The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Barbie	T-9	Jax	6	51	114	744	6,234	11.93%
		Phx	6	45	129	700	7,830	8.94%
		Ral	8	50	176	928	5,963	15.56%
	Total		20	146	419	2,372	20,027	11.84%
Barbie (EA)	T-8	Jax	2	3	16	205	319	64.26%
		Phx	1	1	3	189	208	90.87%
		Ral	2	2	5	166	190	87.37%
	Total		5	6	24	560	717	78.10%
Oppenheimer	T-9	Jax	6	24	50	425	4,739	8.97%
		Phx	6	24	40	465	3,848	12.08%
		Ral	8	24	60	500	2,976	16.80%
	Total		20	72	150	1,390	11,563	12.02%

 

Oppenheimer T-9 comps

 - JWD (Total) - .431x (7.75m)

 - Top Gun 2 - .599x (8.8m)

 - Avatar 2 - .483x (8.22m)

 - Scream VI - 1.851x (10.55m)

 - Matrix (OD) - 1.052x (6.7m)

 - Dune - 2.03x (10.35m)

 - Indiana Jones - 1.635x (11.77m)

 - Mission Impossible 7 (Total) - 1.459x

 - Barbie (Total) - .474x

 

Size adjusted average - 9.07m 

 

Barbie (Total) T-9 comps

 - Avatar 2 - 1.02x (17.33m)

 - JWD (Total) - .908x (16.35m)

 - Indiana Jones - 3.45x (24.84m)

 - Shazam 2 - 6.29x (21.39m)

 - Top Gun 2 (Total) - .843x (16.27m)

 - I Wanna Dance - 24.433x (17.84m)

 - Fantastic Beasts 3 - 3.243x (19.46m)

 - Oppenheimer - 2.11x

 

Size adjusted average - 17.9m

 

Updated some of the comps to hopefully more similar movies.  At the rate it's going, I don't see how it doesn't eclipse 20m on most of these comps by the end (before adjusting for ATP).

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Barbie	T-8	Jax	6	51	106	850	6,234	13.63%
		Phx	6	63	89	789	9,933	7.94%
		Ral	8	50	143	1,071	5,963	17.96%
	Total		20	164	338	2,710	22,130	12.25%
Barbie (EA)	T-7	Jax	2	3	11	216	319	67.71%
		Phx	1	1	7	196	208	94.23%
		Ral	2	2	2	168	190	88.42%
	Total		5	6	20	580	717	80.89%
Oppenheimer	T-8	Jax	6	28	49	474	5,083	9.33%
		Phx	6	26	39	504	3,996	12.61%
		Ral	8	26	46	546	3,295	16.57%
	Total		20	80	134	1,524	12,374	12.32%

 

Oppenheimer T-8 comps

 - JWD (Total) - .454x (8.16m)

 - Top Gun 2 - .628x (9.23m)

 - Avatar 2 - .496x (8.43m)

 - Scream VI - 1.915x (10.91m)

 - Matrix (OD) - 1.06x (6.75m)

 - Dune - 2.051x (10.46m)

 - Indiana Jones - 1.758x (12.66m)

 - Mission Impossible 7 (Total) - 1.533x

 - Barbie (Total) - .463x

 

Size adjusted average - 9.33m 

 

Barbie (Total) T-8 comps

 - Avatar 2 - 1.07x (18.19m)

 - JWD (Total) - .979x (17.63m)

 - Indiana Jones - 3.8x (27.32m)

 - Shazam 2 - 6.76x (22.97m)

 - Top Gun 2 (Total) - .907x (17.51m)

 - I Wanna Dance - 26.97x (19.69m)

 - Fantastic Beasts 3 - 3.16x (18.96m)

 - Oppenheimer - 2.159x

 

Size adjusted average - 18.83m

 

I finally get rid of M:I 7 and both of these start adding shows.  26 added yesterday between the two

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Haunted Mansion	T-16	Jax	5	31	4	57	3,813	1.49%
		Phx	6	27	0	60	4,543	1.32%
		Ral	8	30	3	39	3,672	1.06%
	Total		19	88	7	156	12,028	1.30%
Haunted Mansion (EA)	T-15	Jax	2	2	7	37	395	9.37%
		Phx	1	1	3	44	208	21.15%
	Total		4	4	10	81	603	13.43%
Talk to Me	T-16	Jax	2	5	1	1	687	0.15%
		Phx	3	7	0	0	784	0.00%
		Ral	6	16	0	0	1,567	0.00%
	Total		11	28	1	1	3,038	0.03%

 

Haunted Mansion (Total) T-16 comps

 - Shazam 2 - .642x (2.18m)

 - Barbie (Total) - .155x (2.78m w/ today's avg)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 3.08x (4.46m)

 - Nope - .812x (5.19m)

 - Sonic 2 (Total) - .603x (3.77m)

 

Size adjusted average - 3.75m

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Haunted Mansion	T-15	Jax	5	31	6	63	3,813	1.65%
		Phx	6	27	0	60	4,543	1.32%
		Ral	8	30	3	42	3,672	1.14%
	Total		19	88	9	165	12,028	1.37%
Haunted Mansion (EA)	T-14	Jax	2	2	4	41	395	10.38%
		Phx	1	1	0	44	208	21.15%
	Total		4	4	4	85	603	14.10%
Talk to Me	T-15	Jax	4	10	-1	0	1,029	0.00%
		Phx	5	11	0	0	1,258	0.00%
		Ral	6	16	2	2	1,567	0.13%
	Total		15	37	1	2	3,854	0.05%

 

Haunted Mansion (Total) T-16 comps

 - Shazam 2 - .661x (2.25m)

 - Barbie (Total) - .152x (2.86m w/ today's avg)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 3.125x (4.53m)

 - Nope - .825x (5.28m)

 - Sonic 2 (Total) - .614x (3.84m)

 

Size adjusted average - 3.81m

[Tinalera]

Thought I had posted in this in this forum last night but apparently not-just in Canada. 

 

MI 7 

Vancouver and Calgary Canada

Thurs July 13 and Fri July 14

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Vancouver	Thurs	4	35	550	6585	7135	0.0770
	Fri	4	47	792	7952	8744	0.0905
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Calgary	Thurs	4	46	295	8317	8612	0.0342
	Fri	4	58	519	9668	10187	0.0509

 

 

Wick 4 (T-3)

 

wick4		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Vancouver	Thurs	3	15	823	4418	5241	0.1570
	Fri	3	17	890	2641	3531	0.2520
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Calgary	Thurs	4	20	240	3445	3685	0.0651
	Fri	4	17	465	3215	3680	0.1263

 

seat availablity difference

 

	V T	V F	C T	C F
MI 7	7135	8744	8612	10187
WIck 4	5241	3531	3685	3659
diff	1894	5213	3680	6528

Edited July 12, 2023 by Tinalera

[Shawn Robbins]

$7.0m total previews for Mission (Deadline says it's only Tuesday, Paramount has not clarified this.)

[keysersoze123]

First time the dark magic failed. @Porthos

[abracadabra1998]

6 minutes ago, Shawn said:

$7.0m total previews for Mission

Jeez, some markets really over performed then, damn. Any idea what the breakdown is between Tuesday and Sunday/Monday EA?

[keysersoze123]

It's also possible they don't have all early grosses. I wonder if @across the Jat verse can confirm later.

[Gavin Feng]

10 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

It's also possible they don't have all early grosses. I wonder if @across the Jat verse can confirm later.

 

 

[vale9001]

ok so total could reach 8M but not more I guess.

[abracadabra1998]

4 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

 

 

That makes quite a bit of difference

[vale9001]

2 hours ago, Maggie said:

In the last years, especially after the pandemic all movies released in Oscar season flopped. Nolan is doing great in the summer. No need to change strategy

this is still a Nolan movie, so the "oscar season doesn't push" like we are talking about hit or miss directors like del toro o chazelle is not on point. Of course Nolan has his audience.

 

I was talking more about the international numbers. Oscars and award season in general still are important. We don't know how the international markets will respond to these 3 hours of period drama about american history.

 

i think with a limited on christmas + january release WW would have made the same in the Us and more globally. 

Edited July 12, 2023 by vale9001

[Dragoncaine]

7 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

 

 

Okay nice, I was at a bit of a "yikes" until seeing this. Could we get to $8m+ best case once EA is factored in?

[keysersoze123]

28 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

 

 

Ok. That is very good. 7m with discount tuesday is really good.

[Inceptionzq]

19 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

MI: Dead Reckoning Part 1 Emagine Entertainment

T-1 Wednesday

290 Showings

1713

+646

40694

MI: Dead Reckoning Part 1 Emagine Entertainment

T-0 Wednesday

284 Showings

2801

+1088

39403

19 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

MI: Dead Reckoning Part 1 Alamo Drafthouse

T-1 Wednesday

327 Showings

4024

+1006

42140

ATP:

16.16

MI: Dead Reckoning Part 1 Alamo Drafthouse

T-0 Wednesday

322 Showings

5338

+1314

41210

ATP:

16.78

 

No comps for these, but walkups will be the most important factor anyways. Especially for the weekdays

[Dragoncaine]

Does the $7m preview # include or not include EA shows?

 

 

[Rocketracoon]

2 minutes ago, Dragoncaine said:

Does the $7m preview # include or not include EA shows?

 

 

Doesnt include EA shows

 

[misterpepp]

Paramount posting what it made solely on Tue is odd, no? Usually they lump the early access into a full number. That seems to be what they did for D&D, 80 for Brady, and Transformers, with further breakdowns of what it made sans-EA.

Edited July 12, 2023 by datpepper

[Porthos]

2 hours ago, Shawn said:

$7.0m total previews for Mission (Deadline says it's only Tuesday, Paramount has not clarified this.)

 

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

First time the dark magic failed. @Porthos

1 hour ago, Shawn said:

Confirmed: $7m is for TUESDAY ONLY. Spoke with Paramount.

 

 

@keysersoze123

 

 

[Porthos]

@Shawn Any chance we'll be able to get the Sun+Mon EA numbers.  Besides my pride being on the line, need it for future comps. 👍

[Dragoncaine]

2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

 

 

@keysersoze123

 

 

Could we be looking at $9-9.5m? 👀