The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Grand Cine]

3 hours ago, Menor the Destroyer said:

Saturday: 481405/1953675 7743432.03 12105 shows +143377 

 

Excellent both in overall total and pace. 

I think 950K-975K Total for Sat , probably +10%-+15% jump

[Inceptionzq]

On 7/26/2024 at 6:36 AM, Inceptionzq said:

MTC4 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-0 Friday: 111682/568101

 

14 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

MTC4 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-1 Saturday: 93444/571670

MTC4 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-0 Saturday: 106896/572737

[charlie Jatinder]

12 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

 

MTC4 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-0 Saturday: 106896/572737

Hmm. So Canada will drop a bit or flat. Friday was uber strong, so fine. Could be 4th/5th biggest weekend in Canada I guess.

[SpiderByte]

A side from all the Deadpool stuff, how's Trap looking

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 7/19/2024 at 11:16 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	TC	Shows	Change	Standard	Last PSA	PLF	IMAX	3D
Twisters	3,299	139,793		122,849		16,944	5,825
Despicable Me 4	3,140	72,015	-29.76%	63,749	425.25	8,266		7,693
Inside Out 2	2,726	47,497	-19.66%	42,559	337.65	4,938	1,120	3,689
Longlegs	2,376	40,579	11.38%	40,561	533.67	18
A Quiet Place: Day One	2402	34,558	-24.03%	34,487	249.61	71
Fly Me to the Moon	2761	33,327	-17.01%	33,271	196.99	56
Bad Boys: Ride or Die	1,407	14,730	-25.90%	14,713	213.87	17
The Lion King	1148	7,176	-58.22%	7,176	50.79	0
Horizon	1,072	6,903	-59.70%	6,885	130.26	18
Oddity	773	6,377		6,377		0
MaXXXine	896	5,746	-78.35%	5,743	78.03	3
Sound of Hope	769	5,043	-66.26%	5,043	91.05	0
Bad Newz	374	3,319		3,319		0
Disciples in Moonlight	1,018	2,964		2,964		0

 

US Showtime Sample* 7/19 Weekend

*Not all theaters included

Opening weekend showtime comps

Twisters - 139,793 (3,299 TC)

 - Black Adam - 138,408 (3,499)

 - Across the Spider-Verse - 137,675 (3,484)

 - Venom 2 - 137,474 (3,273)

 - Dune Part 2 - 136,042 (3,378)

 - Morbius - 134,155 (3,418)

 - Godzilla x Kong - 125,011 (3,252)

 

T-1 Week showtime comps

Deadpool & Wolverine - 162,938 (2,946 TC)

 - Dr Strange 2 - 173,506 (3,205)

 - Black Panther 2 - 160,642 (3,118)

 - No Way Home - 135,877 (3,146)

 - Thor 4 - 132,351 (3,087)

 - Ant-Man 3 - 136,131 (3,017)

 

T-2 Week previews comps

Trap - 5,519 (1,707 TC)

 - Elvis - 5,527 (2,328)

 - Crawdads - 5,157 (1,803)

 - Joy Ride - 5,104 (1,564)

 - Black Phone - 4,684 (1,873)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 4,649 (1,980)

 

T-3 Week previews comps

It Ends With Us (EA) - 566

It Ends With Us - 4,703 (1,440 TC)

 - I Wanna Dance - 5,023 (1,735)

 - Elvis - 4,418 (1,813)

 - Easter Sunday - 4,346 (1,586)

 

T-4 Week previews comps

Alien: Romulus - 8,768 (1,952 TC)

 - Nope - 7,792 (1,976)

 - Kingdom of Apes - 9,079 (1,892)

 - Exorcist Believer - 6,296 (1,761)

Movie	TC	Shows	Change	Standard	Last PSA	PLF	IMAX	3D
Deadpool & Wolverine	3,361	229,174		171,602		57,572	6,150	38,607
Twisters	3,298	72,859	-37.63%	72,546	581.23	313	8	0
Despicable Me 4	2,998	48,593	-32.52%	45,334	339.33	3,259	0	3,180
Inside Out 2	2,647	39,003	-17.88%	36,663	270.09	2,340	421	1,840
Longlegs	2365	32,245	-20.54%	32,227	295.02	18	0	0
A Quiet Place: Day One	1718	18,603	-46.17%	18,548	184.20	55	0	0
The Fabulous Four	951	15,589		15,589		0	0	0
Fly Me to the Moon	1,085	6,294	-81.11%	6,279	99.34	15	0	0
Bad Boys: Ride or Die	788	5,780	-60.76%	5,768	181.64	12	0	0

 

US Showtime Sample* 7/26 Weekend

*Not all theaters included

 

 

Opening weekend showtime comp

Deadpool & Wolverine - 229,174 (3,361 TC)

 - Dr Strange 2 - 229,917 (3,660)

 - Black Panther 2 - 222,802 (3,599)

 - No Way Home - 206,421 (3,340)

 - Thor 4 - 194,969 (3,540)

 - Ant-Man 3 - 191,032 (3,683)

 

The Fabulous Four - 15,589 (951 TC)

 - National Champions - 15,457 (1,174)

 - Vengeance - 14,169 (929)

 - Show Me the Father - 15,629 (1,054)

 

T-1 Week showtime comps

Trap - 33,821 (2,086 TC)

 - Haunting in Venice - 37,383 (2,067)

 - Meg 2 - 38,093 (1,911)

 - The Watchers - 33,331 (2,088)

 - Death on the Nile - 33,327 (2,240)

 - Moonfall - 33,048 (2,259)

 

Harold and the Purple Crayon - 30,764 (1,764 TC)

 - Paws of Fury - 31,294 (2,060)

 - Strange World - 31,574 (1,946)

 - Ruby Gillman - 31,781 (1,893)

 - Puss in Boots: Last Wish - 30,437 (2,314)

 

T-2 Week previews comps

It Ends With Us (EA) - 769 (744 TC)

 - Ungentlemanly (EA) - 812

 - Strays (EA) - 835

 - Bullet Train (EA) - 670

 

It Ends With Us - 6,411 (1,919 TC)

 - Lost City - 5,838 (2,142)

 - I Wanna Dance - 5,579 (1,938)

 - Elvis - 5,527 (2,328)

 - Crawdads - 5,157 (1,803)

 

Borderlands - 6,089 (1,683 TC)

 - Uncharted - 7,459 (2,177)

 - Oppenheimer - 6,315 (2,375)

 - Dune - 5,906 (2,129)

 - Civil War - 6,831 (2,079)

 

T-3 Week previews comps

Alien: Romulus - 9,236 (2,094 TC)

 - Nope - 8,197 (2,086)

 - Kingdom of Apes - 9,990 (2,141)

 - Ghostbusters Frozen Empire - 10,683 (1,917)

 

Coraline - 2,652 (1,317 TC)

[Flip]

23 hours ago, Flip said:

Trap Previews (T-6)

 

8 showtimes/183 tix sold (+18)

 

Missed AQP Day One (T-6) [.]

3.98x The Watchers (T-6) [3.98m]

Missed Longlegs (T-6) [.]

 

just to show how good this is doing, it’s far ahead of both Bad Boys and Twisters at the same point. It won’t finish as well as those two though. I’m hoping it can end up with T-0 being >500 tickets sold 

Trap Previews (T-5)

 

8 showtimes/192 tix sold (+9)

 

Missed AQP Day One (T-5) [.]

Missed The Watchers (T-5) [.]

.91x Longlegs (T-5) [2.73m]
 

Slowly starting to experience some capacity issues, besides that pace is slowing as well, let’s see how much review bump helps it

[charlie Jatinder]

Deadpool & Wolverine MiniTC2

 

Saturday - 102008/236751 (1130 showings) $1.2M

 

This is missing 1 cinema which did 1K+ admits.

The first 100K admits day that I have tracked.

[keysersoze123]

On 7/27/2024 at 5:11 AM, Menor the Destroyer said:

Saturday: 481405/1953675 7743432.03 12105 shows +143377 

 

Excellent both in overall total and pace. 

I looked at Sunday late night and finished at 393091/1878729 6165377.34 11537 shows (Sat final is 879147/2006929 13914970.98 12568 shows). It should go up from estimates. I am thinking mid to high teens drop depending on how the late evening walkups go. Spillover effect should be there. 

[AniNate]

I noticed my nearby Cinemark XDs have locked in Alien for the screen but not Borderlands (ironic given that it's currently the movie they're using to advertise it). Guessing they're gonna let Twisters and Deadpool share it that weekend.

[ThatWaluigiDude]

Gonna be honest, there is a disturbing low amount of people tracking Trap.

[Ryan C]

Trap

 

T-4

 

Thursday: 1189 Seats Sold

 

Taken as of 7:00PM Eastern Time

 

IMPORTANT NOTES: The same 14 theaters I used to track It Ends With Us, I used to track this movie. Since the release date is much closer, more tickets were sold but I just gotta say, I am seriously impressed by this. 

 

At worst, I can see a opening of $20M, but we could genuinely be looking at an opening of $30M if these pre-sales keep at this strong pace leading up to the release. 

 

At the very least, this should open higher than Shyamalan's last two films and could even get close to matching both Old ($16.854M) and Knock at the Cabin's ($14.127M) opening weekends combined. 

[vafrow]

7 minutes ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:

Gonna be honest, there is a disturbing low amount of people tracking Trap.

 

I was eager to track it, but theatre count for previews is too low to bother in my area.

 

I check in occasionally on it, but it's literally not doing anything even a few days out.

[Relevation]

1 hour ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:

Gonna be honest, there is a disturbing low amount of people tracking Trap.

Tbf everyone just got off a super big and tedious Deadpool track, trackers are only human 

[AniNate]

1 hour ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:

Gonna be honest, there is a disturbing low amount of people tracking Trap.

 

I don't feel like Trap is gonna be that interesting to track. The usual M Night fans will show up and that's pretty much it.

 

But hey if you want to count up sales at your local theaters and post it here be my guest.

[abracadabra1998]

On 7/25/2024 at 6:13 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Trap (T-7):

Day: T-7	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 22 theaters	67	56	126	6411	1.97

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		110	47	87.3
Other chains:		16	9	12.7

 

Comps:

2.52x Abigail: $2.52 Million

2.17x Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare: $1.85 Million

3.3x Imaginary: $2.39 Million (17 theaters)

1.82x Haunting in Venice (w/ EA): $2.19 Million (17 theaters)

 

I will have better comps starting at T-4. It is doing quite well in MTC1 theaters but barely has sold anything in other chains

 

Harold and the Purple Crayon (T-7):

Day: T-7	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 13 theaters	51	7	7	4462	0.16

 

Increased by infinity percent, can't ask for much better than that!

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Trap (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 21 theaters	64	69	195	6108	3.19

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		164	54	84.1
Other chains:		31	15	15.9

 

Comps:

2.67x Watchers: $2.67 Million

2.47x Abigail: $2.47 Million

3.17x Imaginary: $2.3 Million (17 theaters)

1.46x Haunting in Venice (THU): $1.61 Million (17 theaters)

3.29x Last Voyage of Demeter: $2.46 Million (17 theaters)

 

Straight up think that when people on here complain about folks not tracking certain movies it's really that they don't bother scrolling past the latest page... pretty frustrating.

 

Anyways! Mostly sticking to PG-13 comps here, Haunting in Venice skewed older so I am inclined to ignore that. Looking at around $2.5 Million in previews for now.

 

Harold and the Purple Crayon (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 21 theaters	82	12	19	7064	0.27

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		10	10	52.63
Other chains:		9	2	47.37

 

Comps:

0.18x Garfield Movie (THU): $345k

0.15x IF: $255k

0.43x Ruby Gilman: $315k (12 theaters)

 

THIS HAS LESS THAN HALF OF RUBY GILMAN'S SOLD TICKETS AT THIS POINT WTF!

[AniNate]

Wonder if theaters might try to quietly give some Harold screenings back to IO2/DM4

[abracadabra1998]

On 7/25/2024 at 6:20 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

It Ends With Us (T-14):

Day: T-14, T-13	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 21 theaters	67	154	311	6665	4.67
Wednesday EA: 9 theaters	9	110	238	946	25.16
TOTALS:	76	264	549	7611	7.21

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		91	49	29.26
Other chains:		220	105	70.74

 

Comps (Total EA + THU):

1.93x Fall Guy: $6.09 Million

2.18x Mean Girls (w/ EA): $7.1 Million

 

 

Yoooo wtf? Now I know that this will be frontloaded and my comps are ass but these are stellar sales with 14 days to go. I'll have better comps as we go along but I'm keeping an eye on this, has some mini-break out potential

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

It Ends With Us (T-11):

Day: T-11, T-10	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 22 theaters	69	72	383	6869	5.58
Wednesday EA: 9 theaters	10	95	333	1070	31.12
TOTALS:	79	167	716	7939	9.02

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		115	24	30.03
Other chains:		268	48	69.97

 

Comps (Total EA + THU):

2.26x Fall Guy: $7.11 Million

2.05x Mean Girls (w/ EA): $6.66 Million

1.27x Hunger Games BoSS: $7.31 Million

 

Will have a Don't Worry Darling comp for this on Thursday

 

Borderlands (T-11):

Day: T-11	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 21 theaters	82	39	82	11076	0.74

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		31	11	37.8
MTC1:		19	14	23.17
Other chains:		63	25	76.83

 

Comps:

0.18x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes: $1.18 Million

0.42x Argyle: $720k

0.27x The Creator (THU): $370k

 

I have no idea what a good comp for this is lol

 

 

[Cmasterclay]

Trap needs good reviews, but if it gets good reviews it should be M. Night's highest opening since Glass for sure.

[AniNate]

Mario maybe if you can, just to have another VG movie reference. 

 

Honestly though argylle seems close enough

[abracadabra1998]

On 7/25/2024 at 6:25 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Alien: Romulus (T-21):

Day: T-21	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 24 theaters	106	43	265	17518	1.51

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		218	33	82.26
MTC1:		196	27	73.96
Other chains:		69	16	26.04

 

Comps:

0.82x Twisters (w/ EA): $8.75 Million

1.68x Quiet Place Day One: $11.41 Million

0.86x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (w/ EA): $5.66 Million

1.23x Fall Guy (w/ EA): $3.88 Million

1.19x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $5.37 Million (17 theaters)

2.7x Exorcist Believer: $7.7 Million (17 theaters)

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Alien: Romulus (T-18):

Day: T-18	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 23 theaters	103	61	326	17314	1.88

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		257	39	78.83
MTC1:		246	50	75.46
Other chains:		80	11	24.54

 

Comps:

0.79x Twisters (w/ EA): $8.43 Million

1.66x Quiet Place Day One: $11.31 Million

0.95x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (w/ EA): $6.25 Million

1.42x Fall Guy (w/ EA): $4.48 Million

1.34x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $6.03 Million (17 theaters)

3.16x Exorcist Believer: $9.02 Million (17 theaters)

 

With this being a horror franchise don't think expecting Apes type of walk-ups is that crazy, expecting for at least $6 Million previews for now