The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[DAJK]

1 hour ago, EmpireCity said:

The Lost City tickets go on sale Tuesday, March 1st at midnight.  

Seems early, are they super confident?

[BadOlCatSylvester]

11 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Seems early, are they super confident?

[ZackM]

First signs of acceleration.

 

The Batman Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	80	7	9	3	0
Seats Added	9,387	599	997	894	0
Seats Sold	4,958	3,337	2,810	2,992	2,991
2/22/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	429	5,352	130,647	930,868	14.03%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	8	45	142	270
ATP
$17.02

 

Edited February 24, 2022 by ZackM

[excel1]

1 minute ago, ZackM said:

First signs of acceleration.

 

The Batman Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	80	7	9	3	0
Seats Added	9,387	599	997	894	0
Seats Sold	4,958	3,337	2,810	2,992	2,991
2/22/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	429	5,352	130,647	930,868	14.03%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	8	41	132	243
ATP
$17.02

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, ZackM said:

First signs of acceleration.

 

The Batman Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	80	7	9	3	0
Seats Added	9,387	599	997	894	0
Seats Sold	4,958	3,337	2,810	2,992	2,991
2/22/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	429	5,352	130,647	930,868	14.03%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	8	45	142	270
ATP
$17.02

 

You mean T-8 right? Its been 2 days since your last update or these are from yday?

 

Edit: Yeah i see your last update was t-11 days.

Edited February 24, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[Eric Lasagna]

23 hours ago, Eric Says Trans Rights said:

The Batman Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	181	5546	35535	15.61%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 171

 

Comp

2.338x of Black Widow T-9 (30.86M)

2.917x of Eternals T-9 (27.71M)

0.318x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-9 (15.9M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.370x of Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker T-9 (14.81M)

 

I'm not gonna say today was an amazing day, but this was the first day ever that NWH's comp actually increased, which does make me a bit more intrigued that things will perk up compared to the negativity people had today. But of course, this depends on if this increased momentum continues, which I can't guarantee will happen.

The Batman Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	181	5767	35535	16.23%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 221

 

Comp

2.298x of Black Widow T-8 (30.33M)

2.892x of Eternals T-8 (27.48M)

0.323x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-8 (16.16M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.379x of Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker T-8 (15.17M)

 

Okay, I think we're escalating y'all

[EmpireCity]

7 hours ago, DAJK said:

Seems early, are they super confident?

 

Yep.  

[Eric Lasagna]

7 hours ago, DAJK said:

Seems early, are they super confident?

Data from The Quorum has been super impressive in terms of awareness for Lost City, especially for an original piece. That plus SXSW indicates that it's the real deal.

[BadOlCatSylvester]

11 minutes ago, Eric Says Trans Rights said:

The Batman Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	181	5767	35535	16.23%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 221

 

Comp

2.298x of Black Widow T-8 (30.33M)

2.892x of Eternals T-8 (27.48M)

0.323x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-8 (16.16M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.379x of Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker T-8 (15.17M)

 

Okay, I think we're escalating y'all

I sure do hope a certain upcoming real world event doesn't end up upending this movie's release 

[Legion Again]

18 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

I sure do hope a certain upcoming real world event doesn't end up upending this movie's release 

What would that possibly have to do with Batman 

[EmpireCity]

This is the 3rd thread I've seen some comment on Russia's incursion into Ukraine somehow affecting movies.  Why in the world do any of you think that Warner Bros. or anyone is going to pull a film release because of this?  When is the last time something similar caused a movie to not be released?

 

I have no idea where you guys are getting this stuff. 

[Legion Again]

1 minute ago, EmpireCity said:

This is the 3rd thread I've seen some comment on Russia's incursion into Ukraine somehow affecting movies.  Why in the world do any of you think that Warner Bros. or anyone is going to pull a film release because of this?  When is the last time something similar caused a movie to not be released?

 

I have no idea where you guys are getting this stuff. 

Yeah it’s baffling. If you wanna be sad about Ukraine we have threads for that, but the idea that it will somehow affect the BO is historically ridiculous.

[excel1]

2 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

This is the 3rd thread I've seen some comment on Russia's incursion into Ukraine somehow affecting movies.  Why in the world do any of you think that Warner Bros. or anyone is going to pull a film release because of this?  When is the last time something similar caused a movie to not be released?

 

I have no idea where you guys are getting this stuff. 

 

Russia pulled this same shit in 2014. Life goes on. In fact, it may simply drive them for escapism 

[Eric Lasagna]

Moderation

 

We're nipping the Ukraine issue in the bud. I understand we're all trying to vent, but we can do it elsewhere. End this right here.

[filmlover]

I think The Lost City is headed for a breakout tbh. It actually looks like a lot of fun, moviegoing is becoming a viable/safe alternative for those looking to escape reality for at least a fleeting moment again, and the marketplace will be largely barren and ripe for a surprise hit by the time it comes out.

Edited February 24, 2022 by filmlover

[charlie Jatinder]

Quite good start to the year. Everything other than Moonfall has actually done well I think. In 2019 they all would have flopped I suppose.

 

And who knows may be Fantastic Beasts 3 get lucky as well.

[Legion Again]

9 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Quite good start to the year. Everything other than Moonfall has actually done well I think. In 2019 they all would have flopped I suppose.

 

And who knows may be Fantastic Beasts 3 get lucky as well.

agree mostly good but Nile and Marry Me are par or probably under 

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

The Batman Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	0	297	31989	36790	4801	13.05%

 

Total Showings Reached Cap Today	1
Total Showings Added Today	9
Total Seats Added Today	1186
Total Seats Sold Today	168

 

T-9 Unadjusted Comps 

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
ET	193.20		121	2485		0/99	13201/15686	15.84%		18.35m
NWH	26.91		424	17839		0/311	20218/38057	46.87%		13.46m

 

T-9 Adjusted Comp 

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
BW	146.25		171	3079		0/122	16185/19264	15.98%		20.21m
Bats (BW adj)	---		150	4503		0/246	26381/30884	14.58%		---

COMP NOTE: The Batman comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: Bats (BW adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in BW's track.

 

Tuesday Sales:        664/815     [81.47 sold]       [+2 tickets]

Wednesday Sales: 1015/1301   [78.02% sold]   [+14 tickets]

Thursday Sales:   3122/34674  [9.00% sold]  [+152 tickets]

---

Regal:  1214/11645  [10.43% sold] [+38 tickets]

Matinee: 213/4893   [4.35% | 4.44% of all tickets sold]

 

The Batman Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	0	297	31814	36790	4976	13.53%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

175

 

T-8 Unadjusted Comps 

	%		Sold T-8	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
NTTD	424.57		134	1172		0/144	21181/22353	5.24%		26.32m
Dune	506.72		82	982		0/78	11060/12042	8.15%		25.84m
ET	192.42		101	2586		0/100	13230/15816	16.35%		18.28m
NWH	27.30		390	18229		0/325	20891/39120	46.60%		13.65m

 

T-8 Adjusted Comp 

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
BW	139.71		204	3473		0/151	19486/22959	15.13%		19.31m
Bats (BW adj)	---		171	4852		0/276	29662/34514	14.06%		---

COMP NOTE: The Batman comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: Bats (BW adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theater which still had unreliable data polluting their seat maps at that point in BW's track.  That last holdout will be returning to the comp starting tomorrow.

 

Tuesday Sales:        666/815     [81.72 sold]      [+2 tickets]

Wednesday Sales: 1026/1301   [78.862% sold] [+11 tickets]

Thursday Sales:   3122/34674  [9.00% sold]   [+162 tickets]

---

Regal:  1252/11645  [10.75% sold] [+38 tickets]

Matinee: 218/4893   [4.46% | 4.38% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Me waiting for "takeoff", locally:

 

 

====

 

Still creeping upward locally, but no sign of "takeoff".  Do think none of the comps are really good right now since all of them had socials and reviews out by now (with the exception of NWH, IIRC, but that's its own beast).

 

The Black Widow comp took a hit from the residual after effects of its review drop + the bringing back online of two of the Cinema West locations that were giving me fits at the time.  The last one comes back online tomorrow, so as of then everything will be an unadjusted comp once more.

 

Did go ahead and rope in No Time to Die and Dune, but as one can see from the pace, those comps will be coming down as well.

 

FTR, I did check out The Suicide Squad, as requested by @charlie Jatinder.  The Batman  is currently at 10.68x TSS as of T-8, or 43.78m. 

 

Yeah, no. 

 

Is what it is, locally.  No real way of knowing what's going on until the dust settles and I can see if we just have a different sales pattern here (or total for that matter) when it comes to DC films.

Edited February 24, 2022 by Porthos

[ThatWaluigiDude]

4 hours ago, Derby Legion said:

agree mostly good but Nile and Marry Me are par or probably under 

Marry Me had a $23M budget and a simultaneous streaming release. All things considered, that one did fine on the box office.

[filmlover]

With how little product is coming out over the next month Death on the Nile should leg its way to around $40M, making it easily one of the bigger dramas of the pandemic era and better than I expected before release tbh. Can't help but think that the drama surrounding its cast ended up helping it rather than hurting given the low bar it needed to clear lol.