Jump to content

filmlover

Best Picture Predictions: 2022

Recommended Posts

On 12/14/2022 at 9:44 AM, stripe said:

Many critics already giving their prizes.

 

Time to update my predictions:

 

Almost locked

1. EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

2. TOP GUN MAVERICK

3. BANSHEES OF INISHERIM

4. FABELMANS

 

Strong candidates

5. TÀR

6. AVATAR 2

7. WOMEN TALKING

8. ELVIS

 

Vulnerable but in

9. BABYLON

10. RRR

 

One or two could sneak in

PINOCCHIO

TRIANGLE OF SADNESS

GLASS ONION

THE WOMAN KING

THE WHALE

DECISION TO LEAVE

 

Miracle!

SHE SAID

ARMAGEDDON TIME

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

NOPE

EMPIRE OF LIGHT

 

 

 

India didn't submit RRR for Best Forgein Picture, and I think that is a con for its Best Picture chances.

 

I agree with your Top 9 and would replace RRR with All Quiet in the Western Front

Link to comment
Share on other sites



Shortlists revealed:

 

Makeup and Hairstyling

“All Quiet on the Western Front” (Netflix)
“Amsterdam” (20th Century Studios)
“Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
“The Batman” (Warner Bros.)
“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
“Blonde” (Netflix)
“Crimes of the Future” (Neon)
“Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
“Emancipation” (Apple Original Films)
“The Whale” (A24)

 

Sound

“All Quiet on the Western Front” (Netflix)
“Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
“Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
“The Batman” (Warner Bros.)
“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
“Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
“Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
“Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Netflix)
“Moonage Daydream” (Neon)
“Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)

 

Visual Effects

“All Quiet on the Western Front” (Netflix)
“Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
“The Batman” (Warner Bros.)
“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
“Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness” (Marvel Studios)
“Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore” (Warner Bros.)
“Jurassic World: Dominion” (Universal Pictures)
“Nope” (Universal Pictures)
“Thirteen Lives” (Amazon Studios/MGM)
“Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)

 

Original Score

“All Quiet on the Western Front” (Netflix) – Volker Bertelmann
“Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios) – Simon Franglen
“Babylon” (Paramount Pictures) – Justin Hurwitz
“The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures) – Carter Burwell
“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios) – Ludwig Göransson
“Devotion” (Sony Pictures) – Chanda Dancy
“Don’t Worry Darling” (Warner Bros.) – John Powell
“Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24) – Son Lux
“The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures) – John Williams
“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix) – Nathan Johnson
“Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Netflix) – Alexandre Desplat
“Nope” (Universal Pictures) – Michael Abels
“She Said” (Universal Pictures) – Nicholas Britell
“The Woman King” (Sony Pictures) – Terence Blanchard
“Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing) – Hildur Guðnadóttir

 

Original Song

“Time” from “Amsterdam” (20th Century Studios)
“Nothing is Lost (You Give Me Strength)” from “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
“Lift Me Up” from “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
“This is a Life” from “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
“Ciao Papa” from “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Netflix)
“Til You’re Home” from “A Man Called Otto” (Sony Pictures)
“Naatu Naatu” from “RRR” (Variance Films)
“My Mind & Me” from “Selena Gomez: My Mind & Me” (Apple Original Films)
“Good Afternoon” from “Spirited” (Apple Original Films)
“Applause” from “Tell It Like a Woman” (Samuel Goldwyn Films)
“Stand Up” from “Till” (Orion/United Artists Releasing)
“Hold My Hand” from “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)
“Dust & Ash” from “The Voice of Dust and Ash” (Matilda Productions)
“Carolina” from “Where the Crawdads Sing” (Sony Pictures)
“New Body Rhumba” from “White Noise” (Netflix)

 

Documentary Feature

“All That Breathes” (HBO Documentary Films/Sideshow)
“All the Beauty and the Bloodshed” (Neon)
“Bad Axe” (IFC Films)
“Children of the Mist” (CAT&Docs)
“Descendant” (Netflix)
“Fire of Love” (National Geographic Documentary Films/Neon)
“Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, a Journey, a Song” (Sony Pictures Classics)
“Hidden Letters” (Cargo Film & Releasing)
“A House Made of Splinters” (Madman Entertainment)
“The Janes” (HBO Documentary Films)
“Last Flight Home” (MTV Documentary Films)
“Moonage Daydream” (Neon)
“Navalny” (CNN/Warner Bros.)
“Retrograde” (National Geographic Films)
“The Territory” (National Geographic Documentary)

 

International Feature

“All Quiet on the Western Front” (Germany)
“Argentina, 1985” (Argentina)
“Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths” (Mexico)
“Cairo Conspiracy” (Sweden)
“The Blue Caftan” (Morocco)
“Close” (Belgium)
“Corsage” (Austria)
“Decision to Leave” (South Korea)
“EO” (Poland)
“Holy Spider” (Denmark)
“Joyland” (Pakistan)
“Last Film Show” (India)
“The Quiet Girl” (Ireland)
“Return to Seoul” (Cambodia)
Saint Omer” (France)

 

Animated Short

“Black Slide”
“The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse”
“The Debutante”
“The Flying Sailor”
“The Garbage Man”
“Ice Merchants”
“It’s Nice in Here”
“More than I Want to Remember”
“My Year of Dicks”
“New Moon”
“An Ostrich Told Me the World Is Fake and I Think I Believe It”
“Passenger”
Save Ralph”
“Sierra”
“Steakhouse”

 

Documentary Short

“American Justice on Trial: People v. Newton”
“Anastasia”
“Angola Do You Hear Us? Voices from a Plantation Prison”
“As Far as They Can Run”
“The Elephant Whisperers”
“The Flagmakers”
“Happiness Is £4 Million”
“Haulout”
“Holding Moses”
“How Do You Measure a Year?”
“The Martha Mitchell Effect”
“Nuisance Bear”
“Shut Up and Paint”
“Stranger at the Gate”
“38 at the Garden”

 

Live Action Short

“All in Favor”
“Almost Home”
“An Irish Goodbye”
“Ivalu”
“Le Pupille”
“The Lone Wolf”
“Nakam”
“Night Ride”
“Plastic Killer”
“The Red Suitcase”
“The Right Words”
“Sideral”
“The Treatment”
“Tula”
“Warsha”

 

Oscars Shortlists 2022 Revealed - Variety

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Surprised EEAAO missed the shortlists for Visual Effects and Makeup/Hairstyling. OTOH, it's still alive in Score and Original Song (it had a song? ok). A mixed bag for its above the line odds.

 

Blonde, again. Ana is showing up more among non-American groups...

 

LOLOLOL at All Too Well missing the cut here after all that campaigning. Better luck with the feature film!

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites





5 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Turning Red missing the song shortlist says a lot. I was starting to doubt its nomination chances in Song, but uh.... RIP those dreams:sparta: 

I dig the Turning Red songs, but no surprise here. They're the kind of bubble gum pop tunes that the Academy wouldn't have touched with a ten foot pole even 20 years ago when the movie takes place lmao.

Link to comment
Share on other sites



On 12/21/2022 at 9:49 PM, Grebacio said:

India didn't submit RRR for Best Forgein Picture, and I think that is a con for its Best Picture chances.

 

I agree with your Top 9 and would replace RRR with All Quiet in the Western Front


Agree. RRR buzz is fading while All Quiet in the Western Front has shown its strength making it in many shortlists.
Right now, EEAAO, Fabelmans, Inisherin, Maverick, Avatar, Elvis and Women Talking are assured BP nominees. Tàr and Babylon are likely in contention as well. Last spot should be for All quiet in the western front (Foreign+war).

Outside of this 10, I can only see chances for Triangle of Sadness, The Whale, Glass Onion and Woman King.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I miss the times with only 5 BP nominees. What would happen this year with this short list?

Inisherin, Maverick, Fabelmans and EEAAO all look like they are in. But 5th? What a bloodbath between Women Talking, Elvis, Avatar, Babylon and Tàr!

Link to comment
Share on other sites



2 hours ago, stripe said:

I miss the times with only 5 BP nominees. What would happen this year with this short list?

Inisherin, Maverick, Fabelmans and EEAAO all look like they are in. But 5th? What a bloodbath between Women Talking, Elvis, Avatar, Babylon and Tàr!

Babylon is clinging for dear life at the notion a Best Picture nomination at this point with all the hurdles it has (mixed reviews, disastrous box office, weak audience scores from those who are seeing it). Women Talking doing worse in limited release than even Spoiler Alert (indicating no one cares to check it out) is pretty concerning too.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, filmlover said:

Babylon is clinging for dear life at the notion a Best Picture nomination at this point with all the hurdles it has (mixed reviews, disastrous box office, weak audience scores from those who are seeing it). Women Talking doing worse in limited release than even Spoiler Alert (indicating no one cares to check it out) is pretty concerning too.

 

Women Talking doesn't need BO to be in the conversation and sneak in. While Babylon is divisive, it has a strong group of supporters. I agree though that both would have less chances than Avatar and Tàr if there were only 5 BP noms.

 

My predictions then would be:
Maverick

Inisherin

EEAAO

Fabelmans

Avatar

Alt. Elvis

Link to comment
Share on other sites



Curious fact:

If Avatar and Maverick are nommed, we would look at the second highest BP line up cumulative gross ever since expanded field.

2009 BP line up grossed 1.7b (170M average)

2022 BP line up gross could be around 1.6b (160M average). 

 

Other years with notable averages.

2010: 1.35b (135M average)

2012: 1b (with 9 films, 111M average)

2013: 813M with 9 films (90M average)

2015: 810M with 8 films (101M average)

2018: 1.347b with 8 films (168M average). One streaming movie.

2019: 949M with 9 films (105M average). Two streaming movies.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



I view the race right now as:

 

Frontrunners:

1. Everything Everywhere All at Once

2. The Banshees of Inisherin

3. The Fabelmans

 

Safe:

4. TÁR

5. Top Gun: Maverick

6. Avatar: The Way of Water

7. Elvis

8. Women Talking

 

Fighting for the Last Two Spots:

9. Babylon

10. Aftersun

11. All Quiet on the Western Front

12. The Woman King

13. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

14. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery

15. Living

 

Some precedents are going to be broken this year, just like CODA threw so many "rules" out the window last year. I think Picture is ultimately between EEAAO and Banshees, leaning towards the former for now. Fabelmans isn't dead but has lost too much buzz by now.

 

I can maybe see TÁR, Top Gun, or Avatar pulling preferential ballot shenanigans but don't see them being viable with the specific hurdles each film has to overcome across the Academy (TÁR is too arthouse for the old guard+could miss below the line nominations, Top Gun might not get anything above the line, Avatar won't have acting and likely screenplay)

 

Women Talking's had a pretty disastrous December between the box office and muted precursor recognition, but the last two spots being wildcards are keeping it safe until proven otherwise. If it was last year, I don't think it would've gotten into Picture.  Elvis is above it at this point and will almost certainly garner more nominations.

 

As for the last two spots, Aftersun feels somewhat underestimated to me. If BAFTA goes crazy for it, watch out. I haven't seen Babylon yet, but even with the mixed reception and flopping, it will still pull 4-7 below the line noms before it even hits any acting categories, boosting the case for a Picture nomination. All Quiet got a big boost from the shortlists and is clearly the international film that could breakthrough into Picture (sorry RRR). Black Panther also had a great shortlist showing, but with two sequels already ahead of it for Picture, I don't think it makes the lineup. Woman King's poor shortlist performance doesn't bode well elsewhere; it probably needs all three of Actress, Costume Design, and Score to make Picture. Glass Onion could benefit from being well-liked but seems to be fading with less precursor recognition than Knives Out. Living remains a usual SPC spoiler.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Pre-pre cursors:

Spoiler

Best Picture:

 

1. Everything Everywhere All at Once

2. The Banshees of Inisherin

3. The Fabelmans

4. TÁR

5. Top Gun: Maverick

6. Avatar: The Way of Water

7. Elvis

8. Women Talking

9. Babylon

10. Aftersun

Alt: All Quiet on the Western Front

 

Director:

 

1. Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once

2. Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans

3. Todd Field, TÁR

4. James Cameron, Avatar: The Way of Water

5. Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin

Alt: Baz Luhrmann, Elvis

 

Actor:

 

1. Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin

2. Austin Butler, Elvis

3. Brendan Fraser, The Whale

4. Paul Mescal, Aftersun

5. Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick

Alt: Bill Nighy, Living

 

Actress:

 

1. Cate Blanchett, TÁR

2. Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once

3. Danielle Deadwyler, Till

4. Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans

5. Margot Robbie, Babylon

Alt: Viola Davis, The Woman King

 

Supporting Actor:

 

1. Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once

2. Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin

3. Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin

4. Paul Dano, The Fabelmans

5. Brad Pitt, Babylon

Alt: Brian Tyree Henry, Causeway

 

Supporting Actress:

 

1. Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin

2. Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once

3. Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once

4. Claire Foy, Women Talking

5. Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Alt: Jean Smart, Babylon

 

Original Screenplay:

 

1. The Banshees of Inisherin

2. Everything Everywhere All at Once

3. TÁR

4. The Fabelmans

5. Aftersun

Alt: Triangle of Sadness

 

Adapted Screenplay:

 

1. Women Talking

2. Glass Onion

3. She Said

4. Living

5. Top Gun: Maverick

Alt: The Whale

 

 

Cinematography:

 

1. Top Gun: Maverick

2. Avatar: The Way of Water

3. Babylon

4. TÁR

5. Nope

Alt: The Fabelmans

 

Editing:

 

1. Top Gun: Maverick

2. Everything Everywhere All at Once

3. Elvis

4. Avatar: The Way of Water

5. The Banshees of Inisherin

Alt: Aftersun

 

Score:

 

1. Babylon

2. Women Talking

3. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio

4. The Fabelmans

5. The Banshees of Inisherin

Alt: The Woman King

 

Song:

 

1. Lift Me Up, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

2. Hold My Hand, Top Gun: Maverick

3. Naatu Naatu, RRR

4. Carolina, Where the Crawdads Sing

5. Nothing Is Lost, Avatar: The Way of Water

Alt: New Body Rhumba, White Noise

 

Production Design:

 

1. Avatar: The Way of Water

2. Babylon

3. Elvis

4. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

5. The Fabelmans

Alt: All Quiet on the Western Front

 

Costume Design:

 

1. Elvis

2. Babylon

3. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

4. Living

5. Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris

Alt: Everything Everywhere All at Once

 

Makeup and Hairstyling:

 

1. The Whale

2. Elvis

3. The Batman

4. Babylon

5. All Quiet on the Western Front

Alt: Crimes of the Future

 

Visual Effects:

 

1. Avatar: The Way of Water

2. Top Gun: Maverick

3. Nope

4. Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness

5. The Batman

Alt: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

 

Sound:

 

1. Top Gun: Maverick

2. Avatar: The Way of Water

3. Elvis

4. Babylon

5. All Quiet on the Western Front

Alt: The Batman

 

International Feature:

 

1. All Quiet on the Western Front

2. Decision to Leave

3. Bardo

4. EO

5. Argentina, 1985

Alt: Close

 

Documentary Feature:

 

1. Fire of Love

2. All That Breathes

3. All the Beauty and the Bloodshed

4. Bad Axe

5. Descendant

Alt: Navalny

 

Animated Feature:

 

1. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio

2. Turning Red

3. Marcel the Shell with Shoes On

4. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

5. The Bad Guys

Alt: Wendell & Wild

 

9x:

Babylon (Picture, Actress, Supporting Actor, Cinematography, Score, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup & Hairstyling, Sound)

The Banshees of Inisherin (Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor x2, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Editing, Score)

 

8x:

Avatar: The Way of Water (Picture, Director, Cinematography, Editing, Song, Production Design, Visual Effects, Sound)

Everything Everywhere All at Once (Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress x2, Original Screenplay, Editing)

Top Gun: Maverick (Picture, Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Song, Visual Effects, Sound)

 

7x:

Elvis (Picture, Actor, Editing, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup & Hairstyling, Sound)

The Fabelmans (Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Score, Production Design)

 

5x:

TÁR (Picture, Director, Actress, Original Screenplay, Cinematography)

 

4x:

All Quiet on the Western Front (Makeup & Hairstyling, Visual Effects, Sound, International Feature)

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Supporting Actress, Song, Production Design, Costume Design)

Women Talking (Picture, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Score)

 

3x:

Aftersun (Picture, Actor, Original Screenplay)

 

2x:

The Batman (Makeup & Hairstyling, Visual Effects)

Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio (Score, Animated Feature)

Living (Adapted Screenplay, Costume Design)

Nope (Cinematography, Visual Effects)

The Whale (Actor, Makeup & Hairstyling)

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



BAFTA Film Awards 2023 Longlists:

 

BEST FILM

• Aftersun
• All Quiet on the Western Front
• The Banshees of Inisherin
• Elvis
• Everything Everywhere All At Once
• The Fabelmans
• Living
• Tár
• Top Gun: Maverick
• Triangle of Sadness

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Jeez, Women Talking can't catch a break. And to think I was predicting it as a potential WINNER back in January. I'll stick with it for now, but that and Babylon are definitely no higher than #8-9.

 

Shortlists can be taken too far (House of Gucci DOMINATED in BAFTA shortlists last year, after all), but with 10 slots instead of 15, it does make the films there stronger.

 

I digress, here are my current predictions:

 

Spoiler

BEST PICTURE

All Quiet on the Western Front

Avatar: The Way of Water

Babylon

The Banshees of Inisherin

Elvis

Everything Everywhere All At Once

The Fabelmans

Tar

Top Gun: Maverick

Women Talking

 

BEST DIRECTOR

Edward Berger (All Quiet on the Western Front)

Daniels (Everything Everywhere all At Once)

Todd Field (Tar)

Martin McDonaugh (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans)

 

BEST ACTRESS

Cate Blanchett (Tar)

Viola Davis (The Woman King)

Danielle Deadwyler (Till)

Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans)

Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once)

 

BEST ACTOR

Austin Butler (Elvis)

Tom Cruise (Top Gun: Maverick)

Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

Bill Nighy (Living)

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)

Jessie Buckley (Women Talking)

Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Dolly De Leon (Triangle of Sadness)

Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All At Once)

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Paul Dano (The Fabelmans)

Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once)

Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Brad Pitt (Babylon)

 

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Aftersun

The Banshees of Inisherin

Everything Everywhere All At Once

The Fabelmans

Tar

 

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

All Quiet on the Western Front

Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery

Living

She Said

Women Talking

 

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

All Quiet on the Western Front

Avatar: The Way of Water

Bardo

The Fabelmans

Top Gun: Maverick

 

BEST FILM EDITING

Avatar: The Way of Water

The Banshees of Inisherin

Elvis

Everything Everywhere All At Once

Top Gun: Maverick

 

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Avatar: The Way of Water

Babylon

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Elvis

Everything Everywhere All At Once

 

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Babylon

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Elvis
Living

Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris

 

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

All Quiet on the Western Front

The Batman

Blonde

Elvis

The Whale

 

BEST SOUND

All Quiet on the Western Front

Avatar: The Way of Water

Elvis

Everything Everywhere All At Once

Top Gun: Maverick

 

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Avatar: The Way of Water

The Batman

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness

Nope

Top Gun: Maverick

 

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

The Banshees of Inisherin

The Fabelmans

Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio

The Woman King

Women Talking

 

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

"Applause" (Tell It Like A Woman)

"Ciao Papa" (Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio)

"Hold My Hand" (Top Gun: Maverick)

"Lift Me Up" (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)

"Naatu Naatu" (RRR)

 

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio

Marcel The Shell with Shoes On

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

Turning Red

Wendell and Wild

 

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

All That Breathes

All The Beauty and the Bloodshed

Bad Axe

Descendant

Navalny

 

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

All Quiet on the Western Front

Argentina, 1985

Decision to Leave

EO

The Quiet Girl

 

NOMINATION COUNTS (>1 NOMINATION)

9 – The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All At Once

7 - All Quiet on the Western Front, Elvis, The Fabelmans, Top Gun: Maverick

6 - Avatar: The Way of Water

4 – Babylon, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Tar, Women Talking

3 – Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio, Living

2 – The Batman, The Whale, The Woman King

 

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Avatar getting dissed by the BAFTAs is... interesting. Still think it's locked for a BP nom, but I'm starting to think Top Gun could upset it in some of the more blockbuster-friendly categories (besides VFX, Avatar's got that covered).

 

Thinking if something were to lose out to either Glass Onion or Aftersun it would be either Babylon or Women Talking.

Edited by cookie
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



3 hours ago, Ezen Baklattan said:

Jeez, Women Talking can't catch a break. And to think I was predicting it as a potential WINNER back in January. I'll stick with it for now, but that and Babylon are definitely no higher than #8-9.

 

Shortlists can be taken too far (House of Gucci DOMINATED in BAFTA shortlists last year, after all), but with 10 slots instead of 15, it does make the films there stronger.

 

I digress, here are my current predictions:

 

  Hide contents

BEST PICTURE

All Quiet on the Western Front

Avatar: The Way of Water

Babylon

The Banshees of Inisherin

Elvis

Everything Everywhere All At Once

The Fabelmans

Tar

Top Gun: Maverick

Women Talking

 

BEST DIRECTOR

Edward Berger (All Quiet on the Western Front)

Daniels (Everything Everywhere all At Once)

Todd Field (Tar)

Martin McDonaugh (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans)

 

BEST ACTRESS

Cate Blanchett (Tar)

Viola Davis (The Woman King)

Danielle Deadwyler (Till)

Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans)

Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once)

 

BEST ACTOR

Austin Butler (Elvis)

Tom Cruise (Top Gun: Maverick)

Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

Bill Nighy (Living)

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)

Jessie Buckley (Women Talking)

Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Dolly De Leon (Triangle of Sadness)

Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All At Once)

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Paul Dano (The Fabelmans)

Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once)

Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Brad Pitt (Babylon)

 

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Aftersun

The Banshees of Inisherin

Everything Everywhere All At Once

The Fabelmans

Tar

 

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

All Quiet on the Western Front

Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery

Living

She Said

Women Talking

 

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

All Quiet on the Western Front

Avatar: The Way of Water

Bardo

The Fabelmans

Top Gun: Maverick

 

BEST FILM EDITING

Avatar: The Way of Water

The Banshees of Inisherin

Elvis

Everything Everywhere All At Once

Top Gun: Maverick

 

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Avatar: The Way of Water

Babylon

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Elvis

Everything Everywhere All At Once

 

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Babylon

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Elvis
Living

Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris

 

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

All Quiet on the Western Front

The Batman

Blonde

Elvis

The Whale

 

BEST SOUND

All Quiet on the Western Front

Avatar: The Way of Water

Elvis

Everything Everywhere All At Once

Top Gun: Maverick

 

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Avatar: The Way of Water

The Batman

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness

Nope

Top Gun: Maverick

 

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

The Banshees of Inisherin

The Fabelmans

Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio

The Woman King

Women Talking

 

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

"Applause" (Tell It Like A Woman)

"Ciao Papa" (Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio)

"Hold My Hand" (Top Gun: Maverick)

"Lift Me Up" (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)

"Naatu Naatu" (RRR)

 

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio

Marcel The Shell with Shoes On

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

Turning Red

Wendell and Wild

 

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

All That Breathes

All The Beauty and the Bloodshed

Bad Axe

Descendant

Navalny

 

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

All Quiet on the Western Front

Argentina, 1985

Decision to Leave

EO

The Quiet Girl

 

NOMINATION COUNTS (>1 NOMINATION)

9 – The Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All At Once

7 - All Quiet on the Western Front, Elvis, The Fabelmans, Top Gun: Maverick

6 - Avatar: The Way of Water

4 – Babylon, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Tar, Women Talking

3 – Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio, Living

2 – The Batman, The Whale, The Woman King

 

 

This is an ideal list of predictions. I wish it would come true. Tom Cruise is still a question mark, but the rest sound right

Link to comment
Share on other sites



Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.