Torontofan Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 Expect a big tuesday due to canada Shows full here all day due to discount tuesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted January 3, 2023 Author Share Posted January 3, 2023 7 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said: Industry estimates believe that Avatar 2‘s fourth weekend will be between $25M-$30M beating new wide release, Universal/Blumhouse’s PG-13 genre title M3GAN which is looking at $17M, despite tracking have that film higher in the lower $20Ms. Showtimes start Thursday at 5PM. Young females under 25 are the prime demo. hummmmmmm why do industry estimates see the same drop as rogue as the best case scenario? because they’re not actually experts. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 1 minute ago, XXR the Conqueror said: A1’s first run admissions would be over $950M with A2’s ticket prices. But you have to wonder if the 3D share is very notable at all with A2? I’m one of the only people I know for example who wanted to see it in the “dreaded” 3D. Whereas 3D was the cool new thing w the first film and I believe lots of people at the time were guesstimating the movie made more like $600m at the time if you took out all of the 3D inflation. I can’t imagine 3D would account for more than $50m absolute max of inflation w A2s total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torontofan Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 I think it will do 40 million this weekend and then 25-30 million weekend 5 and same over the 4 day mlk weekend Add in weekdays and it likely be over 600 million by MLK weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marveldcfox Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 14 minutes ago, kayumanggi said: Japan finally makes its debut. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gkalaitza Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 8 minutes ago, Legion in Boots said: Around india Ah outperforming the US relatively then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cory Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 17 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said: I wouldn’t be surprised if that number went up for total DOM too. Big part of A1s WOM was “you gotta check out this new kind of 3D.” Again, A2 doesn’t have that sort of thing going for it. Which really makes me think it will be approaching A1s DOM admissions if it does creep near that $750 first run gross of A1. I think the increase in PLF offsets the decrease in normal 3D so it probably needs more than that to match. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 (edited) We know for example that 3D showings were so popular with A1 DOM that the entire market shifted immediately after the movie’s run to try to accommodate every blockbuster having that kind of 3D demand. For awhile in 2010 and 2011, it was literally hard to find 2D showings of some big movies. That’s how huge A1s 3D impact was at the time, before GA made it clear that was the exception not the rule and they were essentially taking 3D for a “test drive” w A1, with most not actually buying it. Edited January 3, 2023 by MovieMan89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 9 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said: This seems like kind of a low sum from top markets for a movie nearly at $1b OS…. The developing markets are helping a lot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cory Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 5 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said: But you have to wonder if the 3D share is very notable at all with A2? I’m one of the only people I know for example who wanted to see it in the “dreaded” 3D. Whereas 3D was the cool new thing w the first film and I believe lots of people at the time were guesstimating the movie made more like $600m at the time if you took out all of the 3D inflation. I can’t imagine 3D would account for more than $50m absolute max of inflation w A2s total. That sounds right. Slightly above TDK with everything broken out by format IIRC. But that was back when that data was easier to find and only 3 real formats to track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shruth Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 bro luis on twitter updated his range for avatar all the way to 670-870 lmfaoo he was tired of being clowned on 😂 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 3 minutes ago, cory said: I think the increase in PLF offsets the decrease in normal 3D so it probably needs more than that to match. Eh, TDK was doing huge things from PLF back in 2008 already, so idk if I buy there’s that big of a difference between A1 PLF and A2 PLF. 2D PLF vs 3D PLF is another story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted January 3, 2023 Author Share Posted January 3, 2023 6 minutes ago, Gkalaitza said: Ah outperforming the US relatively then? By a lot. If the US was matching Canada, we’d be looking at a domestic total in the Endgame region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 23 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said: Industry estimates believe that Avatar 2‘s fourth weekend will be between $25M-$30M beating new wide release, Universal/Blumhouse’s PG-13 genre title M3GAN which is looking at $17M, despite tracking have that film higher in the lower $20Ms. Showtimes start Thursday at 5PM. Young females under 25 are the prime demo. hummmmmmm why do industry estimates see the same drop as rogue as the best case scenario? I could see $30-$35 as a pessimistic “holiday bubble is gonna pop” range, but 25-30? Avatwo made almost that lower figure just on Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 Yeah, it’s not dropping to $25m next weekend lol. -50% if holiday inflation was doing most of the work, but that’s gotta be about a worst case scenario. Again, you can’t have weekend like it just had without strong WOM holidays and storms or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 That $21.1M Monday is the biggest January Monday ever. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
interiorgatordecorator Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 IronJimbo is Luiz? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex SciChannel Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 Second belonged to Universal/DreamWorks Animation’s Puss in Boots: The Last Wish with a second 3-day and 4-day respectively of $16.8M, +35%, and $22.6M for a running 13-day total of $67M. Hopefully these numbers are nice and round and not rounded up from actuals where it really is 16.799M, 66.999M, or 22.599M 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 I think a 35M+ Avatar weekend, a 20M+ M3gan weekend and 10M+ for Puss would give us good headlines. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 Ya'll worried about Maverick vs A2 domestic but this the real battle of the century. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...