BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[keysersoze123]

legs in germany does not seem to be that great any more. Previously 5x legs was common. I guess SH and action movies are frontloaded anyway.

 

Edit: Insidekino is saying 525K tickets. That is amazing hold for sure. Should make 3.5m admissions at this rate?

Edited May 5, 2017 by keysersoze123

[el sid]

The first trend (insidekino.de):

#1 GotG2: 525k and already 1.6M admissions after Sunday, very good, 89% of the total of GotG
#2 Get Out: 220k – a nice start
#3 Fast 8 150k
#4 The Boss Baby: 60k
#5 The Smurfs: 50k

....

A Monster Calls: 35k

And some Thursday actuals (source Blickpunkt:Film):

GotG2: 55k – so again underestimated yesterday
Get Out: 21k
Fast 8: 15k
BatB: 5k
A Monster Calls: 2k
Einsamkeit und Sex und Mitleid: 1.5k
Victoria – Männer & andere Missgeschicke: 1.2k
Shin Godzilla: 600 in only 24 theaters, today and at the weekend it will get a bit more

[miketheavenger]

Wow, that's a great hold if it holds. Maybe even 3m admissions are possible now.

[George Parr]

2nd trend is up at insidekino:

 

#1 GotG 2 500k

#2 Get Out 200k

#3 FF8 140k

#4 Boss Baby 60k

#5 Smurfs 50k

#6 Expedition Happiness 40k?

#7 BatB 40k

 

so basically everything down a bit from the first one

Edited May 6, 2017 by George Parr

[picores]

Still a good weekend.

[miketheavenger]

Still only around 33 percent drop for GotG2.

[George Parr]

Ouch, good weather strikes again, the third trend is in:

 

#1 GotG 2 420k (-44%)

#2 Get Out 175k

#3 FF8 135k (-50%)

#4 The Boss Baby 65k (-18%)

#5 Smurfs 45k (-25%)

#6 Expedition Happiness 40k?

#7 BatB 40k (-45%)

[titanic2187]

41 minutes ago, George Parr said:

Ouch, good weather strikes again, the third trend is in:

 

#1 GotG 2 420k (-44%)

#2 Get Out 175k

#3 FF8 135k (-50%)

#4 The Boss Baby 65k (-18%)

#5 Smurfs 45k (-25%)

#6 Expedition Happiness 40k?

#7 BatB 40k (-45%)

about on par with the 1st one's 2nd's week drop, GOTG 1 too, drop 44% in 2014

[IndustriousAngel]

ok, one of these weekends again ... - at least, in Austria, weather's not too fine, so a little better for theaters.

[miketheavenger]

Even then, GotG2 will be at about 1.5m admissions after this weekend. 2m is happening and 2.5m is quite possible.

[keysersoze123]

^^^^

 

Only Guardians has dropped quite a bit from previous trend. I guess Mark overestimated it. He is a Marvel fan(opened a 450m thread for Guardians at KJ).

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm,	total €	drop	week
1	Guardians of the Galaxy 2	436.803	716	610	1.506.736	16.912.195	-43	2
2	Get Out	153.586	500	307	179.459	1.545.852	-	1
3	Fast & Furious 8	141.460	615	230	2.987.932	28.048.584	-48	4
4	The Boss Baby	72.833	700	104	1.654.023	12.385.182	-8	6
5	The Smurfs 3	58.188	693	84	1.082.888	7.814.675	-2	5
6	Expedition Happiness	53.582	219	245	58.881	568.007	-	1
7	Beauty and the Beast	46.772	546	86	3.249.770	31.509.600	-35	8
8	Going in Style	33.129	418	79	370.839	3.149.514	-35	4
9	Happy Burnout	32.178	238	135	123.346	984.481	-28	2
10	Conni & Co 2	24.804	553	45	166.470	1.085.949	-6	3
11	The Shack	19.172	309	62	202.448	1.720.656	-11	5
12	Bienvenue à Marly-Gomont	17.682	169	105	97.310	747.694	-22	3
13	A Monster Calls	14.477	130	111	29.919	202.230	-	1
14	The Bye Bye Man	13.307	198	67	105.723	912.656	-55	3
15	Einsamkeit und Sex und Mitleid	10.797	77	140	11.759	92.756	-	1
16	Ghost in the Shell	8.548	247	35	567.152	6.205.752	-54	6
17	Victoria	8.515	92	93	11.669	85.651	-	1
18	Bibi & Tina 4	6.843	240	29	1.617.336	10.423.237	-1	11
19	Shin Godzilla	5.661	82	69	5.661	64.845	-	1
20	Lion	4.907	122	40	513.028	4.185.565	-35	11

 

Overall, a nice weekend with excellent drops for family releases in the 0-10% range. Guardians of the Galaxy 2 is already near to the first one's total (will beat it next weekend) and had a decent drop, and Get Out opened in the expected range (even if some were hoping for 200k+). The surprise was Expedition Happiness which did exceptionally well for a docu. The weekend's loser was A Monster Calls which got released with very little noise anyway.

 

Next weekend: Virtually the only noteworthy release is Guy Ritchie's King Arthur - I doubt that Ritchie is the right guy for this but medievally themed movies tend to do fairly well in Germany, so #2 should be the goal (I'm sure GotG2 will not crumble). Weather conditions for next weekend should be friendly for the movies once more (meaning drizzly to rainy); so good holds for family releases again!

[miketheavenger]

It's gonna be interesting to see which movie is going to end with more admissions: BatB or Furious 8. They're running pretty close, but BatB might have the advantage due to being more family-friendly.

[IndustriousAngel]

2 hours ago, miketheavenger said:

It's gonna be interesting to see which movie is going to end with more admissions: BatB or Furious 8. They're running pretty close, but BatB might have the advantage due to being more family-friendly.

I was a bit surprised that BatB dropped so hard this weekend with no new competition and other family releases (even ones longer in release) dropping <10% ... at one point 3,5mil total looked ok but it needs better holds to reach that mark.

[DaveVanK]

Another problem for A Monster Calls is that it's the same weekend it came out on DVD/Blu Ray in the UK. My copy dropped on my doormat Saturday Morning

[IndustriousAngel]

Some very positive news from Austria ... propelled by rainy weather and strong performers (F&F8, GotG2, BatB, BossBaby), Austria's April was the strongest since 2006, more than doubling 2016's admissions (which had, of course, worse weekend alignments) - the 2nd quarter is off to a good start! And with hits like StarWars Ep8, FackJuGöhte3 and DespicableMe3, 2017 seems to become about as busy a year as we were hoping.

[Mockingjay Raphael]

How's GO's OW compared to Split's one? 

[IndustriousAngel]

4 hours ago, Mockingjay Raphael said:

How's GO's OW compared to Split's one? 

About half of Split

[el sid]

Some Thursday estimates from insidekino.de/forum:

New Releases:

King Arthur: 17.5k (released in 560 theaters, 2 mostly negative reviews, 1 ok, 3 good, 1 very good) – that's not overwhelming but also no disaster and in line with expectations of around 175-200k admissions OW and 550-600k total
Überflieger: Kleine Vögel, großes Geklapper: ?k (437, mostly ok to good reviews and one very good review)

Holdovers:

GotG2: 24.5k (last Thursday actuals 55k) – was always underestimated in these estimates
Get Out: 13.5k (21k) – a very solid and expected hold
Fast 8: 6.5k (15k)
Going in Style: 2k (2.5k)
Happy Burnout: 2k

Edited May 11, 2017 by el sid

[IndustriousAngel]

Weekend estimates from insidekino.de:

#1: GotG2 - 250k admissions (-45%)

#2: Arthur - 180k (meh)

#3: Get Out - 100k (-35%)

#4: F&F8 - 65k (-55%)