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filmlover

Best Picture Predictions: 2022

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If we were hypothetically going with 2011-2020 rules for nominations, I think it would be...

 

All Quiet on the Western Front

Avatar: The Way of Water

The Banshees of Inisherin

Elvis

Everything Everywhere All At Once

The Fabelmans

Tar

Top Gun: Maverick

 

 

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6 hours ago, stripe said:

I am surprised with the strength of All Quiet on the western front. IMHO It was just another war film, not awards worth by any mean

It's probably Netflix's strongest push for this year at this point (everything else besides Glass Onion is a nonstarter).

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Art Directors Guild Nominees

 

PERIOD FEATURE FILM

“All Quiet on the Western Front” (Production Designer: Christian M. Goldbeck)

“Babylon” (Production Designer: Florencia Martin)

“Elvis” (Production Designers: Catherine Martin, Karen Murphy

“The Fabelmans” (Production Designer: Rick Carter)

“White Noise” (Production Designer: Jess Gonchor)

 

FANTASY FEATURE FILM

“Avatar: The Way of Water” (Production Designers: Dylan Cole, Ben Procter)

“The Batman” (Production Designer: James Chinlund)

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Production Designer: Hannah Beachler)

“Everything Everywhere All at Once” (Production Designer: Jason Kisvarday)

“Nope” (Production Designer: Ruth De Jong)

 

CONTEMPORARY FEATURE FILM

“Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths” (Production Designer: Eugenio Caballero)

“Bullet Train” (Production Designer: David Scheunemann)

“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” (Production Designer: Rick Heinrichs)

“Tár” (Production Designer: Marco Bittner Rosser)

“Top Gun: Maverick” (Production Designer: Jeremy Hindle)

 

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

“Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (Production Designers: Guy Davis, Curt Enderle)

“Lightyear” (Production Designer: Tim Evatt)

“Marcel the Shell with Shoes On” (Production Designer: Liz Toonkel)

“Puss In Boots: The Last Wish” (Production Designer: Nate Wragg)

“Turning Red” (Production Designer: Rona Liu)

Edited by stripe
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The Whale sneaking in is pretty unexpected and huge. On top of Hong Chau making Supporting Actress at SAG yesterday. Might end being stronger than we thought. I'm finally seeing it this weekend.

 

Babylon and Women Talking look officially dead for Picture nominations at this point.

 

Have to chuckle at the fact we have 4 sequels here. Goes to show how barren the field is this year.

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2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

The Whale sneaking in is pretty unexpected and huge. On top of Hong Chau making Supporting Actress at SAG yesterday. Might end being stronger than we thought. I'm finally seeing it this weekend.

 

Babylon and Women Talking look officially dead for Picture nominations at this point.

 

Have to chuckle at the fact we have 4 sequels here. Goes to show how barren the field is this year.

Babylon is not dead, if the largest branch sag nominated it

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1 minute ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

Babylon is not dead, if the largest branch sag nominated it

It's clearly clinging for dear life at this point though, especially when it barely made SAG with that Ensemble nomination and nothing else. Its best hope at this point is pulling a Nightmare Alley and making Picture in the end, but even that had more passion for it (compared to the divisive-at-best reception this has on top of being a colossal box office bomb).

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Looks like seven locks and about six films contending for the other six spots.

 

In:

Banshees

EEAAO

Elvis

Avatar

Top Gun

Fablemans

Tar

 

Possible:

All Quiet On The Western Front

Babylon

Black Panther

Glass Onion

Women Talking

The Whale

 

I would guess All Quiet, Women Talking, and the Whale.

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3 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Looks like seven locks and about six films contending for the other six spots.

 

In:

Banshees

EEAAO

Elvis

Avatar

Top Gun

Fablemans

Tar

 

Possible:

All Quiet On The Western Front

Babylon

Black Panther

Glass Onion

Women Talking

The Whale

 

I would guess All Quiet, Women Talking, and the Whale.

The Woman King and RRR are wildcards perhaps

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For Oscars I'm going:

 

Avatar (FOX)

Banshees (SEARCHLIGHT)

Black Panther (DISNEY)

Elvis (WB)

Everywhere (A24)

Fabelmans (UNIVERSAL)

TAR (FOCUS)

Top Gun (PARAMOUNT)

The Whale (A24)

 

And 10th spot being an international choice. Most will predict All Quiet on the Western Front but I'm thinking either Triangle of Sadness or Aftersun. 

-It would be strange for A24 to have three nominees but Aftersun is the most acclaimed English language film of the year. It will have support from international voters and is an ideal passion choice. Triangle of Sadness is in a similar situation but Dolly DeLeon doesn't look set for a nomination anymore and this movie should have contended at guilds such as Art Direction and costume

-Black Panther will have an acting nominee (possible winner?) and a few technical nominations as well as Song. Skyfall would make a year of 10 so I'll stick with Black Panther

-Glass Onion was snubbed at SAG killing Monae's chances. It didn't win any Globes. It's more divisive than the original. I'm not feeling it

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