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Weekend Thread | October 7-10th | Smile grins with a powerful $18.5m second weekend (18% drop!), Lyle hums a tune to $11.4m, Amsterdam gets karma'd with $6.4m

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The fact that Smile was originally intended as a straight-to-streaming release should

hopefully give other studios the idea that, if they are confident in the movie itself, then a theatrical release shouldn’t hurt.

 

Ahem I’m looking at you, Glass Onion.

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Smile's hold is as insane as Amsterdam's opening is awful. Disney/20th Century gonna be swimming in red ink on that one.

 

Bros' run just makes me sad. All the bad headlines it had during the week over its low opening likely didn't help. Excellent holds for The Woman King and Barbarian, the former should hit $70M at this rate.

 

TAR and Triangle of Sadness are off to solid starts.

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After Barbarian and Smile, September and October next year are going to be flooded with low budget fright flicks. The genre is pretty much as close as possible to a sure thing in Hollywood today. Horror fans will turn out for almost any well-marketed concept nowadays.

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Estimated Weekend Box Office Top 8 for Oct. 7 - Oct. 9, 2022

 

1. #SmileMovie    - $17.60M

2. #LyleLyleCrocodile - $11.50M

3. #AmsterdamMovie - $6.50M

4. #TheWomanKing    - $5.30M

5. #DontWorryDarling - $3.48M

6. #Avatar - $2.56M

7. #Barbarian    - $2.18M

8. #BrosMovie    - $2.15M

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Chart updating with Sunday figures (updated figures show Friday, Saturday and Sunday):

 

1.) Smile (Par) 3,659 theaters (+14), Fri $5.4M (-34%), Sat $7.4M, Sun $4.8M, $17.6M (-22%), 3-day $49.9M/Wk 2

 

2.) Lyle, Lyle Crocodile (Sony) 4,350 theaters, Fri $3.5M, Sat $4.475M, Sun $3.45M 3-day $11.5M/Wk 1

 

3.) Amsterdam (Dis) 3,005 theaters, Fri $2.6M, Sat $2.4M, Sun $1.5M, 3-day $6.5M/Wk 1

 

4.) The Woman King (Sony) 3,342 (-162) theaters Fri $1.35M, Sat $2.3M , Sun $1.63M 3-day $5.3M (-26%)/Total $54.1M/Wk 4

 

5.) Don’t Worry Darling (NL/WB), 3,324 (-797) theaters, Fri $1.15M (-50%), Sat $1.4M, Sun $915K, 3-day $3.47M (-49%)/Total $38.45M/ Wk 3

 

6.)Avatar (re) (20th/Dis) 2,040 theaters (+180), Fri $655K (-44%), Sat $1.1M, Sun $760K, 3-day $2.6M (-47%), Total $783.7M (re-issue running total through ten days is $23.3M)/Wk 3 of re-issue

 

7.) Barbarian (20th/Dis) 2,160 theaters (-560), Fri $629k (-22%), Sat $940K Sun $611K  3-day $2.18M (-24%)/Total $36.5M/Wk 5

 

8.) Bros (Uni) 3,356 theaters (+6), Fri $690K (-63%), Sat $860K, Sun $600K  3-day $2.15M (-56%)/Total $8.89M/ Wk 2

 

9.) Ponniyan Selvan: Part One (Sar) 500 locations, Fri $264K (-87%), Sat $388K, Sun $242K, 3-day $894K (-78%)/Total $5.7M/ Wk 2

 

10.) Terrifier 2 (Iconic) 875 theaters, Fri $275K, Sat $350K, Sun $200K 3-day $825K, Total $1.22M/Wk 1

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1 minute ago, Issac Newton said:

Chart updating with Sunday figures (updated figures show Friday, Saturday and Sunday):

 

1.) Smile (Par) 3,659 theaters (+14), Fri $5.4M (-34%), Sat $7.4M, Sun $4.8M, $17.6M (-22%), 3-day $49.9M/Wk 2

 

2.) Lyle, Lyle Crocodile (Sony) 4,350 theaters, Fri $3.5M, Sat $4.475M, Sun $3.45M 3-day $11.5M/Wk 1

 

3.) Amsterdam (Dis) 3,005 theaters, Fri $2.6M, Sat $2.4M, Sun $1.5M, 3-day $6.5M/Wk 1

 

4.) The Woman King (Sony) 3,342 (-162) theaters Fri $1.35M, Sat $2.3M , Sun $1.63M 3-day $5.3M (-26%)/Total $54.1M/Wk 4

 

5.) Don’t Worry Darling (NL/WB), 3,324 (-797) theaters, Fri $1.15M (-50%), Sat $1.4M, Sun $915K, 3-day $3.47M (-49%)/Total $38.45M/ Wk 3

 

6.)Avatar (re) (20th/Dis) 2,040 theaters (+180), Fri $655K (-44%), Sat $1.1M, Sun $760K, 3-day $2.6M (-47%), Total $783.7M (re-issue running total through ten days is $23.3M)/Wk 3 of re-issue

 

7.) Barbarian (20th/Dis) 2,160 theaters (-560), Fri $629k (-22%), Sat $940K Sun $611K  3-day $2.18M (-24%)/Total $36.5M/Wk 5

 

8.) Bros (Uni) 3,356 theaters (+6), Fri $690K (-63%), Sat $860K, Sun $600K  3-day $2.15M (-56%)/Total $8.89M/ Wk 2

 

9.) Ponniyan Selvan: Part One (Sar) 500 locations, Fri $264K (-87%), Sat $388K, Sun $242K, 3-day $894K (-78%)/Total $5.7M/ Wk 2

 

10.) Terrifier 2 (Iconic) 875 theaters, Fri $275K, Sat $350K, Sun $200K 3-day $825K, Total $1.22M/Wk 1

It’s another $60M+ weekend at the box office for all titles, the third straight in a row, with an estimated $61.6M, -5% from last weekend’s Comscore reported $64.77M, and off a massive 59% from 2019, when Warner Bros/Village Roadshow/Bron’s The Joker conquered October with a $96.2M opening. Even next to last year, when Sony’s Venom: Let There Be Carnage opened to $90M, this weekend is down 52%

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26 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Todd Field’s return to feature directing after a 16-year hiatus, Tar, starring Cate Blanchett, is posting a solid $40K theater average or $160K opening weekend from four locations: NYC Lincoln Square, the Angelika, and AMC Century City and The Grove (LA’s arthouse market is on its knees with the closings of Arclight Hollywood and Landmark on Pico). That opening theater average is $10K shy of A24’s Everything Everywhere All at Once’s $50K (different audience), and the $86K opening theater average of last year’s Licorice Pizza (still, a different younger audience than Tar), however, it’s good enough for a 2 hour 38 minute running title about a stuffy classical composer, besting the pre-pandemic $10K opening weekend average of Terrence Malick’s A Hidden Life which was booked at five theaters. 

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8 minutes ago, LonePirate said:

After Barbarian and Smile, September and October next year are going to be flooded with low budget fright flicks. The genre is pretty much as close as possible to a sure thing in Hollywood today. Horror fans will turn out for almost any well-marketed concept nowadays.

If I remember correctly, both of these movies were originally supposed to go to streaming until strong test screenings made the studios change their minds. Goes to show that there's still plenty of theatrical value for movies that aren't superhero titles after all!

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Smile:

 

Remainder of this week: 8.9M (58.8M Total)

Oct 14: 13.2M (6.8M weekdays, 78.8M Total)

Oct 21: 10.6M (5.1M weekdays, 94.5M Total)

Oct 28: 9.6M (4.5M weekdays, 108.6M Total)

Nov 4: 5.3M (2.5M weekdays, 116.4M Total)

Nov 11: 2.8M (1.4M weekdays, 120.6M Total)

Nov 18: 1.5M (700k weekdays, 122.8M Total)

Nov 25: 500k (200k weekdays, 123.5M Total)

Final Total: 125M (5.53x)

 

If it manages to drop sub-20% against Halloween and/or not crater after October 31, 140 is on the table. Wild run so far.

Edited by WrathOfHan
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