3/3 - 3/5 Weekend Thread | Creed III gets the biggest franchise opening and MGM opening ever with 58.7M. #AintMan drops 61% for 12.5M. Jonathan Majors still getting paid fat stacks

[ringedmortality]

8 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Speaking of flops, I don't know why but this is amusing to me. The power of appearing in the recommendations section of multiple projects from both the cast (Ozark, Grace & Frankie) and the director (The Adam Project, Levy-produced Stranger Things) on Netflix, I guess.

 

 

 

This Is Where I Leave You is underrated. It’s a nice little movie with a fantastic cast, and has Driver in a comedic role which he doesn’t really do outside of SNL.

[filmlover]

In addition to Creed exploding, this is actually a pretty solid weekend overall aside from Ant-Man's second big drop in a row (probably just as much on losing all IMAX/PLF screens to Creed as it is to the tepid WOM). Even Operation Fortune's opening isn't that bad for a movie that 1) sat on the shelf for a while and 2) was only added to the schedule not even a month ago.

[Ronin46]

2 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

 

they will probably just blame the Ant Man character. They probably need something like an Avengers movie or GOTG 3 to flop before they consider any changes. 

40/100 I think is all we can hope for (assuming the movie gets decent reviews).

[Jonwo]

2 hours ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

If I were Marvel I'd be pretty worried right about now. The chokehold they had on pop culture last decade is fading, and now we're starting to see a lot of different properties pull in big numbers, like Avatar, Top Gun, Puss in Boots and now Creed. Had Ant-Man 3 been well received I feel like we wouldn't be seeing such a big number for Creed 3 right now.

Marvel isn't dying in the slightest. 

[Webslinger]

11 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Speaking of flops, I don't know why but this is amusing to me. The power of appearing in the recommendations section of multiple projects from both the cast (Ozark, Grace & Frankie) and the director (The Adam Project, Levy-produced Stranger Things) on Netflix, I guess.

 

 

What makes it even funnier is seeing notorious bomb RIPD in second place. Kinda fitting though, since both would absolutely be Netflix originals if they were made now.

[Issac Newton]

Sunday’s Studio Weekend Estimates:

Title	Estimated weekend	% change	Locations	Location change	Average	Total	Weekend	Distributor
Creed III	$58,658,000		4,007		$14,639	$58,658,000	1	United Artists
Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania	$12,471,000	-61%	3,825	-520	$3,260	$186,798,829	3	Walt Disney
Cocaine Bear	$11,020,000	-53%	3,571	37	$3,086	$41,288,320	2	Universal
Demon Slayer: Kimetsu No Yaiba—To the Swordsmit…	$10,117,806		1,774		$5,703	$10,117,806	1	Crunchyroll
Jesus Revolution	$8,650,000	-46%	2,575	100	$3,359	$30,541,391	2	Lionsgate
Avatar: The Way of Water	$3,578,000	-26%	2,300	-195	$1,556	$670,632,256	12	20th Century Studios [Disney]
Operation Fortune: Ruse de guerre	$3,160,000		2,168		$1,458	$3,160,000	1	Lionsgate
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish	$2,720,000	-34%	2,588	-252	$1,051	$177,127,795	11	Universal
Magic Mike’s Last Dance	$1,180,000	-59%	1,737	-1,181	$679	$25,363,254	4	Warner Bros.
80 for Brady	$845,000	-56%	1,495	-902	$565	$38,318,000	5	Paramount
A Man Called Otto	$650,000	-24%	1,503	385	$432	$63,292,303	10	Sony Pictures
Knock at the Cabin	$580,000	-69%	1,210	-905	$479	$35,061,775	5	Universal
Missing	$500,000	-51%	675	-331	$741	$32,180,559	7	Sony Pictures
2023 Oscar Shorts	$370,000	-30%	250	-61	$1,480	$2,271,097	3	ShortsHD
M3GAN	$234,000	-59%	442	-296	$529	$94,893,585	9	Universal
Emily	$194,287	-55%	565	-14	$344	$887,453	3	Bleecker Street
RRR Fan CelebRRRation	$191,000		283		$675	$14,210,555	50	Variance Films
Titanic (25th Anniversary)	$183,000	-74%	271	-682	$675			Paramount
Everything Everywhere All At Once	$175,039	56%	636	327	$275	$73,265,492	50	A24
The Quiet Girl	$72,000	22%	18	12	$4,000	$148,758	12	Super LTD
The Whale	$62,962	-27%	165	-46	$382	$16,895,489	13	A24
Selfiee	$55,000	-72%	308	n/c	$179	$315,499	2	Star Studios [Disney]
Close	$52,180	-61%	153	-80	$341	$1,000,557	14	A24
TÁR	$52,000	105%	444	208	$117	$6,680,050	22	Focus Features [Universal]
The Banshees of Inisherin	$36,000	60%	270	35	$133	$10,478,186	20	Searchlight [Disney]
The Fabelmans	$30,000	-11%	591	275	$51	$17,223,255	17	Universal
Violent Night	$23,000	-87%	49	-12	$469	$50,007,955	14	Universal
Path Of The Panther	$16,735	-72%	28	-16	$598	$101,377	2
Aftersun	$12,835	-35%	14	-1	$917	$1,629,015	20	A24
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever	$9,000	-85%	40	-190	$225	$453,816,581	17	Walt Disney

[Jonwo]

The budget for Creed III was $75m which isn't an issue as it's going to be profitable just from domestic alone but seems expensive for what is a boxing drama. 

[vafrow]

33 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I would also argue the first two Creed didn’t have the greatest holiday legs bc they’re not good holiday movies. This is a much better spot on the cal for this type of movie. A boxing film is too niche/too slight to really rise above in the holiday frame, but it can definitely do so during a quieter time of year. 

 

This is my feeling as well. This feels like it's going to be playing for a long time.

 

It's enjoyable, but serious enough that it stands out against most of the other options out there.

[CoolioD1]

17 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

The budget for Creed III was $75m which isn't an issue as it's going to be profitable just from domestic alone but seems expensive for what is a boxing drama. 

had to pay extra for security to keep Sly from driving his car thru the set.

[DAJK]

Shame about Operation Fortune, really. I thought it looked like a lot of fun, and it's great to see Ritchie reteaming with Hugh Grant after Gentlemen, and with Hartnett/Statham after Wrath of Man. Didn't release in Canada so I didn't get the chance to see it (yet) but I'm really hoping I enjoy it. Looks a lot better than his upcoming film, at least.

[John Marston]

21 hours ago, Elessar said:

What will Sly think now that the biggest Creed / Rocky is the one without him (unadjusted).

 

 

Rocky 1 adjusts to over 500m and 2, 3, and 4 well over 400m. Not to mention decades of home media sales/rentals and TV airings. In terms of actual viewers Creed 3 won't even come close those films. It is interesting how badly Rocky V dropped from its predecessors though. Yeah it is bad but you would think the franchise name would have attracted a decent audience

[Krissykins]

M3GAN with an impressive 3.1x multiplier. 

[CaptNathanBrittles]

30 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

 

Rocky 1 adjusts to over 500m and 2, 3, and 4 well over 400m. Not to mention decades of home media sales/rentals and TV airings. In terms of actual viewers Creed 3 won't even come close those films. It is interesting how badly Rocky V dropped from its predecessors though. Yeah it is bad but you would think the franchise name would have attracted a decent audience

 

Stallone's career was in the toilet domestically when ROCKY V came out. However it still made more worldwide than CREED and CREED II did adjusted - $260m.

[Krissykins]

22 hours ago, Elessar said:

What will Sly think now that the biggest Creed / Rocky is the one without him (unadjusted).

Could happen to Neve Campbell next weekend too, (OW unadjusted of course). 

[DAJK]

5 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Could happen to Neve Campbell next weekend too, (OW unadjusted of course). 

It’s Jenna Ortega’s franchise now.

[Eric is Quiet]

2 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

I would also argue the first two Creed didn’t have the greatest holiday legs bc they’re not good holiday movies. This is a much better spot on the cal for this type of movie. A boxing film is too niche/too slight to really rise above in the holiday frame, but it can definitely do so during a quieter time of year. 

I mean the Rocky movies made massive bank on the Thanksgiving holiday. I think the bigger issue is just that both years had intense December competition that made it hard for the movie to maintain screen space. Like on Creed II's fifth weekend, five different movies came out. Three of them were the major December players. That's a lot to deal with.

[Eric is Quiet]

4 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

I hate to break it to you, but we're close to the Rocky franchise being 50 years old, not 30.

 

It's okay. I often feel like the 90s were about 10 years ago.

The past couple years have broken me in terms of "wait, that movie or show is that old?" Realizing that Ratatouille is over 15 years old was utterly surreal. I can still picture myself being 10 years old and watching all the promos on Disney Channel hyping it up. What a world we live in.

[wildphantom]

What a day of sport. 
A cracker of a time watching MBJ throw down with Jonathan Majors. 
 

Then watch as my team inflict the biggest defeat on Man United since 1931. 

[Mr Roark]

2 hours ago, Jonwo said:

Marvel isn't dying in the slightest. 

The only way to make super hits are cameo feasts at this point.

[BadOlCatSylvester]

47 minutes ago, DAJK said:

It’s Jenna Ortega’s franchise now.

Fast-tracking Scream 6 is going to retroactively be an even bigger genius move on Paramount's end than previously, as they can now take advantage of the Wednesday hype just a couple of months afterward.