The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[abracadabra1998]

17 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Theaters are pretty desperate for content right now. Taylor and Flower Moon are the only movies pulling grosses over $6M this weekend (and the former only plays on weekends).

Freelance will be a non-starter, a brief glance around my area shows maybe a handful or tickets sold, low single digits OW incoming.

 

I’m more interested in After Death, Angel Studios’ new release. Hot off Sound of Freedom and their marketing success there. Already quite a bit of pre-sales, of course their movies are way more frontloaded than average, but I think I’ll add that film to my update today. I think @Hilts was tracking it too down in Oklahoma

Edited October 22, 2023 by abracadabra1998

[charlie Jatinder]

9 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Previews - 70412/379213 1033211.54 2537 shows

Meh. Awful numbers. 

 

9 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Friday - 101931/447954 1506274.03 2927 shows

 

HOLY SHIT.

[TwoMisfits]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Meh. Awful numbers. 

 

HOLY SHIT.

 

Teenage drawing movie during a school year for the FNAF Thurs/Fri...

[charlie Jatinder]

2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Meh. Awful numbers. 

 

HOLY SHIT.

To put into context, the FAST X comp for these numbers is $11.5M THU & $54M.

[jeffthehat]

4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

To put into context, the FAST X comp for these numbers is $11.5M THU & $54M.

 

5x Thu/Fri multi confirmed

 

[el sid]

FNAF, counted on Thursday (= 3 days ago) for Thursday, October 26. 7 days left:
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 204 (4 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 321 (7 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 109 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 54 (4 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 101 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 117 (3 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 787 (13 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 1.693. 
 

Up modest 7% since my last counting on Tuesday.
Comps (all 6 films counted on Monday of the release week for Thursday): The Nun II (3.1M from previews) had 459 = 11.5M + 4 days left for FNAF,
Saw X (2M) had 400 = 8.5M + 4 days left,
GotG III (17.5M) had 4.303 = 6.9M + 4 days left,
Scream 6 (5.7M) had 1.295 in 6 theaters vs 1.489 for FNAF in 6 theaters = 6.6M + 4 days left,
JW 4 (8.9M) had 2.048 = 7.4M + 4 days left
and The Meg 2 (3.2M) had 254 sold tickets = 21.3M + 4 days left.
Barbie (22.3M) had also with 7 days left 2.941 sold tickets = 12.8M.
 

Idk why the increases in my theaters are so muted since ca. 1 week. Maybe that's because it had stellar numbers ca. 1 month before the release and a little adjustment is normal.
 

I will count it again today.

[tdangie]

15 minutes ago, jeffthehat said:

 

5x Thu/Fri multi confirmed

 

wait so does this actually happen in irl opening weekends?? or is the thurs-fri BO gap probably gonna narrow closer to release date?

[Giorno]

6 minutes ago, tdangie said:

wait so does this actually happen in irl opening weekends?? or is the thurs-fri BO gap probably gonna narrow closer to release date?

Unless you have a movie aimed at small children, 5x thursday for a Friday is not happening 

[tdangie]

6 minutes ago, Giorno said:

Unless you have a movie aimed at small children

Welp let me tell you about the FNAF fandom... 

 

(I'm half-joking, but there's definitely hype from middle schoolers and even younger kids lmao)

[Giorno]

1 minute ago, tdangie said:

Welp let me tell you about the FNAF fandom... 

 

(I'm half-joking, but there's definitely hype from middle schoolers and even younger kids lmao)

its way too big in previews to have that kind of thu-fri multi and FNAF won't really be for small kids who need a guardian figure to accompany them to the movie so there won't be that kind of jump

[emoviefan]

1 hour ago, WorkingonaName said:

I pirate most movies and am still seeing FNAF with the boys.

God I hope you are joking but fear you are not about the pirating.

[Hilts]

5 hours ago, vafrow said:

Is anyone else finding Freelance in a lot more theatres than they would have expected?

 

It's in 28 of 34 theatres in my radius right now. For a film that doesn't have much hype or marketing, it feels like a oversized footprint. It's sold 11 tickets across the ~10 theatre radius I've been using.

 

Only in 9 of the 25 I look at, max 3 showtimes per so pretty low profile here. Only sold a measly 2 tickets so far making any comps useless!

 

1 hour ago, abracadabra1998 said:

Freelance will be a non-starter, a brief glance around my area shows maybe a handful or tickets sold, low single digits OW incoming.

 

I’m more interested in After Death, Angel Studios’ new release. Hot off Sound of Freedom and their marketing success there. Already quite a bit of pre-sales, of course their movies are way more frontloaded than average, but I think I’ll add that film to my update today. I think @Hilts was tracking it too down in Oklahoma

 

Yep I will try and drop daily updates from today, just tricky to find relevant comps. Dropping random ones alongside it seems to be around $1m or just under at the moment. SoF comp pushes it way down as that over-indexed here so trying to ignore that but I may add it for reference.

 

Separately, I looked at Priscilla yesterday but it's only in 3 theatres right now so not really sure how that's rolling out. Needless to say not much going on there whilst availability is limited. The Holdovers is a similar story.

[jeffthehat]

1 hour ago, tdangie said:

wait so does this actually happen in irl opening weekends?? or is the thurs-fri BO gap probably gonna narrow closer to release date?

 

I was joking, it will be more like 2-3x. 

[Giorno]

The Marvels (D-18):

 

634 tickets at 10 Houston AMC's/+3 YD

 

Comp:

 

0.728 x (D-18) Oppenheimer = $7.64m

[karthibose]

Leo Bloody sweat Tamil Movie USA Sunday Boxoffice Number??

[Arlborn]

1 hour ago, emoviefan said:

God I hope you are joking but fear you are not about the pirating.

Pirating is pretty damn common in loads of places and types of crowd, I doubt he’s joking.

[misterpepp]

56 minutes ago, karthibose said:

Leo Bloody sweat Tamil Movie USA Sunday Boxoffice Number??

 

Deadline's got it at $530k for Sunday, 3-day of $2.05m and total of $4.6m.

[el sid]

Very briefly: Freelance had today for Thursday meager 16 sold tickets in 4 theaters. I'm sorry, I said a few hours ago that it has showtimes in all 7 theater but I forgot that I stopped counting/did not count in the smaller theaters after only a handful of tickets were sold some days ago 😏. But in the 4 theaters it gets enough/too many showtimes both on Thursday and Friday.

Comps (all three movies counted on Monday of the release week for Thursday): The Expend4bles (750k from previews) had 130 sold tickets,

Plane (435k) had 89
and Meg 2 (3.2M) had 254 sold tickets.

[Boxofficerules]

When do Thanksgiving tickets go on sale?

[el sid]

FNAF, counted today for Thursday, October 26. 4 days left:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 232 (4 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 383 (7 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 124 (6 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 59 (4 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 128 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 138 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 887 (13 showtimes)

 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 1.951.

Up at least better 15% since my last counting on Thursday.
Comps (all 6 films counted on Monday of the release week for Thursday): The Nun II (3.1M from previews) had 459 = 13.2M + 1 day left for FNAF,
Saw X (2M) had 400 = 9.8M + 1 day left,
GotG III (17.5M) had 4.303 = 8M + 1 day left,
Scream 6 (5.7M) had 1.295 in 6 theaters vs 1.719 for FNAF in 6 theaters = 7.6M + 1 day left,
JW 4 (8.9M) had 2.048 = 8.5M + 1 day left
and The Meg 2 (3.2M) had 254 sold tickets = 24.6M + 1 day left.

On average 12M + 1 day left.

Some comps are still a bit weak but as mentioned some of these films e.g. JW4 make every film look bad in comparison. And 12M+ feels at least better than the number on Thursday where it had more days left but tiny jumps.