The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[emoviefan]

It's looking like the 11 month streak of no 100 million openers might be over!

[dallas]

Inside Out 2

 

Thursday Previews

 

T-3

Tickets Sold: 279 (+89)

Growth: 46.8% 

% PLF: 31.5%

5 theaters/42 showtimes

 

Comps:

(6.065x) of Migration - $9.1M

(5.167x) of Kung Fu Panda 4 - $19.63M

COMPS AVG - $14.37M

 

Wow. Grew nearly 50% in just the last day. I 100% think this opens above 100M at this point. The question now is, how much higher can it go? 

Edited June 11 by dallas

[Porthos]

On 6/10/2024 at 12:25 AM, Porthos said:

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-46 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	28884	33627	4743	14.10%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

61

 

Approx Earned So Far (Sacto Market Based Comps)

		Final Sold	% of Final		$ So Far
MoM		21117	22.46%		8.09m
L&T		16962	27.96%		8.11m
BP2		16800	28.23%		7.91m
AM3		10475	45.28%		7.92m
GOTG3		10750	44.12%		7.72m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:      1014/12927  [7.84% sold]
Matinee:     258/4470  [5.77% | 5.44% of all tickets sold]
3D:              448/6801  [6.59% | 9.45% of all tickets sold]
PLF:         2546/11535  [22.07% | 53.68% of all tickets sold]
———    
CM EQUIV         60 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking
TROS EQUIV     61 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-45 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	28782	33627	4845	14.41%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

102

 

Approx Earned So Far (Sacto Market Based Comps)

		Final Sold	% of Final		$ So Far
MoM		21117	22.94%		8.26m
L&T		16962	28.56%		8.28m
BP2		16800	28.84%		8.08m
AM3		10475	46.25%		8.09m
GOTG3		10750	45.07%		7.89m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1066/12927  [8.25% sold]
Matinee:    265/4470  [5.93% | 5.47% of all tickets sold]
3D:            463/6801  [6.81% | 9.56% of all tickets sold]
PLF:       2591/11535  [22.46% | 53.48% of all tickets sold]
———    
CM EQUIV        95 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking
TROS EQUIV    95 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking

 

====

 

The famed Deadpool/P I X A R alliance strikes again! 

[Porthos]

On 6/10/2024 at 12:26 AM, Porthos said:

 

Inside Out 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	166	22772	24766	1994	8.05%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

344

 

T-4 Comps

	%		Sold T-4	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Sonic 2	146.51		172	1361		0/92	11557/12918	10.54%		3951	50.47%		9.16m
Lightyear	159.14		187	1253		0/129	15223/16476	7.61%		4091	48.74%		8.28m
Minion 2	140.72		263	1417		0/169	23955/25372	5.58%		6591	30.25%		15.13m
Element	459.45		51	434		—/—	9058/9492	4.57%		1910	104.40%		11.03m
Barbie	35.20		625	5665		1/180	16083/21748	26.05%		12077	16.51%		7.95m
Wonka	280.45		106	711		0/128	20047/20758	3.43%		1975	100.96%		9.82m
GBFE	235.70		88	846		0/142	22130/22976	3.68%		2197	90.76%		11.08m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Inside Out 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     415/10075  [4.12% sold]
Matinee:  206/2675  [7.70% | 10.33% of all tickets sold]
3D:            136/3851  [3.53% | 6.82% of all tickets sold]
PLF:          814/9776  [8.33% | 40.82% of all tickets sold]

 

===========

 

 

Will it continue?  Guess that's up to reactions and reviews.

 

Inside Out 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	190	24910	27421	2511	9.16%

 

Total Showings Added Today	24
Total Seats Added Today	2655
Total Seats Sold Today	517

 

T-3 Comps

	%		Sold T-3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Sonic 2	154.05		269	1630		0/109	12800/14430	11.30%		3951	63.55%		9.63m
Lightyear	157.33		343	1596		0/147	16295/17891	8.92%		4091	61.38%		8.18m
Minion 2	131.81		488	1905		0/188	25737/27642	6.89%		6591	38.10%		14.17m
Element	471.99		98	532		—/—	9616/10148	5.24%		1910	131.47%		11.33m
Barbie	38.20		908	6573		1/180	19138/25711	25.56%		12077	20.79%		8.63m
Wonka	290.63		153	864		0/178	22996/23860	3.62%		1975	127.14%		10.17m
GBFE	256.22		134	980		0/193	26679/27659	3.54%		2197	114.29%		12.04m
KFP4	341.63		143	735		0/129	14221/14956	4.91%		2346	107.03%		12.98m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Inside Out 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:       552/11180  [4.94% sold]
Matinee:    290/3183  [9.11% | 11.55% of all tickets sold]
3D:             172/4027  [4.27% | 6.85% of all tickets sold]
PLF:            981/9961  [9.85% | 39.07% of all tickets sold]

 

=======

Set a soft target of approx 500 tickets sold tonight, and wouldn't you know if it nicked right past it. 👍

Also, went ahead and added KFP4.  Actually had it last night, but forgot to add it.  For the record, last night it comped at 12.8m, so it actually rose a small amount.  Not that I expect that to continue, but a good sign nonetheless.

 

Really, it might be the ATP which turns out to be the true wild card here.  Just how many kids tickets will be bought relative to other flicks?  No idea.  Suppose we'll find out when the comps come out at the end.

[charlie Jatinder]

On 6/10/2024 at 1:10 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Inside Out 2 MiniTC2 T-4 Days

 

Previews - 2955/64400 (250 showings)

 

Comps

Kung Fu Panda 4 - $20.3M

 

Haunted Mansion - $14.1M

Wonka - $14.2M

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - $12.1M

Minions 2 - $17.2M (inf. adj $18M)

Lightyear - $7.9M (inf. adj $8.2M)

 

KFP4 dropped as expected and it will continue to do so. Same for Minions 2. The middle 3 comps shall continue to be around $14-15M. Lightyear shall increase.

 

Just for funsies

IF - $21M

Garfield - $22M

 

Just like KFP4, pretty much useless comp.

Inside Out 2 MiniTC2 T-3 Days

 

Previews - 4015/64400 (250 showings)

 

Comps

Kung Fu Panda 4 - $20.4M

 

Haunted Mansion - $15.5M

Wonka - $16.1M

Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - $13.1M

Minions 2 - $17.3M (inf. adj $18M)

Lightyear - $7.8M (inf. adj $8.2M)

 

Nearly every comp except Minions 2 increased. Tomorrow should be a big jump as well.

 

MiniTC2 over-index will be massive as it will likely end selling around Guardians of Galaxy Vol 3 and Quantumania range.

Edited June 11 by charlie Jatinder

[vafrow]

23 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Inside Out 2, T-5 Thursday previews, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 157

New Sales: 29

Growth: 23%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 25

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 6.5

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

Sales by Showtime 

Late Afternoon: 33/6

Early Evening: 89/10

Late Evening: 35/9

 

Sales by Format 

Dolby: 16/1

Dolby 3D: 70/6

IMAX: 36/6

VIP: 27/4

Regular: 6/1

Regular 3D: 0/5

4DX 3D:2/2

 

 Comps

0.773x KFP4 for $2.9M

13.083x IF for $22.9M

39.250x Garfield for $74.6M

1.892x GB:FE for $8.9M

2.181x Wonka for $7.2M

Average: $23.4M

 

Another good day. At this point, I agree with whoever was saying Wonka is probably the best comp.

 

Inside Out 2, T-3 Thursday previews, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 198

New Sales: 41

Growth: 26%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 25

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 8.3

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

Sales by Showtime 

Late Afternoon: 43/6

Early Evening: 105/10

Late Evening: 50/9

 

Sales by Format 

Dolby: 26/1

Dolby 3D: 91/6

IMAX: 41/6

VIP: 32/4

Regular: 6/1

Regular 3D: 0/5

4DX 3D:2/2

 

 Comps

0.695x KFP4 for $2.6M

10.421x IF for $18.2M

18.000x Garfield for $34.2M

2.225x GB:FE for $10.5M

2.200x Wonka for $7.7M

Average: $14.6M

 

Acceleration continues. I wouldn't have minded seeing it a bit higher, but as mentioned in some other posts yesterday, schools are still open here for another few weeks. It's harder for families to get out on Thursdays. It looks like there's positive early reactions, so maybe that triggers a review bump as well.

[TwoMisfits]

Okay, so my locals have given Inside Out 2 all the seats it needs to go 3 digits...4+ screens at the PLF and 5 screens at the non-PLF.  There hasn't been a set this big at the non-PLF all year.

 

At the PLF, BB4 and Inside Out 2 are splitting the PLF screens - one each.

 

Watchers gets single screened at both...

 

Obviously, holdovers are getting torched, but BB4, Garfield, If, and Apes still keep their full screens (with BB4 keeping multiple for Father's Day weekend)...Furiosa is already dropped at one local, though, so that's rough b/c it didn't even make it to weekend 4...

Edited June 11 by TwoMisfits

[AniNate]

Wonder if theaters will get an admissions boost next week. It is supposed to be oppressively hot throughout much of the midwest and southeast and people might be pining for some extra air-conditioned time-killing

[cannastop]

16 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

At this comp, I am thinking $8M for Thursday.  A lot of the normal diverse Disney audience got served this weekend with BB4...so, in the theory folks are being choosy about movies and their money, this may end up a strongly "Taylor Swift" movie demo incoming, I think...

 

Hope I'm wrong...

I don't see how Bad Boys 4 or even Taylor Swift's concert movie are supposed to overlap with Inside Out 2... seems like a weird comparison to me.

[TwoMisfits]

4 minutes ago, cannastop said:

I don't see how Bad Boys 4 or even Taylor Swift's concert movie are supposed to overlap with Inside Out 2... seems like a weird comparison to me.

 

I'm expecting a heavy all ages Caucasian female demo skew - aka, the Taylor Swift demo...b/c the other demos got served by BB4 this past weekend...and folks are getting choosy on movies and how many they pay for per month...

Edited June 11 by TwoMisfits

[titanic2187]

At this point I am getting more and more confident IO2 to take summer number 1. After two years of summer winner went to some totally unexpected surprise hit, I guess this year it is your atypical frontrunner to win.

[el sid]

First two old reports: 

 

Twisters had with tickets ca. 24 hours on sales (= counted 4 days ago/on Friday) 186 sold tickets in 6 theaters (so far no shows in my AMC in Texas). Best sales in LA (91), a bit muted in NY (16 sold tickets). Sometimes the IMAX shows were the most popular ones and sometimes the Dolby shows (despite IMAX shows available). 41 days left.

 

Loose comps (always counted for Thursday): AQP: Day One had also after ca. 24 hours on sale and ca. 1 month left 315 sold tickets. 

Moonfall (700k from previews, some theaters were closed due to a winter storm) had on Monday of the release week 582 sold tickets. 

And Uncharted (3.7M) had with 15 days left 454 sold tickets. 

 

I agree, these long windows aren't very helpful. After Friday almost no ticket was sold. Will look at it again today.

Overall I think that was a (quite) good start but no signs of a breakout so far. 

[emoviefan]

Assuming IO 2 does open over 100 m this weekend we will have 3 movies new movies to the 100 m club with IF and BB ROD joining also. That will make 8 for the year.

[Maaatt]

1 hour ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

I'm expecting a heavy all ages Caucasian female demo skew - aka, the Taylor Swift demo...b/c the other demos got served by BB4 this past weekend...and folks are getting choosy on movies and how many they pay for per month...

I understand your point, though I feel like the R rating alone of BB4 would mean it has a wildly different target audiences then the PG rated Disney/Pixar film?  I don’t imagine a lot of families (of all backgrounds) were at the BB4 opening weekend, especially families with young children. 

[vafrow]

26 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

At this point I am getting more and more confident IO2 to take summer number 1. After two years of summer winner went to some totally unexpected surprise hit, I guess this year it is your atypical frontrunner to win.

 

Both IO2 and D&W are showing that potential. It's hard to make a firm prediction for either to come out on top though, but Disney will have a good summer. Especially since KOTPOTA is a solid contributor.

 

Despicable Me is the only film that has a shot at disrupting those two from finishing 1/2. And I know it's a walk up friendly film, but with how strong the other two are doing, it already feels like a dark horse. Universal can use a win though.

[kayumanggi]

 

[keysersoze123]

Unlike say Panda 4 or Elemental, Inside Out 2 has all big Imax/PLF. so its ATP is higher than all recent animation movies. Even Minions 2 which had lower ATP overall. But Minions under indexed at MTC1 and we have to see what happens to Inside Out. 

 

Inside Out 2 MTC2

Previews - 34539/436678 483719.22 3175 shows

Friday - 51097/651507 621370.65 4461 shows

 

Friday I ran early yesterday(took until 4PM) and Previews ran from that till late night 🙂 Pace for previews is similar to MTC1 at this point. Its going to finish extremely strong over here

[el sid]

Another film already was a nice surprise, namely A Quiet Place: Day One. It had 3 days ago 637 sold tickets for Thursday, June 27 (with shows in 6 theaters, again still no shows in the AMC in Texas). 19 days left.

 

Up very good 102% since the last counting which was the day where its tickets were on sale for 24 hours. Normally not much happens in my theaters between the first rush and the release week so I was really surprised. And the jumps were good in all regions. Best sales in LA followed by San Francisco and Miami (solid sales everywhere). 

 

Comps (always counted for Thursday): Insidious: The Red Door (5M from previews) had with 8 days left 260 sold tickets. 

Halloween Ends (5.4M) had with 10 days left 511 sold tickets. 

Nope (6.4M) had also with 10 days left 1.355 sold tickets. 

And AQP II (4.8M) had with 9 days left 402 sold tickets = 10 days left for AQP: DO to increase the margin. 

 

Of course it's not 1:1 comparable to AQP II but so far, a nice performance. Hopefully that trend continues. 

[YM!]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Unlike say Panda 4 or Elemental, Inside Out 2 has all big Imax/PLF. so its ATP is higher than all recent animation movies. Even Minions 2 which had lower ATP overall. But Minions under indexed at MTC1 and we have to see what happens to Inside Out. 

 

Inside Out 2 MTC2

Previews - 34539/436678 483719.22 3175 shows

Friday - 51097/651507 621370.65 4461 shows

 

Friday I ran early yesterday(took until 4PM) and Previews ran from that till late night 🙂 Pace for previews is similar to MTC1 at this point. Its going to finish extremely strong over here

That’s pretty strong for MTC2 considering Disney has been pretty bad recently for it.

[charlie Jatinder]

Inside Out 2 CANMTC2 T-2 + 12 Hours

THU - 2100
FRI - 4600

 

No comps. From experience, I guess it should reach 11-12K final for previews. So not as bad as Lightyear result in CAN probably.