Weekend Thread - 16-18/09/22 | The Woman King $19M, Pearl $3.12M, See $3.10M

[Issac Newton]

DBS - $375K / $37.1M (-58%)

[Issac Newton]

Weekend Studio Estimates for September 16 - September 18, 2022

 

Rank	Film	Distributor	Weekend Gross	Locations	Location Average	%Change	Total Gross	TG ÷ OW	Week
1	The Woman King	Sony / TriStar	$19,000,000	3,765	$5,046	NEW	$19,000,000	1.000	1
2	Barbarian	Disney / 20th Century	$6,300,000	2,340	$2,692	-40.3%	$20,915,433	1.984	2
3	Pearl	A24	$3,124,600	2,935	$1,065	NEW	$3,124,600	1.000	1
4	See How They Run	Disney / Searchlight	$3,100,000	2,404	$1,290	NEW	$3,100,000	1.000	1
5	Bullet Train	Sony / Columbia	$2,500,000	2,602	$961	-24.5%	$96,381,145	3.209	7
6	Top Gun: Maverick	Paramount	$2,180,477	2,604	$837	-30.9%	$709,055,000	5.596	17
7	DC League of Super-Pets	Warner Bros.	$2,175,000	2,756	$789	-18.1%	$87,860,007	3.819	8
8	The Invitation	Sony / Screen Gems	$1,700,000	2,425	$701	-36.3%	$21,468,901	3.155	4
9	Minions: The Rise of Gru	Universal	$1,320,000	1,970	$670	-24.3%	$364,099,540	3.402	12
10	Moonage Daydream	NEON	$1,225,000	170	$7,206	NEW	$1,225,000	1.000	1
11	Brahmastra Part One: Shiva	Disney / Star Studios	$1,100,000	810	$1,358	-75.8%	$6,769,739	1.490	2
12	Beast	Universal	$820,000	1,664	$493	-54.5%	$30,766,160	2.658	5
	Where the Crawdads Sing	Sony / Columbia	$700,000	1,521	$460	-43.7%	$88,875,124	5.151	10
	Running the Bases	UP2U Films	$545,500	1,080	$505	NEW	$545,500	1.000	1
	Nope	Universal	$410,000	671	$611	-51.1%	$122,746,455	2.767	9
	Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero	Crunchyroll	$375,000	675	$556	-58.0%	$37,100,000	1.756	5
	Thor: Love and Thunder	Disney	$373,000	820	$455	-63.3%	$342,944,605	2.379	11
	God's Country	IFC Films	$300,000	785	$382	NEW	$300,000	1.000	1
	Confess, Fletch	Paramount	$260,000	516	$504	NEW	$260,000	1.000	1
	Spider-Man: No Way Home (re-issue)	Sony / Columbia	$220,000	860	$256	-83.5%	$9,184,276	1.700	3
	Jaws (re-issue)	Universal	$210,000	702	$299	-67.6%	$5,003,310	1.896	3
	Orphan: First Kill	Paramount	$135,464	224	$605	-56.2%	$5,350,000	3.075	5
	Fall	Lionsgate	$125,000	213	$587	-19.5%	$6,893,115	2.744	6
	The Silent Twins	Focus	$102,000	279	$366	NEW	$102,000	1.000	1
	Bodies Bodies Bodies	A24	$78,385	361	$217	-61.1%	$11,354,813	3.493	7
	The Black Phone	Universal	$67,000	125	$536	-38.5%	$89,857,800	3.802	13
	Jurassic World Dominion	Universal	$64,000	205	$312	-61.4%	$375,977,460	2.592	15
	Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris	Focus	$56,000	226	$248	-56.5%	$10,318,385	5.283	10
	Marcel the Shell with Shoes On	A24	$33,321	116	$287	-65.8%	$6,277,343	7.180	13
	Easter Sunday	Universal / DreamWorks	$16,000	82	$195	-69.4%	$13,005,330	2.388	7
	Everything Everywhere All At Once	A24	$15,100	43	$351	-43.7%	$69,975,474	11.310	26

[scabab]

1 hour ago, Issac Newton said:

DBS - $375K / $37.1M (-58%)

 

Where's this number from? Forbes I think said it was at $37.5 million.

[DAJK]

You know, I'm really starting to think Don't Worry Darling is going to be a mini-breakout next weekend. Nothing insanely crazy, but presales for Thursday night are STRONG. Sure, it'll be front-loaded as hell, but I think the crowd that pushed The Fault in Our Stars to 8M previews back in 2014 are now 8 years older (that's crazy) and will give this a similar type of boost (4M previews or so, 25M weekend). 

[filmlover]

17 minutes ago, DAJK said:

You know, I'm really starting to think Don't Worry Darling is going to be a mini-breakout next weekend. Nothing insanely crazy, but presales for Thursday night are STRONG. Sure, it'll be front-loaded as hell, but I think the crowd that pushed The Fault in Our Stars to 8M previews back in 2014 are now 8 years older (that's crazy) and will give this a similar type of boost (4M previews or so, 25M weekend). 

What's crazy is that Don't Worry Darling debuting at #1 next weekend would mean back-to-back top openers from female directors. When is the last time that happened (if that's even happened before, nothing immediately jumps to mind)?

[filmlover]

Also I can see where the A+ CinemaScore grade for The Woman King comes from after seeing it. My audience was completely into it and cheering at certain moments. Expecting it to reach a multiplier of at least 4x now (especially with light direct competition coming up).

[Legion Again]

53 minutes ago, DAJK said:

The Fault in Our Stars to 8M previews

Da FUQ

 

 

 

[CJohn]

6 hours ago, filmlover said:

What's crazy is that Don't Worry Darling debuting at #1 next weekend would mean back-to-back top openers from female directors. When is the last time that happened (if that's even happened before, nothing immediately jumps to mind)?

It would also mean 3 out of the last 4 new releases that reach 1st place would be directed by a female director (DWD, The Woman King and The Invitation).

[Eric the Ape]

7 hours ago, DAJK said:

You know, I'm really starting to think Don't Worry Darling is going to be a mini-breakout next weekend. Nothing insanely crazy, but presales for Thursday night are STRONG. Sure, it'll be front-loaded as hell, but I think the crowd that pushed The Fault in Our Stars to 8M previews back in 2014 are now 8 years older (that's crazy) and will give this a similar type of boost (4M previews or so, 25M weekend). 

[Ipickthiswhiterose]

1 hour ago, CJohn said:

It would also mean 3 out of the last 4 new releases that reach 1st place would be directed by a female director (DWD, The Woman King and The Invitation).

 

I was going to join with this and say how great it was to see this increase...but then rolled back and saw that despite this run the Invitation was the first female-direct number one of 2022 and indeed the first since Eternals.

 

So, forward steps but not exactly there yet.

[Eric the Ape]

 

[Grebacio]

 

 

 

 

 

[The Dark Alfred]

The oldies are catching up on TGM, still good for a top 15 17th weekend. Not too bad for Cruise having three films represented.

 

TITANIC still on top.

 

RAIN MAN came second the weekend after its Oscar glory.

 

E.T. solid third.

 

TOP GUN is now tracking ahead of TGM. Will continue to compare their weekly and weekend figures.

 

Biggest domestic 17th weekend (wide releases):

1	Apr 10, 1998	Titanic	$8,558,241	3,265	$2,621	$542,853,691
2	Apr 7, 1989	Rain Man	$4,114,304	1,580	$2,604	$148,150,729
3	Oct 1, 1982	E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial	$4,024,048	1,239	$3,248	$264,155,225
4	Jan 16, 1987	Crocodile Dundee	$3,580,010	1,315	$2,722	$132,345,012
5	Mar 8, 1991	Home Alone	$3,315,651	1,590	$2,085	$245,880,904
6	Sep 5, 1986	Top Gun	$3,285,555	1,287	$2,553	$135,636,648
7	Nov 2, 1990	Ghost	$3,219,491	1,713	$1,879	$180,635,227
8	Mar 29, 1985	Beverly Hills Cop	$2,715,010	1,037	$2,618	$195,632,220
9	Jan 8, 1988	Fatal Attraction	$2,636,803	1,273	$2,071	$133,029,549
10	Sep 28, 1984	Ghostbusters	$2,402,131	1,263	$1,902	$204,108,761
11	Oct 25, 1985	Back to the Future	$2,244,311	1,288	$1,742	$170,026,643
12	Sep 16, 2022	Top Gun: Maverick	$2,242,510	2604	$861	$709,117,033
13	Mar 18, 1988	3 Men and a Baby	$2,168,147	1,162	$1,866	$150,630,731
14	Apr 15, 1988	Good Morning Vietnam	$2,084,727	1,128	$1,848	$111,609,833
15	Jul 13, 1990	Pretty Woman	$2,069,183	1,085	$1,907	$157,207,215

Edited September 20, 2022 by The Dark Alfred

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Updated non-IP top 10 post COVID:

1. Nope- 122.7m (169m WW)

2. Free Guy- 121.6m (331.5m WW)

3. The Lost City- 105.3m (190.8m WW)

4. Everything Everywhere- 69.8m (100.8m WW)

5. Dog- 61.7m (84.8m WW)

6. Tenet- 58.5m (362.5m WW)

7. The Northman- 34.2m (69.6m WW)

8. Beast- 30.7m (55.3m WW)

9. Nobody- 27.5m (57.5m WW)

10. The Invitation- 21.5m (30.1m WW)

----

Barbarian- 21.1m (22.1m WW)

[Eric the Ape]

19 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Updated non-IP top 10 post COVID:

1. Nope- 122.7m (169m WW)

2. Free Guy- 121.6m (331.5m WW)

3. The Lost City- 105.3m (190.8m WW)

4. Everything Everywhere- 69.8m (100.8m WW)

5. Dog- 61.7m (84.8m WW)

6. Tenet- 58.5m (362.5m WW)

7. The Northman- 34.2m (69.6m WW)

8. Beast- 30.7m (55.3m WW)

9. Nobody- 27.5m (57.5m WW)

10. The Invitation- 21.5m (30.1m WW)

----

Barbarian- 21.1m (22.1m WW)

We should be in for a big bump over the next two months. Already mentioned Barbarian, and then there's Woman King, DWD, Bros, Ticket to Paradise. We're moving on up people!

[Krissykins]

-38.4% second weekend drop for Barbarian is excellent, without any expansion and losing all PLF’s to Woman King. 
 

WOM kicking in despite the Cinemascore. 

[Grebacio]

7 hours ago, The Eric King said:

We should be in for a big bump over the next two months. Already mentioned Barbarian, and then there's Woman King, DWD, Bros, Ticket to Paradise. We're moving on up people!

Smile too

[Grebacio]

7 hours ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Updated non-IP top 10 post COVID:

1. Nope- 122.7m (169m WW)

2. Free Guy- 121.6m (331.5m WW)

3. The Lost City- 105.3m (190.8m WW)

4. Everything Everywhere- 69.8m (100.8m WW)

5. Dog- 61.7m (84.8m WW)

6. Tenet- 58.5m (362.5m WW)

7. The Northman- 34.2m (69.6m WW)

8. Beast- 30.7m (55.3m WW)

9. Nobody- 27.5m (57.5m WW)

10. The Invitation- 21.5m (30.1m WW)

----

Barbarian- 21.1m (22.1m WW)

Shouldn't Encanto be there too?

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

59 minutes ago, Grebacio said:

Shouldn't Encanto be there too?

No animation

[filmlover]

5 hours ago, Krissykins said:

-38.4% second weekend drop for Barbarian is excellent, without any expansion and losing all PLF’s to Woman King. 
 

WOM kicking in despite the Cinemascore. 

It's easy to see why it's having good legs after seeing it tbh. It's such a delightfully nutty movie that it falls into the category of "you need to see it to believe it."