Valonqar Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 3 minutes ago, Brainbug said: 26M Wed would have been mind-breaking. 23M is still mind-boggling. What a phenomenal opening week for Barbie. can it stay over 20M today? I mean not go under 20M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheddar Please Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 25 minutes ago, M37 said: Can anyone name the last major release to match its Thursday preview on the first full Thursday? (Without some holiday/school impacts, and MI7 doesn’t count because of Paramount shenanigans). I’m having a difficult time trying to come up with one Because both Barbie and Oppy have a chance today, at $22.3M and $10.5M respectively Is that what tracking is indicating right now? Because a flat Thursday with Haunted Mansion previews stealing screens would be huge, especially in terms of its ramifications for the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisonisdead Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 27 minutes ago, M37 said: Can anyone name the last major release to match its Thursday preview on the first full Thursday? (Without some holiday/school impacts, and MI7 doesn’t count because of Paramount shenanigans). I’m having a difficult time trying to come up with one Because both Barbie and Oppy have a chance today, at $22.3M and $10.5M respectively Minions 2 got close last summer, $10.34M to $10.75M 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 1 minute ago, Valonqar said: can it stay over 20M today? I mean not go under 20M. I dont see any reason why it should not be able do that. In fact, i could see it having a better 2nd Thursday number than its first (Previews) Thursday of 22,3M. In other words, it would need a drop worse than -13,4% to go under 20M for Thursday. TDK dropped 10%, BATB 2017 dropped just -5% (although not a perfect comp because it opened in March), JW also dopped -10%. With the kind of WOM Barbie is having, a -10% drop is probably the very worst-case scenario, so a Thursday over 20M again should be locked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eeetooki Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 2 hours ago, TalismanRing said: $20m plus 20% of the gross. Sounds like a lot, but when you have flops left and right, at least Nolan's movies are a guaranteed money maker these days. Tenet being the only exception, but that was released at the height of the pandemic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hiccup23 Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 Thinking Barbie will fall around $21.3M today. I really don't see this missing $100M this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 (edited) Second Weekend (three day) Opening Weekend (three day) Change (%) 1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens 2015 $149,202,860 $247,966,675 -39.8 2 Avengers: Endgame 2019 $147,383,211 $357,115,007 -58.7 3 Avengers: Infinity War 2018 $114,774,810 $257,698,183 -55.5 4 Black Panther 2018 $111,658,835 $202,003,951 -44.7 5 Jurassic World 2015 $106,588,440 $208,806,270 -49.0 6 The Avengers 2012 $103,052,274 $207,438,708 -50.3 7 The Super Mario Bros. Movie 2023 $92,347,190 $146,361,865 -36.9 8 Beauty and the Beast 2017 $90,426,717 $174,750,616 -48.3 9 Top Gun: Maverick 2022 $90,037,011 $126,707,459 -28.9 10 Frozen 2 2019 $85,977,773 $130,263,358 -34.0 11 Spider-Man: No Way Home 2021 $84,548,505 $260,138,569 -67.5 12 Incredibles 2 2018 $80,347,651 $182,687,905 -56.0 13 Avengers: Age of Ultron 2015 $77,746,929 $191,271,109 -59.4 14 The Lion King 2019 $76,621,553 $191,770,759 -60.0 15 Avatar 2009 $75,617,183 $77,025,481 -1.8 16 The Dark Knight 2008 $75,166,466 $158,411,483 -52.5 17 The Hunger Games: Catching Fire 2013 $74,179,601 $158,074,286 -53.1 18 Finding Dory 2016 $72,959,954 $135,060,273 -46.0 19 Captain America: Civil War 2016 $72,637,142 $179,139,142 -59.5 20 Iron Man 3 2013 $72,525,615 $174,144,585 -58.4 21 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 2017 $72,389,590 $177,383,864 -59.2 Edited July 27, 2023 by Sophia Jane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatebox Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 Holy shit at that spider-man domestic number. I hadn’t been following it at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingonaName Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 2 minutes ago, Sophia Jane said: Second Weekend (three day) Opening Weekend (three day) Change (%) 1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens 2015 $149,202,860 $247,966,675 -39.8 2 Avengers: Endgame 2019 $147,383,211 $357,115,007 -58.7 3 Avengers: Infinity War 2018 $114,774,810 $257,698,183 -55.5 4 Black Panther 2018 $111,658,835 $202,003,951 -44.7 5 Jurassic World 2015 $106,588,440 $208,806,270 -49.0 6 The Avengers 2012 $103,052,274 $207,438,708 -50.3 7 The Super Mario Bros. Movie 2023 $92,347,190 $146,361,865 -36.9 8 Beauty and the Beast 2017 $90,426,717 $174,750,616 -48.3 9 Top Gun: Maverick 2022 $90,037,011 $126,707,459 -28.9 10 Frozen 2 2019 $85,977,773 $130,263,358 -34.0 11 Spider-Man: No Way Home 2021 $84,548,505 $260,138,569 -67.5 12 Incredibles 2 2018 $80,347,651 $182,687,905 -56.0 13 Avengers: Age of Ultron 2015 $77,746,929 $191,271,109 -59.4 14 The Lion King 2019 $76,621,553 $191,770,759 -60.0 15 Avatar 2009 $75,617,183 $77,025,481 -1.8 16 The Dark Knight 2008 $75,166,466 $158,411,483 -52.5 17 The Hunger Games: Catching Fire 2013 $74,179,601 $158,074,286 -53.1 18 Finding Dory 2016 $72,959,954 $135,060,273 -46.0 19 Captain America: Civil War 2016 $72,637,142 $179,139,142 -59.5 20 Iron Man 3 2013 $72,525,615 $174,144,585 -58.4 21 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 2017 $72,389,590 $177,383,864 -59.2 Avatar with dat sub 2% drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
upriser7 Posted July 27, 2023 Author Share Posted July 27, 2023 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 5 minutes ago, Sophia Jane said: Second Weekend (three day) Opening Weekend (three day) Change (%) 1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens 2015 $149,202,860 $247,966,675 -39.8 2 Avengers: Endgame 2019 $147,383,211 $357,115,007 -58.7 3 Avengers: Infinity War 2018 $114,774,810 $257,698,183 -55.5 4 Black Panther 2018 $111,658,835 $202,003,951 -44.7 5 Jurassic World 2015 $106,588,440 $208,806,270 -49.0 6 The Avengers 2012 $103,052,274 $207,438,708 -50.3 7 The Super Mario Bros. Movie 2023 $92,347,190 $146,361,865 -36.9 8 Beauty and the Beast 2017 $90,426,717 $174,750,616 -48.3 9 Top Gun: Maverick 2022 $90,037,011 $126,707,459 -28.9 10 Frozen 2 2019 $85,977,773 $130,263,358 -34.0 11 Spider-Man: No Way Home 2021 $84,548,505 $260,138,569 -67.5 12 Incredibles 2 2018 $80,347,651 $182,687,905 -56.0 13 Avengers: Age of Ultron 2015 $77,746,929 $191,271,109 -59.4 14 The Lion King 2019 $76,621,553 $191,770,759 -60.0 15 Avatar 2009 $75,617,183 $77,025,481 -1.8 16 The Dark Knight 2008 $75,166,466 $158,411,483 -52.5 17 The Hunger Games: Catching Fire 2013 $74,179,601 $158,074,286 -53.1 18 Finding Dory 2016 $72,959,954 $135,060,273 -46.0 19 Captain America: Civil War 2016 $72,637,142 $179,139,142 -59.5 20 Iron Man 3 2013 $72,525,615 $174,144,585 -58.4 21 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 2017 $72,389,590 $177,383,864 -59.2 Im thinking Barbie can do 95 - 105M 2nd weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 only 6 movie cross $100m on its second WE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vale9001 Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 (edited) I think Barbie could more bigger during summer weekdays, and it's less "all family at the theater" than Avengers, Jurassic world etc.. So i'm feeling 90-100M range, with probably again new very fun numbers from monday. Edited July 27, 2023 by vale9001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 (edited) 6 minutes ago, vale9001 said: I think Barbie could more bigger during summer weekdays, and it's less "all family at the theater" than Avengers, Jurassic world etc.. So i'm feeling 90-100M range, with probably again new very fun numbers from monday. Avengers not “all family in theater”,is just like Barbie,MCU audience are majorly teens or young people ,elder or parents not so care about it ,just like Barbie main audience are girls Edited July 27, 2023 by Sophia Jane 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 44 minutes ago, Brainbug said: I dont see any reason why it should not be able do that. In fact, i could see it having a better 2nd Thursday number than its first (Previews) Thursday of 22,3M. In other words, it would need a drop worse than -13,4% to go under 20M for Thursday. TDK dropped 10%, BATB 2017 dropped just -5% (although not a perfect comp because it opened in March), JW also dopped -10%. With the kind of WOM Barbie is having, a -10% drop is probably the very worst-case scenario, so a Thursday over 20M again should be locked. Thank you! Doing the math for Countdown2Barbillion so that's why I needed to know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jiffy Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 So are TFA and Endgame the only other films with a full set of $20m+ weekdays? Not to jinx it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 17 minutes ago, upriser7 said: It’s better if you take out previews, only count the 7-day week (especially since two of those weeks basically had none anyway) 1) Force Awakens Xmas = $514M 2) Avatar Xmas = $506M 3) Endgame OWeek = $478M 4) Force Awakens OWeek = $473M* 5) Barbenheimer Oweek = ~$458M 6) No Way Home OWeek = $433M (may not actually be 6th w/o previews) (*As Charlie would tell you, TFA preview probably overestimated, so True week like $3M higher) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 44 minutes ago, kayumanggi said: This is going to do close to finish with close to 90 mill. Incredible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...