The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 8/26/2023 at 7:52 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Greek Wedding	T-12	Jax	5	13	5	15	1,351	1.11%
		Phx	6	16	0	16	1,490	1.07%
		Ral	6	15	0	10	1,673	0.60%
	Total		17	44	5	41	4,514	0.91%

 

Greek Wedding T-12 comps

 - Magic Mike 3 - .621x (621k)

 - 80 for Brady (Total) - missed

 - Joy Ride (Total) - .837x (920k)

 - Strays (Total) - .683x (752k)

 - Barbie (Total) - .02x (438k)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Greek Wedding 3	T-11	Jax	5	13	7	22	1,351	1.63%
		Phx	6	16	1	17	1,490	1.14%
		Ral	6	15	0	10	1,673	0.60%
	Total		17	44	8	49	4,514	1.09%

 

Greek Wedding T-11 comps

 - Magic Mike 3 - .731x (731k)

 - 80 for Brady (Total) - missed

 - Joy Ride (Total) - 1x (1.1m)

 - Strays (Total) - .831x (914k)

 - Barbie (Total) - .022x (481k)

 

Size adjusted average - 934k

[Arlborn]

14 hours ago, Eric the Car said:

I'm just baffled it even exists. What was the goal in greenlighting a third movie in a series most people don't even really like? Especially when the last film didn't even do all that well anywhere, said last film was set to be on a big decline even in a best case scenario and it's a horror movie (or is it?) that has little to do tonally with the other two movies? Was Disney/Fox really just assuming Michelle Yeoh's eventual Oscar win was going to bring people in? Did they hope this would get Kenneth Branagh to sign onto a Hulu show or something? I genuinely don't understand the goal here.

 They hopefully saw some potential in it being a good movie?

 

Plenty of people liked the first two movies, I don’t think they incited love or anything, but plenty of us enjoyed them and are intrigued by this trailer 

[Boxofficerules]

Are The Nun 2 tickets on sale? In the UK the posters are saying you can book tickets now.

[Issac Newton]

 

 

[Boxofficerules]

Is Saw X getting IMAX?

[katnisscinnaplex]

1 hour ago, Boxofficerules said:

Is Saw X getting IMAX?

It's not listed on IMAX's upcoming movies so maybe not?  

[misterpepp]

4 hours ago, Boxofficerules said:

Are The Nun 2 tickets on sale? In the UK the posters are saying you can book tickets now.

 

They will be on Wednesday.

 

1 hour ago, Boxofficerules said:

Is Saw X getting IMAX?

 

Nope, The Creator is getting IMAX that weekend.

[abracadabra1998]

On 8/25/2023 at 10:06 AM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews (Numbers taken yesterday)

 

The Equalizer (T-7):

Day: T-7	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 18 theaters	80	35	94	14734	0.64

 

I'll have The Woman King comp on Sunday, best I can do (haven't tracked R-rated action movies). From the looks of it I think it'll point to around $2 million but we shall see.

 

Big Fat Greek Wedding (T-14):

Day: T-14	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 13 theaters	26	5	5	2808	0.18

 

I'll start comping with Joy Ride and Strays on Sunday, but damn if this isn't looking like yet another single-digits comedy opener.

 

Apologies for the day late update, (super fun but very late) school event last night!

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

The Equalizer 3 (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 18 theaters	83	19	113	15100	0.75

 

Comps:

1.19x The Woman King- $2.03 Million

1.55x Gran Turismo- $2.17 Million

0.48x Blue Beetle- $1.58 Million

 

A mish-mash of not so great comps that mostly point to around 2 million at the moment.

 

Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 (T-11):

Day: T-11	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 14 theaters	28	13	18	2978	0.6

 

Comps (Just Thursday):

0.82x Strays- $900k

0.72x Joy Ride- $792k

 

I imagine demand these last few days has been way more concentrated on National Cinema Day than both of these, so we'll see if they accelerate now.

[TheFlatLannister]

22 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING 3  

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-12

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
128	152	22768	0.67%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

9

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-12

 

(0.438x) of Strays

~$361k THUR Previews

 

(1.041x) of Ruby Gilman

~$754k THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $557k

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING 3  

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-11

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
128	154	22768	0.68%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

2

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-11

 

(0.433x) of Strays

~$357k THUR Previews

 

(1.027x) of Ruby Gilman

~$744k THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $550k

[TheFlatLannister]

22 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

THE EQUALIZER 3

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-5

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
174	497	30629	1.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

36

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-5

 

(0.292x) of Mi7 (TUES ONLY)

~$2.04M THUR Previews

 

(0.258x) of Fast X

~$1.94M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $1.99M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

THE EQUALIZER 3

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-4

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
174	543	30629	1.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

46

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-4

 

(0.294x) of Mi7 (TUES ONLY)

~$2.06M THUR Previews

 

(0.269x) of Fast X

~$2.02M THUR Previews

 

(1.512x) of Gran Turismo

~$2.12M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $2.07M

[misterpepp]

On 8/24/2023 at 8:01 PM, datpepper said:

Haunting in Venice on sale this Monday, Aug 28. There will be an early access showing on Sep 13.

 

Might just be the early access that goes on sale.

[vafrow]

23 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Equalizer 3, Thursday previews T-5, southern Ontario

 

Total sales:  285

New Sales: 57

Growth from yesterday: 25%

Theatre Count:  51

Showtimes:  163

Tickets per showtime: 1.748

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

Regional comp

0.675x Blue Beetle for $2.2M

1.629x Gran Turismo for $2.3M

 

Another solid day. Slight growth against both comps.

 

Equalizer 3, Thursday previews T-4, southern Ontario

 

Total sales:  307

New Sales: 22

Growth from yesterday: 8%

Theatre Count:  51

Showtimes:  163

Tickets per showtime: 1.748

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

Regional comp

0.621x Blue Beetle for $2.1M

1.395x Gran Turismo for $2.0M

 

There seemed to be no immediate effect from nNCD. Both comps dropping.

 

Hopefully it shows strong down the stretch. It's going to need 30-40% jumps or more to keep pace this week.

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Equalizer 3	T-4	Jax	5	46	18	128	8,308	1.54%
		Phx	6	32	4	86	6,700	1.28%
		Ral	8	43	19	107	6,981	1.53%
	Total		19	121	41	321	21,989	1.46%

 

Equalizer 3 T-4 comps 

 - Matrix 4 - missed

 - F9 - .259x (1.84m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .611x (2.81m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 2.21x (3.21m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - missed

 - Creed III - missed

 - Gran Turismo (Thu) - 2.61x (3.65m)

 

Size adjusted avg - 2.81m

 

Biggest jump of all the comps.  I'm guessing the next couple of days will be big for this and Greek Wedding, with so many new trailer views during NCD

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Equalizer 3	T-3	Jax	5	46	28	156	8,308	1.88%
		Phx	6	32	6	92	6,700	1.37%
		Ral	8	43	18	125	6,981	1.79%
	Total		19	121	52	373	21,989	1.70%

 

Equalizer 3 T-3 comps 

 - Matrix 4 - missed

 - F9 - .258x (1.83m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .598x (2.75m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 2.21x (3.2m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - missed

 - Creed III - .481x (2.62m)

 - Gran Turismo (Thu) - 2.33x (3.26m)

 - Meg 2 - 1.673x (5.35m)

 

Size adjusted avg - 3.07m

 

Equalizer pace chart

Movie	3-day pace	Prev 3-day	Prev 3-day	Last Day
Equalizer 3	48.02%	38.89%	31.17%	16.20%
Matrix 4 (Wed)		21.74%
F9: The Fast Saga	38.96%	17.08%	18.63%	16.68%
Bullet Train + EA	44.78%	29.23%	27.21%	18.86%
Knock at the Cabin	32.03%	22.66%		16.55%
Black Phone + EA		25.32%	19.21%
Creed III Total	55.51%	32.67%
Gran Turismo	53.85%	81.73%	15.79%	30.08%

Meg 2

112.38%

18.62%

 

Pretty much in line with comps for yesterday (other than GT which had a terrible start because of EA).  Meg 2 comp is still coming down - hopefully they start to align closer to final.

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Greek Wedding 3	T-11	Jax	5	13	7	22	1,351	1.63%
		Phx	6	16	1	17	1,490	1.14%
		Ral	6	15	0	10	1,673	0.60%
	Total		17	44	8	49	4,514	1.09%

 

Greek Wedding T-11 comps

 - Magic Mike 3 - .731x (731k)

 - 80 for Brady (Total) - missed

 - Joy Ride (Total) - 1x (1.1m)

 - Strays (Total) - .831x (914k)

 - Barbie (Total) - .022x (481k)

 

Size adjusted average - 934k

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Greek Wedding	T-10	Jax	5	13	0	22	1,351	1.63%
		Phx	6	16	3	20	1,490	1.34%
		Ral	6	15	2	12	1,673	0.72%
	Total		17	44	5	54	4,514	1.20%

 

Greek Wedding T-10 comps

 - Magic Mike 3 - .643x (643k)

 - 80 for Brady (Total) - .386x (490k)

 - Joy Ride (Total) - .964x (1.06m)

 - Strays (Total) - .9x (990k)

 - Barbie (Total) - .022x (484k)

 

Size adjusted average - 830k

[charlie Jatinder]

National Cinema Day MiniTC2

Blue Beetle - 31038/46505 (237 showings) 67%

GT - 27639/61711 (244 showings) 45%

Barbie - 23495/47885 (208 showings) 49%

TMNT - 20196/31609 (174 showings) 64%
Oppy - 11449/22515 (127 showings) 51%

 

Hill - 5672/12957 (101 showings) 44%

[Issac Newton]

 

 

Edited August 28, 2023 by Issac Newton

[vafrow]

Stronger admissions after moving from a Saturday to a Sunday is impressive. Having a stronger film slate helped, but my understanding was that business last year was close to capacity, and being Sunday evening would have reduced demand for late shows.

 

But, perhaps theatres also were better able to prepare and have more early shows to compensate.

[Eric S'ennui]

Quorum Updates

Bottoms T-4: 16.15% Awareness

A Haunting in Venice T-18: 25.89% Awareness

Wish T-86: 23.06% Awareness

Journey to Bethlehem T-74: 11.01% Awareness

Furiosa T-270: 14.56% Awareness

 

The Equalizer 3 T-4: 54.61% Awareness

Final Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 90% chance of 20M, 70% chance of 30M

Medium Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M

 

My Big Fat Greek Wedding T-11: 36.87% Awareness

Final Awareness: 34% chance of 10M, 2% chance of 20M

Low Awareness: 33% chance of 10M

 

The Nun II T-11: 49.67% Awareness

Final Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 90% chance of 20M, 70% chance of 30M, 40% chance of 40M, 30% chance of 50M

Horror Awareness: 100% chance of 30M

 

The Creator T-32: 15.49% Awareness

T-30 Awareness: 12% chance of 10M

Medium Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

 

Saw X T-32: 43.76% Awareness

T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 93% chance of 30M, 73% chance of 40M

Horror Awareness: 100% chance of 30M

[el sid]

The Equalizer 3 counted today for Thursday:
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 179 (3 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 93 (8 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 10 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 0 (4 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 8 (5 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 85 (6 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 56 (7 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 431. 
 

Comps (all counted on Monday of the release week for Thursday): Plane (435k from previews) had 89 sold tickets,
Angel Has Fallen (1.5M) had 199
Rambo V (1.3M) had 205,
JW4 (8.9M) had 2.049 - TE3 will gain ground in the next few days because that's easier at a lower level so this comp isn't even that bad,
Creed III (5.45M) had 584,
Meg 2 (3.2M) had 254
and BT (4.6M) had 879 sold tickets.
 

The Equalizer 3 counted today for Friday:
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 130 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 46 (15 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 1 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 8 (5 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 11 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 64 (9 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 47 (10 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 307. 
 

Comps (all films counted on Monday of the release week for Friday): Fast X (67M OW) had 1.434 sold tickets,
Plane (10.3M) had 83 sold tickets,
Angel Has Fallen (21.4M) had 136,
Rambo V (18.9M) had 116,
JW4 (73.8M) had 1.755,
Creed III (58.4M) had 667,
Meg 2 (30M) had 263
and BT (30M) had 655 sold tickets.
 

Still strange. From most comps, it looks good. But from some others, pretty bad (at least the Friday presales). I didn't track another Denzel Washington movie so far by which I could see if his films are „walk-up beasts“.
I guess that the walk-ups of The Equalizer 3 will rather resemble those of AHF, Rambo V or Creed III but of course I'm not sure.
 

[Boxofficerules]

2 hours ago, Eric the Car said:

Quorum Updates

Bottoms T-4: 16.15% Awareness

A Haunting in Venice T-18: 25.89% Awareness

Wish T-86: 23.06% Awareness

Journey to Bethlehem T-74: 11.01% Awareness

Furiosa T-270: 14.56% Awareness

 

The Equalizer 3 T-4: 54.61% Awareness

Final Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 90% chance of 20M, 70% chance of 30M

Medium Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M

 

My Big Fat Greek Wedding T-11: 36.87% Awareness

Final Awareness: 34% chance of 10M, 2% chance of 20M

Low Awareness: 33% chance of 10M

 

The Nun II T-11: 49.67% Awareness

Final Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 90% chance of 20M, 70% chance of 30M, 40% chance of 40M, 30% chance of 50M

Horror Awareness: 100% chance of 30M

 

The Creator T-32: 15.49% Awareness

T-30 Awareness: 12% chance of 10M

Medium Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

 

Saw X T-32: 43.76% Awareness

T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 93% chance of 30M, 73% chance of 40M

Horror Awareness: 100% chance of 30M

That Saw X looks insane, it doesn't really have 73%of hitting 40M does it.

 

Also Greek Wedding 3 with 2% chance of 20M. I BELIEVE IN YOU!