Weekend Thread: Hunter Killer - $420K preview

[Krissykins]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Suspiria did $58K yesterday from 2 theaters and will be expanding to 250 theaters next weekend.

 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2018/10/27/friday-box-office-johnny-english-tops-100m-global-suspiria-casts-a-spell/#436e4dbe3816

Thanks I was looking for this, that’s a fantastic start. 

[sfran43]

Rank*	Title	Friday 10/26 (Estimates)	Saturday 10/27	Sunday 10/28	Monday 10/29
1	HALLOWEEN (2018) Universal 3,990	$10,015,000 +166.1% / $2,510 $104,671,400 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
2	A STAR IS BORN (2018) Warner Bros. 3,904	$4,185,000 +108.6% / $1,072 $138,762,400 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
3	VENOM (2018) Sony / Columbia 3,567	$2,865,000 +145.3% / $803 $179,347,314 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
4	HUNTER KILLER Lionsgate/Summit 2,728	$2,550,000 -- / $935 $2,550,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
5	GOOSEBUMPS 2: HAUNTED HALLOWEEN Sony / Columbia 3,723	$1,800,000 +295.5% / $483 $32,648,809 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
6	THE HATE U GIVE Fox 2,375	$1,440,000 +183.9% / $606 $14,640,005 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
7	FIRST MAN Universal 2,959	$1,400,000 +92.2% / $473 $34,343,080 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
8	MID90S A24 1,206	$1,307,000 +8337.2% / $1,084 $1,657,170 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
9	SMALLFOOT Warner Bros. 2,662	$1,135,000 +217.3% / $426 $68,976,050 / 29	N/A	N/A	N/A
10	NIGHT SCHOOL (2018) Universal 1,991	$923,000 +206.6% / $464 $69,120,025 / 29	N/A	N/A	N/A
11	INDIVISIBLE Pure Flix 830	$605,000 -- / $729 $605,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
12	THE OLD MAN & THE GUN Fox Searchlight 1,042	$548,000 +116.1% / $526 $5,962,097 / 29	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	BAD TIMES AT THE EL ROYALE Fox 1,798	$410,000 +14.3% / $228 $15,603,736 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	THE HOUSE WITH A CLOCK IN ITS WALLS Universal 1,042	$251,000 +129.2% / $241 $65,724,015 / 36	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	CAN YOU EVER FORGIVE ME? Fox Searchlight 25	$102,598 +488.8% / $4,104 $332,737 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	THE SISTERS BROTHERS Annapurna Pictures 774	$79,144 -25.9% / $102 $2,550,189 / 36	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	HELL FEST Lionsgate 907	$54,000 +512.3% / $60 $10,855,623 / 29	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	A SIMPLE FAVOR Lionsgate 222	$43,000 +8.4% / $194 $53,118,320 / 43	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	INCREDIBLES 2 Buena Vista 160	$36,000 +189.2% / $225 $607,796,484 / 134	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	DISNEY'S CHRISTOPHER ROBIN Buena Vista 148	$26,000 +375.7% / $176 $98,767,950 / 85	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	ANT-MAN AND THE WASP Buena Vista 68	$7,000 +79.7% / $103 $216,622,024 / 113	N/A	N/A	N/A

[Krissykins]

Halloween is now the biggest slasher film of all time unadjusted. 

 

Incredible. 

[Krissykins]

Hell Fest with that $60.00 PTA from 910 locations ouch

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Hell Fest with that $60.00 PTA from 910 locations ouch

Why they even bothered re-releasing it for Halloween when nobody went to see it in the first place I have no idea lol.

[sfran43]

WIDE (1000+)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	Halloween (2018)	$32,000,000	-58%	3,990	62	$8,020	$126,656,400	2	Universal Pictures
2	A Star is Born	$14,000,000	-27%	3,904	20	$3,586	$148,577,400	4	Warner Bros.
3	Venom	$10,200,000	-43%	3,567	-320	$2,860	$186,682,314	4	Sony / Columbia
4	Hunter Killer	$8,000,000	—	2,728	—	$2,933	$8,000,000	1	Lionsgate / Summit
5	Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween	$7,100,000	-27%	3,723	202	$1,907	$37,948,809	3	Sony
6	The Hate U Give	$4,900,000	-36%	2,375	72	$2,063	$18,100,005	4	20th Century Fox
7	Smallfoot	$4,900,000	-25%	2,662	-370	$1,841	$72,741,050	5	Warner Bros.
8	First Man	$4,800,000	-42%	2,959	-681	$1,622	$37,743,080	3	Universal
9	Mid90s	$3,600,000	1295%	1,206	1202	$2,985	$3,950,170	2	A24
10	Night School	$3,200,000	-35%	1,991	-305	$1,607	$68,673,015	5	Universal
11	The Old Man & The Gun	$1,800,000	-16%	1,042	240	$1,727	$7,214,097	5	Fox Searchlight
12	Bad Times At The El Royale	$1,400,000	-59%	1,798	-1010	$779	$16,593,736	3	20th Century Fox
13	The House With A Clock In Its Walls	$970,000	-47%	1,042	-546	$931	$970,000	6	Universal Pictures

LIMITED (100 — 999)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	Indivisible	$1,700,000	—	830	—	$2,048	$1,700,000	1	Pure Flix
2	Johnny English Strikes Again	$1,600,000	—	544	—	$2,941	$1,600,000	1	Universal Pictures
3	The Sisters Brothers	$265,000	-65%	774	-367	$342	$265,000	6	Annapurna Pictures
4	Hell Fest	$190,000	142%	907	644	$209	$10,991,623	5	Lionsgate / CBS Films
5	Incredibles 2	$145,000	-17%	160	-16	$906	$607,905,484	20	Disney
6	A Simple Favor	$140,000	-61%	222	-270	$631	$53,215,320	7	Lionsgate
7	Disney’s Christopher Robin	$95,000	56%	148	40	$642	$98,836,950	13	Disney

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	Can You Ever Forgive Me?	$380,000	135%	25	20	$15,200	$610,139	2	Fox Searchlight
2	Ant-Man and the Wasp	$25,000	-51%	68	-37	$368	$216,640,024	17	Disney

[terrestrial]

I'll put the chart per single day in spoiler tags as other chart versions are already gotten posted.

 

To me interesting for the % comparisons to last week

 

Quote

Spoiler

Friday, October 26, 2018
 

<<Prev Day <Wk <Mo <Yr

>Yr >Mo >Wk >>Next Day

TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day 1 1 Halloween (2018) Uni. $10,015,000 +166% -70% 3,990 $2,510 $104,671,400 8 2 2 A Star is Born (2018) WB $4,185,000 +109% -26% 3,904 $1,072 $138,762,400 22 3 3 Venom (2018) Sony $2,865,000 +145% -44% 3,567 $803 $179,347,314 22 4 - Hunter Killer LG/S $2,550,000 - - 2,728 $935 $2,550,000 1 5 6 Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween Sony $1,800,000 +296% -29% 3,723 $483 $32,648,809 15 6 5 The Hate U Give Fox $1,440,000 +184% -42% 2,375 $606 $14,640,005 22 7 4 First Man Uni. $1,400,000 +92% -44% 2,959 $473 $34,343,080 15 8 - Mid90s A24 $1,307,000 +8,337% +1,227% 1,206 $1,084 $1,657,170 8 9 8 Smallfoot WB $1,135,000 +217% -33% 2,662 $426 $68,976,050 29 10 9 Night School (2018) Uni. $923,000 +207% -35% 1,991 $464 $69,120,025 29 11 - Indivisible PFR $605,000 - - 830 $729 $605,000 1 12 10 The Old Man & the Gun FoxS $548,000 +116% -21% 1,042 $526 $5,962,097 29 - 7 Bad Times At The El Royale Fox $410,000 +14% -60% 1,798 $228 $15,603,736 15 - 12 The House With A Clock In Its Walls Uni. $251,000 +129% -46% 1,042 $241 $65,724,015 36 - - Can You Ever Forgive Me? FoxS $102,598 +489% +134% 25 $4,104 $332,737 8 - - The Sisters Brothers Annapurna $79,144 -26% -66% 774 $102 $2,550,189 36 - - Hell Fest LGF $54,000 +512% +145% 907 $60 $10,855,623 29 - - A Simple Favor LGF $43,000 +8% -61% 222 $194 $53,118,320 43 - - Incredibles 2 BV $36,000 +189% -22% 160 $225 $607,796,484 134 - - Disney's Christopher Robin BV $26,000 +376% +47% 148 $176 $98,767,950 85 - - Ant-Man and the Wasp BV $7,000 +80% -50% 68 $103 $216,622,024 113

 

 

[dxmatrixdt]

Cinemascores updates for major releases.

Black Panther - A+ 
Hate - A+
Imagine - A+ 
Incredibles - A+
Love - A+ 
  
12 Strong - A 
Avengers - A 
Christopher Robin - A
Crazy Rich Asians - A
Death of a Nation - A
Deadpool - A 
Equalizer - A
Fahrenheit - A
Forever My Girl - A
God Bless Broken - A
Isle of Dogs - A
Miracle Season - A 
Mission: Impossible - A
Paddington - A 
Searching - A
Sgt. Stubby - A 
Star - A
Unbroken - A
Ya Veremos - A

Acrimony - A- 
Ant-Man - A-
Black Klansman - A-
Book Club - A-
Dog Days - A- 
Jurassic World - A-
God's Not Dead - A- 
Hotel Transylvania - A-
Hunter Killer - A-
Mamma Mia - A-
Midnight Sun - A- 
Night School - A-
Operation Finale - A-
Overboard - A-
Paul: Apostle - A-
Peter Rabbit - A- 
Rampage - A- 
RP1 - A- 
Smallfoot - A-
Solo - A- 
  
50 Shades - B+ 
Alpha - B+
A Quiet Place - B+ 
A.X.L. - B+
Death Wish - B+ 
Den of Thieves - B+ 
Every Day - B+ 
First Man - B+
Game Night - B+ 
Halloween - B+
House/Clock - B+
I Feel Pretty - B+ 
Kin - B+
Life Itself - B+
Maze Runner - B+ 
The Meg - B+
Oceans Eight - B+ 
Peppermint - B+
Proud Mary - B+ 
Sherlock Gnomes - B+ 
Simple Favor - B+
Skyscraper - B+
Super Troopers - B+ 
Superfly - B+
Tag - B+
Teen Titans - B+
Venom - B+
  
Adrift - B 
Blockers - B 
Breaking In - B 
Chappaquiddick - B 
Commuter - B 
Darkest Minds - B
Early Man - B
Goosebumps - B 
Life of Party - B 
Pacific Rim - B 
Red Sparrow - B 
Spy Who Dumped - B
Tomb Raider - B 
White Boy - B
Wrinkle in Time - B 
  
15:17 to Paris - B- 
Bad Samaritan - B- 
Bad Times - B-
First Purge - B-
Hurricane Heist - B- 
Insidious 4 - B- 
Mile 22 - B-
Truth or Dare - B- 
Unsane - B- 
Winchester - B- 
  
Action Point - C+ 
Gringo - C+ 
Predator - C+
  
Annihilation - C 
Hellfest - C
The Nun - C
Strangers: Prey - C 
Unfriended: Dark Web - C

 

Happytime Murders - C-
Hotel Artemis - C- 
  
Hereditary - D+ 

 

Slender Man - D-
  
these are unreported: 
Indivisible
Johnny English
Little Women
Samson 
Traffik 
Tully 
Upgrade 

[Rman823]

4 hours ago, Krissykins said:

Halloween is now the biggest slasher film of all time unadjusted. 

 

Incredible. 

Well deserved too. Plus if anything is going to have the record it should be from the granddaddy of the genre. 

[Zakiyyah6]

Hunter Killer unsurprisingly has a lame opening, Mid 90's seemed to expand fine and of course Johnny English did nothing. I wish that I had listened to my gut and went lower on Halloween. Halloween is doing great but I don't see the effects of those Imax ticket prices on it. I guess Halloween day is when the real fireworks will happen. 

 

Love Simon got an A+ Cinemascore and dropped 35% so even though I predicted a 31% drop I'm not stunned that The Hate U Give is heading for around a 36% drop. An A+ Cinemascore does not mean as much as people on here like to pretend that it does. It depends on if one can drag people out to see the film. THUG is a tough sell no matter how good it is. I haven't seen it but I'm glad that the film was made, no matter what it ends up grossing. A Star is Born continues to have good drops and will reach 150mil soon. Venom is a lock to make 200+mil.  Highly impressive domestic and worldwide numbers, especially considering it's budget. Decent legs overall too. 

 

First Man continues its so-so run. Can't have that sort of run off of an ultra low opening weekend. And El Royale is going to hurt my Derby. Very annoyed that we even had to predict that instead of Mid 90's. 

[a2k]

Smallfoot's 25% weekend drop projection (4.9m, 72.7m cume) from Pro.BO seems optimsitic but would keep it on track for 85 dom. 

[Shawn Robbins]

14 hours ago, Krissykins said:

Thank you for the great explanation @Shawn, you deserved that mic drop too lol 

 

You're welcome! Hopefully that came across more tongue-in-cheek than condescending.  

[Barnack]

On 10/26/2018 at 8:26 PM, Shawn said:

it's always better to under-project than the alternative.

Is this because of some Price is Right rules legacy ? Seem a case where under/over being irrelevant and all over the closest possible is the best prediction.

Edited October 31, 2018 by Barnack

[Jonwo]

Johnny English's OW doesn't seem that bad considering it's in even less theaters than the last film. Why Universal even bothered with a US release is a mystery.

[Frozen]

Everyone at my showing liked Hunter Killer. I was underwhelmed. It was just boring.

[a2k]

8

First Man

$4,800,000

-42%

2,959

-681

$1,622

$37,743,080

3

Universal

 

First Man needs to add 2.55x times this weekend to get to 50 dom.

 

5

Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween

$7,100,000

-27%

3,723

202

$1,907

$37,948,809

3

Sony

 

Goosebumps is locked to go over First Man. Just 2x more this weekend will take it to 52 dom, and should make more than that anyway with family legs till the big (pre)Thanksgiving drop due to competition.

 

Nothing in common between the films but both of them released the same weekend. Another upset similar to Predator and A Simple Favor.

Edited October 28, 2018 by a2k

[Zakiyyah6]

3 minutes ago, a2k said:

8

First Man

$4,800,000

-42%

2,959

-681

$1,622

$37,743,080

3

Universal

 

First Man needs to add 2.55x times this weekend to get to 50 dom.

 

5

Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween

$7,100,000

-27%

3,723

202

$1,907

$37,948,809

3

Sony

 

Goosebumps is locked to go over First Man. Just 2x more this weekend will take it to 52 dom, and should make more than that anyway with family legs till the big (pre)Thanksgiving drop due to competition.

Dear god. I know predictions started to go down a few weeks before it came out but did anyone think that First Man would make under even 100mil just two or so months ago? I think you would have been hard pressed to see such predictions. It wasn't until the tracking that I started to doubt the film would pull in big numbers. Even then I still ended up predicting 22.4mil.

[a2k]

Christopher Robin

 

2018/10/19	-	$17,716	+1%	108	$164	$98,676,159	78
2018/10/20	-	$26,899	+52%	108	$249	$98,703,058	79
2018/10/21	-	$16,297	-39%	108	$151	$98,719,355	80
2018/10/22	-	$6,024	-63%	108	$56	$98,725,379	81
2018/10/23	-	$6,002	n/c	108	$56	$98,731,381	82
2018/10/24	-	$5,103	-15%	108	$47	$98,736,484	83
2018/10/25	-	$5,466	+7%	108	$51	$98,741,950	84
2018/10/26	-	$26,000	+376%	148	$176	$98,767,950	85

 

Edited October 28, 2018 by a2k

[filmlover]

42 minutes ago, a2k said:

Christopher Robin

 

2018/10/19	-	$17,716	+1%	108	$164	$98,676,159	78
2018/10/20	-	$26,899	+52%	108	$249	$98,703,058	79
2018/10/21	-	$16,297	-39%	108	$151	$98,719,355	80
2018/10/22	-	$6,024	-63%	108	$56	$98,725,379	81
2018/10/23	-	$6,002	n/c	108	$56	$98,731,381	82
2018/10/24	-	$5,103	-15%	108	$47	$98,736,484	83
2018/10/25	-	$5,466	+7%	108	$51	$98,741,950	84
2018/10/26	-	$26,000	+376%	148	$176	$98,767,950	85

 

Imagine if they end up having to fudge Nutcracker past $100M too if it gets close enough to the mark (I have it opening with $24M next weekend). I hope Disney's creative accounts get a year-long vacation after this year.

[TalismanRing]

55 minutes ago, a2k said:

Christopher Robin

 

2018/10/19	-	$17,716	+1%	108	$164	$98,676,159	78
2018/10/20	-	$26,899	+52%	108	$249	$98,703,058	79
2018/10/21	-	$16,297	-39%	108	$151	$98,719,355	80
2018/10/22	-	$6,024	-63%	108	$56	$98,725,379	81
2018/10/23	-	$6,002	n/c	108	$56	$98,731,381	82
2018/10/24	-	$5,103	-15%	108	$47	$98,736,484	83
2018/10/25	-	$5,466	+7%	108	$51	$98,741,950	84
2018/10/26	-	$26,000	+376%	148	$176	$98,767,950	85

 

Eh, that's a normal Friday jump with a 48 theater - a 37% theater expansion - probably into 2nd run theaters in it's 13th w/e. Next w/e it will have double features with Nutcracker w probably another theater expansion for those drive in w/e show times.