The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Dune 2 MTC1

Early shows(2/25) - 17836/55434 367009.32 181 shows

Previews - 23147/506712 481460.73 2523 shows

Friday -  16956/784960 350817.96 3945 shows

 

Solid sales for OD but not spectacular. At least Thu/Fri ratio shows its not going to skew previews. So far sales are skewing big market Imax screens. it compares well with Oppenheimer. 

 

 

Dune 2 MTC1

Early Shows(2/25) - 18862/55434 386095.68 181 shows +1026

Previews(T-33) - 27183/509465 560918.33 2536 shows +4036
Friday - 20578/787467 424849.88 3957 shows +3622
Saturday - 20415/828807 405973.15 4169 shows

 

I would say its a solid day 2. and presales are strong through the weekend. 

[JustLurking]

Think this could have something of the Ava2 syndrome where people are really looking out for the best seats and will spread out sales. Not to the same degree obviously but still.

Edited January 28 by JustLurking

[ando]

At Toronto's Scotiabank theatre the IMAX presales are quite spread out through the weekend.

 

1621 wknd total (423 Thu/425 Fri/473 Sat/300 Sun) IMAX showings only 

 

Day 2 was about 470 tickets sold. 

Edited January 28 by ando

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Dune: Part Two - Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-34 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	147	21247	22239	992	4.46%

 

Total Showings Added Today	144
Total Seats Added Today	21425
Total Seats Sold Today	524

 

Day 1 Comps EXCEEDINGLY LOL-TASTIC/"Spaghetti at the wall" Edition [DON'T TAKE SERIOUSLY!!!]

	%		Sold Day 1	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Dune D1	251.78		394	394		0/74	11255/11649	3.38%		2915	34.03%		12.84m
Dune D2	202.04		97	491		0/74	11158/11649	4.21%		2915	34.03%		10.30m
Batman	34.43		2406	2881		0/248	29316/32197	8.95%		11757	8.44%		8.41m
TGM	65.44		1516	1516		0/256	34603/36119	4.20%		11474	8.65%		12.60m
Thor 4	23.84		4161	4161		0/228	27442/31603	13.17%		16962	5.85%		6.91m
BP2	30.49		3254	3254		0/279	31690/34980	9.30%		16800	5.90%		8.54m
Ava 2	75.15		1320	1320		0/138	19300/20620	6.40%		8986	11.04%		12.78m
Wick 4	206.24		481	481		0/82	11915/12396	3.88%		5448	18.21%		18.36m
GOTG3	52.43		1892	1892		0/205	27676/29568	6.40%		10750	9.23%		9.18m
Fast X T-34	154.04		10	644		0/182	27121/27765	2.32%		4122	24.07%		11.55m
Oppy T-34	159.49		5	622		0/50	6950/7572	8.21%		10750	9.23%		16.75m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Dune: Part Two's current tickets sold versus that final number.

PRE-SALE NOTE:  The Batman had two days of exclusive pre-sales for Early Access shows which resulted in 475 seats sold before regular showtimes went on sale.

 

Regal:     301/5637  [5.34% sold]
Matinee:    15/2097  [0.72% | 1.51% of all tickets sold]
---

Sun:       535/814  [65.72% sold] [+67 tickets]
Thr:    457/21425  [2.13% sold] [+457 tickets]

PLF:      902/9813 [9.19% sold | 90.93% of all sales] [LOL]

 

====

Imagine how well this would be doing in Sacto if the Esquire IMAX had the 70mm print!

  Reveal hidden contents

[Don't explain the joke mode = ON]

Esquire IMAX's four showings accounts for 43.75% of all sales!!! Helped a great deal because 311 of said sales being part of the Sun EA showing, but even the three 'normal' Thur showtimes are showing signs of doing great business locally .

[Don't explain the joke mode = OFF]

 

What can I say?  Well, this blew the fuck up locally.  So much so that I actually broke out the Top Gun: Maverick comp, which I almost never do.

 

As I said in the spoiler box, a great deal of this has to do with the local TrueIMAX location doing absolutely gangbusters business.  311/388 for the EA showtime and 32, 89, and 2, for the 3pm, 6:30pm, and 10pm showtimes on Thur. How much of that is actual "new" traffic that wouldn't be distributed to other theaters, I can't say for sure. 

 

I will note, however, that Century Arden, reliably the #1 theater in town [or close to it] is hella lagging at 58 tickets sold.  Not having any EA showings hurts, but even so, I would expect more out of Arden on D1, so I think there is something to be said about at least some of the tickets being redistributed locally.  Still, even so, as I said yesterday this is the exact type of film to get folks to show up at the Esquire IMAX that normally might pass entirely on seeing a film (at least right away).

 

Now a lot of digital ink has been spilled about how much the EA showings will put a thumb on the scale, but even with that taken out of the equation, today Thursday sales outsold Dune's D1 sales (457 vs 394).  And that's with a ton of EA demand burnt off.

 

Anywho, I can try to put the numbers in all sorts of context and apply all sorts of provisos, but at the end of the day, this just did very well locally.  Have no idea how well it'll do at the end of the day as there is undoubtedly a fan rush component here, plus as I have said off and on, SF/F does really well here.  But I have to say, I am impressed that this still managed to outsell Dune's D1 even with all of the EA demand burnt off.  That to me says more than anything else.

 

NB:  As @M37 has repeatedly, and justifiably, reminded us, EA sales are putting a tremendous thumb on the scale right now.  There's a reason why the comps are currently LOL-tastic.  Problem is, I don't think there is a good way to comp it right now.  Thus me throwing spaghetti on the wall and letting y'alls pick and choose what to take away from the data.

 

NB to the NB:  No, seriously though, probably best to just ignore comps for a couple of weeks.

 

PS to the NB to the NB: "Hi reddit 🙂 " 👋   👋 👋

 

Dune: Part Two - Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-33 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	171	23634	24755	1121	4.53%

 

Total Showings Added Today	24
Total Seats Added Today	2516
Total Seats Sold Today	129

 

Day 2 Comps EXCEEDINGLY LOL-TASTIC/"Spaghetti at the wall" Edition [DON'T TAKE SERIOUSLY!!!]

	%		Sold Day 2	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Dune D2	228.31		97	491		0/74	11158/11649	4.21%		2915	38.46%		11.64m
Dune D3	206.45		52	543		0/74	11106/11649	4.66%		2915	38.46%		10.53m
Batman	34.65		354	3235		0/248	29063/32298	10.02%		11757	9.53%		8.46m
TGM	58.72		393	1909		0/257	34292/36201	5.27%		11474	9.77%		11.31m
Thor 4	23.73		563	4724		0/228	26876/31600	14.95%		16962	6.61%		6.88m
BP2	30.11		469	3723		0/292	32828/36551	10.19%		16800	6.67%		8.43m
Ava 2	66.37		369	1689		0/142	19649/21338	7.92%		8986	12.47%		11.28m
Wick 4	170.62		176	657		0/84	12063/12720	5.17%		5448	20.58%		15.19m
GOTG3	51.97		265	2157		0/205	27411/29568	7.30%		10750	10.43%		9.09m
Fast X T-33	170.36		14	658		0/182	27086/27744	2.37%		4122	27.20%		12.78m
Oppy T-33	178.22		7	629		0/50	6943/7572	8.31%		10750	10.43%		18.71m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Dune: Part Two's current tickets sold versus that final number.

PRE-SALE NOTE:  The Batman had two days of exclusive pre-sales for Early Access shows which resulted in 475 seats sold before regular showtimes went on sale.

 

Regal:     337/8153  [4.13% sold]
Matinee:    15/2762  [0.54% | 1.34% of all tickets sold]
--

Sun:    558/814  [68.55% sold] [+23 tickets]
Thr:    563/23941  [2.35% sold] [+106 tickets]

PLF:   1004/9813 [10.23% sold | 89.56% of all sales]

 

===

 

Gonna switch to full T-x comps on Monday night.  Not that I'll have much to choose from, but c'est la vie.

[M37]

7 hours ago, Grebacio said:

I'd suggest using John Wick 4 and Creed 3 as comps as well

Even though the time period and OW range are similar, both of those films had lower early sales and a very strong finishing kick, bringing in a lot of action casuals towards the end. Not sure a slower pace sci-fi epic will replicate, so those comps will likely over-project the final value for Dune P2

[vafrow]

Dune Part 2, Western GTA (southern Ontario), T-33 Thursday previews and T-29 EA shows

 

Previews

Total Sales: 119

New Sales: na

Growth: na

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 17

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 7.0

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Late Afternoon: 1/2

Early Evening: 93/9

Late Evening: 25/6

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

Dolby: 30/7

IMAX: 60/4

VIP: 27/4

4dx: 2/2

 

Early Access

2 IMAX showings

Sales: 299

New Sales: na

Growth: na

 

I was out of town, so only got this set up late. 

 

There's nothing I have that can really be used as a comp here. Everything recently for this coverage area started closer to release date. And the high EA shows distorts the totals, and I don't have anything that really mimics that.

 

I'll need to see how often I update the EA shows. It's a pain to count with numbers so high through a manual count. I may focus on the previews only.

 

Also worth noting how much IMAX is driving sales. Taking EA and previews, it accounts for over 80% of sales, which is pretty crazy. The lack of EA capacity will likely see that ratio slip, but, it's worth noting, and probably drives the ticket price up. 

 

 

[el sid]

Bob Marley: One Love, counted today for Wednesday, February 14. 17 days left.

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 48 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 12 (3 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): no showtimes yet
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 0 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 10 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 28 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 3 (9 very new showtimes, yesterday it didn't have showtimes in this AMC which is the reason why it has only sold 3 tickets)

 

Total tickets sold in 6 theaters: 101.

Comps (all movies counted after 1-2 days on sale): M3gan (2.75M from previews) had 57 sold tickets,
Beast (925k) had 53,
The Exorcist II (2.9M) had 171 after less than a day and 268 after almost 2 days

and The Black Phone (3M) had 95 sold tickets.

A decent start (also in my theaters).

[SpiderByte]

Some people (not on here) are taking the AMC site crashing as being a foreshadow of a massive 200 style opening for Dune and not like

 

The AMC website being shit

 

Like they have those big wait times for stuff like No Way Home for a reason, it crashes way more often than people notice

Edited January 28 by SpiderByte

[el sid]

Dune: Part Two, counted yesterday for Thursday, February 29. 33 days left.

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 97 (5 showtimes; Dune had 59 sold tickets back then)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 127 (9 showtimes; Dune: 135 sold tickets)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 6 (9 showtimes; Dune had no showtimes yet)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 3 (2 showtimes; also no showtimes yet)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 8 (7 showtimes; Dune: 35 sold tickets)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 393 (5 showtimes; Dune: 226 sold tickets)
LA (AMC Universal): 801 (11 showtimes; Dune: 583 sold tickets)

 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 1.435.

Comps (all movies counted after ca. 24 hours on sale): Dune (5.1M from previews) had 1.038 sold tickets = 7M true Thursday for Dune 2,
The Creator (1.6M) had 327 = 7M,
The Exorcist II (2.9M) had 171 = 24.2M (too high of course)
and John Wick 4 (8.9M) had 755 sold tickets = 16.8M.
Creed III doesn't work as comp because it had way too low presales in my theaters (finally = on Thursday for Thursday it were only 1.081 sold tickets).

Probably the Dune comp is the best. Overall a very nice start also in my theaters.

[Inceptionzq]

21 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Dune Part 2 Denver Showings

Early Access:

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 14 HRS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
613	32	1353	45.31%

 

Thursday Previews:

AMC Westminster 24

Total

241

1794

13.43%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

186

1388

13.40%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 14 HRS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
844	110	17720	4.76%	13	84

 

1.099	Oppenheimer T-33	11.54M
0.604	Guardians Day 2	10.57M
0.273	Thor L&T Day 2	7.92M
0.644	Batman Day 2	13.91M*
1.340	Dune Part 1 Day 2	6.83M

 

*Only comp that includes EA sales, all other comps are Thursday preview comps only

Dune Part 2 Denver Showings

Early Access:

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
631	18	1343	46.98%

 

Thursday Previews:

AMC Westminster 24

Total

251

1794

13.99%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

209

1387

15.07%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
930	86	18460	5.04%	13	89

 

1.200

Oppenheimer T-32

12.60M

0.289	Thor L&T Day 3	8.39M
0.575	Batman Day 3*	12.42M
1.283	Dune Part 1 Day 3	6.54M

*Includes EA sales, all other comps Thursday preview only

[Inceptionzq]

21 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Alamo Drafthouse Dune Part 2 [+14 hours of sales]

T-33 Thursday

153 Showings

3750

+391

23567

ATP:

19.47

1.737	Oppenheimer T-33	18.24M
0.672	Guardians Day 2	11.75M
0.454	Thor L&T Day 2	13.17M
0.642	Batman Day 2*	11.30M

 

T-34 Friday

237 Showings

3928

+453

35849

ATP:

18.55

2.112	Oppenheimer T-34	47.55M
1.098	Guardians Day 2	33.60M
0.700	Thor L&T Day 2	28.40M
0.757	Batman Day 2	26.54M

 

T-35 Saturday

253 Showings

4477

+650

38260

ATP:

18.04

2.002	Oppenheimer T-35	53.16M
1.144	Guardians Day 2	44.47M
0.934	Thor L&T Day 2	39.33M
1.104	Batman Day 2	47.75M

 

T-36 Sunday

230 Showings

1936

+314

34551

ATP:

18.80

1.701	Oppenheimer T-36	39.45M
1.144	Guardians Day 2	35.94M
0.823	Thor L&T Day 2	26.74M
1.312	Batman Day 2	44.78M

 

*Doesn't include Batman EA showings that I missed

Alamo Drafthouse Dune Part 2

T-32 Thursday

153 Showings

4087

+337

23567

ATP:

19.34

1.837

Oppenheimer T-32

19.29M

0.474	Thor L&T Day 3	13.75M
0.629	Batman Day 3*	11.07M

*Doesn't include Batman EA showings I missed

 

T-33 Friday

237 Showings

4429

+501

35849

ATP:

18.49

2.327

Oppenheimer T-33

52.41M

0.742	Thor L&T Day 3	30.10M
0.730	Batman Day 3	25.62M

 

T-34 Saturday

253 Showings

5051

+574

38260

ATP:

17.94

2.186

Oppenheimer T-34

58.02M

0.977	Thor L&T Day 3	41.14M
1.020	Batman Day 3	44.12M

 

T-35 Sunday

230 Showings

2270

+334

34551

ATP:

18.66

1.930

Oppenheimer T-35

44.76M

0.907	Thor L&T Day 3	29.47M
1.213	Batman Day 3	41.42M

[Inceptionzq]

21 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Emagine Entertainment Dune Part 2 [+14 hours of sales]

T-33 Thursday

100 Showings

332

+52

16595

0.915

Oppenheimer T-33

9.60M

 

T-34 Friday

154 Showings

271

+43

26112

1.397

Oppenheimer T-34

31.46M

 

T-35 Saturday

159 Showings

216

+56

27091

1.756

Oppenheimer T-35

46.10M

 

T-36 Sunday

153 Showings

63

+11

26189

1.853

Oppenheimer T-36

42.97M

Emagine Entertainment Dune Part 2

T-32 Thursday

100 Showings

416

+84

16600

1.106

Oppenheimer T-32

11.62M

 

T-33 Friday

154 Showings

342

+71

26112

1.685

Oppenheimer T-33

37.94M

 

T-34 Saturday

159 Showings

309

+93

27092

2.272

Oppenheimer T-34

59.64M

 

T-35 Sunday

153 Showings

64

+1

26189

1.684

Oppenheimer T-35

39.06M

[DAJK]

Argylle isn’t having a bad start around here. 3 theaters each have presales that could suggest something like 2-3M previews, with Friday/Saturday holding up nicely. I think 20M could happen if reviews are good.

 

Dune’s also very strong, and very very leggy throughout the weekend. For now, I’m going with a run comparable to Logan.

[keysersoze123]

Strength at drafthouse means its playing very strong with young crowd while small market driven Emagine is under performing. I think this movie will have very good final surge for sure. They will need to get the premier out early and get the reviews out early as well. 

[Grand Cine]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Strength at drafthouse means its playing very strong with young crowd while small market driven Emagine is under performing. I think this movie will have very good final surge for sure. They will need to get the premier out early and get the reviews out early as well. 

Curious to see of the movie will switch their audience , because the first movie attract in majority older people . In the PostTrack , 70% of the audience had 25 or older , 55% had between 18-34 years old ( and the majority of them were 25-34) and 39% of the audience were female.

 

I think the fact to have the biggest opening possible will consist to attract the other demographie

[Porthos]

First showtimes for Kung Fu Panda 4 are up (though not for sale, obv).

 

Anyone want to guess the start time?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

If you said "2pm start time, because OF COURSE IT'S 2pm", win yourself a BOT NO PRIZE!

Edited January 28 by Porthos

[TheFlatLannister]

21 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

DUNE 2

 

Thursday 

 

T-33

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
554	2695	104695	2.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 7:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

671

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

80

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

1148

 

COMPS

T-33

 

 

(1.280x) of Oppenheimer $13.44M 

(0.783x) of Indy 5 $5.64M 

Comps AVG: $9.54M

 

Much better day 2. Definitely feeling a bit more like a mini blockbuster opening 

FLORIDA 

 

DUNE 2

 

Thursday 

 

T-32

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
554	2912	104695	2.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

217

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

Orlando

SEATS SOLD

1259

 

COMPS

T-32

 

(1.390x) of Oppenheimer $14.59M 

(0.851x) of Indy 5 $6.13M 

Comps AVG: $10.36M

[TheFlatLannister]

Argylle is doing okay (on par with Mean girls)

 

Comp spits out $2.9M

[iEnri]

We keep rising Dunenation lets go 80M opening is possible

Edited January 28 by iEnri

[TheFlatLannister]

47 minutes ago, iEnri said:

We keep rising Dunenation lets go 80M opening is possible

 

Don't want to burst the hype bubble but the last sentence is spot-on here:

 

14 hours ago, M37 said:

Even though the time period and OW range are similar, both of those films had lower early sales and a very strong finishing kick, bringing in a lot of action casuals towards the end. Not sure a slower pace sci-fi epic will replicate, so those comps will likely over-project the final value for Dune P2