The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Porthos]

2 hours ago, AniNate said:

DM4 and Twisters both go on sale this week, right?

 

Just a reminder that this sort of information is a click/bookmark away. 🙂 

 

 

From the linked doc:

 

DM4: 6/5

Twist: 6/6

[Grand Cine]

7 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Just a reminder that this sort of information is a click/bookmark away. 🙂 

 

 

From the linked doc:

 

DM4: 6/5

Twist: 6/6

I'm very curious to see the beginning of tracking for Twisters ,  i think he could make a very good run . For DM4 , i think the best comp will be IO2 and Minions 2.

[Porthos]

3 minutes ago, Grand Cine said:

I'm very curious to see the beginning of tracking for Twisters ,  i think he could make a very good run . For DM4 , i think the best comp will be IO2 and Minions 2.

 

Perhaps not Minions 2 as that is *THE* most backloaded major release I have ever tracked.  It only sold 68 tickets locally on its first day of sales while Sonic 2 (which ended up earning over 4m less on previews) was nearly triple the D1 sales at 182 tickets.

 

How much did success of Minions 2 change things, in other words.  Will it lead to a stronger initial level of interest, or will it still be a largely "man, no reason to buy early tickets" type release.

 

IO2, FWIW, I think is more in the ballpark. Still don't know what it's preview number will be, but locally that was over Sonic 2 at 202 tickets sold on D1 (and that's with about a week's longer worth of pre-sales).  Then of course is the open question of just how backloaded DM4 will be, even absent a repeat of the Gentle Minions viral movement.

[Grand Cine]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Deadpool & Wolverine MTC1

Previews - 158517/1269382 2961839.03 7778 shows

Friday - 68663/1477310 1328138.458227 shows

 

Another +3 days(plus few hours if that matters) of sales. I think we could be close to bottom end of the curve for this movie. Probably around 200K for previews/90k ish for friday by end of June. 

 

MTC2 Previews - 63541/510391 954269.53 3770 shows 

I think he will be around 230-235K at T-14 for previews. Definitely better than 2023 Marvel movies. I think, at this point, the movie will finish around 500-550k so around 29-32M for previews . Maybe 600K and around 35M if WOM is good.

[Grand Cine]

2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Perhaps not Minions 2 as that is *THE* most backloaded major release I have ever tracked.  It only sold 68 tickets locally on its first day of sales while Sonic 2 (which ended up earning over 4m less on previews) was nearly triple the D1 sales at 182 tickets.

 

How much did success of Minions 2 change things, in other words.  Will it lead to a stronger initial level of interest, or will it still be a largely "man, no reason to buy early tickets" type release.

 

IO2, FWIW, I think is more in the ballpark. Still don't know what it's preview number will be, but locally that was over Sonic 2 at 202 tickets sold on D1 (and that's with about a week's longer worth of pre-sales).  Then of course is the open question of just how backloaded DM4 will be, even absent a repeat of the Gentle Minions viral movement.

Also the movie will open a Wednesday so he could make a huge jump Mon/Tue ( with Discount Tuesday)

[Porthos]

5 minutes ago, Grand Cine said:

Also the movie will open a Wednesday so he could make a huge jump Mon/Tue ( with Discount Tuesday)

 

??????

 

*double checks*

 

*triple checks to make sure*

 

 

         IT'S AN ALL DAY RELEASE!!!!!!!

                I'M FREE!! I'M FREE!!!!!!!!!!

 

Edited June 4 by Porthos

[Porthos]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

 

??????

 

*double checks*

 

*triple checks to make sure*

 

 

         IT'S AN ALL DAY RELEASE!!!!!!!

                I'M FREE!! I'M FREE!!!!!!!!!!

 

 

...

 

Ahem.

 

That is to say, the all-day release will fuck with comps even more than a Discount Tuesday release will, and that will absolutely be a consideration for those who choose to track it, but...  

 

[AniNate]

53 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Just a reminder that this sort of information is a click/bookmark away. 🙂 

 

 

From the linked doc:

 

DM4: 6/5

Twist: 6/6

 

A simple yes would've sufficed. I'm on vacation, only have access to my phone and didn't really feel like digging through the thread to find it

[Porthos]

6 minutes ago, AniNate said:

 

A simple yes would've sufficed. I'm on vacation, only have access to my phone and didn't really feel like digging through the thread to find it

 

I added the dates in my reply though as I figured you would want to know which days it was.

 

The reminder about the master doc was more that I've found people tend forget that the doc exists so I reckon it's a good thing to remind folks about it now and again.

 

Also said post is linked on each and every page of this thread at the very top as the first Recommended Post so it doesn't require any "digging through the thread" to find it. 👍

Edited June 4 by Porthos

[AniNate]

I feel like the minions franchise is still relatively walkup driven. It's like the NCIS of movies in regards to popularity:online interest ratio

[Flip]

Wonder when Horizon tickets are going on sale

[TheFlatLannister]

On 6/2/2024 at 7:24 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

Bad Boys

 

Thursday 

 

T-4

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
565	3489	110847	3.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

442

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

6

 

COMPS

T-4

(1.156x) of Apes $5.80M 

(2.031x) of Fall Guy $4.67M 
Comps AVG: $5.24M 

 

Excellent T-4. I would say this is heading over $5M for previews. Removed Godzilla x Kong 

FLORIDA 

Bad Boys

 

Thursday 

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
572	3943	113054	3.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

454

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

COMPS

T-3

(1.147x) of Apes $5.73M 

(2.142x) of Fall Guy $4.93M 
Comps AVG: $5.33M 

 

Comps still converging around $5M

[charlie Jatinder]

4 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Deadpool & Wolverine MTC1

Previews - 158517/1269382 2961839.03 7778 shows

Friday - 68663/1477310 1328138.458227 shows

 

Another +3 days(plus few hours if that matters) of sales. I think we could be close to bottom end of the curve for this movie. Probably around 200K for previews/90k ish for friday by end of June. 

 

MTC2 Previews - 63541/510391 954269.53 3770 shows 

BP2 added ~48K from T-39 to T-26. 

D&W added ~42K from T-66 to T-53.

 

Amazing. 

[Flip]

On 6/2/2024 at 7:40 PM, Flip said:

Took this early but this is two days of sales (over the weekend) so numbers are inflated.

 

Inside Out 2 (T-11)

12 showtimes/183 tix sold (+23)

 

Bad Boys 4 (T-4)

 

14 showtimes/179 tix sold (+43)

 

Watchers (T-4)

 

8 showtimes/50 tix sold (+4)

 

A Quiet Place (T-25) 

 

12 showtimes/101 tix sold (+18)

Inside Out 2 (T-10)

12 showtimes/192 tix sold (+9)

 

273 tickets sold for Friday.

 

Bad Boys 4 (T-3)

 

18 showtimes/216 tix sold (+37)

 

.704x Furiosa T-3 (NYC area would tilt to Furiosa more so it’s not a great comp but the only one I have)

 

Watchers (T-3)

 

8 showtimes/73 tix sold (+23)

 

A Quiet Place (T-24)

 

12 showtimes/109 tix sold (+8)

[abracadabra1998]

23 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Bad Boys: Ride or Die (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 25 theaters	132	80	257	22386	1.15

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		189	50	73.54
MTC1:		150	36	58.37
Alamo:		11	11	4.28
Other chains:		96	33	37.35

 

Comps: 

0.56x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (THU): $2.82 Million

0.55x Aquaman and the Last Kingdom: $2.48 Million (17 theaters)

3.45x Expend4bles: $2.59 Million (17 theaters)

0.98x Blue Beetle: $3.23 Million (17 theaters)

2.04x The Equalizer 3: $7.77 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $3.78 Million

 

Added Blue Beetle, running with these comps from now on. Minnesota is not a very diverse state, so trying to find those comps that are similar in that sense.

 

The Watchers (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 23 theaters	79	73	73	8701	0.84

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		9	9	12.33
MTC1:		38	38	52.05
Alamo:		14	14	19.18
Other chains:		21	21	28.77

 

Comps: 

0.92x Abigail: $925k

2.81x Tarot: $2 Million

1.16x Imaginary: $840k (17 theaters)

1.2x Last Voyage of Demeter: $865k (17 theaters)

 

Average: $1.16 Million

 

Made a personal rule to only comp PG-13 Horror with other PG-13 horrors, hence these comps. Tarot horribly underperformed there, everything else pointing to around 800k-1 Million right now. Let's see how this does the rest of the week.

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Bad Boys: Ride or Die (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 25 theaters	152	48	305	24120	1.26

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		214	25	70.16
MTC1:		178	28	58.36
Alamo:		15	4	4.92
Other chains:		112	16	36.72

 

Comps: 

0.55x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (THU): $2.73 Million

0.57x Aquaman and the Last Kingdom: $2.55 Million (17 theaters)

3.49x Expend4bles: $2.62 Million (17 theaters)

0.93x Blue Beetle: $3.06 Million (17 theaters)

1.9x The Equalizer 3: $7.21 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $3.63 Million

 

Not a great update, dropped against most comps.

[abracadabra1998]

23 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

The Watchers (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 23 theaters	79	73	73	8701	0.84

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		9	9	12.33
MTC1:		38	38	52.05
Alamo:		14	14	19.18
Other chains:		21	21	28.77

 

Comps: 

0.92x Abigail: $925k

2.81x Tarot: $2 Million

1.16x Imaginary: $840k (17 theaters)

1.2x Last Voyage of Demeter: $865k (17 theaters)

 

Average: $1.16 Million

 

Made a personal rule to only comp PG-13 Horror with other PG-13 horrors, hence these comps. Tarot horribly underperformed there, everything else pointing to around 800k-1 Million right now. Let's see how this does the rest of the week.

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

The Watchers (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 23 theaters	100	27	100	11805	0.85

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		8	-1	8
MTC1:		59	21	59
Alamo:		16	2	16
Other chains:		25	4	25

 

Comps: 

0.97x Abigail: $970k

1.19x Imaginary: $860k (17 theaters)

1.37x Last Voyage of Demeter: $1.03 Million (17 theaters)

 

Average: $955k

[misterpepp]

Blue Lock: Episode Nagi on sale June 7

[emoviefan]

So Deadline Anthony, Jordan Ruimy and Jeff Sneider all running with the story that Bad Boys Ride Or Die might only open in the 30's now. Is there any thing in the presales or tracking that says it will go that low because I do not want to even be on the weekend thread if that happens.  The social media reactions tonight are pretty good so the reviews should follow tomorrow. No reason to think walkups don't push it past 40 for sure. Right?

[crazymoviekid]

Bad Boys: Ride or Die

 

Thursday Comp: 

 

Theater 1: 14 Tickets

Theater 2: 17 Tickets

 

KotPotA: $5.17M

Equalizer III: $6.20M

T:RotB: $4.06M

Fast X: $3.14M

JW4: $2.79M

Creed III: $3.05M

 

This boy better explode in walk-ups cause we have $4M-$6M for now, but it could go lower. 

[crazymoviekid]

The Watchers: 

 

Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 1 Ticket
Theater 2: 6 Tickets

 

Tarot: $.83M
Abigail: $1.75M
Night Swim: $2.54M
The Boogeyman: $5.25M
Knock at the Cabin: $1.05M

 

Wide range, but I'll be safe at $1M-$2M for now