Joel M Posted September 10, 2022 Share Posted September 10, 2022 14 hours ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said: Knives Out is probably making Golden Globe + WGA + ACE (won't rule out SAG Ensemble, either) and that alone puts it on a path for BP in a 10 year field. It gets all those even without the overwhelming positive buzz of the first one? I think that's a lot of assuming. The first one wouldn't get anywhere near the oscar convo without everything absolutely going its way. Huge box office success, almost shocking critical success, a ton of good will for Johnson after a subset of Star Wars fans made him their new villain. And it still just got a screenplay nom and maybe would have gotten a BP nom in a field of 10. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted September 10, 2022 Share Posted September 10, 2022 16 hours ago, Cmasterclay said: Jordan Ruimy having a total meltdown over Women Talking, lol If Nope gets any nominations he will have an even bigger meltdown Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted September 10, 2022 Share Posted September 10, 2022 6 hours ago, Joel M said: It gets all those even without the overwhelming positive buzz of the first one? Yes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted September 10, 2022 Share Posted September 10, 2022 18 hours ago, Cmasterclay said: Jordan Ruimy having a total meltdown over Women Talking, lol It could ne either the movie or just women talking in general. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 10, 2022 Author Share Posted September 10, 2022 Colin Farrell wins Best Actor and Cate Blanchett wins Best Actress at Venice. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted September 10, 2022 Share Posted September 10, 2022 21 minutes ago, filmlover said: Colin Farrell wins Best Actor and Cate Blanchett wins Best Actress at Venice. Banshees also wins Screenplay at Venice Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 10, 2022 Author Share Posted September 10, 2022 Banshees has definitely confirmed itself as a major contender now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted September 11, 2022 Share Posted September 11, 2022 Causeway's getting good reviews. We'll see if it goes anywhere beyond JLaw/BTH. Also, Women Talking's TIFF reception is a lot more muted than Telluride and the RT score is freefalling. There's already pundit backlash too. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joel M Posted September 11, 2022 Share Posted September 11, 2022 18 hours ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said: Yes Ok, I hope you 're right. Infinately prefer for Netflix to push this into BP than White Noise or flop Bardo. At least the critical reception doesn't seem far off from the original in early reactions. We just have to see If the buzz is gonna linger enough without a proper theatrical release. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted September 11, 2022 Share Posted September 11, 2022 4 hours ago, Joel M said: Ok, I hope you 're right. Infinately prefer for Netflix to push this into BP than White Noise or flop Bardo. At least the critical reception doesn't seem far off from the original in early reactions. We just have to see If the buzz is gonna linger enough without a proper theatrical release. Well I hope I'm wrong, but it just seems like a broadly appealing film with strong enough reviews and simple path with precursors 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 Globe Predictions cause why not? BEST PICTURE (DRAMA) Avatar: The Way of Water Babylon The Fabelmans TAR Women Talking BEST PICTURE (COMEDY/MUSICAL) Bros Everything Everywhere All At Once Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery Triangle of Sadness White Noise BEST ACTOR (DRAMA) Austin Butler (Elvis) Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin) Brendan Fraser (The Whale) Hugh Jackman (The Son) Harry Styles (My Policeman) BEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) Naomi Ackie (I Wanna Dance With Somebody) Jessica Chastain (The Good Nurse) Cate Blanchett (TAR) Olivia Colman (Empire of Light) Margot Robbie (Babylon) BEST ACTOR (COMEDY/MUSICAL) Daniel Craig (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery) Adam Driver (White Noise) Billy Eichner (Bros) Ralph Fiennes (The Menu) Tom Hanks (A Man Called Otto) BEST ACTRESS (COMEDY/MUSICAL) Lesley Manville (Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris) Julia Roberts (Ticket to Paradise) Anya Taylor-Joy (The Menu) Emma Thompson (Good Luck To You, Leo Grande) Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once) BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Paul Dano (The Fabelmans) Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin) Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once) Michael Ward (Empire of Light)* Ben Whishaw (Women Talking) BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Jessie Buckley (Women Talking) Laura Dern (The Son) Claire Foy (Women Talking) Sadie Sink (The Whale) Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans) BEST DIRECTOR Damien Chazelle (Babylon) Daniels (Everything Everywhere All At Once) Todd Field (TAR) Sam Mendes (Empire of Light) Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans) BEST SCREENPLAY The Banshees of Inisherin Everything Everywhere All At Once The Fabelmans TAR Women Talking BEST ORIGINAL SCORE Avatar: The Way of Water Empire of Light The Fabelmans Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio Women Talking BEST ORIGINAL SONG "Carolina" (Where The Crawdads Sing) "Hold My Hand" (Top Gun: Maverick) "Keep Rising" (The Woman King) "Top of the World" (Lyle Lyle Crocodile) **Placeholder for a song from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever** BEST INTERNATINOAL FEATURE All Quiet on the Western Front Bardo Broker Decision to Leave Holy Spider BEST ANIMATED FEATURE Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio Marcel the Shell with Shoes On Strange World Turning Red Wendell and Wild Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 12, 2022 Author Share Posted September 12, 2022 Doubt anyone expected it to go anywhere but My Policeman is DOA (back to the music world full time you go, Harry Styles). The Good Nurse is also getting really good notices, though sounds like a SAG only thing at best. It seems like TIFF has had the most success out of all the festivals with their world premieres this year, no? Almost everything seems to have its fans and as far as I know the only remaining world premieres there are Devotion (today) and The Greatest Beer Run Ever (tomorrow). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
interiorgatordecorator Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 (edited) 13 minutes ago, filmlover said: Doubt anyone expected it to go anywhere but My Policeman is DOA (back to the music world full time you go, Harry Styles). The Good Nurse is also getting really good notices, though sounds like a SAG only thing at best. It seems like TIFF has had the most success out of all the festivals with their world premieres this year, no? Almost everything seems to have its fans and as far as I know the only remaining world premieres there are Devotion (today) and The Greatest Beer Run Ever (tomorrow). the combo of banshees + tar + the divisive blonde seem much better than anything tiff has shown Edited September 12, 2022 by interiorgatordecorator Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 1 hour ago, filmlover said: Doubt anyone expected it to go anywhere but My Policeman is DOA (back to the music world full time you go, Harry Styles). The Good Nurse is also getting really good notices, though sounds like a SAG only thing at best. It seems like TIFF has had the most success out of all the festivals with their world premieres this year, no? Almost everything seems to have its fans and as far as I know the only remaining world premieres there are Devotion (today) and The Greatest Beer Run Ever (tomorrow). On one hand I think it's the exact kind of starfucking that used to be the HFPA's bread and butter, but on the other they have shown a bit more restraint these past few years. Idk where GBRE will go (and could maybe even see Banshees get frauded into Comedy/Musical too?) but things could happen there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 12, 2022 Author Share Posted September 12, 2022 1 hour ago, Ezen Baklattan said: On one hand I think it's the exact kind of starfucking that used to be the HFPA's bread and butter, but on the other they have shown a bit more restraint these past few years. Idk where GBRE will go (and could maybe even see Banshees get frauded into Comedy/Musical too?) but things could happen there. One has to imagine that the HFPA will ease on the ass-kissing for at least this year now that they're trying to become "uncancelled." Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 The Good Nurse starts at a 100% Rotten Tomatoes score with seven reviews so far, with Chastain and Redmayne both getting praise. Unfortunately one of the reviews says the screenplay is thin. We’re still searching for answers as to what’s happening to Adapted Screenplay but it seems like this might not be a contender there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 Bolded my predictions Solid chances (praised and/or succesful films) Fabelmans Elvis EEAAO Maverick Banshees of Inisherin Possible (already seen movies with buzz) Bones and All The Whale Women Talking Triangle of sadness TAR White Noise Knives Out 2 Dificult (already seen, mild or solid but not passionate reactions) Armageddon Time The son Empire of Light Thirteen Lives Nope Blonde Unseen but potential game changers She said Amsterdam Babylon Avatar: The way of water I wanna dance with somebody Alt. TAR 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted September 12, 2022 Share Posted September 12, 2022 29 minutes ago, SLAM! said: The Good Nurse starts at a 100% Rotten Tomatoes score with seven reviews so far, with Chastain and Redmayne both getting praise. Unfortunately one of the reviews says the screenplay is thin. We’re still searching for answers as to what’s happening to Adapted Screenplay but it seems like this might not be a contender there. Reviews are not rotten, but neither are stellar... Still too early though 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
interiorgatordecorator Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 (edited) https://www.metacritic.com/movie/the-greatest-beer-run-ever?ref=hp beer run starts with 25 on mc film critics really are a bunch on pompous asses and here I was thinking review-bombing was meant solely for us the unwashed masses every reaction ive seen from a functional human being (so no critics) seems to imply that the movie is ok to good, but here come the so called enlightend ones to tell us why it being "politically cowardly" means its a 1/5 Edited September 14, 2022 by interiorgatordecorator 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 15, 2022 Author Share Posted September 15, 2022 Top Gun will have no problem getting nominated at this point with the way the festivals have been shaping up and all the contenders that have already established themselves as weak this early in the season (none of The Whale/The Son/Empire of Light are above 80% on RT after doing at least two major festivals each so far...and the latter two movies are only a few points away from turning Rotten). Hopefully everything bowing at NYFF/BFI/AFI and the titles that will be likely held until around the time they release in November and December deliver otherwise it's going to be a year made up mostly of "filler" nominees. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...