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The Wild Eric

Weekdays Thread (12/19-22) | Avatar: The Way of 14.5 | Mon 16.2, Tue 18.3, Wed 14.3, Thu 14.5| Puss 3.2 OD | Check In For Your Hourly Weather Update

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1 minute ago, Danhjpn said:

Why thu is flat from wed? 

Weather? Not as good WoM as A1 and R1? If the weather is bad enough today, might even see a muted increase for 12/23 gross. R1 jumped 6M+ from Thursday to Friday in 2016. I'm hoping A2 can manage half of that jump.

 

Is there any thought that the Friday will almost stay flat from Thursday if the weather is as bad as feared?

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Well presumably the garbage weather is moving south and expanding during FRI and SAT so it will be hitting more population and areas that are less used to that weather (the extreme cold ,not only the heavy snow) . So Fri staying flat may probably happen. Especially since walk ups and last day preseales will die a ton in a lot of states

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1 hour ago, grey ghost said:

 

It's a quality issue.

 

Top Gun 2 and No Way Home blew away expectations.

It's not a quality issue at all, if you think is a quality issue that is wrong. Stop acting like if those 2 movies are any better, No way home is nostalgia and that is it. Is it just nostalgia what you people consider quality? 

 

Mission Impossible Fallout was way better than Top Gun Maverick as action blockbuster and excitement go. 

 

Blockbuster money was never about quality blah, blah tell that to the first 3 michael bay Transformers and why tons of drama and oscar type movie flop. 

 

The Market has changed forever with streaming. Heck it was starting to change with 90s HBO. Streaming now is the consequence and explosion of years of something that has been building. 

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1 hour ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

What was the A2 Thursday number? 14 to  14.5?

 

Also, maybe the inclement weather is already hurting the box office a bit? in 2016 some decreased Wednesday to Thursday but many films increased as well.

 

Data as of Dec 23, 1:38 PST
TD YD Release Daily %± YD %± LW Theaters Avg To Date Days Distributor
1 1 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story $16,773,075 +12.1% - 4,157 $4,034 $221,999,674 7 Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
2 2 Sing $9,602,465 -12.8% - 4,022 $2,387 $20,612,640 2 Universal Pictures
3 4 Passengers $3,218,629 -21.6% - 3,478 $925 $7,325,201 2 Sony Pictures Entertainment (SPE)
4 3 Assassin's Creed $2,868,997 -37.9% - 2,902 $988 $7,492,398 2 Twentieth Century Fox
5 5 Moana $2,574,204 +21.1% +98.2% 3,053 $843 $173,032,191 30 Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures
6 6 Office Christmas Party $1,303,128 +5% +0.8% 3,059 $425 $37,039,602 14 Paramount Pictures
7 7 Collateral Beauty $905,638 +6% - 3,028 $299 $11,001,500 7 Warner Bros.
8 8 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them $838,125 +14.1% +9.6% 1,966 $426 $211,305,251 35 Warner Bros.
9 10 La La Land $683,888 +13.4% +1,064.5% 200 $3,419 $7,882,711 14 Lionsgate

 

Those three films that decreased opened the day before, nothing out of the ordinary. 

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22 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

 

But how many quality blockbusters deserved 1.5 billion this year?

 

 

Only 2 really, Top Gun and ofc, the movie of the year, Dominion.

 

15 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

TBF I was asked by a certain mod  ZeeSoh to give 14.5 everyday. Turns out I don't have to even lie for last two days. :redcapes:

 

 

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5 minutes ago, StreamBO said:

It's not a quality issue stop acting like if those 2 movies are any better, No way home is nostalgia and that is it, is just nostalgia what you people consider quality? 

 

Mission Impossible Fallout was way better than Top Gun Maverick as action blockbuster and excitement go. 

 

Blockbuster money was never about quality blah, blah tell that to the first 3 michael bay Transformers and why tons of drama and oscar type movie flop. 

 

The Market has changed forever. 

It's not about your personal opinion. Audiences gave TGM and NWH extremely high marks.

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Just now, Menor Reborn said:

It's not about your personal opinion. Audiences gave TGM and NWH extremely high marks.

 

Yep. No Way Home was ofc nostalgia porn, but it was extremely well-made nostalgia porn. Im not even big into the MCU anymore, but that movie was one of the best cinema experiences for me post-Covid.

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16 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

Weather? Not as good WoM as A1 and R1? If the weather is bad enough today, might even see a muted increase for 12/23 gross. R1 jumped 6M+ from Thursday to Friday in 2016. I'm hoping A2 can manage half of that jump.

 

Is there any thought that the Friday will almost stay flat from Thursday if the weather is as bad as feared?

R1 WOM wasn't better than A2, they scored the exact same both in cinemascore and PostTrack. 

 

I would bet on the weather 

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5 minutes ago, Menor Reborn said:

It's not about your personal opinion. Audiences gave TGM and NWH extremely high marks.

They gave it too to the Woman King, A+ Cinema Score 99% audience Rotten Tomatoes, They gave it too to Black Panther Wakanda Forever, A CinemaScore and 94% audience score. 

 

So is not about your personal opinion neither. 

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17 minutes ago, Danhjpn said:

Why thu is flat from wed? 

 

Weather. Personally I think I underestimated how much impact this winter storm is going to have. It is not a huge snow event, but the cold air and wind (tropical storm to Hurricane force winds for much of the US) is going to make for a miserable weekend. 

 

The cold air and winds are just hitting the main east coast population centers today. I live outside Atlanta and many businesses and attractions are closed today due to the cold. We currently have about 100,000 customers in Georgia without power. As the front moves through the NE Corridor today I expect we will see alot of power outages in the NE.

 

I'm sort of expecting to see drops both today and tomorrow for the box office. Modest recovery Sunday (most of the country will still be in a deep freeze on Sunday) and then bigger numbers on Monday.

 

I'd consider $14-14.5M for A2 to be a good number. I was hoping it could stay flat yesterday. With the weather I expect Friday and Saturday to be worse than Thursday for the movie business.

 

Also, keep in mind that while the focus has been more on the impacts to the NE and midwest (and somewhat to the South), there are also significant impacts for the Pacific Northwest where temperatures are well below normal (and below freezing) and there have been areas there with freezing issues.

 

 

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16 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

Weather? Not as good WoM as A1 and R1? If the weather is bad enough today, might even see a muted increase for 12/23 gross. R1 jumped 6M+ from Thursday to Friday in 2016. I'm hoping A2 can manage half of that jump.

 

Is there any thought that the Friday will almost stay flat from Thursday if the weather is as bad as feared?

 

I think we can still expect an increase, even if things are bad. Work will have wound down today in offices, and the storm might shut things down early. Hopefully enough people are bored enough, and confident enough in their winter driving to make it out.

 

That said, it's a heck of a great day for Netflix to drop Glass Onion on streaming today. I'm guessing there's going to be a lot of cancelled plans today, and a Benoit Blanc mystery is a perfect option for those staying in.

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14 minutes ago, StreamBO said:

It's not a quality issue stop acting like if those 2 movies are any better, No way home is nostalgia and that is it, is just nostalgia what you people consider quality? 

 

Mission Impossible Fallout was way better than Top Gun Maverick as action blockbuster and excitement go. 

 

Blockbuster money was never about quality blah, blah tell that to the first 3 michael bay Transformers and why tons of drama and oscar type movie flop. 

 

The Market has changed forever. 

What he meant was this year DS and Thor were not upto MCU standard (both were mixed by varying degrees) which impacted it's gross. NWH and TGM both have high ratings RT as well as audience.

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