Avengers: Endgame Tuesday Thread (4/30): 33.11M (3rd best Tuesday ever, 2nd best non-opening)

[Ledmonkey96]

33 minutes ago, Gokai Red said:

What are the odds the movie finishes with something like 850/2000/2850, becoming WW champion, TFA stays DOM champion, and Avatar stays OS champion?

Unless I'm missing something Boxofficemojo has Avatar at $2.788 Bill.....

[BiffMan]

10 minutes ago, LonePirate said:

Anybody else seeing far fewer showtimes at their local theaters today? The 28 screen AMC near me has about 8-10 fewer showings today than yesterday with many of the late evening/night shows gone as well as some daytime ones.

In the absence of Monday spillover and Tuesday discounts, the Wednesday and Thursday screen counts will probably be as close to 'normal' as we get for now. 

Edited May 1, 2019 by BiffMan

[Legion Again]

7 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

Unless I'm missing something Boxofficemojo has Avatar at $2.788 Bill.....

Thus  Endgame “becoming WW champion.”

[cdsacken]

51 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

BTW. Look forward to break non-Avengers Saturday record in 2nd weekend. Need just $69.6mn. I am expecting $72mn.

Dear God you are expecting an awesome weekend! 45/72/52 type of weekend?

[charlie Jatinder]

6 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Dear God you are expecting an awesome weekend! 45/72/52 type of weekend?

47 72 55

[Brainbug]

Just now, Charlie Jatinder said:

47 72 55

 

That would be a 174M second weekend or in other words a Beauty and the Beast 17'-Opening as the 2nd weekend.

[Sue Denim]

4 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

47 72 55

If I may ask, are you using pre-sales data to reach this conclusion, or are using other films as a basis of modeling??

 

That seems like a too-good-to-be-true kind of hold.

[Sam]

5 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

47 72 55

That’s 174M total would fail to get it into Top 10 OW. 

 

Flop.

[cdsacken]

2 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

That would be a 174M second weekend or in other words a Beauty and the Beast 17'-Opening as the 2nd weekend.

Black panther dropped 44.7%. this drop would be 51.5%. In my crazy wide range of 142-203 it's right in the middle.

 

If Thursday manages like say 23.5

Friday bump 100%

Saturday 53%

Sunday -23.6%

 

Hardest one I see is Sunday (might be harder drop)

 

 

[Legion Again]

3 minutes ago, Sam said:

That’s 174M total would fail to get it into Top 10 OW. 

 

Flop.

Would only place 8th in pure FSS, what a sad 2nd weekend.   

[cdsacken]

5 minutes ago, Sue Denim said:

If I may ask, are you using pre-sales data to reach this conclusion, or are using other films as a basis of modeling??

 

That seems like a too-good-to-be-true kind of hold.

Perhaps but a cinema A+ film with the high presales for a movie it's in 2nd week. Might fall under but I think it's very possible

Edited May 1, 2019 by cdsacken

[sfran43]

 

Edited May 1, 2019 by sfran43

[raulbalarezo]

Crumbling

Edited May 1, 2019 by raulbalarezo

[sfran43]

 

[cdsacken]

I'm gonna go a tiny bit under that almost same thing just about 5 mil less.

[charlie Jatinder]

10 minutes ago, Sue Denim said:

If I may ask, are you using pre-sales data to reach this conclusion, or are using other films as a basis of modeling??

 

That seems like a too-good-to-be-true kind of hold

Naa, that's purely an optimistic prediction using a 102% Fri and 55% Sat bump.

Edited May 1, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[sfran43]

 

[charlie Jatinder]

15 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

That would be a 174M second weekend or in other words a Beauty and the Beast 17'-Opening as the 2nd weekend.

Well I need this much to have my IN in 2nd weekend over Iron Man 3 OW succeed.

[Lordmandeep]

5 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

 

SHOULD DO 200+WW Wednesday? 

[charlie Jatinder]

Just now, sfran43 said:

 

Damnit Disney India. Get your crap right. Underreporting $500k.