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Issac Newton

Weekend Thread - 16-18/09/22 | The Woman King $19M, Pearl $3.12M, See $3.10M

By Issac Newton, in Numbers and Data

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M37 Box Office Gold

M37

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Will note that if audience skews more towards women, that usually means a higher weekdays/Thursday and lower IM, plus WK had a 3pm start time. But at $1.7M, definitely mid, probably high teens 

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Doffy Indie Sensation

Doffy

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1 minute ago, M37 said:

Will note that if audience skews more towards women, that usually means a higher weekdays/Thursday and lower IM, plus WK had a 3pm start time. But at $1.7M, definitely mid, probably high teens 

Like crawdad

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Valonqar Global Phenomenon

Valonqar

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4 minutes ago, M37 said:

Will note that if audience skews more towards women, that usually means a higher weekdays/Thursday and lower IM, plus WK had a 3pm start time. But at $1.7M, definitely mid, probably high teens 

 

Damn so many things to take into consideration when predicting BO. Just as I think I figured it out turns out I left out at least 2-3 other important things. Thanks for the crash course. :)

 

@Doffy Crawdad is based on the book so built-in fandom. 

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M37 Box Office Gold

M37

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2 minutes ago, Doffy said:

Like crawdad

Yes, though not a great comp given it was based on known IP, same for Dowton, which also goes OLD. Honestly not really a good comparable release post-pandemic, and weekday numbers have generally been weaker, so $20M from that Thursday wouldn’t be shocking either 

 

The OW range is larger than normal after, on both ends 

 

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Doffy Indie Sensation

Doffy

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11 minutes ago, Godzilla said:

Hopefully it has longs legs in the box-office because it'll need it to be profitable with that $50M budget.

No big movie until black Adam 70m dom final maybe be feasible.

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babz06 Box Office Gold

babz06

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I think DOnt Worry Darling is headed for 20m+ opening too. Atleast there are some signs of life at the BO even if it’s small. It’s still important for theaters to have these type of films in order to sustain itself year round and of course for some variety. 

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Issac Newton Global Phenomenon

Issac Newton

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From Deadline Hollywood

 

Among regular ranked titles on Thursday, Disney/20th Century Studios’ horror movie The Barbarian made $773K at 2,340 theaters, -18% from Wednesday, for a week’s take of $14.6M. The Zach Cregger critically acclaimed movie is expected to bring in a second weekend around $4.5M.

 

Fathom’s faith-based Lifemark did $361K yesterday at 1,531 for a week’s take of $3.6M.

 

Lionsgate’s Clerks 3 made $275K, +62% from Wednesday for a week’s take since Tuesday of $1.5M at 1,089 locations. The Kevin Smith directed movie will continue to play throughout the weekend.

 

Bullet Train and Top Gun: Maverick were fourth and fifth on Thursday with $267K and $274K. Bullet Train‘s domestic total through six weeks, now at 3,056, stands at $93.9M, while Top Gun 2 at the end of its 16th week counts $706.8M.

 

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