3/4-3/7 Weekdays Thread | Dune $7.3m Monday, $8.1m Tuesday, $6.6m Wednesday

[kayumanggi]

 

[Brainbug]

7 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:

BOT (also me) when revised estimates go down by literally 2.67%

 

 

 

Trust in the spice.

[harry713]

15 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

"Scream 7" 

[kayumanggi]

 

[titanic2187]

If meme trend keep going , I suppose the younger demo will have better showup rate soon.

 

 

 

 

[redfirebird2008]

21 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

 

Logan seems like a pretty good comparison point given the release date and dollar grosses for the opening 4 days. Logan's domestic total of $226M would mean a 2.74 multiplier for Dune Part 2, which is pretty similar to Dune Part 1's 2.68 multiplier. I'm thinking Dune Part 2 can make it to $250 million, but it will be interesting to see how it goes! 

[kayumanggi]

 

[kayumanggi]

 

[M37]

$7.3/$28.7 = 25.4% 

 

Batman seems to be the comp (for now)

[kayumanggi]

 

[kayumanggi]

 

[ozardvark]

Variety saying 40-45m for Dune: Part Two's next weekend. How does that benchmark?

https://variety.com/2024/film/box-office/box-office-kung-fu-panda-4-opening-weekend-projection-dune-2-1235930925/

[ando]

They finally opened up sales this afternoon for this coming weekend where I am and the 6:50 Friday,  3:10 and 6:30 Saturday IMAX shows are already 75-80% soldout lmao

[Steele131]

EC saying 8.1M for Tuesday 

[Bob Train]

 

[BoxOfficeZ]

Well for those doing Batman comps, Batman slightly decreased on it's first Tuesday by 0.5%.

 

If that 8.1m holds that's a nice increase of almost 11%.

[M37]

10 hours ago, ozardvark said:

Variety saying 40-45m for Dune: Part Two's next weekend. How does that benchmark?

https://variety.com/2024/film/box-office/box-office-kung-fu-panda-4-opening-weekend-projection-dune-2-1235930925/

Seems about right to me?

 

Tue is its own thing, but looking at similar films*, would set expectations for Wed to $5.73M give or take. Presuming that hits - and it could be higher - Thursday shouldn't drop but a few % points at most as its keeping PLF and new films aren't direct competition, then a ~7.5x for the weekend would ballpark to pretty much exactly that range, or again could go higher (or lower)

 

Spoiler

*Mon To Wed Drops

 

Batman = -21.7%

Logan = -21.6%

John Wick 4 = -21.3%

 

That's some consistency

 

Edited March 6 by M37

[ando]

From this Tues, even with weaker Wed (-27%) and Thurs (-7%), as well as smaller Fri (+113%) and Sat (+47%) jumps as The Batman, the 2nd wknd should still work out to $41.5M.

[keysersoze123]

its not dropping 27% for sure. 

[Issac Newton]