The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Goldenhour36]

7 hours ago, Goldenhour36 said:

 

 

 

 

Easter Sunday (Tracking Day 6) 

 

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24 

 

Thursday Showings: 

5:00 PM (Digital): 9 Tickets sold, 5.66% of seats (159) are sold (3 New Tickets, 50% Increase) 

8:00 PM (Live with Jo Koy!): 12 Tickets sold, 7.55% of seats (159) are sold (4 New Tickets, 50% Increase) 

 

Friday Showings: 

1:15 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 5 Tickets sold, 5.62% of seats (89) are sold (No Changes) 

4:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 12 Tickets sold, 13.48% of seats (89) are sold (3 New Tickets, 33.33% Increase) 

6:45 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 8 Tickets sold, 8.99% of seats (89) are sold (4 New Tickets, 100% Increase) 

9:30 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 7 Tickets sold, 7.87% of seats (89) are sold (4 New Tickets, 133.33% Increase) 

5:00 PM (Digital): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (121) are sold (New Show) 

7:45 PM (Digital): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (121) are sold (New Show) 

 

Total: 53 Tickets sold, 5.79% of seats (916) are sold (18 New Tickets, 51.43% Increase) 

Comps 

Vengeance (Tracking Day 6): 123 Tickets sold, 18.39% of seats (669) are sold (x0.431) 

 

Island Cinemas (St.Simon) 

 

Thursday Showings: 

5:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold (No Changes) 

7:30 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold (No Changes) 

10:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold (No Changes) 

 

Friday Showings: 

12:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold (No Changes) 

2:30 PM (Standard):  0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold (No Changes) 

5:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold (No Changes) 

7:30 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold (No Changes) 

10:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold (No Changes) 

 

Total: 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (1304) are sold (No Changes) 

No Comps 

 

Valdosta Cinemas 

 

Thursday Showings: 

5:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (65) are sold (No Changes) 

7:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (65) are sold (No Changes) 

10:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (65) are sold (No Changes) 

 

Friday Showings: 

12:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (65) are sold (No Changes) 

2:30 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (65) are sold (No Changes) 

5:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (65) are sold (No Changes) 

7:30 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (65) are sold (No Changes) 

10:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (65) are sold (No Changes) 

Total: 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (520) are sold  

Comps 

Vengeance (Tracking Day 2- 1 Day left to Release) : 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (188) are sold (x1.000) 

 

SUM Total: 

53 Tickets sold, 5.79% of seats (916) are sold (18 New Tickets, 51.43% Increase) 

Comps 

Vengeance (Tracking Day 6): 123 Tickets sold, 14.35% of seats (857) are sold (x0.431) 

 

 

 

Easter Sunday (Final Tracking) (Previews start at 5:00 PM) 

 

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24  

 

Thursday Showings: 

5:00 PM (Digital): 8 Tickets sold, 5.03% of seats (159) are sold (-1 New Tickets, -11.11% Decrease) 

8:00 PM (Live with Jo Koy!): 19 Tickets sold, 11.95% of seats (159) are sold (7 New Tickets, 58.33% Increase) 

 

Friday Showings: 

1:15 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 7 Tickets sold, 7.87% of seats (89) are sold (2 New Tickets, 40% Increase) 

4:00 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 12 Tickets sold, 13.48% of seats (89) are sold (No Changes) 

6:45 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 14 Tickets sold, 15.73% of seats (89) are sold  (6 New Tickets, 75% Increase) 

9:30 PM (Dine-in Delivery to Seat): 7 Tickets sold, 7.87% of seats (89) are sold (No Changes) 

5:00 PM (Digital): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (121) are sold (No Changes) 

7:45 PM (Digital): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (121) are sold (No Changes) 

 

Total: 67 Tickets sold, 7.31% of seats (916) are sold (14 New Tickets, 26.42% Increase) 

Comps 

Vengeance (Final Tracking): 152 Tickets sold, 22.72% of seats (669) are sold (x0.441) 

 

Island Cinemas (St.Simon) 

 

Thursday Showings: 

5:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold (No Changes) 

7:30 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold (No Changes) 

10:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold (No Changes) 

 

Friday Showings: 

12:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold (No Changes) 

2:30 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold (No Changes) 

5:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold (No Changes) 

7:30 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold (No Changes) 

10:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (163) are sold (No Changes) 

 

Total: 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (1304) are sold (No Changes) 

No Comps 

 

Valdosta Cinemas 

 

Thursday Showings: 

5:00 PM (Standard): 2 Tickets sold, 3.08% of seats (65) are sold (2 New Tickets, 100% Increase) 

7:30 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (65) are sold (No Changes) 

10:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (65) are sold (No Changes) 

 

Friday Showings: 

12:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (65) are sold (No Changes) 

2:30 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (65) are sold (No Changes) 

5:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (65) are sold (No Changes) 

7:30 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (65 are sold (No Changes) 

10:00 PM (Standard): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (65) are sold (No Changes) 

 

Total: 2 Tickets sold, 0.38% of seats (520) are sold (2 New Tickets, 100% Increase) 

Comps 

Vengeance (Final Tracking): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (188) are sold (x2.000) 

 

SUM Total: 

69 Tickets sold, 2.52% of seats (2740) are sold (16 New Tickets, 30.19% Increase) 

Comps 

Vengeance (Final Tracking): 152 Tickets sold, 17.74% of seats (857) are sold (x0.454)

 

I was not able to track Bullet Train Final sale but was able to for Easter Sunday as it selling poorly and could open around

$3-4M at this point.

 

 

 

[BadOlCatSylvester]

1 hour ago, motionpic05 said:

The next couple months are going to be bare with almost certainly no movie opening over $30 million. 

 

Halloween Ends is going to be the first "major" release in more than two months, when it releases on October 14th and people will be ready for a high profile flick. Universal will no doubt ride on "Their Saga Ends".. and it will benefit from limited competition. 

 

I think a $70 million OW is certainly possible. 

Halloween Kills wasn't exactly a crowdpleaser, and apparently Ends is even more divisive, so it'll be lucky to reach half your number at this point.

[Eric S'ennui]

17 hours ago, Eric the Tank Engine said:

Bullet Train Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	93	1132	18640	6.07%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 168

 

Comp

4.354x of Snake Eyes T-1 (6.09M)

1.035x of The Suicide Squad T-1 (4.24M)

3.724x of Free Guy T-1 (8.19M)

0.491x of No Time to Die T-1 (3.09M)

0.643x of Dune T-1 (3.28M)

1.273x of Uncharted T-1 (4.71M)

1.462x of The Lost City T-1 (4.75M)

0.658x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-1 (3.95M)

0.274x of Top Gun 2 T-1 (5.27M)

0.272x of Jurassic World 3 T-1 (4.89M)

1.536x of Elvis T-1 (5.37M)

Bullet Train Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	100	1752	19475	9.00%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 620

 

Comp

2.687x of Snake Eyes (3.76M)

0.862x of The Suicide Squad (3.53M)

2.503x of Free Guy (5.51M)

0.602x of No Time to Die (3.79M)

0.750x of Dune (3.82M)

1.269x of Uncharted (4.69M)

1.714x of The Lost City (5.57M)

0.744x of Fantastic Beasts 3 (4.46M)

0.341x of Top Gun 2 (6.56M)

0.278x of Jurassic World 3 (5.01M)

1.631x of Elvis (5.71M)

 

So...we should hopefully get something in the high 3s? That would still make 30M+ possible in that scenario.

[katnisscinnaplex]

4 minutes ago, Eric the Tank Engine said:

Bullet Train Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	100	1752	19475	9.00%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 620

 

Comp

2.687x of Snake Eyes (3.76M)

0.862x of The Suicide Squad (3.53M)

2.503x of Free Guy (5.51M)

0.602x of No Time to Die (3.79M)

0.750x of Dune (3.82M)

1.269x of Uncharted (4.69M)

1.714x of The Lost City (5.57M)

0.744x of Fantastic Beasts 3 (4.46M)

0.341x of Top Gun 2 (6.56M)

0.278x of Jurassic World 3 (5.01M)

1.631x of Elvis (5.71M)

 

So...we should hopefully get something in the high 3s? That would still make 30M+ possible in that scenario.

 

And just so everyone is on the same page, your numbers include EA and my regionals do not.  I think we're in the same range assuming ~1m EA

[Eric S'ennui]

17 hours ago, Eric the Tank Engine said:

Easter Sunday Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	47	44	5893	0.75%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 3

 

Comp

0.145x of Free Guy T-1 (318K)

0.097x of Jackass Forever T-1 (161K)

0.419x of Marry Me T-1 (220K)

0.057x of The Lost City T-1 (185K)

0.160x of Unbearable Weight T-1 (134K)

0.105x of The Bob's Burgers Movie T-1 (157K)

 

Yeah I don't know what happened here lol

Easter Sunday Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	48	89	5951	1.50%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 45

 

Comp

0.127x of Free Guy (280K)

0.128x of Jackass Forever (211K)

0.585x of Marry Me (307K)

0.087x of The Lost City (283K)

0.214x of Unbearable Weight (179K)

0.154x of The Bob's Burgers Movie (232K)

 

Who cares lol

[Borf the Borf]

4 minutes ago, Eric the Tank Engine said:

 

Who cares lol

[Nikostar]

Each passing day I am losing more and more faith in BT. 

[CJohn]

A rough few weeks for theaters between Nope, Superpets and Bullet Train.

[motionpic05]

1 hour ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

Halloween Kills wasn't exactly a crowdpleaser, and apparently Ends is even more divisive, so it'll be lucky to reach half your number at this point.

True. But "The Last Jedi" and "Fallen Kingdom" weren't exactly huge hits with fans either. 

"Rise of Skywalker" and "Dominion" didn't take that big of drops from those movies. 

[MrPink]

26 minutes ago, CJohn said:

A rough few weeks for theaters between Nope, Superpets and Bullet Train.

 

I still think Nope did totally fine. We were literally thinking sub 40m until the last week or two.

[CJohn]

3 minutes ago, MrPink said:

 

I still think Nope did totally fine. We were literally thinking sub 40m until the last week or two.

It cost 70M, it had tons of marketing and it won't even do 200M WW. Not a flop, but not fantastic either for a movie with a 1 year long campaign.

Edited August 4, 2022 by CJohn

[Nikostar]

29 minutes ago, CJohn said:

A rough few weeks for theaters between Nope, Superpets and Bullet Train.

Nope did really well for a R rated movie that everybody thought didn’t have no buzz.

[motionpic05]

Just now, Nikostar said:

Nope did really well for a R rated movie that everybody thought didn’t have no buzz.

Exactly. It was still a hit for an R Rated original film. The success of Get Out and Us created high expectations. 

This is still a win for theatres. 

 

To be honest, how much of the general audience even really know who Jordan Peele is beside his films? 

[MrPink]

5 minutes ago, CJohn said:

It cost 70M, it had tons of marketing and it won't even do 200M WW. Not a flop, but not fantastic either for a movie with a 1 year long campaign.

 

I mean, it's not even out yet overseas, that part might be a bit premature though I wouldn't count on it being over 200m.

 

The marketing last year was just a poster or two. Marketing didn't really start until the Super Bowl and the 2nd trailer hit pretty late as is. And 200m on a 70m budget is totally appropriate, it's just that Peele's last two flicks were wildly profitable. But we knew that he was gonna take a hit because Us was mixed and that's pretty much what played out. 

Edited August 4, 2022 by MrPink

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, Eric the Tank Engine said:

Easter Sunday Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	48	89	5951	1.50%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 45

 

Comp

0.127x of Free Guy (280K)

0.128x of Jackass Forever (211K)

0.585x of Marry Me (307K)

0.087x of The Lost City (283K)

0.214x of Unbearable Weight (179K)

0.154x of The Bob's Burgers Movie (232K)

 

Who cares lol

Not that it makes big difference, but this film will over index in West with higher Filipino population. Hawaii can be over performer for this.

[charlie Jatinder]

At 5:15PM in Harkins for Bullet Train, 4023/48954 (167 showings) $44,424

 

Final can be 5.5K. Good walk-ups. Probably $3-3.3M THU. Incl EA $4.1-4.5M.

Edited August 5, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[Borf the Borf]

3 hours ago, Borf the Borf said:

Yea if anyone is manually counting you can usually hit f12, go to elements tab , ctrl F , and enter a term that will show you howmany sears are taken.  I guess it varies but "unavailable"  usually works.  If know total seats for the handful of layouts your theater(s) have it may save you a bit of time

And just I recommend first time clicking through them all, you will see there may be some that arnt seats.  In this caser 2 of those results arnt seats and they are hte 39 and 40 result.  Tehre could be small variation with the handicaps seats etc. but this can be a huge time saver if going by hand.

[WrathOfHan]

30M is going to be down to the wire on Bullet Train. Sales aren't bad around here but also not indicating high demand. Maybe the high screen count is making it feel more scattered? My IMAX showing in an hour is about 20% of what the 7PM showing was, a dropoff which normally hasn't been the case for PLF this summer. Easter Sunday is selling godawful too.

Edited August 5, 2022 by WrathOfHan

[charlie Jatinder]

At 6PM in Harkins, Easter Sunday is 742/15492 (90 showings) $7865

 

Better than other places here, but not by much. $400-500K may be.

[Ronin46]

BOReport

 

 

Predictions for this weekend's top 9 films at the domestic box office.

 

Rank	Film (Distributor)	Weekend Gross	Total Gross	% Change	Week #
1	Bullet Train (Sony / Columbia)	$31.5 M	$31.5 M	NEW	1
2	DC League of Super-Pets (Warner Bros.)	$10.8 M	$44.5 M	-53%	2
3	Nope (Universal)	$9.2 M	$98.9 M	-51%	3
4	Thor: Love and Thunder (Disney)	$8.1 M	$316.5 M	-39%	5
5	Minions: The Rise of Gru (Universal)	$7.9 M	$335.4 M	-28%	6
6	Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount)	$6.7 M	$662.1 M	-20%	11
7	Easter Sunday (Universal / DreamWorks)	$6.2 M	$6.2 M	NEW	1
8	Where the Crawdads Sing (Sony / Columbia)	$5.4 M	$64.4 M	-29%	4
9	Elvis (Warner Bros.)	$4.5 M	$137.0 M	-22%	7