The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[vafrow]

1 hour ago, CheeseWizard said:

My ass is NOT smart enough to know what that means. Can you elaborate my dude?

 

Low numbers. It's a lot easier to track something manually if it's not doing well.

 

That said, others are seemingly less worried on performance due to franchises history of strong walk ups, but I was surprised by what I was seeing. I expected it to be closer to comps.

[emoviefan]

1 hour ago, vafrow said:

 

Low numbers. It's a lot easier to track something manually if it's not doing well.

 

That said, others are seemingly less worried on performance due to franchises history of strong walk ups, but I was surprised by what I was seeing. I expected it to be closer to comps.

Venom will be another Twisters till it's not. Who knows anymore. 

[leoh]

2 hours ago, Menor the Destroyer said:

Thu: 68441/706961, 3818 shows

 

Fri: 69246/1082989, 5849 shows +12731

 

Sat: 46823/1109076, 6071 shows +7602

 

No real change in the story. Probably a mid 50s to 60 opening. 

 

 

 

@Menor the Destroyer do you also have MC1 Thursday numbers for ‘Venom: The Last Dance”? It doesn’t have early shows but has Fan Event screenings on Thursday as well, this Fan Event however is listed separately.

[CompoundTheGains]

Terrifier 3 California presale update.  
  
Thursday Oct 10 showings only.  
74 theaters (not nearly exhaustive and new theaters keep popping up but I’m sticking with these 74 theaters).  
184 showings (+10 since T-14).
  
T-22 was 1,743 tickets sold.  23.554 tickets per theater or 10.3136 tickets per showing.  
   
T-17 is 2,352 tickets sold (+34.94%).  31.7838 tickets per theater or 13.917 tickets per showing.   
  
T-14 is 2,714 tickets sold (+15.39%).  36.676 tickets per theater or 15.598 tickets per showing.  
 
T-8 is 3,636 tickets sold (+33.97%).  49.14 tickets per theater or 19.76 tickets per showing. 
 
A LOT more showings just popped up for these theaters over the opening weekend (Fri-Sun) as well as more theaters increasing overall.  As an example Alamo Drafthouse chain came online for presales last week and are selling very very well but none of that chain is in my numbers as they were not up for presale when I started.

Edited 1 hour ago by CompoundTheGains

[filmlover]

Venom early sales are decent near me so should be good for at least $60M+. Not great, but for a second sequel that seems to lack a fresh hook, would be acceptable. 

[Boxofficerules]

All this doom and gloom is depressing. Is Terrifier 3 also selling badly?

[misterpepp]

On 9/30/2024 at 10:28 AM, misterpepp said:

Wicked on sale Oct 11

 

… I was beaten to this one too, eh? Ah, well…

Moved up to Oct 9

[Mojoguy]

5 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

All this doom and gloom is depressing. Is Terrifier 3 also selling badly?

I'll likely do very well. Much more people are aware of the franchise now than when Terrifier 2 came out.

[CompoundTheGains]

Terrifier 3 Massachusetts presale update.  
Thursday Oct 10 showings only.  
21 theaters.  
42 (+0 since T-13) showings.  
  
T-21 was 476 tickets sold.  22.667 tickets per theater or 11.333 tickets per showing.  
   
T-17 is 664 tickets sold (+39.5%).  31.62 tickets per theater or 15.81 tickets per showing.  
  
T-13 (12pm EST) is 749 tickets sold (+12.8%).  35.67 tickets per theater or 17.83 tickets per showing.  
 
T-8 (1:30pm EST) is 993 tickets sold (+32.58%),  47.29 tickets per theater or 23.64 tickets per showing.

[jeffthehat]

23 hours ago, jeffthehat said:

Indiana

Joker 2 T-2

Sales	Seats	Shows
1252	32903	195

Comps

0.11x Deadpool & Wolverine = $4.3m

0.47x Dune 2 = $4.7m

1.60x Furiosa = $5.6m

0.87x Alien Romulus = $5.7m

 

AVG = $5.08m

 

Good day. Switched up comps a bit 

Joker 2 T-1

Indiana

Sales	Seats	Shows
1440	35557	207

Comps

?? Deadpool & Wolverine = missed

0.47x Dune 2 = $4.7m

?? Furiosa = missed

0.83x Alien Romulus = $5.4m

 

AVG = $5.05m

 

Not as good today. The Dune comp was $5.2m at T-21

 

Malco

Sales	Seats	Shows
702	12138	66

Comps

0.62x Marvels (10 theater) = $4.1m

0.42x Dune 2 = $4.2m

0.62x Godzilla x Kong = $6.2m

 

Dusted off Malco. $7m+ looks hard from these markets, but seems like there's a big urban/rural divide

[Boxofficerules]

5 minutes ago, CompoundTheGains said:

Terrifier 3 Massachusetts presale update.  
Thursday Oct 10 showings only.  
21 theaters.  
42 (+0 since T-13) showings.  
  
T-21 was 476 tickets sold.  22.667 tickets per theater or 11.333 tickets per showing.  
   
T-17 is 664 tickets sold (+39.5%).  31.62 tickets per theater or 15.81 tickets per showing.  
  
T-13 (12pm EST) is 749 tickets sold (+12.8%).  35.67 tickets per theater or 17.83 tickets per showing.  
 
T-8 (1:30pm EST) is 993 tickets sold (+32.58%),  47.29 tickets per theater or 23.64 tickets per showing.

That good or bad?

[CompoundTheGains]

1 hour ago, Boxofficerules said:

That good or bad?

Good or bad compared to what?  Great imo compared to Terrifier 2 and exceeding that domestic box office total quickly (within first 2 weekends) and significantly.  Can it sniff $10 million OW (Thurs-Sun)?  A more established tracker would be better to comment on that than me.  The questions are how high can it get opening weekend and then how long of legs.  Terrifier 2 had a great 8 week run.  But being a wide release, are the patrons gonna be significantly more front loaded or is the Terrifier franchise truly a force within horror that will really shock a box office that keeps flopping their “sure hit” titles?   Critics on Rotten Tomatoes love it so far (93% fresh).  

Edited 26 minutes ago by CompoundTheGains

[Grand Cine]

5 hours ago, Menor the Destroyer said:

Thu: 68441/706961, 3818 shows

 

Fri: 69246/1082989, 5849 shows +12731

 

Sat: 46823/1109076, 6071 shows +7602

 

No real change in the story. Probably a mid 50s to 60 opening. 

 

 

 

Comparaison :

The Marvels MTC1

Previews(T-2) - 81163/781801 1569207.75 4238 shows +10544

Friday - 68310/1269579 1248100.24 6922 shows  +11796

 

Around 6M with EA. The "good" thing is Joker Friday continues to be around 10% higher than The Marvels . Around 16,5M for True Friday . Expect more Mid 50s than 60 opening

[Killimano3]

Concerning numbers for venom, but I mean it's not like the last one was particularly well liked. The first one had bad reviews but people still were interested in venom and willing to turn out again to see if they could improve. Possible that some people are just not interested in giving them another chance.

 

Though again, the last one played big with the GA once it had opened so it's possible we'll see that here as well

[leoh]

15 minutes ago, Killimano3 said:

Concerning numbers for venom, but I mean it's not like the last one was particularly well liked. The first one had bad reviews but people still were interested in venom and willing to turn out again to see if they could improve. Possible that some people are just not interested in giving them another chance.

 

Though again, the last one played big with the GA once it had opened so it's possible we'll see that here as well

not only the last one, both Venom 1 and 2 were walk up heavy.

 

It’s like a CBM with an animation type of walk ups. Not surprising Sony always make sure it is rated PG 13. I’ll never get how they managed to avoid the R rate for Let there be Carnage, perhaps removing blood, but it’s still too violent for a PG 13.

Edited 29 minutes ago by leoh