Weekend Thread - 16-18/09/22 | The Woman King $19M, Pearl $3.12M, See $3.10M

[Flip]

Saturday was most likely TGM's last day above $1M barring some sort of rerelease

[Issac Newton]

From Deadline Hollywood

 

Top 10 pics for Sept. 16-18., chart updated with Sunday numbers.

 

1.) The Woman King (Sony) 3,765 theaters Fri $6.8M, Sat $7.15M, Sun $5M, 3-day $19M/Wk 1

 

2.) Barbarian (20th/Dis) 2,340 theaters, Fri $1.96M (-48%), $2.7M, Sun $1.6M  3-day $6.3M (-40%)/Total $20.9M/Wk 2

 

3.) Pearl (A24) 2,935 theaters, Fri $1.3M, Sat $1M, Sun $803K, 3-day $3.124M/Wk 1

 

4.) See How They Run(Sea) 2,404 theaters, Fri $1.08M/Sat $1.16M, Sun $854K, 3-day $3.1M/Wk 1

 

5.) Bullet Train (Sony) 2,602 (-454) theaters, Fri $720K, Sat $1.1M, Sun $655K 3-day $2.5M (-24%)/, Total $96.3M/Wk 7

By hook or by crook, this Brad Pitt movie will make it to $100M.

 

6.) Top Gun: Maverick (Par) 2,604  (-401) theaters, Fri $630K (-25%), Sat $1M, Sun $550K 3-day $2.18M (-31%), Total $709M/Wk 17

 

7.) DC League of Super-Pets (WB) 2,756 (-287) theaters, Fri $440K (-11%) Sat $1.02M, Sun $715K, 3-day $2.175M (-18%)/Total $87.8M Wk 8

 

8.) The Invitation (Sony) 2,425 (-692) theaters, Fri $485K, Sat $775K Sun $440K 3-day $1.7M (-36%)/Total $21.4M/Wk 2

 

9.) Minions: Rise of Gru (Uni) 1,970 theaters (-304), Fri $260K (-21%), Sat $640K, Sun $420K, 3-day $1.32M (-24%), Total: $364.1M/Wk 12

This Illumination Entertainment sequel is still trying to catch up and become the highest grossing movie in the Minions/Despicable Me universe stateside, that title currently owned by Despicable Me 2 with $368M domestic.

 

10.) Moonage Dream (NEON) 170 theaters, Fri $592K, Sat $373K, Sun $260K, PTA $7,2k/3-day $1.22M/Wk 1

 

Notables:

Brahmastra Part One – Shiva (Dis/Star) 810 theaters, Fri $319K (-83%), Sat $480K Sun $301K 3-day $1.1M (-76%)/Total $6.76M/Wk 2

[Flip]

2 minutes ago, Flip said:

Saturday was most likely TGM's last day above $1M barring some sort of rerelease

Estimates seem a little low, more likely the weekend is something around $2.3M IMO

[Issac Newton]

Demography-

 

As expected, women are the majority at Woman King at 60%, with 58% over 35 and 39% over 45, another promising sign for an older demographic that was reluctant to head out during the height of the pandemic. Black moviegoers turned out at 59%, with Caucasians at 19%, Latino and Hispanic at 12%, and Asian/other at 10%. 

 

The R-rated Ti West-directed movie skewed 53% guys, with 79% between 18-34. Grades were meh, though on par for a horror movie, at B- CinemaScore and 75% positive, 54% recommend from PostTrak. The coasts and Southwest were potent here, with nine of the top ten runs. Alamo counted four of the top ten. Demos were 51% Caucasian, 25% Latino and Hispanic, 11% Black, and 13% Asian/other.

[Flip]

But it definitely won't catch Bullet Train, so this will be its 2nd weekend outside the top 5 since release 17 weekends into its run.

 

[Valonqar]

WK Sun could be underestimated. Sony expects churchgoers rush. I don't know if they calculated it in 5M estimate or they are lowballing. 

 

Thanks everyone who provided DWD projections. 

[Old Spice]

With a budget of $16M that Black Phone total is really spectacular when you think about it. I still haven't seen it (not super into horror) but with a $90M finish and great critical/audience scores, is this one that's set up to spawn sequels?

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, A Star is Delayed said:

With a budget of $16M that Black Phone total is really spectacular when you think about it. I still haven't seen it (not super into horror) but with a $90M finish and great critical/audience scores, is this one that's set up to spawn sequels?

Not really, no.

[Old Spice]

I could see Super Pets potentially doing a little better than WB's projected 28% Sunday drop. At my theater yesterday, 2/3 of its matinees were lost to the Batman Day screenings. All it was left with was an 11:30 AM and a post-10:00 PM (!) screening. Don't know how common that was nationwide, but it could lead to a better Sunday hold.

[M37]

21 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

From Deadline in the Sunday update, so this is PLF through Saturday (the percent went down a little)...

 

"PLF screens and Imax auditoriums are repping 34% of Woman King‘s weekend ticket sales at this point in time."

 

and

"Imax Woman King prints at 235 grossed $950K for the weekend." 

 

It must be the non-IMAX screens (Dolby, etc) pulling that PLF number up 

 

$950K is 5% of $19M OW est, BT was a $2.5/$30 = 8%, and Nope was $5.2/$44 = 11.8% (all per Sunday AM Deadline write-ups). So the IMAX loss to Avatar may not hurt as much, but the PLF loss overall may, depending on if/how many it can keep 

[Napoleon]

21 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

10.) Moonage Dream (NEON) 170 theaters, Fri $592K, Sat $373K, Sun $260K, PTA $7,2k/3-day $1.22M/Wk 1

Went to see this last night in IMAX and it was incredible, best thing I saw this year, in theaters or streaming.

[Cruel Summer]

18 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Not really, no.

a sequel is confirmed, troll better

[Cruel Summer]

2 hours ago, Flopped said:

Not you people believing these 1m budget claims. Lmaoooooooo. 

Agree lol. a slasher movie with kid cudi, jenna ortega, brittany snow, martin henderson and mia goth playing TWO characters did no t cost 1m

[Spidey Freak]

43 minutes ago, A Star is Delayed said:

With a budget of $16M that Black Phone total is really spectacular when you think about it. I still haven't seen it (not super into horror) but with a $90M finish and great critical/audience scores, is this one that's set up to spawn sequels?

 

It's more of a thriller than straight-up horror which makes its success even more impressive

[Cmasterclay]

Woman King could do 60 million easy with fall legs coming up. That's a nice total. 

 

Don't Worry Darling going to have a Fault In Our Stars esque multiplier. 

[Issac Newton]

Title	Estimated weekend	% change	Locations	Location change	Average	Total	Weekend	Distributor
The Woman King	$19,000,000		3,765		$5,046	$19,000,000	1	Sony Pictures
Barbarian	$6,300,000	-40%	2,340		$2,692	$20,915,433	2	20th Century Studios
Pearl	$3,124,600		2,935		$1,065	$3,124,600	1	A24
See How They Run	$3,100,000		2,404		$1,290	$3,100,000	1	Searchlight Pictures
Bullet Train	$2,500,000	-24%	2,602	-454	$961	$96,381,145	7	Sony Pictures
Top Gun: Maverick	$2,180,477	-31%	2,604	-401	$837	$709,055,000	17	Paramount
DC League of Super Pets	$2,175,000	-18%	2,756	-287	$789	$87,860,007	8	Warner Bros.
The Invitation	$1,700,000	-36%	2,425	-692	$701	$21,468,901	4	Sony Pictures
Minions: The Rise of Gru	$1,320,000	-24%	1,970	-304	$670	$364,099,540	12	Universal
Moonage Daydream	$1,225,000		170		$7,206	$1,225,000	1	Neon
Brahmastra Part 1: Shiva	$1,100,000	-76%	810		$1,358	$6,769,739	2	Fox Star India
Beast	$820,000	-54%	1,664	-1,129	$493	$30,766,160	5	Universal
Where the Crawdads Sing	$700,000	-44%	1,521	-469	$460	$88,875,124	10	Sony Pictures
Running The Bases	$545,500		1,080		$505	$545,500	1	UP2U Films
Nope	$410,000	-51%	671	-471	$611	$122,746,455	9	Universal
Thor: Love and Thunder	$373,000	-63%	820	-1,030	$455	$342,944,605	11	Walt Disney
God’s Country	$300,000		785		$382	$300,000	1	IFC Films
Confess, Fletch	$260,000		516		$504	$260,000	1	Paramount
Spider-Man: No Way Home — The More Fun Stuff Version	$220,000	-84%	860	-2,355	$256	$813,977,753	40	Sony Pictures
Jaws	$210,000	-68%	702	-544	$299	$272,159,580		Universal
Orphan: First Kill	$135,464	-56%	224	-204	$605	$5,350,000	5	Paramount
Fall	$125,000	-20%	213	-54	$587	$6,893,115	6	Lionsgate
The Silent Twins	$102,000		279		$366	$102,000	1	Focus Features
Bodies Bodies Bodies	$78,385	-61%	361	-290	$217	$11,354,812	7	A24
The Black Phone	$67,000	-38%	125	-60	$536	$89,857,800	13	Universal
Jurassic World: Dominion	$64,000	-61%	205	-243	$312	$375,977,460	15	Universal
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris	$56,000	-56%	226	-115	$248	$10,318,385	10	Focus Features
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On	$33,321	-66%	116	-45	$287	$6,277,343	13	A24
Easter Sunday	$16,000	-69%	82	-53	$195	$13,005,330	7	Universal
Everything Everywhere All At Once	$15,100	-44%	43	-3	$351	$69,975,475	26	A24
The African Desperate	$12,126		2		$6,063	$12,126	1	MUBI

[Issac Newton]

Hockeyland from Greenwich Entertainment grossed $50,000 on 148 screens for a PSA of $341 and a total cume in week two of $92,516.

[Valonqar]

where are the international numbers? I want to see what TGM made.

[Issac Newton]

1 minute ago, Valonqar said:

where are the international numbers? I want to see what TGM made.

https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/30379-top-gun-maverick-first-1bn-grosser-worldwide-of-2022-13bn-without-china/?do=findComment&comment=4392602

[CJohn]

Ungodly pissed at the fact I am gonna miss Three Thousands Years of Longing in theaters. It played for a week while I was out on vacations and when I returned either it was pulled completely or just had residual shows which I couldn't fit with my free time.