Cooper Legion Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 1 minute ago, Bishop54 said: My uh-oh comment was in preparation for a meltdown and had nothing to do with CM as a movie...stop being testy y'all. We’re all waiting for the 8.5 in Charlie’s final update before melting down More seriously, even if it does like 8.4+8 the next two days that’s 42M from the first weekdays, which is a pretty solid 27.4% of the OW. I don’t particularly confident what multiple of that the next weekend will be because: I’m Pretty sure there’s a bit of spring break this week, but not that much unclear how kid vs adult-skewing CM is, especially after the OW rush But it should do somewhere in the range of 1.55-1.8x the weekdays, I should think, so even off the lower W+Th that would be like 65-75. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 12 minutes ago, tawasal said: It could continue into the next thread. That's what I am talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 (edited) 31 minutes ago, JB33 said: If the mid-day estimate is $8.5M, chances are fairly good it goes up. As I said before, I was hoping the number would be 9.3-9.4. It won't go that higher. 😄What I am getting is around $8.7mn. $8.5mn is floor and $8.9mn should be ceiling. Edited March 14, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder 6 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 (edited) 3 minutes ago, UserHN said: What DOM Wed are we looking at? So far, CM had the same trajectory as BatB. BatB dropped 35.5% Wed. If CM were to do that, we expect around $9.4M Wed. 37 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: It won't go that higher. 😄What I am getting is around $8.7mn. $8.5mn is floor and $8.9mn should be ceiling. Tuesday was really big, unclear why. 8.5-8.9 is not good enough or bad enough to cause much excitement. Hopefully Thurs pretty flat though. Edited March 14, 2019 by Thanos Legion 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said: It won't go that higher. 😄What I am getting is around $8.7mn. $8.5mn is floor and $8.9mn should be ceiling. $8.5M is quite a harsh drop. I hope it goes higher. I'll be satisfied with $8.9M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LexJoker Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 24 minutes ago, UserHN said: $8.5M is quite a harsh drop. I hope it goes higher. I'll be satisfied with $8.9M. It would be a normal drop for a phase-III MCU movie. Unless ofcourse you're hoping for legs in the range of BP or TA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 The Wednesday #s are very good IMO. Why are you guys panicking? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 7 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: The Wednesday #s are very good IMO. Why are you guys panicking? It's a very normal reaction in this place. 1 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 34 minutes ago, UserHN said: $8.5M is quite a harsh drop. I hope it goes higher. I'll be satisfied with $8.9M. Man that is not a bad drop, It's almost guaranteed to do 65m+ with an 8m thursday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 9 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: The Wednesday #s are very good IMO. Why are you guys panicking? My mistake. I was patterning it to a Disney princess movie and it never crossed my mind to actually compare it to GotG2 where the CM holds are better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 4 minutes ago, UserHN said: My mistake. I was patterning it to a Disney princess movie and it never crossed my mind to actually compare it to GotG2 where the CM holds are better. Yeah, I was following the BatB pattern too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 8 minutes ago, JB33 said: Yeah, I was following the BatB pattern too. i never understoond why some people think that it will miss 400 dom maybe it will after the second weekend drop but still why would have only 2.5 multi bc until now thats not the case, i am still expecting a multi of 2.7-2.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darth Lehnsherr Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 27 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: The Wednesday #s are very good IMO. Why are you guys panicking? It wouldn't be BOT thread if we didn't have some meltdowns over something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 5 minutes ago, Darth Lehnsherr said: It wouldn't be BOT thread if we didn't have some meltdowns over something. agreed they are still estimates could go up like it did with monday but yeah many meltdowns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 I made a solemn vow not to complain unless it was below <8.5, so my hands are tied here. Also, for reference, even 8.5 is -22.6% from Mon. Some MCU Mon-Wed drops (recent, excluding summer, holiday Mon, big spillover Mon): Thor3 -25.5% Gotg2 -23.7% DS -18.5% TWS -22.7% 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: I made a solemn vow not to complain unless it was below <8.5, so my hands are tied here. Also, for reference, even 8.5 is -22.6% from Mon. Some MCU Mon-Wed drops (recent, excluding summer, holiday Mon, big spillover Mon): Thor3 -25.5% Gotg2 -23.7% DS -18.5% TWS -22.7% a say 8.7 million what drop from tuesday would that be ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LexJoker Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: I made a solemn vow not to complain unless it was below <8.5, so my hands are tied here. Also, for reference, even 8.5 is -22.6% from Mon. Some MCU Mon-Wed drops (recent, excluding summer, holiday Mon, big spillover Mon): Thor3 -25.5% Gotg2 -23.7% DS -18.5% TWS -22.7% The March-April-May releases will be the closest comparisons. Middle of the summer or November releases would probably be acting differently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 (edited) 9 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: I made a solemn vow not to complain unless it was below <8.5, so my hands are tied here. Also, for reference, even 8.5 is -22.6% from Mon. Some MCU Mon-Wed drops (recent, excluding summer, holiday Mon, big spillover Mon): Thor3 -25.5% Gotg2 -23.7% DS -18.5% TWS -22.7% Mon-Wed drops can be misleading at times though. Two Mon-Thu scenarios starting with same Monday but the movie with better Mon-Wed drop has accumulated less over Tue+Wed+Thu : 10 13 (+30%) 10 (-23% ; -0% from Mon) 9.0 (-10%) // 32 Tue+Wed+Thu 10 15 (+50%) 9.5 (-37% ; -5% from Mon) 9.0 (-5%) // 33.5 Tue+Wed+Thu Edited March 14, 2019 by a2k 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 1 minute ago, a2k said: Mon-Wed drops can be misleading at times though. Two Mon-Thu scenarios starting with same Monday but the movie with better Mon-Wed drop has accumulated less over Tue+Wed : 10 13 (+30%) 10 (-0% from Mon) // 23 Tue+Wed 9.0 10 15 (+50%) 9.5 (-5% from Mon) // 24.5 Tue + Wed 9.0 Yup, just making the point that big daily drop Wed is related to big daily bump Tues. Also that example illustrates nicely that you make more money with big spike big drop than both being more mild. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, a2k said: Mon-Wed drops can be misleading at times though. Two Mon-Thu scenarios starting with same Monday but the movie with better Mon-Wed drop has accumulated less over Tue+Wed : 10 13 (+30%) 10 (-0% from Mon) // 23 Tue+Wed 9.0 10 15 (+50%) 9.5 (-5% from Mon) // 24.5 Tue + Wed 9.0 any idea when we will know more about wendsday as i heard that this is still very early estimates also what drop from tuesady would be ? 36% ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
