come in as the lowest. Nobodies heads will roll, nothing is being cancelled, it isn't a bunch below expectations -- it's just that the expectations it is meeting were of having a big drop.

[DAJK]

As long as the marketing is really REALLY good, I wouldn't have any problem predicting 170/500 for JW3

[dxmatrixdt]

revised the weekend to look like this, and then placed the upcoming dailies.

 

Jurassic World - 59.69 

Incredibles 2 - 45.56

Sicario 2 - 18.57

Uncle Drew - 15.50

Ocean's 8 - 8.02

TAG - 5.66

Deadpool - 3.49

Solo - 2.44

Hereditary - 2.23

Neighbor - 2.22

Avengers - 1.43

Superfly - 1.41

Book Club - 0.62

 

        (Sun-Mon drop)  M          T          W          Th

Jurassic World (-55%) 8.22   10.27   11.30      7.91

The First Purge           x           2.88     7.62       6.00

Incredibles (-50%)    7.14        8.93      9.53       7.14

Sicario    (-55%)        2.20       3.03      3.36      2.40

Uncle Drew (-53%)   1.97       2.71      2.71      2.10

Ocean's 8 (-51%)      1.14       1.63      1.73      1.15

TAG (-51%)               0.83       1.09      1.06      0.83

 

Deadpool (-50%)      0.53      0.66       0.72     0.53

Hereditary (-45%)     0.38      0.42       0.40     0.30

Solo (-48%)               0.37      0.49       0.54     0.38

Neighbor (-50%)       0.33      0.41      0.59     0.40

Avengers (-50%)       0.21      0.27      0.30      0.21

Superfly (-52%)         0.20      0.22      0.22     0.16

Book Club (-42%)      0.11     0.14       0.17     0.12

 

Full Weekdays (7/2 - 7/5) and Totals

Jurassic World - 37.70 - 302.18

Incredibles 2 - 32.74 - 474.48

First Purge - 16.50 - 16.50

Sicario 2 - 10.99 - 29.56

Uncle Drew - 9.49 - 24.99

Ocean's 8 - 5.65 - 120.34

TAG - 3.81 - 44.72

Deadpool - 2.44 - 312.83

Neighbor - 1.73 - 9.15

Solo - 1.78 - 209.21

Hereditary - 1.50 - 40.85

Infinity War - 0.99 - 673.50

Superfly - 0.80 - 19.19

Book Club - 0.53 - 66.60

[LonePirate]

Book Club Multiplier: 4.8647

I Can Only Imagine Multiplier: 4.8775

 

BC needs $174K to pass ICOI's multiplier. BC grossed $189K on Sunday. A 55% drop on Monday (which would be its largest Monday drop yet) followed by a 30% jump on Tuesday (its smallest Tuesday jump yet apart from the Tuesday after Memorial Day) would be more than enough for BC to pass ICOI's legs. BC needs about $1.84M to hit a 5.000 multiplier; but that seems just out of reach. I think it will finish around a 4.98 although it could continue its surprising run and clear that last hurdle.

[dxmatrixdt]

Rampage should have coasted past 98m this weekend.  Should have good weekdays up until Ant-Man 2 opens.

 

2018/06/15	-	$73,135	+84%	288	$254	$96,237,999	64
2018/06/16	-	$104,148	+42%	288	$362	$96,342,147	65
2018/06/17	-	$90,882	-13%	288	$316	$96,433,029	66
2018/06/18	-	$31,869	-65%	288	$111	$96,464,898	67
2018/06/19	-	$41,667	+31%	288	$145	$96,506,565	68
2018/06/20	-	$31,352	-25%	288	$109	$96,537,917	69
2018/06/21	15	$51,263	+64%	288	$178	$96,589,180	70
2018/06/22	11	$353,274	+589%	291	$1,214	$96,942,454	71
2018/06/23	11	$412,458	+17%	291	$1,417	$97,354,912	72
2018/06/24	-	$157,451	-62%	291	$541	$97,512,363	73
2018/06/25	-	$81,410	-48%	291	$280	$97,593,773	74
2018/06/26	-	$78,813	-3%	291	$271	$97,672,586	75
2018/06/27	-	$54,747	-31%	291	$188	$97,727,333	76
2018/06/28	15	$72,769	+33%	291	$250	$97,800,102	77

[Blankments]

i cannot believe @baumer did not like Uncle Drew. #BestMovieOfTheYear?

[spectroul]

With Sam Neil and Laura Dern prob returning on JW3, I don't see how it won't outperform FK. Everybody who was obsessed with JP back in the 90s love these two. Also the movie is doing better than the first in Asia and some south american countries so I expect the numbers to keep increasing over there when JW3 comes out. Most of the people were predicting "Fallen Kingdom" to gross around 1.3B, I don't know how 1.2B can be a bad number.

Edited July 2, 2018 by spectroul

[TalismanRing]

Don't the rights revert back to the Chrichton estate after the 6th movie (JW3)?  No doubt Universal will seek to extend/renegotiate but the estate would probably open them to bids from other studios.

[Blankments]

@WrathOfHan:

 

16x:

 

Mission: Impossible – Fallout: Black Panther, Annihilation, Ready Player One, Black Panther Round 2, Avengers: Infinity War, A Quiet Place, Avengers: Infinity War Round 3, Deadpool 2, Book Club, Action Point, Adrift, Ocean’s 8, Deadpool 2 Round 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Tag, Sicario: Day of the Soldado

 

11x:

 

The Grinch: Isle of Dogs, Sgt. Stubby: An American Hero, Deadpool 2, Show Dogs, Ocean’s 8, Incredibles 2, Incredibles 2 Round 2, Incredibles 2 Round 3, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Incredibles 2 Round 4

 

9x:

 

Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation: Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle, Early Man, Peter Rabbit, A Wrinkle in Time, Sgt. Stubby: An American Hero, Show Dogs, Incredibles 2 Round 2, Incredibles 2 Round 3, Incredibles 2 Round 4

 

8x:

 

Sicario: Day of the Soldado: All the Money in the World, The Post, The Commuter, Annihilation, Unsane, A Quiet Place, Deadpool 2, Deadpool 2 Round 2

Christopher Robin: A Wrinkle in Time, Love, Simon, Isle of Dogs, Book Club, Show Dogs, Incredibles 2, Incredibles 2 Round 2, Incredibles 2 Round 3

The Darkest Minds: Blockers, A Quiet Place, Tully, Deadpool 2, Action Point, Adrift, Hereditary, Deadpool 2 Round 2

 

7x:

 

Venom: Black Panther, Game Night, Black Panther Round 2, Blockers, Avengers: Infinity War, Avengers: Infinity War Round 2, Avengers: Infinity War Round 3

 

6x:

 

Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!: The Post, Love, Simon, Tully, Book Club, Adrift, Ocean’s 8

Smallfoot: Paddington 2, Early Man, Sgt. Stubby: An American Hero, Incredibles 2 Round 2, Incredibles 2 Round 3, Incredibles 2 Round 4

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Black Panther, Game Night Round 2, Black Panther Round 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Tag, Incredibles 2 Round 4

 

5x:

 

Alpha: Dunkirk Round 2, Geostorm, Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Star Wars: The Last Jedi Round 3, Last Flag Flying

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse: Peter Rabbit, Love, Simon, Pacific Rim: Uprising, Ready Player One, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

Searching: Book Club, Adrift, Hotel Artemis, Hereditary, Tag

Crazy Rich Asians: Adrift, Hotel Artemis, Ocean’s 8, Tag, Ocean’s 8 Round 2

 

4x:

 

Teen Titans Go! To The Movies!: Paddington 2, Peter Rabbit, Show Dogs, Incredibles 2

The Meg: Deadpool 2, Hereditary, Deadpool 2 Round 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

Bad Times at the El Royale: Hotel Artemis, Ocean’s 8, Tag, Ocean’s 8 Round 2

Bumblebee: Incredibles 2, Incredibles 2 Round 2, Incredibles 2 Round 3, Incredibles 2 Round 4

How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World: Incredibles 2, Incredibles 2 Round 2, Incredibles 2 Round 3, Incredibles 2 Round 4

Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2: Incredibles 2, Incredibles 2 Round 2, Incredibles 2 Round 3, Incredibles 2 Round 4

 

3x:

 

Duck Duck Goose: My Little Pony: The Movie, Wonder, Coco

Alita: Battle Angel: Star Wars: The Last Jedi Round 2, Star Wars: The Last Jedi Round 3, Star Wars: The Last Jedi Round 4

Mortal Engines: Star Wars: The Last Jedi, The Commuter, A Wrinkle in Time

Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald: Ready Player One, Avengers: Infinity War, Avengers: Infinity War Round 2

Can You Ever Forgive Me?: Unsane, Isle of Dogs, Book Club

Dog Days: Show Dogs, Incredibles 2 Round 2, Incredibles 2 Round 3

Sorry to Bother You: Blockers, Deadpool 2, Deadpool 2 Round 2

The First Purge: Deadpool 2, Hereditary, Deadpool 2 Round 2

Skyscraper: Pacific Rim: Uprising, Action Point, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

Bohemian Rhapsody: Deadpool 2, Deadpool 2 Round 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

The Spy Who Dumped Me: Ocean’s 8, Tag, Ocean’s 8 Round 2

Operation Finale: Ocean’s 8, Ocean’s 8 Round 2, Sicario: Day of the Soldado

A Star is Born: Ocean’s 8, Ocean’s 8 Round 2, Sicario: Day of the Soldado

 

2x:

 

Polaroid: Wind River, Happy Death Day

The New Mutants: Thor: Ragnarok, Thor: Ragnarok Round 2

Eighth Grade: Love, Simon, Isle of Dogs

Uncle Drew: Black Panther Round 2, Deadpool 2

A-X-L: Show Dogs, Incredibles 2

The Happytime Murders: Action Point, Superfly

Mile 22: Adrift, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

The Nun: Superfly, Tag

Night School: Blockers, Tag

The Girl in the Spider’s Web: Ocean’s 8, Ocean’s 8 Round 2

White Boy Rick: Superfly, Sicario: Day of the Soldado

The Equalizer 2: Superfly, Sicario: Day of the Soldado

 

1x:

 

The Current War: Wind River

The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: The Greatest Showman

Farmageddon: A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Early Man

Mary Poppins Returns: A Wrinkle in Time

Blindspotting: Tully

Johnny English Strikes Again: Tully

A Simple Favor: Adrift

Peppermint: Adrift

City of Lies: Hotel Artemis

Widows: Superfly

Creed 2: Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

BlacKkKlansman: Sicario: Day of the Soldado

Kin: Sicario: Day of the Soldado

First Man: Sicario: Day of the Soldado

The Predator: Sicario: Day of the Soldado

[La Binoche]

15 minutes ago, spectroul said:

With Sam Neil and Laura Dern prob returning on JW3, I don't see how it won't outperform FK. Everybody who was obsessed with JP back in the 90s love these two. Also the movie is doing better than the first in Asia and some south american countries so I expect the numbers to keep increasing over there when JW3 comes out. Most of the people were predicting "Fallen Kingdom" to gross around 1.3B, I don't know how 1.2B can be a bad number.

 

That's the only way to make it an event again. Goldblum too. Laura's career is hotter than ever and she looks great so she can pull it off but is Sam too old? 

[The Futurist]

1 hour ago, Nova said:

Jurassic World has one more film left in its franchise with Pratt as the lead (I don’t see them make a fourth) so I don’t see why folks are freaking out over the decrease in Fallen Kingdom. Its decrease is nothing to worry about when you look at it from that point of view. Fallen Kingdom is going to make $1.2B. Even if it’s sequel decreases by another $400M, it’s still going to make $800M. $800M on a budget under $200M is essentially what the MCU (apart from the team up and BP) movies are doing now a days so even if Jurassic World franchise sees another drop off in the third film, it’s still going to be a success no matter what. And a trilogy that ends up with $3.6B (if we use $800M for the third film which it’ll prob do more) off of budgets that cost less than $600M. Im sure any studio would take that pay off any day of the week so yea not sure why folks keep insisting that there’s something to worry about when it comes to this franchise. 

We all know it is impossible for a franchise to have a 1,5B WW movie and a 2B WW movie, while having a massive increase with the third film.

Who does that ?

 

Edited July 2, 2018 by The Futurist

[Barnack]

6 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

Sam too old? 

70 seem to work for those long form cameo type, Harrison Ford was around 72 for Awaken, Mirren 70 for Fast and Furious, Redford got over 80 and still appear in marvel movies, Douglas is 73, Suthurland was over 70 for the Hunger Games, Plummer is now 87....

 

Just need to be realistic, but he is still making multiple movies every year.

[sfran43]

 

[MovieMan89]

1 hour ago, DAJK said:

As long as the marketing is really REALLY good, I wouldn't have any problem predicting 170/500 for JW3

There's way more potential for the concept of it than either of these last two films, I'll say that. But Trevorrow in complete control again makes me think any real potential will be moot. 

[The Futurist]

Force Awakens & Jurassic World truly show nostalgia can only get you that far.