The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

3 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

False God.

Only if legs are under 2.2x  

[charlie Jatinder]

9 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Thor: Love and Thunder Harkins T-1 Day

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
533	124,249	25,180	20.27%	$302,160	$12.00

 

+5206. Excellent T-1 day. No awaits the all important day. Expecting 20K+ to be added today for 45K+ final.

 

Comps

0.650x of DSitMoM admits - $23.56M

3.649x of Eternals admits - $34.67M

1.725x of Jurassic World: Dominion admits - $30.61M

At 5:30 PM, 39371/125399 (544 showings)

 

So far 14,191 added today. 45K final is doable.

[Cooper Legion]

1 hour ago, StormbreakerXXR said:

Only if legs are under 2.2x  

Gotta beat a 1.93x true OWeek 

[charlie Jatinder]

12 minutes ago, Legion and Thunder said:

Gotta beat a 1.93x true OWeek 

Naa being July, you gotta be 2.4x or higher

[Cooper Legion]

2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Naa being July, you gotta be 2.4x or higher

No, OWeek already takes care of summer.

[charlie Jatinder]

Just now, Legion and Thunder said:

No, OWeek already takes care of summer.

oh you meant Week. I was going a bit lower than FFH, are you doing same-ish.

[ZackM]

 

Thor4 will have the biggest D0 walkup sales of any movie I've tracked.  Right around 90k for the day at the moment and nearing 500k total.

 

Alpha - Thor: Love & Thunder - Eastern Time Zone					Alpha - Thor: Love & Thunder - Central Time Zone
Showtimes	Sales	NWH Comp	DS2 Comp		Showtimes	Sales	NWH Comp	DS2 Comp
3:00-3:59	32,681	55.5%	86.3%		3:00-3:59	19,509	52.2%	93.2%
4:00-4:59	20,129	54.2%	82.0%		4:00-4:59	10,037	45.6%	76.0%
5:00-5:59	12,836	40.2%	74.7%		5:00-5:59	7,271	39.5%	69.3%
6:00-6:59	36,565	70.4%	82.8%		6:00-6:59	24,215	68.7%	91.5%
7:00-7:59	37,769	58.9%	78.9%		7:00-7:59	21,131	50.7%	69.6%
8:00-8:59	22,786	51.3%	73.5%		8:00-8:59	12,856	46.0%	70.6%
9:00-9:59	32,989	78.0%	80.9%		9:00-9:59	18,332	81.8%	85.8%
10:00-10:59	21,714	42.1%	71.6%		10:00-10:59	8,780	26.4%	50.6%
11:00-11:59	4,770	33.3%	58.2%		11:00-11:59	1,451	13.9%	38.7%
12:00+	2,859	41.6%	57.5%		12:00+	1,470	25.7%	74.2%
Alpha - Thor: Love & Thunder - Mountain Time Zone					Alpha - Thor: Love & Thunder - Pacific Time Zone
Showtimes	Sales	NWH Comp	DS2 Comp		Showtimes	Sales	NWH Comp	DS2 Comp
3:00-3:59	5,618	60.5%	98.3%		3:00-3:59	17,003	57.2%	84.8%
4:00-4:59	3,152	59.7%	92.4%		4:00-4:59	10,051	50.2%	84.5%
5:00-5:59	2,370	55.4%	89.8%		5:00-5:59	7,886	52.3%	76.3%
6:00-6:59	6,245	75.1%	87.3%		6:00-6:59	17,808	67.8%	78.1%
7:00-7:59	5,108	52.6%	73.7%		7:00-7:59	17,162	56.7%	73.4%
8:00-8:59	3,125	59.6%	79.2%		8:00-8:59	12,169	56.8%	74.2%
9:00-9:59	4,714	82.9%	87.0%		9:00-9:59	15,417	82.9%	74.6%
10:00-10:59	1,636	18.9%	38.1%		10:00-10:59	10,452	38.2%	58.2%
11:00-11:59	546	15.7%	77.6%		11:00-11:59	2,925	16.0%	40.1%
12:00+	314	21.0%	59.4%		12:00+	3,703	28.0%	56.0%

[Rebeccas]

I mean the normies in the crowd ate this up, girl next to me was crying at the end. I think this is probably one of the MCU films that the GA will like more than fans? 

[Porthos]

1 minute ago, ZackM said:

 

Thor4 will have the biggest D0 walkup sales of any movie I've tracked.

 

Regardless of what the preview number actually ends up being, I think one thing this thread has conclusively learned is Fourth of July fucks with pre-sales.

 

Something to remember in future years.

[charlie Jatinder]

29 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Regardless of what the preview number actually ends up being, I think one thing this thread has conclusively learned is Fourth of July fucks with pre-sales.

 

Something to remember in future years.

I think we learnt that like two times so far and it wasn't really surprising this year or for that matter last year as well for BW.

Edited July 8, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[John2015]

"Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris" will only open on 900 theaters.  But the film is actually getting bigger TV marketing than some wider releases. (ie. "Mr. Malcolm's List", "Men")

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

At 5:30 PM, 39371/125399 (544 showings)

 

So far 14,191 added today. 45K final is doable.

At 7:45 PM, 43,737 /125517 (545 showings)

 

Going nicely.

[M37]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

 

Regardless of what the preview number actually ends up being, I think one thing this thread has conclusively learned is Fourth of July fucks with pre-sales.

 

Something to remember in future years.

I cannot like this post enough times. Was worried about exactly such a scenario, but after the Fri/Sat numbers came in, and they were a bit soft but mostly in line with trend, it appeared the holiday impact was going to be minimal, constrained to Sun/Mon and some catch-up later in the week. 
 

Instead, Thor pulls exactly the statistical anomaly I said it would have to, and will get relegated to the outlier scrap heap (along with Eternals)

Edited July 8, 2022 by M37

[Eric Prime]

23 hours ago, Eric Odinson said:

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	65	286	13040	2.19%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 13

 

Comp

0.407x of F9 T-15 (2.89M)

3.446x of Space Jam 2 T-15 (45.14M)

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-14 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	65	318	13040	2.44%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 32

 

Comp

2.544x of Space Jam 2 T-14 (33.33M)

[Menor the Destroyer]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

 

Regardless of what the preview number actually ends up being, I think one thing this thread has conclusively learned is Fourth of July fucks with pre-sales.

 

Something to remember in future years.

Am wondering how much of it is 4th of July and how much of it is just a movie with a high level of interest, but not as much fan/spoiler rush as comps. 

[Rebeccas]

Just now, Menor Reborn said:

Am wondering how much of it is 4th of July and how much of it is just a movie with a high level of interest, but not as much fan/spoiler rush as comps. 

I mean 4th of July fell on a true 3 day weekend this year so probably a lot of people extended their vacations. 

 

I do think Ragnarok is one of the most beloved by the GA MCU movies and probably a lot of people were going to see this as a Ragnarok sequel rather than a post-Endgame MCU thing. 

[Porthos]

49 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I think we learnt that like two times so far and it wasn't really surprising this year or for that matter last year as well for BW.

 

Fair enough, but now I think we have unequivocal proof with Mon dropping from Sun and with Tue/Wed/Thr all getting boosted much more than reviews would have suggested.  

 

I guess I am saying it is harder to find a circumstance with with the variables have cleared out to such a degree that you can point to the Fourth as the overwhelming main factor (esp since last year there was PA as well as 'rona complicating matters).

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

Anyone thinking $30M previews with the walkup surge? 

[ZackM]

Last Thor4 update of the night.  I'll have final numbers in the morning.  Alpha comps would put it around 29M.

 

 

Alpha - Thor: Love & Thunder - Eastern Time Zone					Alpha - Thor: Love & Thunder - Central Time Zone
Showtimes	Sales	NWH Comp	DS2 Comp		Showtimes	Sales	NWH Comp	DS2 Comp
3:00-3:59	32,725	55.5%	86.4%		3:00-3:59	19,532	52.3%	93.3%
4:00-4:59	20,129	54.2%	82.0%		4:00-4:59	10,113	46.0%	76.6%
5:00-5:59	12,836	40.2%	74.7%		5:00-5:59	7,338	39.9%	70.0%
6:00-6:59	36,565	70.4%	82.8%		6:00-6:59	24,215	68.7%	91.5%
7:00-7:59	37,822	58.9%	79.0%		7:00-7:59	21,223	50.9%	69.9%
8:00-8:59	22,977	51.7%	74.1%		8:00-8:59	13,084	46.8%	71.9%
9:00-9:59	35,080	82.9%	86.0%		9:00-9:59	20,017	89.3%	93.7%
10:00-10:59	24,972	48.4%	82.3%		10:00-10:59	10,986	33.1%	63.4%
11:00-11:59	6,005	41.9%	73.3%		11:00-11:59	1,839	17.7%	49.0%
12:00+	3,172	46.1%	63.8%		12:00+	1,716	30.0%	86.6%
Alpha - Thor: Love & Thunder - Mountain Time Zone					Alpha - Thor: Love & Thunder - Pacific Time Zone
Showtimes	Sales	NWH Comp	DS2 Comp		Showtimes	Sales	NWH Comp	DS2 Comp
3:00-3:59	5,618	60.5%	98.3%		3:00-3:59	17,003	57.2%	84.8%
4:00-4:59	3,152	59.7%	92.4%		4:00-4:59	10,051	50.2%	84.5%
5:00-5:59	2,370	55.4%	89.8%		5:00-5:59	7,886	52.3%	76.3%
6:00-6:59	6,245	75.1%	87.3%		6:00-6:59	17,802	67.8%	78.1%
7:00-7:59	5,208	53.6%	75.1%		7:00-7:59	17,632	58.2%	75.4%
8:00-8:59	3,354	64.0%	85.0%		8:00-8:59	13,435	62.7%	81.9%
9:00-9:59	5,260	92.5%	97.1%		9:00-9:59	16,448	88.4%	79.6%
10:00-10:59	1,904	22.0%	44.3%		10:00-10:59	11,352	41.4%	63.2%
11:00-11:59	588	16.9%	83.5%		11:00-11:59	3,296	18.0%	45.2%
12:00+	343	22.9%	64.8%		12:00+	3,886	29.4%	58.8%

[Porthos]

4 minutes ago, Menor Reborn said:

Am wondering how much of it is 4th of July and how much of it is just a movie with a high level of interest, but not as much fan/spoiler rush as comps. 

 

Just now, Porthos said:

 

Fair enough, but now I think we have unequivocal proof with Mon dropping from Sun and with Tue/Wed/Thr all getting boosted much more than reviews would have suggested.  

 

I guess I am saying it is harder to find a circumstance with with the variables have cleared out to such a degree that you can point to the Fourth as the overwhelming main factor (esp since last year there was PA as well as 'rona complicating matters).

 

The Duality of BOT, once again on display.

 

(though this time separated by a post, which ruins the gag slightly )