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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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Quorum Updates

Women Talking T-1: 12.75% Awareness, 4.59 Interest

Missing T-15: 20.29%, 5.66

Asteroid City T-169: 6.96%, 4.56

Gran Turismo T-218: 14.57%, 5.03

 

M3GAN T-1: 51.3% Awareness, 6.11 Interest

Final Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 90% chance of 20M, 70% chance of 30M, 50% chance of 40M

Final Interest: 100% chance of 10M, 94% chance of 20M and 30M, 82% chance of 40M

Horror Awareness: 100% chance of 30M

Horror Interest: 100% chance of 40M

 

Plane T-8: 24.35% Awareness, 5.57 Interest

Final Awareness: 7% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 74% chance of 10M

Original - Low Awareness: 33% chance of 5M, 0% chance of 10M

Original - Low Interest: 80% chance of 5M, 40% chance of 10M

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1 hour ago, SchumacherFTW said:

@Shawn You can update the untitled Crunchyroll movie to "That Time I got Reincarnated as a Slime". Yes, that is a real thing.

That-Time-I-Got-Reincarnated-as-a-Slime-

1 hour ago, Brainbug said:

 

Even funnier is that that series is one of the less weird Isekai out there compared to ... some others.

They need to keep coming. Bring "Is It Wrong to Try to Pick Up Girls in a Dungeon?" next.

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1 hour ago, SchumacherFTW said:

@Shawn You can update the untitled Crunchyroll movie to "That Time I got Reincarnated as a Slime". Yes, that is a real thing.

Excuse me sir but it’s That Time I got Reincarnated as a Slime: Scarlet Bond 😤

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1 minute ago, CJohn said:

That-Time-I-Got-Reincarnated-as-a-Slime-

They need to keep coming. Bring "Is It Wrong to Try to Pick Up Girls in a Dungeon?" next.

 

My favourite title thus far is "Reborn as a Vending Machine, i now wander the Dungeon"

 

A. fucking. Vending. Machine

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Isekai genre really slaps. It’s time western media got wise.

 

Spoiler

T-one year until I Can’t Believe I got Reincarnated as Butter

 

Or maybe Reborn In my New Life in Spy x Family? An Unbelievable Tale

 

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1 hour ago, SchumacherFTW said:

@Shawn You can update the untitled Crunchyroll movie to "That Time I got Reincarnated as a Slime". Yes, that is a real thing.

I actually meant to remove it entirely and it just slipped through the cracks. This week has been insane.🤪

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17 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Quick and Dirty M3GAN Sacramento Report [4:30pm - 4:45pm]:

1769/7305 (24.22% sold) [+957 tickets]

46.28% of Nope at T-0                             (2.96m)

68.30% of Scream (2022) at T-0             (2.39m)

---

44.77% of Sonic 2 at T-0                           (2.80m)

26.84% of Minions 2 at T-0                       (2.89m)

58.31% of Ghostbusters: Afterlife at T-0 (2.62m)

 

====

 

holy-mother-forking-shirt-balls-oh-no.gi

 

This thing BLEW THE FUCK UP locally.  It sold nearly a 1000 tickets since last night.

 

Only skunk at the party is that Scream comp, but I took that much later in the day, and I also think it over-performed here locally.

 

Let's sa2.9m +/-.3m as a comp.

 

 

 

*actual comes in at 2.75m*

 

Not too bad at all for a Quick and Dirty.

 

Did think there wasn't enough juice for 3m so I'm glad I slid off of that at the last moment.  Almost put in 2.8m though, but couldn't quite pull the trigger.  If I did more of these lower earners might have had comps in the bucket to come lower, but as it is, I'll take it as a win for Sacramento's Dark Magic. 

Edited by Porthos
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52 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

*actual comes in at 2.75m*

 

Not too bad at all for a Quick and Dirty.

 

Did think there wasn't enough juice for 3m so I'm glad I slid off of that at the last moment.  Almost put in 2.8m though, but couldn't quite pull the trigger.  If I did more of these lower earners might have had comps in the bucket to come lower, but as it is, I'll take it as a win for Sacramento's Dark Magic. 

Well done as usual, Porthos. And to all the other trackers of course. Literally the best in the business!

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M3gan, counted today at 8am EST for today:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 295 (8 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24):
110 (11 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18):
53 (6 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 50 (7 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 68 (7 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16):
191 (8 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 434 (14 showtimes)


Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 1.201.


Up really good 60% since yesterday (and yesterday I counted later than usual. So actually the jump is higher than 60%).
Comps (all counted on Friday for Friday): The Woman King (5.1M true Friday) had 792 sold tickets = 7.8M true Friday for M3gan,

Candyman (7.2M) had 1.064 sold tickets = 8.1M
and Crawl (3.4M) had 571 sold tickets = 7.1M.

So from my few comps close to
8M true Friday for M3gan. And as mentioned it had a really good jump, especially for that level. Still, 30M OW would be tough with that Friday number I guess.

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On 1/6/2023 at 8:05 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
House Party T-6 Jax 3 7 3 3 672 0.45%
    Phx 2 5 2 3 585 0.51%
    Ral 3 6 3 3 734 0.41%
  Total   8 18 8 9 1,991 0.45%
Knock at Cabin T-27 Jax 5 14 0 9 2,251 0.40%
    Phx 4 10 2 10 1,554 0.64%
    Ral 5 14 0 16 2,228 0.72%
  Total   14 38 2 35 6,033 0.58%
Left Behind T-20 Jax 4 4 -3 2 453 0.44%
    Phx 5 5 0 10 830 1.20%
    Ral 5 5 0 15 530 2.83%
  Total   14 14 -3 27 1,813 1.49%
Otto T-6 Jax 3 11 4 13 1,453 0.89%
    Phx 4 11 1 18 1,283 1.40%
    Ral 4 17 8 17 1,767 0.96%
  Total   11 39 13 48 4,503 1.07%

 

A Man Called Otto T-6 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 1.043x (522k)

 - Elvis - .132x (423k)

 

Knock at the Cabin T-27 comps

 - Nope - missed

 - M3GAN - 1.842x

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
House Party T-5 Jax 3 7 13 16 672 2.38%
    Phx 2 5 2 5 585 0.85%
    Ral 5 11 -1 2 1,010 0.20%
  Total   10 23 14 23 2,267 1.01%
Knock at Cabin T-26 Jax 5 14 2 11 2,251 0.49%
    Phx 4 10 1 11 1,554 0.71%
    Ral 5 14 0 16 2,228 0.72%
  Total   14 38 3 38 6,033 0.63%
Left Behind T-19 Jax 4 4 10 12 453 2.65%
    Phx 5 5 2 12 830 1.45%
    Ral 5 5 2 17 530 3.21%
  Total   14 14 14 41 1,813 2.26%
Otto T-5 Jax 3 11 0 13 1,453 0.89%
    Phx 4 11 0 18 1,283 1.40%
    Ral 5 20 1 18 2,007 0.90%
  Total   12 42 1 49 4,743 1.03%
Plane T-5 Jax 5 13 7 7 1,239 0.56%
    Phx 6 11 3 3 1,260 0.24%
    Ral 6 10 18 18 1,086 1.66%
  Total   17 34 28 28 3,585 0.78%
Plane (EA) T-4 Jax 1 1 14 14 42 33.33%
  Total   1 1 14 14 42 33.33%

 

A Man Called Otto T-5 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 1x (500k)

 - Elvis - .118x (376k)

 - House of Gucci - .358x (465k)

 - Respect - 1.021x (664k)

 

Plane T-5 comps

 - Devotion - .549x (338k)

 - Ambulance - .683x (478k)

 - Stillwater - 1.647x (461k)

 

House Party T-5 comps

 - Easter Sunday - .469x (235k)

 - Violent Night - .223x (246k)

 

Knock at the Cabin T-26 comps

 - Nope - missed

 - M3GAN - 1.81x - 4.98m

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23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
House Party T-5 Jax 3 7 13 16 672 2.38%
    Phx 2 5 2 5 585 0.85%
    Ral 5 11 -1 2 1,010 0.20%
  Total   10 23 14 23 2,267 1.01%
Knock at Cabin T-26 Jax 5 14 2 11 2,251 0.49%
    Phx 4 10 1 11 1,554 0.71%
    Ral 5 14 0 16 2,228 0.72%
  Total   14 38 3 38 6,033 0.63%
Left Behind T-19 Jax 4 4 10 12 453 2.65%
    Phx 5 5 2 12 830 1.45%
    Ral 5 5 2 17 530 3.21%
  Total   14 14 14 41 1,813 2.26%
Otto T-5 Jax 3 11 0 13 1,453 0.89%
    Phx 4 11 0 18 1,283 1.40%
    Ral 5 20 1 18 2,007 0.90%
  Total   12 42 1 49 4,743 1.03%
Plane T-5 Jax 5 13 7 7 1,239 0.56%
    Phx 6 11 3 3 1,260 0.24%
    Ral 6 10 18 18 1,086 1.66%
  Total   17 34 28 28 3,585 0.78%
Plane (EA) T-4 Jax 1 1 14 14 42 33.33%
  Total   1 1 14 14 42 33.33%

 

A Man Called Otto T-5 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 1x (500k)

 - Elvis - .118x (376k)

 - House of Gucci - .358x (465k)

 - Respect - 1.021x (664k)

 

Plane T-5 comps

 - Devotion - .549x (338k)

 - Ambulance - .683x (478k)

 - Stillwater - 1.647x (461k)

 

House Party T-5 comps

 - Easter Sunday - .469x (235k)

 - Violent Night - .223x (246k)

 

Knock at the Cabin T-26 comps

 - Nope - missed

 - M3GAN - 1.81x - 4.98m

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
House Party T-4 Jax 4 10 -2 14 1,008 1.39%
    Phx 2 5 2 7 585 1.20%
    Ral 5 11 1 3 1,010 0.30%
  Total   11 26 1 24 2,603 0.92%
Knock at Cabin T-25 Jax 5 14 0 11 2,251 0.49%
    Phx 4 10 0 11 1,554 0.71%
    Ral 5 14 0 16 2,228 0.72%
  Total   14 38 0 38 6,033 0.63%
Left Behind T-18 Jax 4 4 3 15 453 3.31%
    Phx 5 5 0 12 830 1.45%
    Ral 5 5 0 17 530 3.21%
  Total   14 14 3 44 1,813 2.43%
Missing T-11 Jax 5 19 10 10 1,590 0.63%
    Phx 4 9 7 7 1,687 0.41%
    Ral 3 7 2 2 793 0.25%
  Total   12 35 19 19 4,070 0.47%
Otto T-4 Jax 4 15 5 18 1,829 0.98%
    Phx 4 11 2 20 1,283 1.56%
    Ral 5 20 3 21 2,007 1.05%
  Total   13 46 10 59 5,119 1.15%
Plane T-4 Jax 5 13 1 8 1,239 0.65%
    Phx 6 11 3 6 1,260 0.48%
    Ral 6 10 5 23 1,086 2.12%
  Total   17 34 9 37 3,585 1.03%
Plane (EA) T-3 Jax 1 1 0 14 42 33.33%
  Total   1 1 0 14 42 33.33%

 

A Man Called Otto T-4 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 1.035x (518k)

 - Elvis - missed

 - House of Gucci - .343x (446k)

 - Respect - 1.11x (724k)

 - Fabelmans - 3.1x (1.24m)

 - Stillwater - 2.81x (787k)

 - Father Stu - .656x (361k)

 

Plane T-4 comps

 - Devotion - .638x (392k)

 - Ambulance - .712x (498k)

 - Stillwater - 1.762x (493k)

 

House Party T-4 comps

 - Easter Sunday - .421x (211k)

 - Violent Night - missed

 

Missing T-11 comps

 - Crawdads - .119x (238k)

 - Bullet Train - .09x (300k)

 - Lost City - .125x (313k)

 

Knock at the Cabin T-25 comps

 - Nope - .194x (1.24m)

 - M3GAN - 1.65x (4.54m)

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On 1/5/2023 at 3:17 PM, datpepper said:

House Party is potentially not going to open wide. Friend of mine did a scan and he’s only seeing about 500-800 or so theaters with it booked currently.

 

Up to about 800-950 now, might be over 1k or so by the time Tuesday rolls around.

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On 1/6/2023 at 11:40 PM, Porthos said:

 

*actual comes in at 2.75m*

 

Not too bad at all for a Quick and Dirty.

 

Did think there wasn't enough juice for 3m so I'm glad I slid off of that at the last moment.  Almost put in 2.8m though, but couldn't quite pull the trigger.  If I did more of these lower earners might have had comps in the bucket to come lower, but as it is, I'll take it as a win for Sacramento's Dark Magic. 

so you are the reason it came under $3M.

cc @Menor Reborn

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