The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[GOGODanca]

T-29 Black Panther Wakanda Forever

 

3157 tickets sold across 189 showtimes at 10 local AMC's

 

This about 4.2x as many tickets sold as Black Adam (T-8) has sold

[YSLDC]

Will be interesting to see what happens to ticket sales when Cavill is confirmed today because of the worldwide premiere. Have a feeling sales will BLOW UP

[Eric the Minion]

Quorum Updates

Halloween Ends T-2: 58.32% Awareness, 6.57 Interest

Prey for the Devil T-16: 26.22%, 5.34

Violent Night T-51: 21.09%, 5.17

The Whale T-58: 21.95%, 5.06

Harold and the Purple Crayon T-107: 8.48%, 4.29

Knock at the Cabin T-114: 19.13%, 5.57

 

Black Adam T-9: 57.24% Awareness, 6.09 Interest

Comps (All Final): Shang-Chi w/ 43.04% Awareness & 5.56 Interest, Venom 2 w/ 54.39% & 5.78, Eternals w/ 41.7% & 5.89

*Note that Black Adam's Final Awareness and Interest is subject to change*

 

Final General Awareness: 100% chance of double digits, 95% chance of 20M, 84% chance of 30M, 74% chance of 40M, 63% chance of 50M, 53% chance of 70M

General Interest: 100% chance of 30M, 86% chance of 40M, 64% chance over 50M, 57% chance over 70M

DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 70M

DC/MCU Interest: 100% chance of 100M

 

Ticket to Paradise T-9: 35.29% Awareness, 5.29 Interest

Comps (All Final): Respect w/ 40.28% Awareness & 5.53 Interest, The Lost City w/ 58.17% & 6.13, Elvis w/ 49.07% & 5.9, Amsterdam w/ 32.14% & 5.62

 

Final General Awareness: 26% chance of double-digit opening, 2% chance of 20M

General Interest: 68% chance of double-digit opening, 48% chance of 20M

Original - High Awareness: 14% chance over double-digits

Original - High Interest: 20% chance over double-digits

[filmlover]

Looking at the schedule it's more likely than not that both Black Adam and Ticket to Paradise will still be in the top 10 on Thanksgiving weekend given how few wide releases (7, would be 8 if Glass Onion's box office was going to be reported) November has overall.

[cooldude97]

1 hour ago, YSLDC said:

Will be interesting to see what happens to ticket sales when Cavill is confirmed today because of the worldwide premiere. Have a feeling sales will BLOW UP

probably overestimating how much the GA gives a crap about henry cavill as superman

[YSLDC]

3 minutes ago, cooldude97 said:

probably overestimating how much the GA gives a crap about henry cavill as superman

 

He's like Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man level in my opinion so he can give a major boost

[GOGODanca]

 

Spoiler

A 10 second post credits cameo of Cavill isn't gonna move any numbers imo

 

[TheDarkKnightOfSteel]

The GA i think hardly cares for Superman's history with BA and I think Social Media reactions are mostly for the fans and people running around om forums such as this. They are of course interesting because we get a first idea of what word of mouth is gonna be but other than that, as someone said above, a 10-sec cameo is not gonna drive sales. Doesn't mean though that audiences don't care for HC as superman. He has his fans that make it wise enough to use his version than having another reboot .

[Porthos]

26 minutes ago, GOGODanca said:

 

  Reveal hidden contents

A 10 second post credits cameo of Cavill isn't gonna move any numbers imo

 

 

Spoiler

Just like a 10 second post-credit connection to the MCU won't boost Venom 2, right?

[Porthos]

Just now, Porthos said:

 

  Reveal hidden contents

Just like a 10 second post-credit connection to the MCU won't boost Venom 2, right?

 

Slightly more seriously

 

Spoiler

I don't think we really know how it'll play.  But we do have an example in Let There Be Carnage where a surprise cameo and a better than expected reception fueled pre-sales.

 

Now there is a major difference in that the MCU was/is at a very high high and just connecting to it could have driven interest in LTBC and that won't be at play here given the general mood of fandom concerning the DCEU.

 

Still... Wouldn't discount the value of Good Buzz no matter what the reason.

[Menor the Destroyer]

4 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Slightly more seriously

 

  Reveal hidden contents

I don't think we really know how it'll play.  But we do have an example in Let There Be Carnage where a surprise cameo and a better than expected reception fueled pre-sales.

 

Now there is a major difference in that the MCU was/is at a very high high and just connecting to it could have driven interest in LTBC and that won't be at play here given the general mood of fandom concerning the DCEU.

 

Still... Wouldn't discount the value of Good Buzz no matter what the reason.

Spoiler

I think it will drive things to a certain extent but it'll be hard to parse this from a normal reactions bump. Plus the connection for Venom wasn't just to the MCU, it was to NWH specifically, which had a lot of extra factors in addition to MCU fandom. NWH was a ridiculously hyped movie, I don't think any Cavill return as Superman is as big of a deal. 

 

Edited October 12, 2022 by Menor Reborn

[misterpepp]

Avatar's re-release run concludes in the US tomorrow. From what I can tell, no theaters stateside are set to play it this weekend.

[jedijake]

If

a 10 second post-credit scene featuring Cavill

is enough to boost Black Adams' box office whatsoever, then I imagine that

BPWF's box office will get a HUGE boost

[charlie Jatinder]

4 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

  Reveal hidden contents

Just like a 10 second post-credit connection to the MCU won't boost Venom 2, right?

I don't think it did. Venom just had bad couple of days after that it was matching Shang Chi and eventually Black Widow in final days.

[Porthos]

32 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I don't think it did. Venom just had bad couple of days after that it was matching Shang Chi and eventually Black Widow in final days.

 

I dunno.  The bump occurred simultaneously with those fan screenings and all of the buzz from them. 

 

And if it was matching Shang-Chi without the benefit of a social media/review embargo lift, then I think the buzz from the fan screenings is the most likely explanation.

 

Edited October 13, 2022 by Porthos

[keysersoze123]

Halloween Ends Previews

MTC1 - 48797/515242 809324.47 2909 shows

MTC2 - 33764/364648 433478.42 2653 shows

 

Meh growth over past 2 days. Probably will struggle to hit HK previews at this rate. 

Edited October 13, 2022 by keysersoze123

[Eric the Minion]

13 hours ago, Eric Strode said:

Halloween Ends Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	112	1429	20507	6.97%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 145

 

Comp

0.557x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-2 (10.79M)

1.419x of The Conjuring 3 Tuesday Before Release (13.91M)

1.061x of Halloween Kills T-2 (5.14M)

1.340x of Scream T-2 (4.69M)

Halloween Ends Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	112	1742	20507	8.49%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 313

 

Comp

0.495x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-1 (9.58M)

1.153x of The Conjuring 3 Wednesday Before Release (11.3M)

0.990x of Halloween Kills T-1 (4.8M)

1.247x of Scream T-1 (4.36M)

[Eric the Minion]

13 hours ago, Eric Strode said:

Black Adam Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	89	856	18518	4.62%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 47

 

Comp

0.914x of F9 T-9 (6.49M)

0.361x of Black Widow T-9 (4.76M)

2.555x of The Suicide Squad T-9 (10.48M)

0.649x of Shang-Chi T-9 (5.71M)

0.962x of Venom 2 T-9 (11.16M)

1.037x of No Time to Die T-9 (6.54M)

0.450x of Eternals T-9 (4.28M)

1.110x of Morbius T-9 (6.33M)

1.177x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-9 (7.06M)

0.424x of Jurassic World 3 T-9 (7.64M)

Black Adam Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	89	924	18518	4.99%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 68

 

Comp

0.922x of F9 T-8 (6.55M)

0.368x of Black Widow T-8 (4.86M)

2.406x of The Suicide Squad T-8 (9.86M)

0.656x of Shang-Chi T-8 (5.77M)

0.960x of Venom 2 T-8 (11.14M)

0.982x of No Time to Die T-8 (6.19M)

0.463x of Eternals T-8 (4.4M)

1.082x of Morbius T-8 (6.17M)

1.164x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-8 (6.98M)

0.433x of Jurassic World 3 T-8 (7.8M)

[Eric the Minion]

13 hours ago, Eric Strode said:

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-30 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	246	4936	42932	11.50%

Total Seats Sold Today: 136

 

Comp

4.251x of Jurassic World 3 T-30 (76.53M)

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-29 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	246	5018	42932	11.69%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 82

 

Comp

0.814x of Doctor Strange 2 T-29 (29.32M)

[ringedmortality]

I just cannot memorize the names of the characters in Halloween so I was a little confused by that Strode part. Took me a minute.