Best Picture Predictions: 2022

[Cap]

2 hours ago, BoxOfficeFangrl said:

. A lot of people on all sides wouldn't know what to do with themselves:

so basically what you’re saying it would make a lot of people angry and create maximum Internet drama?

 

I’m in. Top Gun for best picture 😈

[Reddroast]

1 minute ago, Cap said:

so basically what you’re saying it would make a lot of people angry and create maximum Internet drama?

 

I’m in. Top Gun for best picture 😈

Has a movie involving TC won?

[Maggie]

For those saying TG2 has a big chance of winning....Jeff Sneider made a good point. Avatar2 will surely get nominated and it will steal votes from TG2 from those who vote for blockbuster, so in the end The Fabelmans will win.

[filmlover]

24 minutes ago, Maggie said:

For those saying TG2 has a big chance of winning....Jeff Sneider made a good point. Avatar2 will surely get nominated and it will steal votes from TG2 from those who vote for blockbuster, so in the end The Fabelmans will win.

Everything Everywhere is looking to be Top Gun’s competition, not The Fabelmans. 
 

This is looking like an increasingly thin year in which most of the nominees for Best Picture seem destined to be “filler nominees” at best. Babylon feels like it’s on life support at this point after missing both NBR and AFI.

[BoxOfficeFangrl]

1 hour ago, Maggie said:

For those saying TG2 has a big chance of winning....Jeff Sneider made a good point. Avatar2 will surely get nominated and it will steal votes from TG2 from those who vote for blockbuster, so in the end The Fabelmans will win.

I'd considered that, but wth the ranked choice voting, TGM and Avatar 2 could both have a lot of high placements on ballots from lovers of spectacle. OTOH,  you'll probably have some Maverick fans who enjoy it as old-fashioned moviemaking and feel The Way of Water is too VFX heavy, and will rank it much lower.

 

But voters are idiosyncratic, last year you had the Anonymous Oscar Ballots with CODA and Nightmare Alley in their Top 3, you can only predict so much about how the race will go.

 

There have been some wildly unexpected results in recent years, though, but it feels like people discount them as flukes and go back to predicting the same old things to happen.

 

 

Edited December 9, 2022 by BoxOfficeFangrl

[Jake Gittes]

1 hour ago, Reddroast said:

Has a movie involving TC won?

 

Rain Man.

[WrathOfHan]

Top Gun's coming, folks. 

 

 

[CoolioD1]

glad to see everyone catch up. told you guys top gun was winning three months ago.

[WrathOfHan]

1 hour ago, CoolioD1 said:

glad to see everyone catch up. told you guys top gun was winning three months ago.

Let's get that Kosinski director nod that only some are starting to realize is a possibility now

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

who cares about NBR and AFI. Shape of Water didn't even make NBR.

 

Wait until the actual importance places like the guilds

[filmlover]

Final Golden Globes Nominations Predictions: Austin Butler, Harry Styles and ‘RRR’ Among Expected Nominees https://t.co/LGP6dZnEWs

— Variety (@Variety) December 9, 2022

 

I keep forgetting these are coming up so soon, how the mighty have fallen. Them nominating Styles for that no1curr flop would be such a HFPA move lmao.

[John Marston]

Avatar should still get nominated but definitely not winning 

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

1 hour ago, John Marston said:

Avatar should still get nominated but definitely not winning 

Cameron can win Director and it could win the Drama Globe tbh

[Maggie]

Finally watched The Fabelmans. It was so boring, my god how did i ever think this was winning best picture? Critics influenced me. Tar and TG2 remain the best movies with Oscar potential  this year. Haven't seen Bansheese yet.

[eXtacy]

10 hours ago, John Marston said:

Avatar should still get nominated but definitely not winning 

 

My understanding is that if enough people love a film it can pull out a win. That is why films that end in low 70's in RT can still get in nomination and win even against much better scores. Enough people gushing about it that it could be in with a small chance. But yeah unlikely. Maybe Avatar 4 which is hinted at having the strongest story.

[stripe]

The fact that Avatar 2 could be nommed is already an incredible achievement. Only three second instalments have been nommed for BP: The Bells of St Mary, The Godfather Part II and The Two Towers.

Interestingly, this year we might see two sequels nommed: TGM and Avatar.

[stripe]

Many critics already giving their prizes.

 

Time to update my predictions:

 

Almost locked

1. EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

2. TOP GUN MAVERICK

3. BANSHEES OF INISHERIM

4. FABELMANS

 

Strong candidates

5. TÀR

6. AVATAR 2

7. WOMEN TALKING

8. ELVIS

 

Vulnerable but in

9. BABYLON

10. RRR

 

One or two could sneak in

PINOCCHIO

TRIANGLE OF SADNESS

GLASS ONION

THE WOMAN KING

THE WHALE

DECISION TO LEAVE

 

Miracle!

SHE SAID

ARMAGEDDON TIME

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

NOPE

EMPIRE OF LIGHT

 

 

 

[filmlover]

Critics Choice nominations:

 

Best Picture 

• “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
• “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
• “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
• “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
• “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
• “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
• “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)
• “RRR” (Variance Films)
• “Tár” (Focus Features)
• “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)
• “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)

Best Actor 

• Austin Butler – “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
• Tom Cruise – “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)
• Colin Farrell – “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
• Brendan Fraser – “The Whale” (A24)
• Paul Mescal – “Aftersun” (A24)
• Bill Nighy – “Living” (Sony Pictures Classics)

Best Actress 

• Cate Blanchett – “Tár” (Focus Features)
• Viola Davis – “The Woman King” (Sony Pictures)
• Danielle Deadwyler – “Till” (Orion/United Artists Releasing)
• Margot Robbie – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
• Michelle Williams – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
• Michelle Yeoh – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

Best Supporting Actor 

• Paul Dano – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
• Brendan Gleeson – “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
• Judd Hirsch – “The Fabelmans” (Searchlight Pictures)
• Barry Keoghan – “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
• Ke Huy Quan – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
• Brian Tyree Henry – “Causeway” (A24/Apple Original Films)

Best Supporting Actress 

• Angela Bassett – “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
• Jessie Buckley – “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
• Kerry Condon – “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
• Jamie Lee Curtis – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
• Stephanie Hsu – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
• Janelle Monáe – “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)

Best Young Actor/Actress 

• Frankie Corio – “Aftersun” (A24)
• Jalyn Hall – “Till” (Orion/United Artists Releasing)
• Gabriel LaBelle – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
• Bella Ramsey – “Catherine Called Birdy” (Amazon Studios)
• Banks Repeta – “Armageddon Time” (Focus Features)
• Sadie Sink – “The Whale” (A24)

Best Acting Ensemble 

 

• “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
• “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
• “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
• “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)
• “The Woman King” (Sony Pictures)
• “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)

Best Director 

• James Cameron – “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
• Damien Chazelle – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
• Todd Field – “Tár” (Focus Features)
• Baz Luhrmann – “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
• Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
• Martin McDonagh – “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
• Sarah Polley – “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
• Gina Prince-Bythewood – “The Woman King” (Sony Pictures)
• S.S. Rajamouli – “RRR” (Variance Films)
• Steven Spielberg – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)

Best Original Screenplay

• Charlotte Wells – “Aftersun” (A24)
• Martin McDonagh – “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
• Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
• Steven Spielberg, Tony Kushner – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
• Todd Field – “Tár” (Focus Features)

Best Adapted Screenplay

• Rian Johnson – “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)
• Kazuo Ishiguro – “Living” (Sony Pictures Classics)
• Rebecca Lenkiewicz – “She Said” (Universal Pictures)
• Samuel D. Hunter – “The Whale” (A24)
• Sarah Polley – “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)

Best Cinematography 

• Russell Carpenter – “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
• Linus Sandgren – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
• Roger Deakins – “Empire of Light” (Searchlight Pictures)
• Janusz Kaminski – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
• Florian Hoffmeister – “Tár” (Focus Features)
• Claudio Miranda – “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)

Best Production Design  

• Dylan Cole, Ben Procter, Vanessa Cole – “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
• Florencia Martin, Anthony Carlino – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
• Hannah Beachler, Lisa K. Sessions – “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
• Catherine Martin, Karen Murphy, Bev Dunn – “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
• Jason Kisvarday, Kelsi Ephraim – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
• Rick Carter, Karen O’Hara – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)

Best Editing 

• Stephen Rivkin, David Brenner, John Refoua, James Cameron – “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
• Tom Cross – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
• Matt Villa, Jonathan Redmond – “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
• Paul Rogers – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
• Monika Willi – “Tár” (Focus Features)
• Eddie Hamilton – “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)

Best Costume Design 

• Mary Zophres – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
• Ruth E. Carter – “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
• Catherine Martin – “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
• Shirley Kurata – “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
• Jenny Eagan – “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)
• Gersha Phillips – “The Woman King” (Sony Pictures)

Best Hair and Makeup 

• “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
• “The Batman” (Warner Bros.)
• “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
• “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
• “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
• “The Whale” (A24)

Best Visual Effects 

• “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
• “The Batman” (Warner Bros.)
• “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios)
• “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
• “RRR” (Variance Films)
• “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)

Best Comedy 

• “The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)
• “Bros” (Universal Pictures)
• “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
• “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Netflix)
• “Triangle of Sadness” (Neon)
• “The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent” (Lionsgate)

Best Animated Feature 

• “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Netflix)
• “Marcel the Shell with Shoes On” (A24)
• “Puss in Boots: The Last Wish” (DreamWorks Animation)
• “Turning Red” (Pixar)
• “Wendell & Wild” (Netflix)

Best Foreign Language Film 

• “All Quiet on the Western Front” (Netflix)
• “Argentina, 1985” (Amazon Studios)
• “Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths” (Netflix)
• “Close” (A24)
• “Decision to Leave” (Mubi)
• “RRR” (Variance Films)

Best Song

• “Lift Me Up” – “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios) 
• “Ciao Papa” – “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Netflix)
• “Naatu Naatu” – “RRR” (Variance Films) 
• “Hold My Hand” – “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures) 
• “Carolina” – “Where the Crawdads Sing” (Sony Pictures)
• “New Body Rhumba” – “White Noise” (Netflix) 

Best Score 

• Michael Giacchino – “The Batman” (Warner Bros.)
• Justin Hurwitz – “Babylon” (Paramount Pictures)
• John Williams – “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
• Alexandre Desplat – “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Netflix)
• Hildur Guðnadóttir – “Tár” (Focus Features)
• Hildur Guðnadóttir – “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)

Critics Choice Awards Film Nominations 2023 - Variety

[Maggie]

The Banshees of Inisherin should win best picture. what a movie! And please give Colin Farrel the Oscar. Pronto!

[Halba]

On 12/15/2022 at 11:59 AM, Maggie said:

The Banshees of Inisherin should win best picture. what a movie! And please give Colin Farrel the Oscar. Pronto!

Agree should be this, one of the best films ever.