The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New*	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Champions	T-10	Jax	4	6	0	1	649	0.15%
		Phx	5	8	0	1	674	0.15%
		Ral	6	11	0	0	1,083	0.00%
	Total		15	25	0	2	2,406	0.08%
Creed III	T-3	Jax	5	27	58	181	4,400	4.11%
		Phx	6	17	39	159	2,573	6.18%
		Ral	8	20	57	196	2,624	7.47%
	Total		19	64	154	536	9,597	5.59%
Creed III (EA)	T-2	Jax	5	8	27	122	2,172	5.62%
		Phx	1	2	21	43	618	6.96%
		Ral	2	2	19	75	412	18.20%
	Total		8	12	67	240	3,202	7.50%
Creed III (Pre)	T-0	Jax	1	1	10	20	389	5.14%
	Total		1	1	10	20	389	5.14%
Demon Slayer 2	T-4	Jax	5	17	69	409	2,730	14.98%
(OD)		Phx	5	15	55	489	2,556	19.13%
		Ral	7	23	93	519	2,664	19.48%
	Total		17	55	217	1,417	7,950	17.82%
Op Fortune	T-3	Jax	5	8	0	0	853	0.00%
		Phx	5	8	0	5	646	0.77%
		Ral	5	10	5	7	700	1.00%
	Total		15	26	5	12	2,199	0.55%
Scream VI	T-10	Jax	5	27	16	199	3,748	5.31%
		Phx	5	17	29	328	2,894	11.33%
		Ral	8	33	13	204	4,211	4.84%
	Total		18	77	58	731	10,853	6.74%
Shazam 2	T-17	Jax	5	56	23	106	9,734	1.09%
		Phx	6	29	8	107	6,134	1.74%
		Ral	8	53	14	133	7,666	1.73%
	Total		19	138	45	346	23,534	1.47%

*New since Sat morning

 

Creed III EA T-2 comps

 - NTTD EA - missed

 - Ghostbusters EA - 6.857x (2.4m)

 - Bullet Train EA - 1.538x (1.92m)

 - Elvis EA - missed

 

Creed III T-3 comps

 - Elvis - missed

 - No Time to Die - missed

 - Dune - .455x (2.32m)

 - F9 - .37x (2.63m)

 - Death on the Nile - 3.25x (3.57m)

 - Bullet Train - 1.235x (4.14m)

 - Free Guy - 1.757x (3.87m)

 - Suicide Squad - .869x (3.56m)

 

Operation Fortune T-3 comps

 - Plane - .218x (136k)

 - Ambulance - .2x (140k)

 - Bones & All - .3x (103k)

 

Demon Slayer 2 T-4 comps

 - MHA - 1.462x (4.22m)

 - JJK 0 - 1.301x (3.75m)

 - Dragon Ball Z - 1.352x (5.82m)

 - Slime - 22.14x (5.54m)

 

Scream VI T-10 comps

 - Nope - 1.724x (11.03m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 7.86x (11.4m)

 - Black Adam - missed

 - Suicide Squad - 2.421x (9.92m)

 - F9 - .905x (6.42m)

 - Fantastic Beasts 3 - .87x (5.22m)

 - Ghostbusters - 1.545x (6.41m)

 - Morbius - 1.192x (6.8m)

 

Champions T-10 comps

 - 12 Mighty Orphans - .286x

 - Respect - .083x (54k)

 

Shazam 2 T-17 comps

 - Sonic 2 - 1.263x (6.29m)

 - Black Widow - .21x (2.77m)

 - Ant-Man 3 - .1x (1.76m)

 - Eternals - .292x (2.78m)

 - F9 - .78x (5.57m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Champions	T-9	Jax	4	6	0	1	649	0.15%
		Phx	5	8	0	1	674	0.15%
		Ral	6	11	0	0	1,083	0.00%
	Total		15	25	0	2	2,406	0.08%
Creed III	T-2	Jax	5	27	11	192	4,400	4.36%
		Phx	6	17	42	201	2,573	7.81%
		Ral	8	30	41	237	3,417	6.94%
	Total		19	74	94	630	10,390	6.06%
Creed III (EA)	T-1	Jax	5	8	20	142	2,172	6.54%
		Phx	1	2	18	61	618	9.87%
		Ral	2	2	9	84	412	20.39%
	Total		8	12	47	287	3,202	8.96%
Creed III (Pre)	T-0	Jax	1	1	20	20	389	5.14%
	Total		1	1	20	20	389	5.14%
Demon Slayer 2	T-3	Jax	5	17	53	462	2,730	16.92%
(OD)		Phx	5	15	59	548	2,556	21.44%
		Ral	7	23	56	575	2,664	21.58%
	Total		17	55	168	1,585	7,950	19.94%
Op Fortune	T-2	Jax	5	8	2	2	853	0.23%
		Phx	5	8	4	9	646	1.39%
		Ral	5	10	0	7	700	1.00%
	Total		15	26	6	18	2,199	0.82%
Scream VI	T-9	Jax	5	27	8	207	3,748	5.52%
		Phx	5	17	12	340	2,894	11.75%
		Ral	8	33	0	204	4,211	4.84%
	Total		18	77	20	751	10,853	6.92%
Shazam 2	T-16	Jax	5	56	9	115	9,734	1.18%
		Phx	6	29	17	124	6,134	2.02%
		Ral	8	53	-3	130	7,666	1.70%
	Total		19	138	23	369	23,534	1.57%

 

Creed III EA T-1 comps

 - NTTD EA - missed

 - Ghostbusters EA - 6.523x (2.28m)

 - Bullet Train EA - 1.511x (1.89m)

 - Elvis EA - missed

 - Crawdads EA - 5.415x (1.62m)

 

Creed III T-2 comps

 - Elvis - .848x (2.71m)

 - No Time to Die - missed

 - Dune - .418x (2.13m)

 - F9 - .36x (2.59m)

 - Death on the Nile - 3.09x (3.4m)

 - Bullet Train - 1.2x (4.02m)

 - Free Guy - 1.795x (3.95m)

 - Suicide Squad - .863x (3.54m)

 

Operation Fortune T-2 comps

 - Plane - .194x (120k)

 - Ambulance - .2x (140k)

 - Bones & All - .33x (115k)

 

Demon Slayer 2 T-3 comps

 - MHA (OD) - 1.468x (4.23m)

 - JJK 0 - 1.312x (3.78m)

 - Dragon Ball Z - 1.408x (6.06m)

 - Slime - 20.86x (5.21m)

 - One Piece - 2.607x (4.42m)

 

Scream VI T-9 comps

 - Nope - 1.594x (10.2m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 7.59x (11m)

 - Black Adam - missed

 - Suicide Squad - 2.377x (9.74m)

 - F9 - .869x (6.17m)

 - Fantastic Beasts 3 - .831x (4.98m)

 - Ghostbusters - missed

 - Morbius - 1.134x (6.47m)

 

Champions T-9 comps

 - 12 Mighty Orphans - .286x

 - Respect - .077x (50k)

 

Shazam 2 T-16 comps

 - Sonic 2 - 1.281x (6.38m)

 - Black Widow - .215x (2.84m)

 - Ant-Man 3 - .11x (1.84m)

 - Eternals - .302x (2.87m)

 - F9 - .73x (5.2m)

Edited February 28, 2023 by katnisscinnaplex
Add One Piece comp

[ChipDerby]

Shazam is suffering because of reasons Marvel succeeded and is now suffering for... It's not a part of something bigger, so people are less invested. It's what got those Marvel C-tier characters to big box office (and is what is now hurting their quality because now everything is JUST a part of something bigger).

 

Still hoping sales pick up and they start marketing it heavily. Also I really wish they wouldn't have used that eminem song in every single trailer/spot. (I love eminem but man it feels so dated)

[Dragoncaine]

If Shazam 2 gets like 75% RT or better, it will have been a big mistake to not market it a bit more prominently.

[vafrow]

1 hour ago, ChipDerby said:

Shazam is suffering because of reasons Marvel succeeded and is now suffering for... It's not a part of something bigger, so people are less invested. It's what got those Marvel C-tier characters to big box office (and is what is now hurting their quality because now everything is JUST a part of something bigger).

 

Still hoping sales pick up and they start marketing it heavily. Also I really wish they wouldn't have used that eminem song in every single trailer/spot. (I love eminem but man it feels so dated)

 

Sequels always have to find a way to up the ante. In the era of cinematic universes, the easiest is to link it to a broader story, but, there's other ways to do it. The Fast and Furious movies keep adding bigger and bigger names for example. Or, something like Sonic brought in more characters that people knew from the games.

 

If DC wasn't going to bring this into another storyline, then they needed to find some other way to make the stakes bigger.

 

From a performance perspective, I think one comparable i keep going back to is the Godzilla movies. The 2014 film did $200M domestic. There's then a big gap with only the King Kong movie in between, that doesn't have any direct ties.

 

The 2019 sequel then does just over half the return of the original. And that one had bigger stakes by bringing in a lot of fan favorite characters.

 

The crossover though improved, in the middle of the pandemic. But it crossed over a popular character and also came out within 2 years.

[Eric is Quiet]

 

I tracked this stupid movie on The Quorum for nothing.

 

[misterpepp]

Renfield tix should be on sale March 22.

[keysersoze123]

Creed MTC1

Feb 27 Imax shows final - 5423/10237 117846.27 33 shows

Mar 1 early shows - 17068/91306 325767.40 367 shows

Previews - 23297/266893 402940.59 1403 shows

Friday - 35878/693546 595715.82 3481 shows. 

 

Creed MTC2

Mar1 - 6129/34107 94458.50 167 shows

Previews - 10818/146605 148190.91 887 shows

 

All but friday are as of yesterday night. Friday was taken this morning. Looks really good to me. I am expecting really good previews with early shows and then very good IM as well. I think even 50m OW is in play. its stronger in big markets and so we see weaker MTC2 data as well. 

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, datpepper said:

Renfield tix should be on sale March 22.

Nice. I'm guessing Dungeons & Dragons will be going on sale on or around March 10 (the SXSW premiere).

[Dragoncaine]

8 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Creed MTC1

Feb 27 Imax shows final - 5423/10237 117846.27 33 shows

Mar 1 early shows - 17068/91306 325767.40 367 shows

Previews - 23297/266893 402940.59 1403 shows

Friday - 35878/693546 595715.82 3481 shows. 

 

Creed MTC2

Mar1 - 6129/34107 94458.50 167 shows

Previews - 10818/146605 148190.91 887 shows

 

All but friday are as of yesterday night. Friday was taken this morning. Looks really good to me. I am expecting really good previews with early shows and then very good IM as well. I think even 50m OW is in play. its stronger in big markets and so we see weaker MTC2 data as well. 

Man, imagine Scream and Creed both hit $50m in back to back weeks.

[Tinalera]

Scream 6

Thurs Mar 9 and Fri Mar 10 (T-10)

Vancouver and Calgary Canada

 

Vancouv	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	3	10	127	2019	2146	0.0591
Fri	3	20	52	4003	4055	0.0128
Calgary
Thurs	4	5	52	2187	2239	0.0232
Fri	4	7	76	3838	3914	0.0194

[misterpepp]

Mario on sale Mar 25 at noon EST.

[efialtes76]

1 hour ago, Dragoncaine said:

Man, imagine Scream and Creed both hit $50m in back to back weeks.

That's a pipe dream.

Edited February 28, 2023 by efialtes76

[poweranimals]

22 minutes ago, datpepper said:

Mario on sale Mar 25 at noon EST.

Kinda late compared to other big movies but okay.

[Boxofficerules]

8 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

That's a pipe dream.

No confidence in Creed?

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

Outta curiousity, how are 3D pre-sales for Scream doing?

[Porthos]

15 minutes ago, AMC Theaters Enjoyer said:

Outta curiousity, how are 3D pre-sales for Scream doing?

 

9 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Scream VI Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-10 and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	77	8931	9739	808	8.30%

 

Regal:       143/2507  [5.70% sold]
Matinee:       54/687  [7.86% | 6.68% of all tickets sold]
3D:            365/3150  [11.59% | 45.17% of all tickets sold]

 

Massively inflated thanks to the 3D fan event, so don't expect that percentage to hold, but very very well for preview night.

 

Makes me want to rope in an Avatar 2 comp once we get close enough to release.

 

Edited February 28, 2023 by Porthos

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

 

Massively inflated thanks to the 3D fan event, so don't expect that percentage to hold, but very very well for preview night.

 

Makes me want to rope in an Avatar 2 comp once we get close enough to release.

 

 

Thank you. I'm curious how its 3D run will do too, particularly once initial reception comes in and we see how the conversion turned out.

[Porthos]

6 minutes ago, AMC Theaters Enjoyer said:

 

Thank you. I'm curious how its 3D run will do too, particularly once initial reception comes in and we see how the conversion turned out.

 

The fan event currently accounts for about 60% of all 3D sales locally (220/365), so there is actually a decent amount of "regular" 3D sales for this film.  Points to it having a higher than normal 3D share even without the fan event putting a thumb on the scale (though obvs not nearly at A2 levels). At the mo, about 25% of all non-fan event sales are 3D which is much higher than normal (about 2x or 3x or so).

 

Mind, it's not that surprising there would be a receptive audience as slasher horror and 3D has a long and glorious(?) tradition.  At least here in the domestic market.  For those not aware/around at the time, back in the 80s there was a mini-revival of 3D thanks to Friday the 13th and other horror films. 

 

So for a meta franchise like Scream, leaning into 3D does make a fair amount of sense.

[european1992]

It is almost safe to say that Scream VI will open above 50M according to the tracking? I am secretly hoping for a breakout a la Halloween 2018.

[XXR & Friends]

Just now, european1992 said:

It is almost safe to say that Scream VI will open above 50M according to the tracking? I am secretly hoping for a breakout a la Halloween 2018.

I would say 40 is safe but I wouldn’t go as far as to say 50.