CONTEST FOR GOLD: Spidey: No Way Home Opening Weekend Predictions | RESULTS ARE IN!

[XXR vs XXR]

3 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

Date	Rank	Gross	%YD	%LW	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days
Jul 6, 2017	P	$15,400,000			3,450	$4,464	$15,400,000
Jul 7, 2017	1	$50,780,982			4,348	$11,679	$50,780,982	1
Jul 8, 2017	1	$37,045,244	-27%		4,348	$8,520	$87,826,226	2
Jul 9, 2017	1	$29,201,277	-21%		4,348	$6,716	$117,027,503	3

 

Everyone else is talking about True Friday to Saturday, you're talking about Full Friday to Saturday. Even @Cap initial post has a breakout for Previews / True Friday / Saturday / Sunday. 

[Deep Wang]

2 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

Date	Rank	Gross	%YD	%LW	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days
Jul 6, 2017	P	$15,400,000			3,450	$4,464	$15,400,000
Jul 7, 2017	1	$50,780,982			4,348	$11,679	$50,780,982	1
Jul 8, 2017	1	$37,045,244	-27%		4,348	$8,520	$87,826,226	2
Jul 9, 2017	1	$29,201,277	-21%		4,348	$6,716	$117,027,503	3

 

50-15=35

35 < 37

 

You even have it increasing from true Friday in your prediction!

[Legion Again]

5 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

Date	Rank	Gross	%YD	%LW	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days
Jul 6, 2017	P	$15,400,000			3,450	$4,464	$15,400,000
Jul 7, 2017	1	$50,780,982			4,348	$11,679	$50,780,982	1
Jul 8, 2017	1	$37,045,244	-27%		4,348	$8,520	$87,826,226	2
Jul 9, 2017	1	$29,201,277	-21%		4,348	$6,716	$117,027,503	3

 What is  your point supposed to be here?

[john2000]

its never too late...

 

 

[john2000]

We the use of the mystic arts i present to you the internet when the sec trailer drops...

 

 

Edited November 13, 2021 by john2000

[baumer]

Why though, do you all think this is going to do so much more than the last Spidey when that one was coming right on the coat-tails of End Game?  And I've been saying this for months now....we are not out of the pandemic.  Ask RTH or any of the other Gurus here, the theatres in Canada are struggling....at least here in Ontario.  IMHO, which has known to be wrong from time to time, 200 mill is next to impossible.  150 mill would shock the hell out of me.  

[keysersoze123]

3 minutes ago, baumer said:

Why though, do you all think this is going to do so much more than the last Spidey when that one was coming right on the coat-tails of End Game?  And I've been saying this for months now....we are not out of the pandemic.  Ask RTH or any of the other Gurus here, the theatres in Canada are struggling....at least here in Ontario.  IMHO, which has known to be wrong from time to time, 200 mill is next to impossible.  150 mill would shock the hell out of me.  

Plus if you see past 2 spiderman movies, the BO was spread around instead of being frontloaded during OW. Here general audience would rather wait for christmas time to see it than try to squeeze in along with rabid fans. 

 

FYI OD of FFH which released 9 weeks after end game was < 40illion !!!! here previews are almost at that number.

Edited November 13, 2021 by keysersoze123

[john2000]

Just now, keysersoze123 said:

Plus if you see past 2 spiderman movies, the BO was spread around instead of being frontloaded during OW. Here general audience would rather wait for christmas time to see it than try to squeeze in along with rabid fans. 

 

FYI OD of FFH which released 9 weeks after end game was 35 million !!!! Here previews are predicted to be higher. But loonies have to be loonies. 

again you do realise that this od wasnt a friday but a tuesday right.....

[XXR vs XXR]

7 minutes ago, baumer said:

Why though, do you all think this is going to do so much more than the last Spidey when that one was coming right on the coat-tails of End Game?  And I've been saying this for months now....we are not out of the pandemic.  Ask RTH or any of the other Gurus here, the theatres in Canada are struggling....at least here in Ontario.  IMHO, which has known to be wrong from time to time, 200 mill is next to impossible.  150 mill would shock the hell out of me.  

Because the hype/interest for this is several multiples beyond FFH. You keep making that comparison while failing to note the obvious difference in the interest we've seen for it so far. 

Venom just did $90M. The idea that a film that IS MORE HYPED THAN ENDGAME would only beat V2 by 10-20% is frankly an odd take and almost some kind of strange denial at this point. 

All I can say is, prepare to have the hell shocked out.

 

Edited November 13, 2021 by VenomXXR

[TomCruiseTop]

USERNAME	PREVIEWS	TRUE FRIDAY	SATURDAY	SUNDAY	TOTAL
JamesCameronScholar	31M	58M	65M	54M	208M

[Lion Roar]

Based on the general fanbase hype the preview should easily be double that of Black Widow, so I think 30m preview is not that crazy. Still not sold on 200m but definitely think 150m is pretty safe. 

[Plain Old Tele]

.

Edited November 13, 2021 by Plain Old Tele

[Ronin46]

1 minute ago, VenomXXR said:

Because the hype/interest for this is several multiples beyond FFH. You keep making that comparison while failing to note the obvious difference in the interest we've seen for it so far. 

Venom just did $90M. The idea that a film that IS MORE HYPED THAN ENDGAME would only beat V2 by 10-20% is frankly and odd take and almost some kind of strange denial at this point. 

All I can say is, prepare to have the hell shocked out.

 

 

I also think Black Widow would have done over 100M without the D+. Thinking that Spidey would be 40 to 50M over a low hyped Marvel like that is perfectly natural.

[Cap]

1 minute ago, Plain Old Tele said:

BOT always has a hive mentality when it comes to this stuff. I’m surprised someone hasn’t started a 300m club yet. 

@CJohn

 

[john2000]

Guys i will repeat again myself, the trailer views arent always right thats true but the fact is that you cant just have your teaser hit 355 mill views in 24 or your poster for fucks shake on twitter and have 560k likes and have a ow of "only" 100-140" ....... i would be shocked if it only did that much.Had the hype being lower then i would agree but this movie is pure monstrosity in terms of buzz...

[XXR vs XXR]

Just now, Ronin46 said:

 

I also think Black Widow would have done over 100M without the D+. Thinking that Spidey would be 40 to 50M over a low hyped Marvel like that is perfectly natural.

Indeed it likely would have, seeing as reported PA numbers were over $60M after the first weekend. 

[Legion Again]

8 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

FYI OD of FFH which released 9 weeks after end game was < 40illion !!!! here previews are almost at that number.

I can’t believe you’re still spinning this bullshit keyser. We all remember  it opened on Tuesday, what do you think that repeating this completing irrelevant factoid over and over is supposed to show!

[Plain Old Tele]

.

Edited November 13, 2021 by Plain Old Tele

[TwoMisfits]

6 minutes ago, Plain Old Tele said:

BOT always has a hive mentality when it comes to this stuff. I’m surprised someone hasn’t started a 300m club yet. 

 

C'mon Tele, I've been bucking the hive mind the last few months (to pretty accurate effect:), but I was also on this one to be the biggie VERY early this year:)...so, go big - maybe not $200M big, but let yourself be optimistic.  I mean, it's Christmas, and I hear that's the time for miracles, and the box office could use one after the last 2 years:)...

[john2000]

2 minutes ago, Plain Old Tele said:

That fans can get super amped up and wildly over-predict. 

Thats the wrong example then, far from home box office cume was right in the range most of us predicted...