kayumanggi Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 (edited) I was kinda underwhelmed by the first trailer. Maybe 400 M? Edited March 12, 2020 by kayumanggi Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raulbalarezo Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 (edited) At the current state of the MCU $400M is the base for any of its movies at the foreign box office, I think this one can make $525M Edited October 10, 2018 by raulbalarezo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 I think over $500 million OS as well. The film will enjoy a boost from the curiosity factor from the end of Infinity War. Not to mention if/when the character becomes featured in marketing for Avengers 4. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 I never expect the best possible reult. As Ant-Man showed the lower end is still possible too. Incl the results for Ant-Man & Wasp beside Ant-Man being a part of CA 3 too ww of the intro movies: Quote 10 Guardians of the Galaxy BV $773.3 $333.2 43.1% $440.2 56.9% 2014 11 Captain America: The Winter Soldier BV $714.3 $259.8 36.4% $454.5 63.6% 2014 12 Doctor Strange BV $677.7 $232.6 34.3% $445.1 65.7% 2016 13 Thor: The Dark World BV $644.6 $206.4 32% $438.2 68% 2013 14 Iron Man 2 Par. $623.9 $312.4 50.1% $311.5 49.9% 2010 15 Ant-Man and the Wasp BV $622.0 $216.4 34.8% $405.6 65.2% 2018 16 Iron Man Par. $585.2 $318.4 54.4% $266.8 45.6% 2008 17 Ant-Man BV $519.3 $180.2 34.7% $339.1 65.3% 2015 18 Thor Par. $449.3 $181.0 40.3% $268.3 59.7% 2011 19 Captain America: The First Avenger Par. $370.6 $176.7 47.7% $193.9 52.3% 2011 20 The Incredible Hulk Uni. $263.4 $134.8 51.2% $128.6 48.8% 2008 Doctor Strange and Ant-Man made more in China than e.g. GotG, exchange rates are not foreseeable anyway. We do also not know a lot about the quality of the film, the quality of the action & CGI, what usually has an impact too, also if the movie will be fun and enjoyable/uplifting (hence a lot of rewatch potential) = I stay cautious, 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 On 10/10/2018 at 2:16 AM, raulbalarezo said: At the current state of the MCU $400M is the base for any of its movies at the foreign box office, I think this one can make $525M The last one Ant Man achieved 400m because of an impressive 120m made in China. The base is probably more Ant Man foreign run minus a 10% for some margin if the movie does not play well with a possible 85m in China, that would be around 340m. That what the first Ant-Man did not so long ago. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted October 12, 2018 Share Posted October 12, 2018 19 hours ago, Barnack said: The last one Ant Man achieved 400m because of an impressive 120m made in China. The base is probably more Ant Man foreign run minus a 10% for some margin if the movie does not play well with a possible 85m in China, that would be around 340m. That what the first Ant-Man did not so long ago. AM and CM will be 4 years of MCU growth apart. In terms of expanded market for instance the CM YT trailer views in India have exploded in the advent of AIW. The ant concept is also goofy enough to possibly be a bit too niche Ant Man 2 also had the World Cup scheduling to contend with that caused a pile up of films 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted October 12, 2018 Share Posted October 12, 2018 (edited) 14 hours ago, TalismanRing said: AM and CM will be 4 years of MCU growth apart. In terms of expanded market for instance the CM YT trailer views in India have exploded in the advent of AIW. The ant concept is also goofy enough to possibly be a bit too niche Ant Man 2 also had the World Cup scheduling to contend with that caused a pile up of films Many of those factor must be factored of what the worst possible scenario of a MCU branded movie can do internationally. THe movie being bad being an other one (been a long time since we saw that happen) Edited October 13, 2018 by Barnack 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darth Lehnsherr Posted October 13, 2018 Share Posted October 13, 2018 Yeah $400M is the floor. $450M is my guess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 $600M overseas. $600M DOM. Black Panther 2.0 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 I got over hyped for my AMATW, so I try to stay grounded with this prediction although I do think it could easily break-out. With that said: $390m DOM $500m OS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 4 hours ago, Gavin Feng said: $600M overseas. $600M DOM. Black Panther 2.0 I agree with that. I think it has the potential to make absurd figures domestically. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omni Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 I don't know why the first solo movie of a completely new character would gross just 10/15% less than the third chapter of Avengers and an insane phenomenon that attracted millions and millions of black people. Okay, it's the pre-Avengers 4 movie and it has connections with it...but 600M is more than 30% higher than the highest grossing SH solo movie not named Black Panther (= the hyper hyped Dark Knight Rises). Isn't it too much? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 This can do better than BP. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 (edited) nevermind, got it. Edited October 24, 2018 by Barnack Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 BP had at least an intro to a big part of the MCU viewers beforehand too (not meant as taking away anything from it's success) plus an exceptional promo, some other unusual details like free tickets for... I think if the movie is really great, has a very good action choreography & photography, great CGI and so on, things the younger males will react very positive to (as the lead is female, as a counter to groups that might rant against it bcs of that), but also be accessible for the other 'quadrants', an interesting story, brings something new to the MCU world.... it might reach very high results in dom and OS. But if it is missing one or more of those points, gets a story too 'normal',.... it will end probably more like what the other characters - not introduced beforehand - in their 1st instalments reached, in especial if not clearly and in only a small way (if at all, not counting mid-credits and similar) connected to Avengers 4 That means to me all from Ant-Man 1 to BP is theoretically possible, without further insight into the movie's details and reached quality it is in my POV way too early for eve guessing the final numbers, let alone to be sure 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattW Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 I'd go with around 400m as a starting point as well. Looks fine, adequate, acceptable. But in my opinion so did both ant man and black panther and those went in opposite directions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 I’ll go 500 for now, but I think it’s more likely over than under. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 On 10/24/2018 at 7:33 PM, Omni said: I don't know why the first solo movie of a completely new character would gross just 10/15% less than the third chapter of Avengers and an insane phenomenon that attracted millions and millions of black people. Okay, it's the pre-Avengers 4 movie and it has connections with it...but 600M is more than 30% higher than the highest grossing SH solo movie not named Black Panther (= the hyper hyped Dark Knight Rises). Isn't it too much? TDK did $534m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omni Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 Oh my! Ahah no idea why I forgot about it yet mentioned its sequel 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 (edited) 16 minutes ago, Omni said: Oh my! Ahah no idea why I forgot about it yet mentioned its sequel Anyway, I understand your doubts. In my case, it is just a feeling (I am not even a fan of the brand). I think Captain Marvel has the potential to make Black Panther numbers, but it is more probable to make "just" 300 or 400, like Wonder Woman. Edited October 26, 2018 by peludo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...