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Eric S'ennui

⊃∪∩⪽ Part II | March 1, 2024 | Reactions drop February 15, reviews February 21 | Zendaya for our next C-3P0

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Part 2 is gonna be one of the fascinating films to follow at the box office in 2024. Still an open question as to just how well received it was in 2021 and whether it truly has a ceiling higher than $400M WW. 
 

I’m optimistic it can make $500M WW, but I do fear it may not have resonated with the GA the way I’d like. When it debuted on Netflix it was only on their top 10 for one week, for example, and trailer views haven’t been super high. 

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34 minutes ago, Squire said:

Part 2 is gonna be one of the fascinating films to follow at the box office in 2024. Still an open question as to just how well received it was in 2021 and whether it truly has a ceiling higher than $400M WW. 
 

I’m optimistic it can make $500M WW, but I do fear it may not have resonated with the GA the way I’d like. When it debuted on Netflix it was only on their top 10 for one week, for example, and trailer views haven’t been super high. 

 Regardless of what some people might expect, I still think 500 million would be a good result for this. 600 would be fantastic 

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3 minutes ago, Merkel said:

 Regardless of what some people might expect, I still think 500 million would be a good result for this. 600 would be fantastic 

Definitely, anything over 500M should be considered a success, and then if it is incredibly well received we could perhaps hope for even better for the next one.

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1 hour ago, Arlborn said:

Definitely, anything over 500M should be considered a success, and then if it is incredibly well received we could perhaps hope for even better for the next one.

I also don’t expect Part 2 to do as well in China this time around, plus it will lose about $25M from Russia and Ukraine, so getting to $500M WW would be a win, but maybe not as high as Legendary/WB would want. 

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7 hours ago, SpiderByte said:

....does converting it to 70mm improve anything when it was shot in digital?

Not as far as I can tell. There wouldn't be an increase in resolution because the film would have been mastered in 4K so it's kind of like blowing up the image which would happen in pre-digital projection to maximise resolution for certain theatres (A film would be shot on 35MM and then get some 65/70MM prints, but with digital projection you generally don't have to worry about potential resolution loss).

 

Villeneuve and Fraser did use film emulation on the first Dune which was also shot digitally. Even going so far as having different grain fields and lenses to distinguish the widescreen and IMAX sections and recreate the same feeling you get with shooting real 70MM IMAX. Fraser would take emulating film on digital further with The Batman by actually printing the digital master out onto physical film and scanning it back in to tinker even more. So you could look at it as an extension of that work.

 

Another possible reason could be taking advantage of the full 1.43:1 aspect ratio. A lot of 70MM IMAX venues don't have digital projectors capable of projecting in the full 1.43:1 and only the 1.90:1 Digital IMAX ratio, sometimes still with 2K projectors.

(Although it's still unconfirmed if Dune Part II will take advantage of the full ratio or stick to the Digital IMAX ratio that all the trailers have been presented in).

 

As a pure aesthetic and vibes choice, sometimes seeing something projected on film just hits different but that's more subjective. 

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The good thing is that WB apparently was smart in budgeting this. 
 

The rumors is that is was cheaper than Part 1 (which already wasn’t super expensive). 
 

Iirc, the numbers floating was 135-150M for the budget. I really doubt it’ll gross lower than the previous movie without the HBO Max and restrictions factors. 
 

I’m not sure it’ll grow that much either but i think 150M DOM / 500M WW should happen and this would be great for 135M budget or so.

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