Jump to content

Shawn Robbins

The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

Recommended Posts

16 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Trolls: Band Together (T-14):

Day: T-14, T-2 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Thursday: 19 theaters 67 13 32 8282 0.39
Saturday Nov 4 EA: 14 theaters 14 471 829 1867 44.4
TOTALS: 81 484 861 10149 8.48

 

Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage:
PLFs: 0 0 0
MTC1: 239 133 27.76
Marcus: 222 97 25.78
Alamo: 111 27 12.89
Other chains: 289 227 33.57

 

Comps (for EA ONLY):

1.33x of MI7 EA on T-2/T-1: $2.66 Million

0.71x Barbie EA on T-2: $783k

 

The EA number is stupid good; I wish I had TMNT numbers for the final days, but oh well. I will update just the EA again tomorrow

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Trolls Band Together EARLY ACCESS (T-1):

Day: T-1 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Saturday Nov 4 EA: 14 theaters 14 150 979 1867 52.44

 

Comps (for EA ONLY):

1.07x of MI7 EA: $2.13 Million

0.83x Barbie EA: $912k

 

Both of those EA were heavy on PLF, so the comp numbers aren't super accurate and have to be adjusted down. Still expecting over $1 million, since Barbie capacity was in the 90s and walk-ups will be better. Overall really impressive numbers and bode well for Trolls Thursday previews to speed up once we're past this.

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites



@keysersoze123GOTG 3 closest I have is a T-14.....it has double plus numbers at T-14 vs Marvels numbers I posted earlier at T-7

 

T-14   # theatre #show Seats Sold Seats Rem Ttl seat Percent
Vancouver Thurs 4 21 613 3698 4311 0.1421
  Fri 4 26 527 4517 5044 0.1044
               
    # theatre #show Seats Sold Seats Rem Ttl seat Percent
Calgary Thurs 4 21 458 3708 4166 0.1099
  Fri 4 25 294 3698 3992 0.0736

 

And here's T-3  for GOTG

    # theatre #show Seats Sold Seats Rem Ttl seat Percent
Vancouver Thurs 4 26 1157 4192 5349 0.2163
  Fri 4 26 1161 2879 4040 0.2873
    # theatre #show Seats Sold Seats Rem Ttl seat Percent
Calgary Thurs 4 26 656 3097 3753 0.1747
  Fri 4 19 744 3592 4336 0.1715

 

 

 

Edited by Tinalera
  • Like 4
  • Thanks 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 minutes ago, Shawn said:

Apparently ERAS TOUR is getting an extension in theaters, or at least that's what Swift's PR firm is telling a good friend and source of mine.

 

Has anyone heard this previously? Seems like news to me with the wording of the original and only press release that I'm aware of. And I don't see tickets on sale past November 5.

I have about 25 theaters I routinely check around the country, and this morning I found that TET had tickets for sale on Friday, November 10 at 9 of those theaters. Given that most theaters are only pre-loading The Marvels, The Holdovers, It's a Wonderful Knife and Journey to Bethlehem this far out, it seemed like a vote of confidence in TET that 9 of them also have showings for sell a week out. I checked the 7-8 pm hour shows at some of them and was surprised to see that they already had some sold seats. 

 

For the record, the theaters with TET seats already loaded for 11/10 that I found earlier were: AMC Metreon (SF), AMC Mercado 20 (San Jose, CA), AMC Eastridge (San Jose, CA),, AMC Burbank 16 (Los Angeles), AMC Kips Bay 15 (NYC), Cinemark Pflugerville 20 (TX), Cinemark Fayette Mall & XD (Lexington, KY), AMC Riverview 14 (Tampa) and AMC Veterans 24 (Tampa). 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites



23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

THANKSGIVING

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-14

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

123

116

20993

0.55%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

15

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-14

 

(0.256x) of Exorcist $728K Previews

Comps AVG: $728k

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

THANKSGIVING

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-13

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

123

118

20993

0.56%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

2

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-13

 

(0.255x) of Exorcist $729K Previews

Comps AVG: $729k

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

WISH

 

Tuesday Previews 

 

T-19

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

162

612

29762

2.1%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

20

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-19

 

(1.526x) of Elemental $3.66M Previews *Not adjusted for ATP discount Tuesday* 

 

*Saturday EA* separate from previews 

151 seats sold over 10 showings 

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

WISH

 

Tuesday Previews 

 

T-18

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

162

613

29762

2.1%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

1

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-18

 

(1.498x) of Elemental $3.60M Previews *Not adjusted for ATP discount Tuesday* 

 

*Saturday EA* separate from previews 

168 seats sold over 10 showings 

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites



23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 


Trolls: Band Together 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-14

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

171

311

31233

1.0%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

3

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

COMPS 

T-14

 

EA on Saturday = 464 seats sold 

*EA is separated from Thursday gross 

 

(0.679x) of Elemental $1.63M Previews

COMPS AVG: $1.63M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 


Trolls: Band Together 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-13

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

171

313

31233

1.0%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

2

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

COMPS 

T-13

 

EA on Saturday = 623 seats sold 

*EA is separated from Thursday gross 

 

(0.653x) of Elemental $1.57M Previews

COMPS AVG: $1.57M

 

Well, atleast EA sales are robust 

Edited by TheFlatLannister
  • Like 3
  • Thanks 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

THE HUNGER GAMES: THE BALLAD OF SONGBIRDS AND SNAKES

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-14

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

168

1019

32190

3.2%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

176

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-14

 

(0.710x) of Fast X $5.33M Previews

(1.930x) of Blue Beetle $6.37M Previews

(0.425x) of FNAF $4.38M Previews

(0.460x) of The Flash $4.47M Previews

Comps AVG: $5.14M

 

A very good day #2

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

THE HUNGER GAMES: THE BALLAD OF SONGBIRDS AND SNAKES

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-13

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

168

1123

32190

3.5%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

104

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-13

 

(0.777x) of Fast X $5.82M Previews

(0.444x) of FNAF $4.58M Previews

(0.478x) of The Flash $4.64M Previews

Comps AVG: $5.01M

 

Another strong day 

  • Like 6
  • Thanks 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites



On 10/31/2023 at 5:33 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Previews:

 

Wish (T-21):

Day: T-21, T-18 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Tuesday: 16 theaters 63 16 64 8067 0.79
Saturday Nov 18 EA: 7 theaters 7 20 29 906 3.2
TOTALS: 70 36 93 8973 1.04

 

Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage:
PLFs: 0 0 0
MTC1: 48 19 51.61
Marcus: 18 3 19.35
Alamo: 0 0 0
Other chains: 27 14 29.03

 

Tuesday comps:

0.82x Haunted Mansion: $2.54 Million

4x Trolls: Band Together: ??

 

Paw Patrol and TMNT next updates, I have Paw Patrol numbers for T-21 but that had just started its run, doesn't make much sense to include them.

 

EA comps:

1.45x Trolls Band Together: ??

 

I'm surprised that this isn't going the Trolls route, at least so far, in that EA sales start to totally eclipse the Tuesday ones. But we're still a ways.


Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Wish (T-18):

Day: T-18, T-15 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Tuesday: 16 theaters 63 18 82 8067 1.02
Saturday Nov 18 EA: 9 theaters 9 22 51 1100 4.64
TOTALS: 72 40 133 9167 1.45

 

Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage:
PLFs: 0 0 0
MTC1: 64 16 48.12
Marcus: 32 14 24.06
Alamo: 0 0 0
Other chains: 37 10 27.82

 

Comps:

1.064x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $3.3 Million

1.17x Paw Patrol (FRI): $7.97 Million (LOL)

0.59x TMNT (w/ EA): $3.24 Million

 

EA Comp:

0.91x TMNT Saturday EA: ~725k*

 

*Operating under the assumption that TMNT's Saturday EA is ~825k, half of the reported EA gross for both days

 

Godzilla Minus One (T-27):

Day: T-27, T-26 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Thursday: 9 theaters 19 40 40 2187 1.83
Wednesday Nov 29 EA: 7 theaters 8 114 114 1084 10.52
TOTALS: 27 154 154 3271 4.71

 

Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage:
PLFs: 114 114 74.03
MTC1: 135 135 87.66
Marcus: 11 11 7.14
Alamo: 0 0 0
Other chains: 8 8 5.19

 

Any meaningful recent comps for this? Not really sure. Good start but obviously super heavy on EA and MTC1.

 

 

  • Like 5
  • Thanks 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Hunger Games Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes, T-14, D2, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Tickets sold: 76

New sales: 29

Growth: 61.7%

Theatres: 5 out of 5

Showtimes: 19

Chains tracked: MTC4, via manual count from chain app

 

COMPS

No reasonable regional comps available

 

Tickets per showtime analysis (tickets sold/showtimes= tickets per showtime)

Avg: 4.0

 

By timing:

Late Afternoon: 3/3= 1.0

Early Evening: 58/9=6.4

Late Evening: 15/7=2.1

 

By format:

Regular: 4/3=1.3

Dolby: 29/7=4.1

VIP: 25/3=8.3

IMAX: 18/4=4.5

4DX: 0/2=0

 

Okay second day. Due to lack of data around this, I don't have much in comps. I was debating doing some single theatre comps, but at this low volume, it seems like its not too relevant. I may do so closer.

 

Even then, I don't have much, but thinking about what might be somewhat relevant of what I do have, does T:ROTB make sense. Similar target weekend. Similar in terms of franchise status, of a once dominant franchise aiming to do a reboot/prequel type of thing.

 

Hunger Games Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes, T-13, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Tickets sold: 96

New sales: 20

Growth: 26.3%

Theatres: 5 out of 5

Showtimes: 19

Chains tracked: MTC4, via manual count from chain app

 

COMPS

No reasonable regional comps available

 

Tickets per showtime analysis (tickets sold/showtimes= tickets per showtime)

Avg: 4.0

 

By timing:

Late Afternoon: 4/3= 1.3

Early Evening: 72/9=8.0

Late Evening: 20/7=2.9

 

By format:

Regular: 4/3=1.3

Dolby: 38/7=5.4

VIP: 27/3=9.0

IMAX: 22/4=5.5

4DX: 5/2=2.5

 

Nothing too spectacular one way or the other. Chugging along to a reasonable performance.

 

All the extra data dimensions aren't really painting a picture or anything, but will keep it going in the event it does eventually.

 

 

 

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites



1 hour ago, Shawn said:

Apparently ERAS TOUR is getting an extension in theaters, or at least that's what Swift's PR firm is telling a good friend and source of mine.

 

Has anyone heard this previously? Seems like news to me with the wording of the original and only press release that I'm aware of. And I don't see tickets on sale past November 5.

 

I see 11/9 shows at my local Cinemarks...

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

32 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:


Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Wish (T-18):

Day: T-18, T-15 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Tuesday: 16 theaters 63 18 82 8067 1.02
Saturday Nov 18 EA: 9 theaters 9 22 51 1100 4.64
TOTALS: 72 40 133 9167 1.45

 

Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage:
PLFs: 0 0 0
MTC1: 64 16 48.12
Marcus: 32 14 24.06
Alamo: 0 0 0
Other chains: 37 10 27.82

 

Comps:

1.064x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $3.3 Million

1.17x Paw Patrol (FRI): $7.97 Million (LOL)

0.59x TMNT (w/ EA): $3.24 Million

 

EA Comp:

0.91x TMNT Saturday EA: ~725k*

 

*Operating under the assumption that TMNT's Saturday EA is ~825k, half of the reported EA gross for both days

 

Godzilla Minus One (T-27):

Day: T-27, T-26 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Thursday: 9 theaters 19 40 40 2187 1.83
Wednesday Nov 29 EA: 7 theaters 8 114 114 1084 10.52
TOTALS: 27 154 154 3271 4.71

 

Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage:
PLFs: 114 114 74.03
MTC1: 135 135 87.66
Marcus: 11 11 7.14
Alamo: 0 0 0
Other chains: 8 8 5.19

 

Any meaningful recent comps for this? Not really sure. Good start but obviously super heavy on EA and MTC1.

 

 

I'm using The Creator: Not too far off presales window, similar genre, PG-13

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



On 11/2/2023 at 4:17 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

PRISCILLA

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-0 *Final Update

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

129

314

22478

1.4%

*numbers taken as of 4:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

113

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-0

 

(0.880x) of Fat Greek Wedding 3 $483K Previews

(0.388x) of Haunting in Venice $465K Previews

Comps AVG: $474k

 

Lets call it $400k-$500k

btw, does anyone has preview numbers for this? Need it for comp purposes 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

37 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

btw, does anyone has preview numbers for this? Need it for comp purposes 

 

Took a look around The Usual Suspect and didn't see anything.  Also checked various Twitter accounts and nada.  Likely to get some sort of update when the first weekend numbers get reported, but since this is such a blah weekend, hasn't been an early look at anything yet.

 

If we get no love from Deadline or any of the others @Shawn might be able to bug A24 and/or find out through his channels.

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites



23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

The Marvels 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-7

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

275

2657

55831

4.8%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

68

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-7

 

(0.405x) of GOTG3 $7.09M Previews

Comps AVG: $7.09M

 

Absolutely no sign of life. Could be looking at ~$6M previews if thing don't somewhat improve 

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

The Marvels 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-6

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

275

2715

55831

4.9%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

58

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS 

T-6

 

(0.390x) of GOTG3 $6.83M Previews

Comps AVG: $6.83M

 

Slipped below $7M and will continue to slip if things don't somewhat improve 

  • Like 7
  • Thanks 4
  • Haha 2
  • Astonished 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites







For all the gloom about the holiday movie season Thanksgiving weekend has the potential to have 4 movies do 20+ over if not the 3 days for sure the 5 days.  Wish, Ballad, Napoleon and Trolls.  Know how many did that last year One BP:WF 3 in 21 Encanto, GB:AF and House Of Gucci.

Link to comment
Share on other sites



6 hours ago, Shawn said:

Apparently ERAS TOUR is getting an extension in theaters, or at least that's what Swift's PR firm is telling a good friend and source of mine.

 

Has anyone heard this previously? Seems like news to me with the wording of the original and only press release that I'm aware of. And I don't see tickets on sale past November 5.

I wasn’t aware of it being a limited engagement. I suppose it will continue till like… it continue.

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites





15 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

The Marvels MTC1

Previews(T-7) - 56548/706236 1119931.38 3615 shows +2303

Friday - 37267/1051630 708533.13 5347 shows +2104

 

The Marvels MTC1

Previews(T-6) - 58422/706230 1154655.72 3616 shows +1874

Friday - 39472/1049244 748270.04 5334 shows +2205

 

Eh. Terrible day. 

 

Eternals sold ~2930. // Terrible pace from Eternals. But it was at 81338 by this point and Friday 63624. 

Shang Chi ~5K // I think it started to accelerate ahead and Marvels is not hitting Shang Chi previews. Duh

Guardians 3~ slightly under 8K(reviews dropped in) and Marvels is low 40s% of Guardians. Friday is way more than twice Marvels Friday at this point. 

Flash - Dont have equivalent day data. But  Marvels is around 3/4 of Flash and below its Friday as well. 

 

 

it needs a HUGE CATALYST.

  • Like 7
  • Thanks 3
  • Haha 3
  • Astonished 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.