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Shawn Robbins

The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

By Shawn Robbins, in Box Office Discussion

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Posted by katnisscinnaplex,

Presales Tracking Information   I guess this is as good of a time as any to share this sheet I've been putting together for the past few weeks.  It's a table of movies from the past few years with relevant pre-sales information (release date, sales date, sales window, previews gross, etc.)  @datpepper and I will try to keep it updated when ticket sales dates are announced for upcoming films to make those easier to find.     There are a few gaps in the sheet where I couldn't f

Pre Sale Data Google Doc

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Posted by XXRDJisDoctorDoom,

I’m sure I’ve done enough “reminding” at this point that this is the tracking thread and not a discussion thread. Take your predictions and commentary elsewhere. No more warnings on this subject.
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Posted by ZeeSoh,

Moderation: Moved some posts to the Wild Robot thread. For reasons please avoid mentioning or linking BOP in the tracking thread. 
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crazymoviekid Indie Sensation

crazymoviekid

Posted
Posted
On 6/19/2024 at 11:43 PM, crazymoviekid said:

The Bikeriders:

 

Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 6 Tickets

Theater 2: 16 Tickets

 

Back to Black: $.34M

Challengers: $.99M

KotFM: $1.02M

Asteroid City: $.43M

Elvis: $.83M 

 

We're back!! $1M is back on the menu.

 

Friday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 8 Tickets

Theater 2: 17 Tickets

 

Back to Black: $.80M

Challengers: $1.30M

KotFM: $2.10M

Asteroid City: $1.51M

Elvis: $1.34M 

 

Another good jump, but still not stellar numbers overall. Will go for $1.25M-$1.5M.

The Bikeriders:

 

Final Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 15 Tickets

Theater 2: 26 Tickets

 

Back to Black: $.33M

Challengers: $1.33M

KotFM: $1.54M

Asteroid City: $.55M

Elvis: $1.02M 

 

Very healthy final. Sticking around $1.25M

 

Friday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 14 Tickets

Theater 2: 31 Tickets

 

Back to Black: $1.55M

Challengers: $1.40M

KotFM: $2.10M

Asteroid City: $1.70M

Elvis: $1.71M 

 

Good day. Feeling we're inching up to $1.5M+

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Pinacolada Box Office Gold

Pinacolada

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, crazymoviekid said:

The Bikeriders:

 

Final Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 15 Tickets

Theater 2: 26 Tickets

 

Back to Black: $.33M

Challengers: $1.33M

KotFM: $1.54M

Asteroid City: $.55M

Elvis: $1.02M 

 

Very healthy final. Sticking around $1.25M

 

Friday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 14 Tickets

Theater 2: 31 Tickets

 

Back to Black: $1.55M

Challengers: $1.40M

KotFM: $2.10M

Asteroid City: $1.70M

Elvis: $1.71M 

 

Good day. Feeling we're inching up to $1.5M+

Hmmm I would hope for a better true Friday. That'd be pretty bad

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
22 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

CANADAMTC1 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-36 Thursday: 24693/207557

T-37 Friday: 15067/271893

T-38 Saturday: 10735/284179

T-39 Sunday: 3454/282093

 

Numbers once again from yesterday

CANADAMTC1 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-35 Thursday: 24878/207557

T-36 Friday: 15212/271893

T-37 Saturday: 10852/284179

T-38 Sunday: 3505/282093

 

Numbers from yesterday

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted

 

On 6/19/2024 at 9:41 AM, Inceptionzq said:

CANADAMTC1 Despicable Me 4

T-15 Wednesday: 939/230100

T-16 Thursday: 188/229845

T-17 Friday: 318/235181

22 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

CANADAMTC1 Despicable Me 4

T-17 Saturday: 741/238189

 

Accidentally only ran the Saturday numbers yesterday

CANADAMTC1 Despicable Me 4

T-13 Wednesday: 1167/230098

T-14 Thursday: 255/229845

T-15 Friday: 441/235194

T-16 Saturday: 781/238202

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
22 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

CANADAMTC1 A Quiet Place Day One

T-8 Thursday: 554/85461

T-9 Friday: 667/142506

T-10 Saturday: 341/157746

T-11 Sunday: 157/156530

CANADAMTC1 A Quiet Place Day One

T-7 Thursday: 614/85461

T-8 Friday: 725/142506

T-9 Saturday: 377/157746

T-10 Sunday: 173/156530

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el sid Box Office Gold

el sid

Posted
Posted (edited)

The Exorcism had, counted today for today, 140 sold tickets (with shows in 7 theaters but error in the AMC in Michigan today so in 6 theaters). Best sales in LA followed by NY.

No comps because the walk-ups will be more important anyway but that's still a nice improvement compared to the only 67 sold tickets which it had yesterday for yesterday. 

 

And indeed some signs of life for Horizon. It had today counted for Friday, June 28, 74 sold tickets with shows in 5 theaters (no shows in the AMCs in NY and Texas). 7 days left.

Very uneven sales: In the AMC in Miami it's still a catastrophe with 0 sold tickets, but e.g. it saw a big improvement in the AMC Metreon in San Francisco (55 sold tickets now, some days ago it were maybe 5). 

 

MaXXXine numbers later today when I have more time but I can already tell you that the numbers were surprisingly nice. (OTOH I wasn't that surprised because I recently watched X - strange but good - and read the comments here...).

Edited by el sid
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jeffthehat Indie Sensation

jeffthehat

Posted
Posted
On 6/20/2024 at 9:58 AM, jeffthehat said:

Indiana 

The Bikeriders T-0 

  Sales     Seats     Shows  
  398   9207   87

TC = 25, pulled 9 AM EST

Comps

0.12x Dune 2 T-0 = $1.17m

0.23x Bad Boys 4 T-0 = $1.31m

0.23x Furiosa T-0 = $1.40m

 

AVG = $1.29m

 

Comps are all wide release so they might be overshooting a bit. Good final update here though 

Indiana Lite

The Bikeriders Fri T-0 

  Sales     Seats     Shows  
  438   5824   47

TC = 10, pulled 11 AM EST

Comps

0.43x Furiosa Fri T-0 = $2.98m

0.22x Bad Boys 4 Fri T-0 = $3.37m

0.25x Kingdom Apes T-0 = $3.86m

 

AVG = $3.40m

 

Haven't seen the preview number anywhere but think it's overindexing against these comps 

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PlatnumRoyce Box Office Gold

PlatnumRoyce

Posted
Posted
8 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Horizon MiniTC2 T-7 Days

 

Previews - 194/13189 (76 showings)

 

Comps

Furiosa - $1.1M

Civil War - $1.8M

Bikeriders - $2.3M


Pacing very well. All 3 comps doubled in the last 5 days.

what's the baseline "Internal modifier" (IM) range for this sort of film? 

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keysersoze123 Global Phenomenon

keysersoze123

Posted
Posted

Horizon Chapter 1 MTC1

Previews - 2809/102774 34324.43 958 shows

Friday - 3283/156107 39994.11 1416 shows

 

If this was the only data on the movie, I would have predicted a mega bomb. But this is not a MTC1 movie. So data is irrelevant. 

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keysersoze123 Global Phenomenon

keysersoze123

Posted
Posted

I am also not buying the huge predictions for Twisters. Its presales are not good and not sure the disaster genre is that easy a sell as well. I think 50m Ow is great for it. Plus I am surprised by the legs expected for the movie. Its facing Deadpool in the 2nd weekend and so will collapse hard. Even if it recovers post that overall multi wont be great. 

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fmpro Global Phenomenon

fmpro

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I am also not buying the huge predictions for Twisters. Its presales are not good and not sure the disaster genre is that easy a sell as well. I think 50m Ow is great for it. Plus I am surprised by the legs expected for the movie. Its facing Deadpool in the 2nd weekend and so will collapse hard. Even if it recovers post that overall multi wont be great. 


Those summer legs almost always get movies like this to 3 multiplier. Even with at 53-58% drop on 2nd weekend. So if the movie is good something like 50/140 sounds possible. Should do pretty well OS also

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AniNate Global Phenomenon

AniNate

Posted
Posted (edited)

I think Twisters does have an advantage leg-wise over MIDR with a lack of PG-13 blockbuster competition. Yeah, a lot of teens will see Deadpool but there are still some who have stricter parents and/or just aren't into profane irreverence.

 

 

 

 

Edited by AniNate
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Flip Box Office Gold

Flip

Posted
Posted
9 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Horizon MiniTC2 T-7 Days

 

Previews - 194/13189 (76 showings)

 

Comps

Furiosa - $1.1M

Civil War - $1.8M

Bikeriders - $2.3M


Pacing very well. All 3 comps doubled in the last 5 days.

I’m expecting walk ups to be very strong, old people (this movies demo) tends to buy tickets closer to OD

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