MasterDodsen Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 That was a great hold. I can see a 8.8M Wednesday and maybe a 8.2M Thursday. I'm still hoping for a 65-68M weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Saying you'll leave as part of a bet is silly. Why would you leave a site just cause you are wrong about something?I had immediately pointed this out to him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cory Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 I think it will match DH2's attendance, but probably not its gross. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTX Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 That's a good hold. The final Harry Potter fell 15% on its first Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Movies rarely drop less than 20% nowadays on their first Wednesdays. I don't know why some people are predicting 15% drops. This month openers' first Tuesday/Wednesday drops: The Lorax - +5.4% / -28.9% John Carter - +10.5% / -27.2% 21 Jump Street - +11.9% / -25.4% It seems the worse the Tuesday jump, the worse the Wednesday drop. THG with actually a drop on Tuesday, doesn't have much chances of dropping better than 25%, let alone 20%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Han Cobb Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Good Tuesday number. Movies that open to 152m and have a 10.8m Monday are gong to drop on Tuesday. Looking for this to stay above 8m tomorrow and Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friendofnarnia Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Nice number! I think we'll see a 70M+ 2nd weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTX Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Movies rarely drop less than 20% nowadays on their first Wednesdays. I don't know why some people are predicting 15% drops. This month openers' first Tuesday/Wednesday drops: The Lorax - +5.4% / -28.9% John Carter - +10.5% / -27.2% 21 Jump Street - +11.9% / -25.4% It seems the worse the Tuesday jump, the worse the Wednesday drop. THG with actually a drop on Tuesday, doesn't have much chances of dropping better than 25%, let alone 20%. It doesn't work this way for huge movies. Again, DH2 had pretty terrible Tuesday hold, but it's Wednesday hold was ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Movies rarely drop less than 20% nowadays on their first Wednesdays. I don't know why some people are predicting 15% drops. This month openers' first Tuesday/Wednesday drops: The Lorax - +5.4% / -28.9% John Carter - +10.5% / -27.2% 21 Jump Street - +11.9% / -25.4% It seems the worse the Tuesday jump, the worse the Wednesday drop. THG with actually a drop on Tuesday, doesn't have much chances of dropping better than 25%, let alone 20%. no offense but those are horrible comparisons. You are comparing blockbuster bumper opener with CGI and movies opening at 30M. It's not apple to apple comparison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 no offense but those are horrible comparisons. You are comparing blockbuster bumper opener with CGI and movies opening at 30M. It's not apple to apple comparison.Nothing can ever be an apple to apple comparison to THG then.You have better comparisons for analyzing the first weekdays trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Nothing can ever be an apple to apple comparison to THG then.You have better comparisons for analyzing the first weekdays trend?Alice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 I think in a vacuum we need to look at how these dailies look even with inflation, take away the % decrease, $10.2 is a fantastic Tuesday late March #lionsgate is rolling around in a huge money pile, well done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Maybe college kids, but I would imagine the K-12 schools are spread out. Here in Milwaukee spring break doesn't occur until after EasterMy daughter ended spring break already (K-12). It's pretty spread out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Shorts Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Nothing can ever be an apple to apple comparison to THG then.You have better comparisons for analyzing the first weekdays trend?AIW woudl be one. Ice Age 2 and Mosters vs. Aliens to a lesser extent, but still, better comparisons based on their release dates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 from the real guru(Xiayun) @ KJI agree with him. it will again surprise the skeptics this weekend.Xiayun said DH2 would do $55m in its second weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Staying flat was never going to happen, but it's still a great number. Very interested to see the drop this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Looks like a great drop to me. Dropped better than Alice, 300, Spider Man, and Iron Man on the same day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Craig Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 It's March! Anything over 10m on a weekday is great!With spring break starting up, we should see some nice weekday numbers the next 2 weeks.Spring Break has been going on for two weeks across the country(US). Next week is the last SB week I'm aware of so make hay while the sun shines the rest of this week and next. For THG and Wrath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BK007 Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Movies rarely drop less than 20% nowadays on their first Wednesdays. I don't know why some people are predicting 15% drops. This month openers' first Tuesday/Wednesday drops: The Lorax - +5.4% / -28.9% John Carter - +10.5% / -27.2% 21 Jump Street - +11.9% / -25.4% It seems the worse the Tuesday jump, the worse the Wednesday drop. THG with actually a drop on Tuesday, doesn't have much chances of dropping better than 25%, let alone 20%. I thought at BOM you were a decent predictor...what kind of comparisons are those? They don't even compare with each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Needle Nose Ned Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Last night for THG IMAX right? Wednesday might actually turn into a bump, but I suspect a better drop regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
