M3GAN W33K3ND THR3AD | ACTUALS - DADDY CAM3RON'S MAGNUM OPUS 45.8M | DOCUM3NTARY ABOUT KILL3R DOLL 30.4M | ORANG3 PANTH3R 13.5M

[Menor the Destroyer]

8 minutes ago, GOGODanca said:

@XXR the Conqueror what does your comps say about today?

After accounting for likely underindex today by comparing to last Friday, very similar to Deadline at 10m.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

26+ OW for Megan would make it top-tier for post pandemic OWs for non-IP

 

Nope- 44.3m

Lost City- 30.4m

Free Guy- 28.3m

 

Higher than Smile (22.6m), Don't Worry Darling (19.3m), etc

 

Also in terms of Blumhouse, higher than Black Phone (23.6m) and same range as Happy Death Day (26m)

 

Only "original" Blumhouse films that opened over 26m:

Split- 40m (but technically...)

The Purge- 34m

Get Out- 33.3m

The Invisible Man- 28.2m (but technically...)

 

[eXtacy]

These numbers are meh. Not bad or good. Just very boring. Hopefully some improvement for both.

[GOGODanca]

10m would be terrible, literally worse jump than rogue one 

[Firepower]

10 would be an ugly drop, I hope it's 12+ in the end.

[Eric Prime]

 

[thajdikt]

But we know that friday jump was going to be muted? So is this really surprising? Monster Sat and Sun will fix it. 11M+ today and I´m happy.

[thajdikt]

If Deadline is right about WF then that is another great hold. Really came alive at the end here that one

[StreamBO]

1 hour ago, CJohn said:

Puss in Boots getting Great Treatment by the early VOD release. Bless Universal. 

Corrected. PVOD is known to not affect animated films Box Office, it worked for them with Sing 2, that released early on PVOD and Trolls world tour.

Edited January 7, 2023 by StreamBO

[wboxoffice]

1 hour ago, hw64 said:

https://deadline.com/2023/01/box-office-m3gan-avatar-the-way-of-water-1235212918/

 

 

Clearly they forgot IWDWS as it is for sure going to do more than Babylon's 400k Friday since it more than that all week long including on Thursday.  All projections had it over 2 million for the weekend and yet they list Babylon at 1.3 million right after Black Panther at 3.1 million.  Also IWDWS barely lost theaters compared to Babylon.

Edited January 7, 2023 by wboxoffice

[lab276]

1 hour ago, hw64 said:

https://deadline.com/2023/01/box-office-m3gan-avatar-the-way-of-water-1235212918/

 

Deadline's Friday/weekend estimates:

M3GAN: $11.4m Friday (with previews), $26.7m weekend

Avatar: $10m Friday, $37m weekend

Puss: $2.5m Friday, $10m weekend

Otto: $1.2m Friday, $3.4m weekend

 

Up 23% on the same weekend last year.

[StreamBO]

1 hour ago, Travod said:

isn't panther on stream already so wouldn't the number be low

 

*orange

BP2 is not on streaming, Disney is a case by case basis, lot of their movies get like 2 months window before Disney+ and or PVOD even in 2021.

Edited January 7, 2023 by StreamBO

[Alex SciChannel]

Puss in Boots will be 3.25M right?

 

 

[Shawn Robbins]

Got the same $11.4M update on M3GAN. No change to other titles mentioned earlier.

[Flip]

10M might just get it to 40, but if that sticks it will need to have very good jumps

[Danhjpn]

44 minutes ago, Shawn said:

Got the same $11.4M update on M3GAN. No change to other titles mentioned earlier.

You mean A2 11M Fri? 

[Jiffy]

Ehh prayers up for $11m rather than $10m.

[WrathOfHan]

Very clear Avatar's weekend pattern going forward will be Weak Friday/Through the Roof Saturday/Strong Sunday. The three hour runtime only lets most people see it during prime evening hours on Friday (6:30-8:30PM).

Edited January 7, 2023 by WrathOfHan

[Shawn Robbins]

28 minutes ago, Danhjpn said:

You mean A2 11M Fri? 

Sorry, meant same as in what Deadline posted for M3GAN (11.4). Avatar was unchanged at 11.0.

[Shawn Robbins]

2 hours ago, CJohn said:

Excuse me what the fuck? That is like... a potential 5M weekend no? In 600 theaters? 

That one I'm hoping they didn't highball... 😄