New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!

[Dragoncaine]

1 hour ago, Mr Roark said:

Finals:
 

FRI - $24,836,835
SAT - $18,053,159
SUN - $24,519,161
3-DAY - $67,409,155

MON - $21,411,622
4-DAY - $88,820,777

CUME - $446,938,691 in 18 days

That's a fucking excellent 3-day and 4-day, wow. Friday and Sunday were huge bangers.

[shruth]

why is spiderman even in the convo. It will be lucky to get to $700m even

[IronJimbo]

Just now, shruth said:

why is spiderman even in the convo. It will be lucky to get to $700m even

what happened to the 600m goalposts you had?

[theghostofmarv]

2 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said:

 

A1 = $188.5M days 1-9 and $171.7M days 10-18. It made $389M for the remainder of its first run after day 18 (2.267x 2nd 9). 

It's kind of an unfair comparison for me to make because the first 9 days for A2 includes Christmas eve, and for A1 the last two days of the first 18 were not holidays. The snowstorm was obviously also a factor keeping those first 9 days down. I just found it insane that any modern movie with an opening weekend that big could actually equal itself over any later time interval. 

[Dragoncaine]

32 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said:

 

I have thoughts but since today is pretty much the first day with a lot of people back to work/school it's hard to tell exactly how things are going to play out. Obviously the morning/early afternoon sales are much weaker than they have been but that's expected. It's just a matter of how much will things pick up as people get off of work. Also how much will Canada over-index today? If I had to make a guess right now just based on what I'm seeing and what we THINK will happen I'd go with.....

$9.25M?

What's your personal threshold for a win today? $9m+? 

[Sophia Jane]

17 minutes ago, stuart360 said:

800mil locked?.................jk😇

 

700mil is well in play though.

more like 630m locked(top 10 of all time in DOM),700m struggling,beating TGM is the best case,impossible for reach spiderman

[XXR & Friends]

10 minutes ago, Dragoncaine said:

What's your personal threshold for a win today? $9m+? 

 

Yea my target number is $9M. 

[stephanos13]

5 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said:

 

Yea my target number is $9M. 

 

Do I dare to dream for a double digit number?

[XXR & Friends]

Just now, stephanos13 said:

 

Do I dare to dream for a double digit number?

 

You can dream. There's a lot of variables today so I could see it as low as $8M and as high as $12M. 

[upriser7]

Wonder whether Canada will continue overperforming on Tuesdays

[Sophia Jane]

1 minute ago, XXR the Conqueror said:

 

You can dream. There's a lot of variables today so I could see it as low as $8M and as high as $12M. 

12m means only 42% drop from holiday,I don't think any major blockbuster in DOM doing that

[stephanos13]

Just now, upriser7 said:

Wonder whether Canada will continue overperforming on Tuesdays

 

Why Canada overperforms on Tuesdays? any difference from The US?

[Sophia Jane]

Not  a DOM market,but there are some sample,I see hongkong and vietnam working day box office performence is really impressive,and China only drop 7% from last weekend,so I don't see the horrible drop in DOM,I think 10m is the best case,9m is also good,any number lower than 9m is under expection

[Mr Roark]

56 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

 

 

 spider-man no way home we got you in our sights

That red line is driving me crazy, man.

[Alex SciChannel]

Alright. Puss in Boots. Over or Under 2.5M Tuesday?

 

 

[redfirebird2008]

30 minutes ago, stephanos13 said:

 

Why Canada overperforms on Tuesdays? any difference from The US?

 

Better discounts from the Canadian theater companies, perhaps. 

[MovieMan89]

58 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

what happened to the 600m goalposts you had?

Definitely plenty of people who were claiming it had zero chance at 700 a week ago, but that said i can’t see how it has a chance at 800+? It would literally need the same post holiday performance as A1, which has to be the craziest holds in modern box office history. 

[Deep Wang]

Day	Day of Week	Avatar	Avatar 2	A2 +/-	Gain/Loss
1	Friday	$26,752,099	$53,200,270	$26,448,171
2	Saturday	$52,281,135	$97,528,157	$45,247,022	$18,798,851
3	Sunday	$77,025,481	$134,100,226	$57,074,745	$11,827,723
4	Monday	$83,411,301	$150,357,304	$66,946,003	$9,871,258
5	Tuesday	$109,497,762	$168,646,208	$59,148,446	-$7,797,557
6	Wednesday	$125,943,053	$183,049,646	$57,106,593	-$2,041,853
7	Thursday	$137,094,051	$197,681,686	$60,587,635	$3,481,042
8	Friday	$160,189,097	$216,970,827	$56,781,730	-$3,805,905
9	Saturday	$188,463,503	$231,840,115	$43,376,612	-$13,405,118
10	Sunday	$212,711,184	$261,019,906	$48,308,722	$4,932,110
11	Monday	$232,129,323	$293,290,336	$61,161,013	$12,852,291
12	Tuesday	$250,419,951	$317,418,839	$66,998,888	$5,837,875
13	Wednesday	$268,886,074	$338,000,853	$69,114,779	$2,115,891
14	Thursday	$283,624,210	$358,117,914	$74,493,704	$5,378,925
15	Friday	$308,898,218	$382,954,749	$74,056,531	-$437,173
16	Saturday	$334,733,769	$401,007,908	$66,274,139	-$7,782,392
17	Sunday	$352,114,898	$425,527,069	$73,412,171	$7,138,032
18	Monday	$360,209,452	$446,938,691	$86,729,239	$13,317,068

 

Okay, I whipped this up because I can easily look at the +/- column and know how far ahead A2 is currently, and then in the gain/loss column see how much ground it is gaining or losing each day to see what trends might develop in the days and weeks ahead. 

[keysersoze123]

I think double digit day is possible. Let us see how things go. 

[keysersoze123]

I remember some guys confidently saying 550m max for TGM earlier last summer !!! Let us 1st wait for post holiday BO before predicting how high A2 can go. I remember back in late 2009/2010, we kept bumping up final number for A1 regularly. We never seem to learn with these predictions. Only thing to note is open runway until Ant-Man 3. That is a long runway for sure.