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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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Posted by Shawn Robbins,

PSA:   As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.   Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box o
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Posted by XXR & Friends,

Yea we're gonna drop all this non tracking stuff. That expressly means you, @excel1. Next post from you that isn't tracking related is a thread ban.    Anyone else continues, it's points. 

We're all tired of the non-tracking related thread derailments. This is your fair warning.

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Eric is Quiet Global Phenomenon

Eric is Quiet

Posted
Posted
22 hours ago, Eric The Last Airbender said:

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 113 534 16775 3.18%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 11

 

Comp

0.267x of Sing 2 T-7 (2.6M)

0.666x of Sonic 2 T-7 (4.16M)

1.786x of Lightyear T-7 (9.29M)

1.690x of Minions 2 T-7 (18.17M)

8.613x of Super Pets T-7 (18.95M)

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 113 545 16775 3.25%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 11

 

Comp

5.093x of Encanto T-6 (7.64M)

0.255x of Sing 2 T-6 (2.48M)

0.586x of Sonic 2 T-6 (3.66M)

1.497x of Lightyear T-6 (7.79M)

1.584x of Minions 2 T-6 (17.03M)

7.365x of Super Pets T-6 (16.2M)

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Eric is Quiet Global Phenomenon

Eric is Quiet

Posted
Posted
22 hours ago, Eric The Last Airbender said:

M3GAN Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-22 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 33 24 5433 0.44%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 3

 

Comp

0.112x of Scream T-22 (391K)

0.105x of Nope T-22 (674K)

M3GAN Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-21 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 33 24 5433 0.44%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 0

 

Comp

1.043x of The Conjuring 3 T-21 (10.23M)

0.104x of Scream T-21 (364K)

0.099x of Nope T-21 (632K)

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ZackM Box Office Gold

ZackM

Posted
Posted

I'll have final numbers in the morning, but it looks like we're heading for about 254k.

 

Avatar: The Way of Water - Eastern Time Zone   Avatar: The Way of Water - Central Time Zone
Showtimes Sales TG:M Comp Batman Comp   Showtimes Sales TG:M Comp Batman Comp
3:00-3:59 16,376 107.9% 73.3%   3:00-3:59 9,297 88.7% 78.2%
4:00-4:59 12,230 195.2% 138.6%   4:00-4:59 7,715 127.5% 200.9%
5:00-5:59 5,679 167.9% 76.4%   5:00-5:59 3,362 123.8% 74.8%
6:00-6:59 9,549 54.8% 66.3%   6:00-6:59 5,513 49.6% 60.1%
7:00-7:59 26,986 136.3% 70.0%   7:00-7:59 16,451 109.3% 68.0%
8:00-8:59 21,184 300.8% 89.4%   8:00-8:59 13,527 234.4% 121.3%
9:00-9:59 9,049 99.5% 72.1%   9:00-9:59 4,525 80.4% 68.1%
10:00-10:59 5,245 85.7% 58.9%   10:00-10:59 2,176 61.3% 46.9%
11:00-11:59 4,206 854.9% 40.7%   11:00-11:59 2,243 859.4% 38.2%
12:00+ 1,495 1256.3% 131.3%   12:00+ 557 -% 150.9%
                 
Avatar: The Way of Water - Mountain Time Zone   Avatar: The Way of Water - Pacific Time Zone
Showtimes Sales TG:M Comp Batman Comp   Showtimes Sales TG:M Comp Batman Comp
3:00-3:59 2,785 66.9% 82.4%   3:00-3:59 9,872 126.9% 77.6%
4:00-4:59 2,163 143.1% 241.7%   4:00-4:59 5,610 122.8% 106.8%
5:00-5:59 1,189 122.8% 100.3%   5:00-5:59 3,059 137.6% 79.6%
6:00-6:59 1,567 40.1% 69.3%   6:00-6:59 4,508 53.7% 53.6%
7:00-7:59 4,192 94.5% 67.9%   7:00-7:59 13,674 142.1% 70.2%
8:00-8:59 3,589 212.2% 131.4%   8:00-8:59 9,358 213.5% 83.1%
9:00-9:59 1,172 69.2% 73.7%   9:00-9:59 3,209 55.8% 42.8%
10:00-10:59 393 37.9% 40.7%   10:00-10:59 1,993 47.1% 36.4%
11:00-11:59 634 640.4% 36.8%   11:00-11:59 3,324 504.4% 43.2%
12:00+ 182 -% -%   12:00+ 1,733 1118.1% 106.6%
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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted
5 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Walkups better than I feared in Harkins.

 

At 7:30 PM, 22024/102733 (489 showings) $282,745

 

Final number can be 24.5-25K. Should be good for $17.5-18.5M.

Avatar: The Way of Water Harkins Previews

Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP
490 102,801 23,342 22.71% $299,050 $12.81

 

Looks like $17-17.5M.

 

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M37 Box Office Gold

M37

Posted
Posted
7 hours ago, Borobudur said:

Terrible, Meh, Decent, Good, Great.

 

What would you choose to describe the trend in Thursday night?

Given where presales stood a week ago: meh 

 

Didn’t totally stall out to like $15M (terrible), but also looks to fall short of even $18/$19 range (decent), while $20M and above would have been good to great 

 

With that said, it does look to me that sales hit a wall starting at T-7 in part because of lack of 2D showings, recovering a bit on Wed/Thur once more were made available. Which bodes well for walk-ups over OW, but perhaps not as much for ATP/legs/total gross 

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katnisscinnaplex Box Office Gold

katnisscinnaplex

Posted
Posted (edited)
On 12/12/2022 at 5:20 PM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Finally had time to look at this.  Here are some numbers for Thursday showings.

 

I'm sure there is a better way to display the data, but this is my first pass.  Here are show counts for the formats I use in my showtimes reports.  

 

Format 3D IMAX IMAX 3D Standard Grand Total
D-Box 420     101 521
Dolby 237     211 448
RPX 211     8 219
Standard 10,164 5 834 10,818 21,821
XD 446     12 458
Grand Total 11,478 5 834 11,150 23,467

 

Here are the theater counts in the same table.  Total of 3,229 theaters polled so far.  2,434 of those theaters have 3D listings of some type.

 

Format 3D IMAX IMAX 3D Standard Grand Total
D-Box 57     26 59
Dolby 110     101 178
RPX 95     4 99
Standard 2,405 3 343 3,051 3,221
XD 150     6 153
Grand Total 2,413 3 343 3,079 3,229

 

Final US sample report of PLF breakdown for the full weekend.  I was able to pull 3,567 theaters.  3D has about a 40% showtime share.  

 

Format 3D IMAX Standard Grand Total
D-Box 2,423   631 3,054
Dolby 1,344   1,242 2,586
RPX 1,211   98 1,309
Standard 69,607 4,734 110,067 184,408
XD 2,298   75 2,373
Grand Total 76,883 4,734 112,113 193,730

 

*Forgot to mention that almost all of the IMAX are 3D as well.  Only saw three theaters that had 2D IMAX shows.

 

Here's the weekend breakdown by time slots.  I usually only post this for preview day but since I was scrolling through my sheets while I had the showtimes populated I figured why not share it.

 

Time Shows %
<11:59am 20,613 10.63%
12:00-12:59 12,639 6.52%
1:00-1:59 11,153 5.75%
2:00-2:59 12,389 6.39%
3:00-3:59 19,490 10.05%
4:00-4:59 16,725 8.62%
5:00-5:59 12,575 6.48%
6:00-6:59 16,232 8.37%
7:00-7:59 21,764 11.22%
8:00-8:59 17,205 8.87%
9:00-9:59 14,313 7.38%
10:00-10:59 10,478 5.40%
11:00-11:59 3,802 1.96%
12am+ 4,572 2.36%

Edited by katnisscinnaplex
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stripe Box Office Gold

stripe

Posted
Posted
11 minutes ago, M37 said:

Given where presales stood a week ago: meh 

 

Didn’t totally stall out to like $15M (terrible), but also looks to fall short of even $18/$19 range (decent), while $20M and above would have been good to great 

 

With that said, it does look to me that sales hit a wall starting at T-7 in part because of lack of 2D showings, recovering a bit on Wed/Thur once more were made available. Which bodes well for walk-ups over OW, but perhaps not as much for ATP/legs/total gross 

 

What are your predictions for the weekend and the DOM gross?

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Joyous Legion Global Phenomenon

Joyous Legion

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, Flamengo81 said:

As I predicted, the walkups will apparently be good to compesate at least a little the stall in presales. All in all, I am happy with the projections, things were looking really bad these last few days.

This is uhhhh… very premature at the moment.

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ZackM Box Office Gold

ZackM

Posted
Posted

Final Avatar 2 numbers...finished pretty well out West.

 

Avatar: The Way of Water
Alpha Chain
Premiere Night Seat Report: D0 Final
           
  Walkups Final Presales 2 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 4 Days Ago
Showings Added 0 115 182 783 508
Seats Added 0 12,111 17,478 88,682 62,015
Seats Sold 59,457 18,737 20,751 14,885 11,782
           
12/15/2022 Theaters Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Pct. Sold
Total 436 6,560 255,625 989,011 25.85%
           
% of Seats Sold Sellouts 90%+ 80%+ 70%+ 60%+
# of Showings 0 29 122 372 770
           
ATP          
$17.35          

 

 

Avatar: The Way of Water Comps
  Thor: Love & Thunder Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Jurassic World: Dominion The Batman Top Gun: Maverick
  Unweighted Weighted Unweighted Weighted Unweighted Weighted Unweighted Weighted Unweighted Weighted
D0 $14.2 $15.5 $14.7 $16.1 $17.6 $18.7 $13.4 $14.8 $17.1 $18.6
T-0 $13.9 $15.3 $14.2 $15.6 $19.0 $20.1 $12.3 $13.7 $17.9 $19.4
T-1 $14.2 $15.6 $14.2 $15.7 $20.5 $21.6 $13.4 $14.7 $18.4 $19.9
T-2 $14.2 $15.5 $14.0 $15.4 $20.8 $22.0 $13.6 $14.9 $19.1 $20.6
T-3 $14.0 $15.3 $13.8 $15.3 $21.5 $22.7 $13.8 $15.2 $19.6 $21.1
T-4 $13.6 $14.9 $13.7 $15.2 $22.0 $23.2 $14.1 $15.5 $20.2 $21.7
T-5 $13.1 $14.4 $13.4 $14.9 $22.2 $23.5 $13.9 $15.3 $20.3 $21.8
T-6 $12.8 $14.1 $13.3 $14.7 $22.6 $23.9 $13.7 $15.1 $20.8 $22.3
T-7 $12.7 $14.0 $13.2 $14.6 $23.1 $24.4 $13.7 $15.0 $21.3 $22.9
T-8 $12.4 $13.6 $12.9 $14.3 $22.9 $24.1 $13.3 $14.6 $21.5 $23.1
T-9 $11.9 $13.2 $12.6 $14.0 $22.6 $23.9 $12.8 $14.1 $21.2 $22.8
T-10 $11.6 $12.8 $12.3 $13.7 $22.4 $23.6 $12.6 $13.9 $21.2 $22.8
T-11 $11.3 $12.5 $12.0 $13.3 $22.0 $23.2 $12.2 $13.5 $21.0 $22.5
T-12 $11.1 $12.2 $11.6 $12.9 $21.6 $22.9 $11.9 $13.1 $20.7 $22.3
T-13 $10.9 $12.1 $11.4 $12.7 $21.4 $22.7 $11.7 $13.0 $20.9 $22.5
T-14 $10.8 $12.0 $11.3 $12.6 $21.2 $22.5 $11.5 $12.8 $21.6 $23.3
T-15 $10.6 $11.8 $11.1 $12.4 $21.0 $22.3        
T-16 $10.4 $11.6 $10.9 $12.2 $20.7 $22.0        
T-17 $10.3 $11.5 $10.7 $12.0 $20.6 $21.9        
T-18 $10.2 $11.4 $10.5 $11.8 $20.5 $21.8        

 

 

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