MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE FALLOUT WEEKEND THREAD | 23 Friday...MM2 4.8...TT 4.25 EQ2 4.0

[WrathOfHan]

3 minutes ago, LonePirate said:

These numbers (gross and PTA) are good but they are not great. They are better than the numbers posted by Call Me By Your Name when it expanded into 114 theaters in its fifth (not third) weekend. However, they are worse than when Lady Bird expanded into 238 theaters in its third weekend. Awards season buzz helped Call Me which Eighth Grade won’t have. Still, the August heat and doldrums should push this to somewhere between $15M-$20M, maybe.

Yeah, this upcoming expansion is probably it. There are too many wide movies in August for smaller and most midsize theaters to pick this up.

[filmlover]

5 minutes ago, LonePirate said:

These numbers (gross and PTA) are good but they are not great. They are better than the numbers posted by Call Me By Your Name when it expanded into 114 theaters in its fifth (not third) weekend. However, they are worse than when Lady Bird expanded into 238 theaters in its third weekend. Awards season buzz helped Call Me which Eighth Grade won’t have. Still, the August heat and doldrums should push this to somewhere between $15M-$20M, maybe.

All depends on how it does in its wide expansion this upcoming weekend. I think it'll land in the $12-13M total range that, say, Beasts of the Southern Wild (comparing acclaimed Sundance summer releases) did in the end, personally. It's definitely going to have a long shelf life though.

[sfran43]

 

Edited July 30, 2018 by sfran43

[dxmatrixdt]

Mi6 close to 55 w/o Thursday showings.

1/2 of that next weekend presents O/U 27.5

Mi5 dropped 48.7% in weekend #2 to 28.50 weekend

Mi6 will have to drop 53% or less to beat this.  (and be 8.6% ahead of Mi5 over the same amount of time)

likely looking at 25-27.5 in the next 4 weekdays, 87-89 full week total.

could hit or pass 115 after weekend #2 w/ another 10-15 in weekdays

 

[sfran43]

 

[MrFanaticGuy34]

Are there new movies that went up with actuals or not?

[TalismanRing]

2 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

Are there new movies that went up with actuals or not?

There have only been revised estimates so far for the new movies.  WBs actuals  (TTG) if they hold true to form will come in around 4pm

 

Edited July 30, 2018 by TalismanRing

[DAJK]

Mama Mia’s 10 day total at my theatre is our equivalent of 171.45M. It only dropped 41% in its second weekend here, so I think if the bookers aren’t stupid and get rid of it too early for something that’s going to bomb anyways like Darkest Minds or Slender Man, it could have a shot at 300M equivalent. 

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[Moviefanatic]

Ant mans run has been a complete bore. 

 

I2 is gonna crawl to 600 million. Luckily it’s home release isn’t until November so it won’t get Black Panthered at 599.99999999.

Edited July 30, 2018 by Moviefanatic

[sfran43]

 

Edited July 30, 2018 by sfran43

[sfran43]

 

Edited July 30, 2018 by sfran43

[sfran43]

 

Edited July 30, 2018 by sfran43

[TalismanRing]

12 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

AM &TW's 4th w/e - $8.76m (183.49m) - so far with a 2.42x

SMHC: 4th w/e  -$13.26m  ($278.168)  - with a 2.37x

SMHC: 5th w/e  (Aug  4-6) - $8.845m ($294.95m) -  another $39.247m

 

AM&TW looking at $220m+ and a 2.9x multi

[sfran43]

 

[MagnarTheGreat]

high domestic earner stamina comparison

 

Top 10 Highest Domestic Grossing Movie >$200M (2015 – 2018)	90% of Gross on Day	Multiplier (DG ÷ FW)	Domestic Gross	First Weekend	Box Office Position
Batman v Superman: DoJ (Mar. 2016)	18	1.99	$330.4M	$166.0M	#8 (2016)
Justice League (Nov. 2017)	23	2.44	$229.0M	$93.8M	#10 (2017)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun. 2018)*	23	2.69	$397.5M	$148.0M	#4 (2018)
Captain America: Civil War (May 2016)	23	2.28	$408.1M	$179.1M	#3 (2016)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec. 2017)	23	2.82	$620.2M	$220.0M	#1 (2017)
Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 2018)*	24	2.52	$212.7M	$84.4M	#6 (2018)
Furious 7 (Apr. 2015)	24	2.40	$353.0M	$147.2M	#5 (2015)
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (Dec. 2016)	25	3.43	$532.2M	$155.1M	#1 (2016)
Avengers: Age of Ultron (May 2015)	26	2.40	$459.0M	$191.3M	#3 (2015)
Incredibles 2 (Jun. 2018)*	27	3.14	$572.9M	$182.7M	#3 (2018)
It (Sep. 2017)	28	2.65	$327.5M	$123.4M	#7 (2017)
Spectre (Nov. 2015)	29	2.84	$200.1M	$70.4M	#10 (2015)
Thor: Ragnarok (Nov. 2017)	29	2.57	$315.1M	$122.7M	#8 (2017)
Deadpool 2 (May 2018)*	29	2.53	$317.7M	$125.5M	#5 (2018)
Finding Dory (Jun. 2016)	29	3.60	$486.3M	$135.1M	#2 (2016)
Suicide Squad (Aug. 2016)	30	2.43	$325.1M	$133.7M	#9 (2016)
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 2017)	30	2.66	$389.8M	$146.5M	#5 (2017)
Avengers: Infinity War (Apr. 2018)*	30	2.63	$677.6M	$257.7M	#2 (2018)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec. 2015)	30	3.78	$936.7M	$248.0M	#1 (2015)
Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2 (Nov. 2015)	31	2.74	$281.7M	$102.7M	#7 (2015)
Minions (Jul. 2015)	31	2.90	$336.0M	$115.7M	#6 (2015)
Deadpool (Feb. 2016)	31	2.74	$363.1M	$132.4M	#6 (2016)
Beauty and the Beast (Mar. 2017)	31	2.88	$504.0M	$174.8M	#2 (2017)
Jurassic World (Jun. 2015)	31	3.12	$652.3M	$208.8M	#2 (2015)
Cinderella (Mar. 2015)	32	2.96	$201.2M	$67.9M	#9 (2015)
Sing (Dec. 2016)	32	7.67	$270.4M	$35.3M	#10 (2016)
Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul. 2017)	36	2.86	$334.2M	$117.0M	#6 (2017)
Despicable Me 3 (Jun. 2017)	37	3.65	$264.6M	$72.4M	#9 (2017)
The Secret Life of Pets (Jul. 2016)	37	3.53	$368.4M	$104.4M	#4 (2016)
Black Panther (Feb. 2018)*	38	3.47	$700.0M	$202.0M	#1 (2018)
Inside Out (Jun. 2015)	39	3.94	$356.5M	$90.4M	#4 (2015)
The Jungle Book (Apr. 2016)	39	3.53	$364.0M	$103.3M	#5 (2016)
Wonder Woman (Jun. 2017)	41	4.00	$412.6M	$103.3M	#3 (2017)
The Martian (Oct. 2015)	44	4.21	$228.4M	$54.3M	#8 (2015)
Zootopia (Mar. 2016)	45	4.55	$341.3M	$75.1M	#7 (2016)
Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle (Dec. 2017)	54	11.18	$404.5M	$36.2M	#4 (2017)
average	31	3.38
* highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters
display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand
numbers current as of July 29, 2018

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]