3/4-3/7 Weekdays Thread | Dune $7.3m Monday, $8.1m Tuesday, $6.6m Wednesday

[Starphanluke]

I think we’re finally looking at a very interesting race for #1 this weekend

[HummingLemon496]

Dune 2

[Austin]

24 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said:

Dune 2

Except we are mostly on the we're so back side now.

[HummingLemon496]

22 minutes ago, Austin said:

Except we are mostly on the we're so back side now.

True

 

But hey it perfectly represents my reaction to my prophecy club 😅

[stripe]

7 hours ago, BoxOfficeZ said:

Say it stays flat Thursday for 6.5.

 

Batman comp: 

 

14.3 Friday

21.5 Sat

15 Sun

50.8m

 

Logan comp

 

13.6 (+109.8%)

21.4 (+57.3%)

15 (-29.8%)

50m

 

Captain Marvel

 

13.4 (+106%)

20.7 (+55%)

13.7 (-33.8%)

47.8m

 

I suspect the demand at high priced premium screens will dilute decreases and increases a tad, but who knows.

 

 

 

Possibly, buy also the length of Dune Part 2 can help to see better than expected weekends. Some audience won't be able to see an almost 3hours long movie during week.
Avatar 2 had very strong weekends thanks to this

[M37]

6 hours ago, Porthos said:

It's either gonna be under 225m or over 325m; I don't make the rules here, just remind folks about them once they've been made. 

[Brainbug]

To add some further positivity: We often complain about the state of cinema right now, both the box office and the quality of most modern blockbusters (im no exception).

 

But just looking at the last 2 years, for me personally theres also been a trend in cinema right now, that if a (big studio) movie is actually good, its great. Like 9/10 or even 10/10 material.

 

Top Gun: Maverick
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
Oppenheimer
Godzilla Minus One (bit of an outlier ofc, since its Japanese, but still)
Dune: Part Two

 

And those are for me just the loftiest tip of the Iceberg. Movies like The Batman, Barbie or EEAAO follow closely. All of which is to say that im just gratefull for these movies because as long as this kind of blockbuster is still beeing made among the sea of mediocrity, theres hope.

[efialtes76]

Wednesday-$6.65M.

[Issac Newton]

 

 

[Grand Cine]

6 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

 

 

Only 18% drop , incredible hold

[Daxtreme]

18.4% drop, so good

 

Now this is getting serious

[Grand Cine]

Very very late good hold , only 35% drop

[Grand Cine]

17 hours ago, Grand Cine said:

I saw the last First Big Openers of March (30M+ openers) in the last 10 years and i saw that they often have the same jump Wed/Fri no matter The Thursday drop

 

The Batman : +119% (8,47M/18,61M)

Creed 3 : +123% (3,37M/7,53M)

Captain Marvel : +121% (8,58M/19,03M)

Logan : +83% (5,64M/10,36M)

Zootopie : +224% (3,72M/12,08M)

Cinderella : +107% (4,57M/9,47M)

Mr Peabody : +130% (2,36M/5,45M)

300 Partie II : +87% (3,08M/5,76M)

 

In general ( unless Zootopie (animation movie so big jump) , 300 (bad WOM) and Logan (competition with Kong which have the same demo target) ) all the movie have a jump Wed/Fri around 110%-120% especially with the first 3 movies of this list with the same jump so it's my preidction for Dune 2 : 120% jump Wed/Fri , so if the prediction of 6,5M is good , my prediction is at 14,3M for Friday

 

Now For Sat and Sun : unless 300 ( same argument of Friday) and Zootopie/Peabody ( same argument of Zoo for Fri), the average of Fri/Sat jump is between 50-60% so it will be between 21,45M-22,9M , and i think he will match the same jump as The Batman (+51%) so my prediction for Saturday is 21,6M

For Sunday , the drop is between 30-35% and i think he will be around 30% so my prediction for Sunday is 15,1M

 

Total of Weekend 2 for me : 51M ( so around 38% !!! better than Oppenheimer)

 

A little better than you anticipate @keysersoze123

 

PS : i will update with Wednesday actuals tomorrow

 

 

So update for my predictions :

 

Fri : 14,6M

Sat : 21,9M

Sun : 15,3M

 

Total : 51,8M ( around 37% drop only !!!)

[ChipDerby]

Hell yes let's fucking go

[Starphanluke]

22 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

 

 

Damn. Strong Wednesday. Let’s see how Thursday holds—this weekend could get interesting.

[Bob Train]

13 minutes ago, Grand Cine said:

So update for my predictions :

 

Fri : 14,6M

Sat : 21,9M

Sun : 15,3M

 

Total : 51,8M ( around 37% drop only !!!)

That would be a 27% drop excluding previews 

Even Barbie/Oppenheimer drop in the 35% range when excluding previews.

[Daxtreme]

imagine an increase today rofl

 

now that would break BOT

 

It would turn non-believers into believers

 

 

as written

 

Edited March 7 by Daxtreme

[keysersoze123]

Saturday increase is still more impressive but this is under 10% drop from Monday. Its set for 50m+ 2nd weekend. 

[charlie Jatinder]

111 Week 1.

 

Leaves 189M for 300. Can easily get that with 50M 2nd weekend.

[JustLurking]

Seeing Dune break out big is awesome. Hopefully this gives Denis more clout as a director. We need more auteur-driven big budget films for sure.