The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[misterpepp]

I believe it was already known that Avatar 2 would go on sale Monday, which is accurate. If anyone wants to know the exact time on the day, at least one major nationwide chain has sales beginning at 6am EST.

 

Unrelated aside, Quintessential Quintuplets is not having full-day showtimes like One Piece: Red, Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero, Jujutsu Kaisen 0, etc. Rather, it seems most theaters will only be playing it once a night for the weekend and during a couple days of the week. Tickets for that are going on sale today (11/18) in a few hours.

Edited November 18, 2022 by datpepper

[charlie Jatinder]

The Menu Harkins

 

Previews - 1217/11427 (78 showings) $13,404

 

Should be around $750K.

[romeross]

22 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

The Menu Harkins

 

Previews - 1217/11427 (78 showings) $13,404

 

Should be around $750K.

This is bad? 10 million over weekend is possible?

[SchumacherFTW]

3 hours ago, datpepper said:

I believe it was already known that Avatar 2 would go on sale Monday, which is accurate. If anyone wants to know the exact time on the day, at least one major nationwide chain has sales beginning at 6am EST.

 

Unrelated aside, Quintessential Quintuplets is not having full-day showtimes like One Piece: Red, Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero, Jujutsu Kaisen 0, etc. Rather, it seems most theaters will only be playing it once a night for the weekend and during a couple days of the week. Tickets for that are going on sale today (11/18) in a few hours.

Definitely don't expect a massive amount from Quintessential Quintuplets, it's an anime romcom compared to all the Shounen action stuff that's been coming out this year. The main thing going for it is that the movie completes the story so fans are kind of obligated to find out, but even then its very niche. 

[Eric is Quiet]

On 11/16/2022 at 10:28 PM, Eric Killmonger said:

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-35 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	61	30	10286	0.29%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 4

 

Comp

0.099x of Sing 2 T-34 (964K)

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-34 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	61	50	10286	0.49%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 20

 

Comp

0.154x of Sing 2 T-33 (1.5M)

[Eric is Quiet]

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-james-camerons-avatar-the-way-of-water/
 

Long Range Box Office Forecast & 2022’s Upcoming Calendar
(as of 11/18/22)

Release Date	Title	3-Day (FSS) Opening Low/High Range	Domestic Total Low/High Range	Expected Location Count	Distributor
11/23/2022	Bones and All (wide expansion)	$2,000,000 – $4,000,000	$7,000,000 – $13,000,000	2,500	United Artists Releasing
11/23/2022	Devotion	$6,000,000 – $11,000,000	$21,000,000 – $46,000,000	3,200	Sony / Columbia Pictures
11/23/2022	The Fabelmans (semi-wide expansion)	$1,500,000 – $4,000,000	n/a	600	Universal Pictures
11/23/2022	Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery	$6,000,000 – $11,000,000	$12,000,000 – $25,000,000	600	Netflix
11/23/2022	Strange World	$15,000,000 – $25,000,000	$51,000,000 – $86,000,000	3,900	Walt Disney Pictures
12/2/2022	Emancipation				Apple Original Films
12/2/2022	Quintessential Quintuplets Movie				Crunchyroll / Sony
12/2/2022	Violent Night	$8,000,000 – $13,000,000	$21,000,000 – $42,000,000		Universal Pictures
12/9/2022	Empire of Light (limited)				Searchlight Pictures
12/9/2022	Father Stu: Reborn	$500,000 – $2,000,000	$1,000,000 – $5,000,000		Sony / Columbia Pictures
12/9/2022	Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies (expansion; limited Dec. 2)				Focus Features
12/9/2022	The Whale (platform)			NY / LA	A24
12/16/2022	Avatar: The Way of Water	$135,000,000 – $175,000,000	$475,000,000 – $720,000,000		Disney / 20th Century Studios

 

[filmlover]

8 hours ago, Verrows said:

That would be impressive, given Encanto felt way more present than Strange World does right now. It feels like SW barely exists

I doubt it comes close to what Encanto made, but if it did that would probably be due to a complete lack of family and animated movies on the market for a while. Treasure Planet (the Disney movie it seems to have the most in common with between the sci-fi genre and Thanksgiving release date) adjusts to $60M total with 20 years of inflation, which is where I've had this pegged at for a while, so anything more than that would be "beating low expectations" in my book.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 11/11/2022 at 10:31 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	TC	Shows	Change	Standard	Last PSA	PLF	IMAX	3D
Black Panther 2	3,599	222,802		177,037		45,765	5,198	31,922
Black Adam	3,073	39,832	-36.68%	39,760	290.47	72	12	0
Ticket to Paradise	2,996	38,709	-10.05%	38,656	198.62	53	0	0
One Piece Film: Red	2,115	25,608	-43.65%	25,548	177.96	60	0	0
Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile	2,102	17,397	-21.61%	17,395	151.76	2	0	0
Smile	1,976	18,120	-38.24%	18,094	135.86	26	0	0
Prey for the Devil	1,929	19,103	-44.01%	19,091	114.11	12	0	0
Till	1,314	8,211	-62.72%	8,199	84.01	12	0	0
Armageddon Time	912	5,645	-49.56%	5,637	64.24	8	0	0
The Banshees	828	10,101	7.65%	10,072	219.11	29	0	0
Terrifier 2	451	2,435	-72.03%	2,435	129.87	0	0	0
Halloween Ends	406	2,018	-91.72%	2,015	59.09	3	0	0
The Woman King	397	2,555	-59.55%	2,555	143.56	0	0	0
TÁR	314	1,902	-78.68%	1,902	81.79	0	0	0

 

USA Showtimes Sample - 11/11 Weekend

 

OW Showtimes Comps

Black Panther DF - 197 (195 TC) 

Black Panther 2 - 222,802 (3,599 TC) (45,765 PLF)

 - DS2 - 229,917 (3,660) (42,543 PLF)

 - Thor 4 - 194,469 (3,540) (40,058 PLF)

 - No Way Home - 206,421 (3,340) (28,624 PLF)

 

T-1 Week Showtimes Comps

The Menu (11/15 EA) - 114 (AMC)

The Menu (11/16 EA) - 110 (Regal)

The Menu - 23,446 (1,792 TC)

 - Invitation - 21,624 (1,619)

 - Prey for the Devil - 23,020 (1,732)

 - 3000 Years of Longing - 21,989 (1,690)

She Said - 17,564 (1,375 TC)

 - King Richard - 18,783 (1,835)

 - Many Saints - 18,302 (1,823)

 - CopShop - 16,693 (1,519)

Spirited - 3,793 (282 TC)

 - French Dispatch - 3,716 (342)

 - Belfast - 3,960 (326)

 - Watcher - 3,695 (358)

The Chosen Season 3 - 15,014 (1,775 TC)

 - Memory - 14,955 (1,210)

 - Father Stu - 14,226 (1,388)

 

T-2 Week Previews Showtimes Comps

Devotion - 2,036 (701 TC)

 - House of Gucci (2,045 (1,402)

 - Death on the Nile - 2,077 (790)

Bones and All - 1,530 (932 TC)

 - West Side Story - 1,507 (613)

 - 3000 Years of Longing - 1,576 (692)

 - Massive Talent - 1,490 (831)

Strange World - 174 (78 TC)

 - Encanto - 1,928 (804)

Glass Onion (11/22 Midnight) - 64 (64 TC)

Glass Onion (11/23 OD) - 2,362 (614 TC)

 - Matrix (OD) - 8,183 (2,078)

Fablemans (11/23 OD) - 1,498 (422 TC)

 

T-3 Weeks Preview Showtimes Comps

I Heard the Bells - 985 (900 TC)

 - Belle - 1,258 (767)

 - 355 (1,082 (690)

Movie	TC	Shows	Change	Standard	Last PSA	PLF	IMAX	3D
Black Panther 2	3,492	139,924	-23.31%	111,425	813.91	28,499	3,900	17,901
Black Adam	2,869	33,827	-15.08%	33,757	202.11	70	3	0
The Menu	2,830	45,234		45,163		71	0	0
Ticket to Paradise	2,729	33,648	-13.07%	33,573	152.44	75	0	0
The Chosen Season 3	1,970	22,999		22,990		9	0	0
Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile	1,980	15,863	-8.82%	15,857	183.98	6	0	0
She Said	1,863	26,575		26,562		13	0	0
Smile	1,343	10,431	-42.43%	10,419	128.88	12	0	0
Prey for the Devil	1,236	9,918	-48.08%	9,912	101.28	6	0	0
The Banshees	697	6,527	-35.38%	6,503	163.36	24	0	0
Till	597	3,180	-61.27%	3,177	74.00	3	0	0
Spirited	582	8,285		8,273		12	0	0
One Piece Film: Red	480	3,098	-87.90%	3,098	56.54	0	0	0
GdT's Pinocchio	410	4,742		4,725		17	0	0

 

USA Showtimes Sample - 11/18 Weekend

 

OW Showtimes Comps

The Menu - 45,234 (2,830 TC)

 - Invitation - 43,127 (2,655)

 - Prey for the Devil - 45,409 (2,659)

 - Escape Room 2 - 45,204 (2,482)

She Said - 26,575 (1,863 TC)

 - Father Stu - 27,690 (2,358)

 - Redeeming Love - 25,146 (1,836)

 - King's Daughter - 26,909 (1,830)

Spirited - 8,285 (582 TC)

 - Mouthful of Air - 9,282 (782)

 - Belfast - 7,577 (516)

 - Summer of Soul - 7,766 (696)

The Chosen Season 3 - 22,999 (1,970 TC)

 - MHA - 23,963 (1,504)

 - RRR - 20,636 (1,181)

 

T-1 Week 3-Day Showtimes Comps
Devotion - 15,281 (1,334 TC)

Bones and All - 15,213 (1,310 TC)

 - MHA 14,978 (1,364)

 - Memory - 14,955 (1,210)

 - Men - 14,289 (1,082)

Strange World - 31,574 (1,946 TC)

 - Paws of Fury - 31,294 (2,060)

 - Bob's Burgers Movie - 30,287 (2,109)

Glass Onion - 7,407 (617 TC)

 - Umma - 6,971 (506)

 - Mrs Harris - 7,844 (572)

Fablemans - 4,808 (437 TC)

 - Cyrano - 5,263 (471)

 - Crimes of the Future - 5,257 (402)

 

T-1 Week 5-Day Showtimes Comps
Devotion - 33,478 (2,025 TC)

Bones and All - 30,681 (1,863 TC)

 - Father Stu - 29,612 (2,001)

 - Matrix - 46,330 (2,657)

Strange World - 64,162 (2,768 TC)

 - Sing 2 - 57,601 (2,797)

Glass Onion (11/22 Midnight) - 37 (37 TC)

Glass Onion - 12,377 (624 TC)

Fablemans - 8,571 (529 TC)

 

T-2 Week Previews Showtimes Comps

Violent Night - 3,755 (1,511)

 - Marry Me - 3,771 (1,845)

I Heard the Bells - 1,097 (976 TC)

 - Belle - 1,289 (786)

 - Case for Heaven - 1,013 (954)

 

T-5 Weeks Showtimes Comps

Puss in Boots (11/26 EA) - 992 (992)

Puss in Boots (OD) - 8,245 (1,761 TC)

 - Nope - 7,656 (1,929)

[M37]

1 hour ago, Eric Killmonger said:

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-james-camerons-avatar-the-way-of-water/
 

Long Range Box Office Forecast & 2022’s Upcoming Calendar
(as of 11/18/22)

Release Date	Title	3-Day (FSS) Opening Low/High Range	Domestic Total Low/High Range	Expected Location Count	Distributor
11/23/2022	Bones and All (wide expansion)	$2,000,000 – $4,000,000	$7,000,000 – $13,000,000	2,500	United Artists Releasing
11/23/2022	Devotion	$6,000,000 – $11,000,000	$21,000,000 – $46,000,000	3,200	Sony / Columbia Pictures
11/23/2022	The Fabelmans (semi-wide expansion)	$1,500,000 – $4,000,000	n/a	600	Universal Pictures
11/23/2022	Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery	$6,000,000 – $11,000,000	$12,000,000 – $25,000,000	600	Netflix
11/23/2022	Strange World	$15,000,000 – $25,000,000	$51,000,000 – $86,000,000	3,900	Walt Disney Pictures
12/2/2022	Emancipation				Apple Original Films
12/2/2022	Quintessential Quintuplets Movie				Crunchyroll / Sony
12/2/2022	Violent Night	$8,000,000 – $13,000,000	$21,000,000 – $42,000,000		Universal Pictures
12/9/2022	Empire of Light (limited)				Searchlight Pictures
12/9/2022	Father Stu: Reborn	$500,000 – $2,000,000	$1,000,000 – $5,000,000		Sony / Columbia Pictures
12/9/2022	Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies (expansion; limited Dec. 2)				Focus Features
12/9/2022	The Whale (platform)			NY / LA	A24
12/16/2022	Avatar: The Way of Water	$135,000,000 – $175,000,000	$475,000,000 – $720,000,000		Disney / 20th Century Studios

 

 

That's a massively wide range for Avatar 2's total DOM, no? basically $600M +/- 20%

 

[filmlover]

Specialty Films Forced to Take More Risks In Expanding Theater Count Sooner

In the pre-pandemic era, arthouse titles such as 'The Banshees of Inisherin' or 'Tar' would have relied on a slow rollout to build word-of-mouth as awards season unfolded. But the traditional platform release is becoming an endangered species for many adult dramas.

 

‘Tar’, ‘Banshees of Inisherin’ Take Risks In Theater Count Expansion – The Hollywood Reporter

[charlie Jatinder]

BOOOO @Shawn.

 

No billie predict for Avatwo

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 11/17/2022 at 9:02 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Bones and All	T-5	Jax	5	8	2	5	719	0.70%
		Phx	6	10	0	6	662	0.91%
		Ral	6	9	2	10	694	1.44%
	Total		17	27	4	21	2,075	1.01%
Chosen Season 3	T-1	Jax	5	34	49	784	2,858	27.43%
		Phx	4	42	62	701	5,481	12.79%
		Ral	7	24	33	821	2,032	40.40%
	Total		16	100	144	2,306	10,371	22.24%
Devotion	T-5	Jax	5	16	5	23	1,470	1.56%
		Phx	7	20	5	13	2,238	0.58%
		Ral	7	18	2	15	1,363	1.10%
	Total		19	54	12	51	5,071	1.01%
Fabelmans	T-6	Jax	1	4	0	5	344	1.45%
		Phx	1	4	1	1	164	0.61%
		Ral	3	11	1	12	1,323	0.91%
	Total		5	19	2	18	1,831	0.98%
Glass Onion	T-6	Jax	4	17	3	150	1,962	7.65%
		Phx	3	16	14	104	1,380	7.54%
		Ral	2	11	25	211	896	23.55%
	Total		9	44	42	465	4,238	10.97%
Heard the Bells	T-14	Jax	4	5	3	71	678	10.47%
		Phx	2	2	0	26	596	4.36%
		Ral	6	6	11	244	566	43.11%
	Total		12	13	14	341	1,840	18.53%
Puss Boots (EA)	T-9	Jax	4	4	8	27	366	7.38%
		Phx	5	5	1	28	488	5.74%
		Ral	5	5	0	15	667	2.25%
	Total		14	14	9	70	1,521	4.60%
Puss in Boots	T-34	Jax	5	29	0	4	3,051	0.13%
		Phx	4	22	0	3	2,706	0.11%
		Ral	6	35	5	11	4,013	0.27%
	Total		15	86	5	18	9,770	0.18%
Strange World	T-5	Jax	5	18	4	9	1,768	0.51%
		Phx	7	22	7	22	2,936	0.75%
		Ral	8	19	2	6	2,100	0.29%
	Total		20	59	13	37	6,804	0.54%
Violent Night	T-14	Jax	5	18	5	11	1,974	0.56%
		Phx	4	10	3	7	1,157	0.61%
		Ral	6	13	0	12	1,485	0.81%
	Total		15	41	8	30	4,616	0.65%

 

Chosen T-1 comps (opening day vs previews)

 - Downton Abbey + EA - 1.98x (3.56m)

 - JJK - 1.54x (4.42m)

 - MHA - 1.72x (4.98m)

 - One Piece - 3.034x (5.15m)

 

Added some anime comps since they seem to be overwhelmingly pre-sales heavy as well.

 

Bones and All T-5 comps

 - Crawdads - .066x (133k)

 - Antlers - missed

 - Smile - missed

 - Last Night in Soho - missed

 

Strange World T-5 comps

 - Lightyear - .069x (336k)

 - Encanto - .339x (509k)

 - Sonic 2 - .055x (274k)

 

Devotion - T-5 comps

 - Amsterdam - missed

 - Snake Eyes - .472x (661k)

 - Free Guy - .214x (471k)

 - Massive Talent - missed

 

Glass Onion T-6 comps (Opening day vs previews)

 - NTTD + EA - missed

 - F9 - .446x (3.17m)

 - Ghostbusters + EA - missed

 - Top Gun 2 + EA - .109x (2.11m)

Fabelmans T-6 comps (Opening day vs previews)

 - House of Gucci - .196x (254k)

 - Elvis - .05x (159k)

 

Puss in Boots EA T-9 comps

 - Sing 2 EA - .237x

 - Sonic 2 EA - .5x (635k)

 

Violent Night T-14 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 2.73x (1.36m)

 

I Heard the Bells T-14 comps

 - Downton Abbey + EA - missed

 

Puss in Boots T-34 comps

 - Nope - .122x (778k)

 - JW3 + EA - .012x (217k)

 

(literally the only other movies I have for T-34)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Bones and All	T-4	Jax	5	8	4	9	719	1.25%
		Phx	6	10	1	7	662	1.06%
		Ral	6	9	2	12	694	1.73%
	Total		17	27	7	28	2,075	1.35%
Chosen Season 3	T-0	Jax	5	34	49	833	2,858	29.15%
		Phx	4	42	63	764	5,481	13.94%
		Ral	7	24	58	879	2,032	43.26%
	Total		16	100	170	2,476	10,371	23.87%
Devotion	T-4	Jax	5	16	2	25	1,470	1.70%
		Phx	7	20	1	14	2,238	0.63%
		Ral	7	18	4	19	1,363	1.39%
	Total		19	54	7	58	5,071	1.14%
Fabelmans	T-5	Jax	1	4	3	8	344	2.33%
		Phx	1	4	0	1	164	0.61%
		Ral	3	11	1	13	1,323	0.98%
	Total		5	19	4	22	1,831	1.20%
Glass Onion	T-5	Jax	4	17	6	156	1,962	7.95%
		Phx	3	16	16	120	1,380	8.70%
		Ral	2	11	15	226	896	25.22%
	Total		9	44	37	502	4,238	11.85%
Heard the Bells	T-13	Jax	4	5	2	73	678	10.77%
		Phx	2	2	0	26	596	4.36%
		Ral	6	6	-6	238	566	42.05%
	Total		12	13	-4	337	1,840	18.32%
Puss Boots (EA)	T-8	Jax	4	4	12	39	366	10.66%
		Phx	5	5	23	51	488	10.45%
		Ral	5	5	0	15	667	2.25%
	Total		14	14	35	105	1,521	6.90%
Puss in Boots	T-33	Jax	5	29	0	4	3,051	0.13%
		Phx	5	25	0	3	3,084	0.10%
		Ral	6	35	4	15	4,013	0.37%
	Total		16	89	4	22	10,148	0.22%
Strange World	T-4	Jax	5	18	3	12	1,768	0.68%
		Phx	7	22	4	26	2,936	0.89%
		Ral	8	19	0	6	2,100	0.29%
	Total		20	59	7	44	6,804	0.65%
Violent Night	T-13	Jax	5	18	2	13	1,974	0.66%
		Phx	5	14	5	12	2,161	0.56%
		Ral	6	13	4	16	1,485	1.08%
	Total		16	45	11	41	5,620	0.73%

 

Chosen T-0 comps (opening day vs previews)

 - Downton Abbey + EA - 1.91x (3.43m)

 - JJK - 1.42x (4.08m)

 - MHA - 1.52x (4.4m)

 - One Piece - 2.665x (4.81m)

All drama movies - 6.94m

All movies - 8.03m

 

Not really sure what to expect from this; last year's Chosen movie was extremely presales heavy and presumably a large chunk was group sales.  If we see the same thing this year, maybe we get a ~3.5m opening day?  Maybe 8m for the weekend?  Hoping for higher but erring on the side of caution.

 

Bones and All T-4 comps

 - Crawdads - .082x (163k)

 - Antlers - .737x (273k)

 - Smile - missed

 - Last Night in Soho - .491x (368k)

 

Strange World T-4 comps

 - Lightyear - missed

 - Encanto - .272x (407k)

 - Sonic 2 - .057x (283k)

 

Devotion - T-4 comps

 - Amsterdam - missed

 - Snake Eyes - .453x (634k)

 - Free Guy - .209x (459k)

 - Massive Talent - missed

 

Glass Onion T-5 comps (Opening day vs previews)

 - NTTD + EA - missed

 - F9 - .44x (3.13m)

 - Ghostbusters + EA - missed

 - Top Gun 2 + EA - .11x (2.12m)

Fabelmans T-5 comps (Opening day vs previews)

 - House of Gucci - .161x (209k)

 - Elvis - .053x (169k)

 

Puss in Boots EA T-8 comps

 - Sing 2 EA - .347x

 - Sonic 2 EA - .686x (872k)

 

Violent Night T-13 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 2.93x (1.46m)

 - Bullet Train - .265x (886k)

 - Northman - .732x (988k)

 

(Not sure what to use here)

 

I Heard the Bells T-13 comps

 - Downton Abbey + EA - missed

 

Puss in Boots T-33 comps

 - Nope - .146x (932k)

 - JW3 + EA - .014x (257k)

[Eric is Quiet]

Quorum Updates

Spoiler Alert T-29: 10.65% Awareness, 4.64 Interest

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish T-34: 53.66%, 6.08

A Man Called Otto T-57: 26.1%, 5.41

80 for Brady T-78: 10.54%, 4.75

Magic Mike's Last Dance T-85: 29.5%, 5.42

Creed III T-106: 47.97%, 6.54

Dune: Part Two T-351: 26.09%, 5.21

 

She Said T-1: 23.84% Awareness, 4.92 Interest

Final General Awareness: 4% chance of 10M

General Interest: 22% chance of 10M

Original - Low Awareness: 10% chance of 5M

Original - Low Interest: 20% chance of 5M

 

The Menu T-1: 26.75% Awareness, 5.41 Interest

Final General Awareness: 4% chance of 10M

General Interest: 44% chance of 10M

Original - Low Awareness: 80% chance of 5M, 40% chance of 10M

Original - Low Interest: 64% chance of 5M, 36% chance of 10M

 

I Wanna Dance With Somebody T-36: 23.68% Awareness, 5.43 Interest

T-30 General Awareness: 35% chance of 10M, 11% chance of 20M

General Interest: 61% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M

Original - Low Awareness: 75% chance of 5M, 37% chance of 10M

Original - Low Interest: 67% chance of 5M, 33% chance of 10M

[keysersoze123]

King Jim to @Shawn

 

[filmlover]

Between the 13 year gap between movies and the very long running time, I suspect Avatar will be less frontloaded than the typical much-awaited sequel usually is. It's gonna clean up throughout the holidays.

[misterpepp]

M3GAN should be on sale Dec 1.

 

Hope everyone has a good Friday and another great weekend.

[poweranimals]

10 hours ago, Eric Killmonger said:

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-james-camerons-avatar-the-way-of-water/
 

Long Range Box Office Forecast & 2022’s Upcoming Calendar
(as of 11/18/22)

Release Date	Title	3-Day (FSS) Opening Low/High Range	Domestic Total Low/High Range	Expected Location Count	Distributor
11/23/2022	Bones and All (wide expansion)	$2,000,000 – $4,000,000	$7,000,000 – $13,000,000	2,500	United Artists Releasing
11/23/2022	Devotion	$6,000,000 – $11,000,000	$21,000,000 – $46,000,000	3,200	Sony / Columbia Pictures
11/23/2022	The Fabelmans (semi-wide expansion)	$1,500,000 – $4,000,000	n/a	600	Universal Pictures
11/23/2022	Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery	$6,000,000 – $11,000,000	$12,000,000 – $25,000,000	600	Netflix
11/23/2022	Strange World	$15,000,000 – $25,000,000	$51,000,000 – $86,000,000	3,900	Walt Disney Pictures
12/2/2022	Emancipation				Apple Original Films
12/2/2022	Quintessential Quintuplets Movie				Crunchyroll / Sony
12/2/2022	Violent Night	$8,000,000 – $13,000,000	$21,000,000 – $42,000,000		Universal Pictures
12/9/2022	Empire of Light (limited)				Searchlight Pictures
12/9/2022	Father Stu: Reborn	$500,000 – $2,000,000	$1,000,000 – $5,000,000		Sony / Columbia Pictures
12/9/2022	Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies (expansion; limited Dec. 2)				Focus Features
12/9/2022	The Whale (platform)			NY / LA	A24
12/16/2022	Avatar: The Way of Water	$135,000,000 – $175,000,000	$475,000,000 – $720,000,000		Disney / 20th Century Studios

 

Well that's odd. They deleted it.

[Porthos]

First showtimes for A2 have popped up on Regal, locally.

 

3pm previews.

 

6:2 split for 3D:2D for the theater in question.

 

Quote

• REGAL UA OLYMPUS POINTE 

  520 N. Sunrise Ave., Roseville, CA 95661

   

  MAP  AMENITIES
  • 

    AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER (2022)

    Rated:Runtime:3 hr 10 min
    Action/Adventure, Sci-Fi/Fantasy

    • Standard

      4:00p      8:25p

    • Digital 3D

      3:00p    5:00p   6:00p   7:25p.     9:25p    10:25p

 

(no PLF screens at this theater)

Edited November 18, 2022 by Porthos

[Porthos]

3 hours ago, Porthos said:

First showtimes for A2 have popped up on Regal, locally.

 

3pm previews.

 

6:2 split for 3D:2D for the theater in question.

 

 

(no PLF screens at this theater)

 

Been looking about at some of the nearby (and not so) theaters in my region.

 

IMAX (at Regal at least) looks to be 3D EXCLUSIVE.  Haven't seen any 2D IMAX showings through the entire opening week, which is... Well, a choice.

 

Same goes for 4DX and RPX (their other PLF format for Regal theaters that don't have IMAX).

 

ScreenX, on the other hand, IS 2D, but that might be an error.

 

Only have data from Regal though so I don't know if the other chains have similar restrictions. 

 

As for the 3D:2D split, it really depends on whether or not a theater has a PLF screen (which is skewing the 3D count upwards) or doesn't have all that many screens in the first place (which is skewing it downward).  But 3:1 seems like a decent enough rule of thumb. 

Edited November 19, 2022 by Porthos

[XXR & Friends]

7 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Been looking about at some of the nearby (and not so) theaters in my region.

 

IMAX (at Regal at least) looks to be 3D EXCLUSIVE.  Haven't seen any 2D IMAX showings through the entire opening week, which is... Well, a choice.

 

Same goes for 4DX and RPX (their other PLF format for Regal theaters that don't have IMAX).

 

ScreenX, on the other hand, IS 2D, but that might be an error.

 

Only have data from Regal though so I don't know if the other chains have similar restrictions. 

 

As for the 3D:2D split, it really depends on whether or not a theater has a PLF screen (which is skewing the 3D count upwards) or doesn't have all that many screens in the first place (which is skewing it downward).  But 3:1 seems like a decent enough rule of thumb. 

 

All I know is, I won't be doing 3D. So if all of my PLF screens are going that route, I'll just be copping $8 tickets at my local Cinemark and hittin' the recline button!